After a bullish weekend, the cryptocurrency market is showing signs of slowing down as profit-taking and cautious trading take hold.
Major digital assets rallied strongly last week, but momentum has faded with traders eyeing macroeconomic developments and the upcoming Federal Reserve policy decision.
Bitcoin pulled back to $114,478, retracing from last week’s high of $116,718. Over the past seven days, BTC has traded in a tight range between $110,870 and $116,705, with $115,000 acting as a key pivot point.
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Despite the recent dip, Bitcoin remains up 8% over the past two weeks, according to CoinGecko. It has also gained 5% in the last week and sits 93.7% higher year-over-year, though it’s slightly down 1.1% over the past 30 days. BTC’s current market capitalization stands at $2.32 trillion.
Key Technical Levels
Bitcoin remains locked in a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces, with whales gradually cashing out while retail traders cheer every move above $120,000. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe highlighted the $117.5 – $118K zone as Bitcoin’s final hurdle before a potential breakout toward a new all-time high (ATH).
“Breaking through this level could send BTC toward $123,000,” he noted, adding that the upcoming Fed rate cut could intensify volatility. Should BTC fail to break resistance, immediate support sits at $114,800, followed by $112,000 and deeper at $103,000.
Also, analyst Rekt Capital emphasized Bitcoin’s weekly close above $114,000, calling it a positive signal: “A successful reclaim of $114K as support would not only enable upside but also confirm a likely end to the corrective phase.”
Charts shared by Rekt Capital highlight a repeating pattern since 2023, where former resistance levels turned into support zones before the price continued higher. The current structure mirrors those earlier setups, with a successful retest of $114,000 potentially opening the path to $130,000.
The market remains in a neutral-to-distribution range, with no clear signs of renewed accumulation among long-term holders.
This suggests that while the price has held firm, supply dynamics remain cautious. Traders are watching closely to see if stronger inflows shift the balance toward accumulation.
Macro Catalyst: Fed Rate Cut in Focus
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision on Wednesday is expected to bring a 25 basis point rate cut, with futures markets assigning a 94% probability. Historically, lower interest rates have boosted risk assets like Bitcoin.
A dovish tone from Fed Chair Jerome Powell could push BTC toward $120,000, while a hawkish surprise or unexpected policy moves might drive volatility and test key support levels.
Data from CryptoQuant shows a growing trend of Bitcoin moving off exchanges and into long-term storage. This suggests strong accumulation by conviction-driven holders, tightening market liquidity, and potentially providing a bullish underpinning for prices.
Market Outlook
The broader crypto market faces a pivotal week. A clear and favorable Fed decision could restore investor confidence, stabilize prices, and spark a rebound across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other top coins.
Bitcoin’s ability to hold above $114,000 and break through $118,000 resistance will determine whether this consolidation period transforms into a renewed bull run or a deeper correction.
On the flip side, unexpected policy moves or aggressive profit-taking could heighten volatility, dragging BTC and altcoins lower and testing major support zones.
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