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Zhipu AI Shares Rocket 32% on First Earnings as China’s Domestic AI Ambitions Hit Full Throttle

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Shares of Zhipu AI, China’s flagship pure-play artificial intelligence company, exploded as much as 35% on Wednesday before closing up 31.94% after the Beijing-based startup delivered its first set of public financial results since listing in Hong Kong in January.

The eye-catching rally came despite Zhipu posting a wider loss and slightly missing revenue expectations, underscoring how investors are pricing in explosive long-term growth potential rather than near-term profitability in China’s state-backed AI race.

Revenue for 2025 climbed 132% to 724 million yuan ($99.5 million), powered by surging demand for its large language models and AI agents. The figure fell just short of the 760 million yuan consensus forecast compiled by Reuters, but the triple-digit expansion signaled that adoption is accelerating even as the company pours money into research.

The adjusted net loss widened 29.1% to 3.18 billion yuan, reflecting heavy R&D spending typical of frontier AI developers still in the heavy-investment phase.

Founded in 2019 by a team of researchers from China’s prestigious Tsinghua University, Zhipu has quickly become one of the country’s most prominent “AI tigers” — the handful of well-funded startups racing to build large language models that can stand toe-to-toe with OpenAI and Anthropic.

Its latest GLM-5 model, released in recent weeks, claims parity with leading U.S. systems on several key benchmarks, while the company has aggressively expanded its AI agent offerings and open-source tools.

One clear bright spot: a nationwide frenzy around its open-source AI agent OpenClaw has driven token usage, the basic unit measuring computing demand, to record levels. Zhipu said more than 4 million small and medium-sized enterprises and individual developers now use its products, which are available in 218 countries and regions. That reach, combined with Beijing’s full-throated push for technological self-reliance, has turned Zhipu into a bellwether for the entire Chinese AI sector.

During Tuesday’s earnings call, CEO Zhang Peng highlighted a sharp spike in computing demand since February and said the company is fast-tracking its transition to domestic Chinese chips to meet it.

The comments carried extra weight: Zhipu was placed on the U.S. Commerce Department’s Entity List in January 2025 over alleged military links, severely restricting its access to advanced American semiconductors. Like its peers, it is now racing to build a fully indigenous supply chain, aligning perfectly with national policy.

The market’s enthusiastic reaction on Wednesday also lifted rival MiniMax, another Hong Kong-listed Chinese AI startup, whose shares rose about 16%. Both companies listed in January after raising hundreds of millions, part of a broader wave of Chinese AI firms tapping public markets to fund the enormous capital requirements of model training and inference.

Zhipu’s debut as the world’s first major pure-play AI model company to go public, at least in the conventional sense, has given investors a direct way to bet on China’s AI ambitions at a time when Beijing is pouring resources into closing the technology gap with the United States. The government’s support includes preferential access to domestic chips, data resources, and policy tailwinds that have helped offset export controls.

Yet the path remains capital-intensive and uncertain. Zhipu’s losses are widening as it scales, and the company still faces the classic frontier-AI dilemma: massive upfront spending with revenue that, while growing fast, remains modest relative to the infrastructure costs.

Full profitability could be years away, and any slowdown in domestic chip performance or tightening of U.S. restrictions could complicate its roadmap.

Still, Wednesday’s surge suggests investors are willing to overlook the red ink for now. The stock’s performance reflects confidence that Zhipu, and by extension China’s AI ecosystem, is turning the corner from catch-up mode to genuine competition. With GLM-5 already claiming benchmark parity and OpenClaw driving real usage, the company is positioning itself as more than a local player. It aims to become a global force in a market where scale, data, and government backing could prove decisive.

For a sector long viewed as dominated by a handful of U.S. giants, Zhipu’s strong debut earnings and the market’s response mark a notable milestone in the shifting global AI balance.

Dimon Opens Door to JPMorgan’s Entry Into Prediction Markets, but With Strict Limits

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JP Morgan Chase puts contents through its CEO account, it goes viral. But the same content via JPMC account, no one cares (WSJ)

JPMorgan Chase chief executive Jamie Dimon has opened the door to the possibility of the bank entering the fast-expanding prediction markets space, a development that, if pursued, could mark a significant moment in the institutionalization of a market long viewed as sitting somewhere between finance and wagering.

