Former Lagos governor Bola Tinubu has made it public: big interest in the Nigerian presidency. Yes, visiting President Buhari on Monday, he made his intention clear that he would like to succeed Buhari in Aso Rock. Call him the frontrunner for APC for the presidential ticket.
With Tinubu in, the Vice President of the nation, Prof Osinbajo seems boxed now as any declaration would be seen as a confrontation with his former boss. But it may not matter, as they say in politics, no permanent enemy or friend, just permanent interest!
With Tinubu’s declaration, the high-voltage tribal warfare will ramp up in the next few months. Yes, if Southwest wants to provide the next president, arguing that it is the turn for the South, the North can flip that point making it clear that by Southwest not yielding to the Southeast, the whole argument for North to cede power becomes voidable.
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In other words, what the South expects the North to do is the same thing Southeast expects Southwest to do. But since Tinubu has broken it, expect new permutations in the next coming months in Nigeria.
The three big tribes will determine the next election but the North holds the ace on whom to anoint. Kano and Zamfara states closely track the whole Southeast and by the time you add other states, it is over.
There is a high likelihood that the North will retain power because Tinubu’s declaration has made it clear that fairness, equity and balance are not central in anyone’s spirit but only when it favours that person. If you want the North to relinquish power, you should also expect that power to go to the Southeast which is yet to test “power”. If not, do not expect someone to do what you cannot do for your neighbour!
But does my political sagacity cut it? Pure distractions indeed. During Jonathan’s government, Southeast had all the key posts but nothing changed in the region. That Obasanjo was president changed nothing in his state. Buhari’s kinsmen in Katsina state are kidnapped weekly and he has not done much to stop the paralysis. People, north, south, east or west, is not the real deal.
But what is the deal? Eliminate state of origin and enshrine state of residence. That way, the game moves to competence over ancestral roots. For me, that is the only way to look for the best and avoid the politics of tribes and geography. But where that is not the case, let’s rotate the damn office for fairness and equity since we’re already doing a quota system in everything!
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