Speaking in an interview with CBS News, Dimon said the bank is studying how such a business could work within the framework of a highly regulated financial institution, while making clear that any move would come with strict internal limits and compliance controls.

“It’s possible one day we’ll do something like that,” Dimon said, referring to prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket, where participants trade contracts tied to the outcomes of real-world events.

The remarks are notable not merely because of what they suggest about JPMorgan’s strategic thinking, but because they underscore how prediction markets are increasingly moving into mainstream financial discussion.

Once largely seen as niche betting platforms, these markets have grown rapidly into a widely watched gauge of sentiment around elections, inflation, recession risks, central bank decisions, corporate outcomes, and geopolitical events. In recent months, traders and analysts have increasingly used them as real-time probability indicators alongside bond yields, options markets, and economic surveys.

For a bank of JPMorgan’s scale, entry into this space would be far more than a product launch. It would represent a powerful legitimizing signal for the sector.

Still, Dimon was careful to draw firm boundaries around what the bank would and would not consider.

“We’re not going to be in sports. We’re not going to be in politics. There’s a bunch of stuff we won’t do,” he said.

Sports and political contracts remain among the most popular products on current prediction platforms, but they are also the areas most vulnerable to regulatory scrutiny and reputational risk. By explicitly ruling them out, Dimon appears to be steering the conversation toward event contracts tied to economics, business performance, and market outcomes, areas that can more plausibly sit within a financial institution’s risk and research ecosystem.

This raises an important strategic question: what kind of prediction market could a bank like JPMorgan Chase realistically build?

The most likely route would be through market-based probability tools linked to economic indicators, corporate events, and macro outcomes. For example, contracts could be tied to whether the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by a specific date, whether U.S. GDP growth exceeds a threshold, or whether a major commodity price remains within a defined range.

Such instruments would have a more direct analytical and hedging function than traditional betting markets. This is where Dimon’s comments on insider information become especially significant.

“You cannot use inside information at all for any reason, including prediction markets,” he said.

For a bank that sits at the center of global capital markets, the compliance risks are immense. JPMorgan advises companies on mergers, restructurings, debt issuance, and strategic transactions. It also operates one of the world’s largest trading businesses. Any participation in markets where event outcomes are traded would inevitably raise concerns about information barriers, conflicts of interest, and market integrity.

In effect, prediction markets inside a bank would need to operate with controls at least as strict as those governing its securities trading and investment banking divisions.

That is why Dimon’s emphasis on “guardrails” should be read as more than rhetorical caution. It is likely a signal that any future product would be designed as a tightly controlled institutional offering rather than a retail-style open betting venue.

Dimon also offered a candid assessment of the nature of these markets.

“I think for the most part it’s more like gambling,” he said.

However, he introduced an important nuance, noting that in certain situations, particularly where participants have deep domain expertise and are taking the opposite side of a trade based on informed conviction, the activity can begin to resemble investing.

That distinction goes to the heart of the debate surrounding prediction markets. To critics, they are simply speculative platforms dressed in financial language, while to supporters, they are highly efficient information aggregation mechanisms that can often outperform traditional forecasting models by pricing collective probabilities in real time.

Indeed, during periods of heightened uncertainty, such as the current geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and persistent recession concerns, market-implied probabilities from these platforms have increasingly been used by analysts as an informal sentiment tool.

Dimon’s broader comments suggest a pragmatic rather than ideological stance.

“People have been gambling forever … every country I’ve ever been in, people gamble,” he said.

He added, “I’m against it if it’s an addiction that ruins your life type thing. I’m a little bit of a libertarian. You have the right to do what you want, the way you want. You know, just take care of yourself.”

That framing places the issue in the context of risk management rather than moral opposition. JPMorgan, currently, has made no formal commitment to launch such a service. But the fact that Dimon is publicly acknowledging the possibility suggests that prediction markets are beginning to attract serious attention from the highest levels of Wall Street.

If the bank ultimately moves forward, it could accelerate the sector’s transition from speculative niche to recognized financial instrument, while also forcing regulators to confront new questions around market structure, information controls, and consumer risk.

PenCom Opens Pension Savings to Newborns and Students in Bold Push for Long-Term Financial Inclusion

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Nigeria’s pension regulator has taken a far-reaching step to widen retirement savings coverage, removing the age restriction on the Personal Pension Plan (PPP) and effectively allowing Nigerians to begin building retirement assets from birth.

The decision by the National Pension Commission marks one of the most consequential policy shifts in the pension industry in recent years, with implications that stretch beyond retirement planning into long-term capital formation, financial inclusion, and domestic investment growth.

Speaking after the second Pension Industry Leadership Council meeting in Lagos, Director-General Omolola Oloworaran said the scheme is now open to everyone, including students and newborns, ending the previous age-based limitation that restricted direct participation mainly to adults in the informal and self-employed segments.

“The Personal Pension Plan is now open to everyone. The age limitations that existed before have been lifted. Students and newborns can begin contributing,” she said.

The reform effectively means that a child can now begin accumulating retirement savings from infancy through voluntary contributions made by parents or guardians, while students can start building a formal savings history long before entering the workforce.

For years, the Personal Pension Plan had been positioned primarily as an inclusion vehicle for self-employed workers, traders, artisans, professionals, and employees of micro businesses outside the mainstream contributory pension framework. Under previous guidelines, participation was largely structured around contributors aged 18 and above, although guardians could register minors under controlled terms. The latest policy now formalizes and broadens that access.

The broader significance lies in what this means for the pension industry’s asset base.

Nigeria’s pension assets have grown into one of the country’s most important pools of long-term domestic capital, with funds increasingly deployed into federal government securities, infrastructure instruments, corporate debt, and equity markets. By widening the contributor base to include younger demographics, PenCom is effectively laying the groundwork for a larger and more stable flow of long-term funds into the financial system.

In practical terms, this deepens the investable capital available for economic development.

Oloworaran made that objective explicit, saying pension funds will no longer remain passive pools of capital but will increasingly serve as active drivers of growth and financial market development.

“We are transitioning into a new phase, one focused on leadership, coordination, and teamwork. Pension funds will no longer be passive investors; they will actively drive economic development,” Oloworaran affirmed.

That policy direction is particularly significant for an economy such as Nigeria’s, where access to long-term capital remains a structural constraint for infrastructure financing and industrial expansion.

The earlier savers begin, the more powerful the compounding effect. A modest monthly contribution started at birth or during school years can accumulate significantly over decades, especially when invested across regulated pension instruments. This introduces a generational wealth-preservation dimension that goes beyond traditional retirement planning.

It also signals a broader attempt to change financial behavior. PenCom is not merely expanding enrollment figures by bringing younger Nigerians into the pension ecosystem early. It is trying to embed a savings culture at a formative stage, something policymakers have long argued is necessary in a country where long-term financial planning remains relatively low outside formal salaried employment.

The move also aligns with PenCom’s recent acceleration of sector reforms. In recent months, the Commission has introduced a self-service digital recapture platform, PENCAP, to reduce documentation bottlenecks and improve contributor data management, while also expanding the Personal Pension Plan among traders and informal workers across states.

At the same time, the regulator is preparing the rollout of PenCare, a healthcare support initiative for low-income retirees, with an initial pilot targeting tens of thousands of beneficiaries nationwide.

Together, these reforms suggest a deliberate repositioning of the pension industry from a narrow retirement-payments system into a broader social and financial security framework. The policy may also help address one of Nigeria’s long-standing pension challenges: low coverage.

While the contributory pension scheme has grown substantially in the formal sector, millions of Nigerians in the informal economy remain outside structured retirement savings. Opening the PPP to students and younger dependents is expected to help bridge that gap over time by onboarding contributors before they transition into employment.

For parents, the scheme also creates a formal financial planning tool.

Rather than relying solely on education savings or trust structures, families can now use regulated pension accounts as an additional long-term asset vehicle for children, with clear oversight by licensed Pension Fund Administrators.

The bigger story is that PenCom is attempting to widen the definition of retirement planning itself.

By allowing savings to begin from birth, the Commission is effectively reframing pensions not as an end-of-career product, but as a lifetime financial instrument.

If adoption gains traction, the reform could materially expand Nigeria’s pension asset pool over the next decade and strengthen the role of pension capital in financing national growth.

Oracle Cuts Thousands of Jobs to Fund AI Data Centre Push as Investor Anxiety Mounts, Shares Rise

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Oracle shares rose in early trading on Wednesday after the software and cloud giant began cutting thousands of jobs in a sweeping restructuring designed to release cash for its increasingly expensive artificial intelligence infrastructure expansion.

The layoffs, which have affected employees across the United States, India, and other key markets, come at a pivotal moment for the Larry Ellison-led company as it attempts to transform itself from a legacy database powerhouse into a front-rank AI cloud infrastructure player.

Multiple reports indicate that the latest round of cuts could run into the tens of thousands, with estimates ranging from about 10,000 to as many as 30,000 positions, potentially affecting nearly a fifth of Oracle’s global workforce of 162,000.

Rather than punishing the stock, investors pushed shares higher, reflecting a view that the restructuring may help restore confidence in Oracle’s balance sheet at a time when its AI ambitions have become a major source of concern.

This is fundamentally a story about capital intensity.

Oracle is pouring unprecedented sums into data centers, GPU clusters, networking hardware, and power infrastructure to support large AI workloads for clients that include Nvidia Corporation, Meta Platforms, Inc., OpenAI, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., and xAI.

The company has already raised roughly $45 billion to $50 billion in debt and equity to finance this expansion, a figure that has sharply increased scrutiny over leverage, free cash flow, and the pace at which these investments can begin generating returns.

Oracle’s enormous commitment to AI-related cloud contracts, particularly its multibillion-dollar infrastructure arrangements linked to OpenAI and the broader Stargate ecosystem, has become a large source of investors’ anxiety.

Those deals promise significant long-term revenue, but they also require massive upfront spending. That mismatch between immediate cash outflows and deferred revenue inflows is now driving the company’s restructuring decisions.

In effect, Oracle is trying to rebalance its cost structure by shrinking recurring labor expenses while preserving the financial flexibility needed to continue building AI capacity.

Analysts have increasingly framed the layoffs as less about cyclical weakness and more about cash-flow engineering. Payroll remains one of the largest controllable operating costs for a technology company of Oracle’s scale. Cutting headcount allows management to redirect billions of dollars toward capex without relying solely on further borrowing.

This matters because Wall Street has become increasingly sensitive to debt-fueled AI bets. Earlier concerns over Oracle’s capital spending intensified after the company’s free cash flow turned sharply negative amid escalating infrastructure outlays.

The company’s stock has already lost substantial value this year, underlining skepticism about whether its aggressive AI expansion can be monetized quickly enough. The latest restructuring is therefore as much about reassuring investors as it is about funding physical infrastructure.

Across the technology sector, major hyperscalers including Alphabet Inc., Microsoft Corporation, Amazon.com, Inc., and Meta have committed hundreds of billions of dollars to AI infrastructure, from advanced chips to dedicated data-center campuses.

What distinguishes Oracle is that it is making this push from a relatively smaller cloud base compared with its larger rivals. That raises the stakes considerably.

AI capex is an extension of already dominant cloud businesses for Microsoft and Amazon, while Oracle sees it as a strategic repositioning that could redefine the company’s long-term growth trajectory. The job cuts, therefore, signal more than cost discipline. They represent a decisive shift in corporate priorities.

Human capital is being subordinated to infrastructure capital, and it is becoming a defining feature of the AI era: companies are no longer only cutting jobs because demand is weak; increasingly, they are cutting jobs to fund technology bets whose returns remain uncertain.

There is also a productivity narrative at play. Some analysts have pointed to Oracle’s lower profit per employee relative to peers, arguing that the restructuring may help improve operational efficiency ratios and support margin expansion over time.

However, Oracle’s AI strategy depends on sustained enterprise demand for high-performance cloud capacity and the ability of major clients to keep expanding their own AI spending. Against that backdrop, any slowdown in enterprise AI adoption, any delay in customer deployments, or any weakening in the broader tech investment cycle is expected to expose Oracle to elevated debt and a leaner workforce without the expected revenue uplift.

For now, the company is making a clear calculation: in the current technology cycle, the priority is not preserving headcount but securing the compute infrastructure required to compete in the next phase of enterprise AI.

While the market may be rewarding that discipline today, the longer-term outcome is not certain, as the future of the AI industry is still a debate.

China’s Home Prices Return to Growth in March, but Property Recovery Still Faces a Crucial Test

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China’s housing market posted a modest but symbolically important recovery in March, with new home prices rising for the first time in months, offering a tentative sign that the country’s long-troubled property sector may be beginning to find a floor after years of deep distress.

According to data from the China Index Academy, prices of new homes across 100 cities rose 0.05 per cent month-on-month in March, reversing a 0.04 per cent decline in February. The gain was driven by stronger seasonal demand in major cities and increased supply of higher-quality projects in core urban markets.

While the increase is modest in numerical terms, its significance lies in what it represents for a sector that has been at the center of China’s economic anxieties since the collapse of China Evergrande Group.

For nearly five years, China’s real estate market has been in prolonged turmoil. The crisis began in 2020 when Beijing introduced strict borrowing limits under the “three red lines” policy to curb the excessive leverage that had fueled years of debt-driven expansion among developers. That move exposed the fragility of heavily indebted firms, with Evergrande emerging as the most dramatic casualty.

Once China’s largest developer, Evergrande, amassed liabilities exceeding $300 billion, becoming the poster child of the country’s property bubble. Its liquidity crisis in 2021 triggered missed debt payments, stalled construction projects, and widespread defaults across the sector.

The severe fallout was marked by millions of homebuyers who had prepaid for apartments, left waiting for unfinished homes. Construction froze across numerous cities, confidence collapsed, and household wealth came under sustained pressure.

Because property accounts for a substantial share of Chinese household assets, the slump quickly spilled beyond real estate into broader consumption and economic confidence. That is why March’s price gain, however small, marks a significant shift.

It is the latest sign that the steepest phase of the correction may be easing, particularly in China’s top-tier cities. The China Index Academy itself stressed the importance of sustaining the momentum.

“The continuity of this recovery in April will be critical,” the firm said.

“If momentum can be maintained in major cities, it will help improve market expectations and lay a stronger foundation for stable market performance throughout the year.”

China’s property crisis has become as much a crisis of confidence as one of supply and demand. For years, falling prices discouraged purchases, with households postponing decisions in anticipation of further declines. Developers, in turn, struggled to generate presales, worsening liquidity strains.

A stabilization in prices, especially in key cities such as Shanghai, Beijing, and Shenzhen, could begin to reverse that psychology. There are early signs of this. Official data from February had already shown that price declines in major cities were slowing, even as lower-tier cities remained under heavy pressure.

However, Fitch Ratings’ Shi Lulu warned that the broader market backdrop remains fragile, underlining substantial challenges.

“Given weak employment conditions, elevated housing inventory and other fundamental challenges, overall market sentiment remains fragile,” she said.

Large inventories of unsold homes, particularly in lower-tier cities, continue to weigh on recovery prospects. This makes caution well-founded.

Many buyers are also increasingly turning to the secondary market, where prices have become more attractive, potentially diverting demand from new projects. Moreover, property investment has sharply declined from its peak contribution to GDP, falling from around 12 per cent to roughly 6 per cent over the course of the crisis.

For years, real estate was one of China’s most powerful growth engines, at one point accounting for roughly a quarter of economic activity when linked sectors such as steel, cement, appliances, and local government land sales are included.

Its downturn has complicated Beijing’s efforts to rebalance growth toward consumption and advanced manufacturing.

Although the sector is far from full recovery, the return to positive monthly price growth offers a potentially important inflection point after years of contraction and negative headlines dominated by Evergrande’s collapse and its aftershocks.

While the gain does not signal a full recovery, it does represent the clearest sign yet that China’s battered property sector may be starting to turn a corner. In effect, the market is moving from crisis management to cautious stabilization.