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Bitcoin Hovers Around $90,000 Price Zone as Traders Weigh Next Major Move

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Bitcoin is currently trading around the $90,000 level following a recent failure to break above the $94,000 resistance zone.

The rejection near this high suggests growing hesitation among buyers, though it does not yet confirm a breakdown of the broader bullish structure.

Since the start of January, Bitcoin has shown steady improvement, forming a tightening consolidation pattern marked by higher lows and higher highs on the daily chart. This structure culminated in a weekly high of approximately $94,800 on Monday.

Data from Hyblock’s 7-day liquidation heatmap reveals notable long liquidation clusters between $89,000 and $87,000, while short positions remain concentrated near the weekly range high around $95,000.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s early-year rally pushed the price above its 20-day moving average, which is now converging with the 50-day moving average. This convergence often signals a potential shift in market direction.

After BTC failed to sustain levels above $95,000 and clear out short positions in that zone, some traders reportedly took profits, anticipating a possible retest of lower support near the 20-day moving average at approximately $89,400.

Market analyst KillaXBT described Bitcoin as being at a critical junction, with equal probability of a bullish or bearish outcome. In a post shared on X, the crypto analyst noted that despite recent volatility, Bitcoin’s price structure remains “clean,” as it continues to react to well-defined technical levels. According to KillaXBT, the $90,000 mark currently serves as a key near-term support zone.

Adding to the discussion, another analyst, Crypto Tice, pointed out that Bitcoin has revisited its so-called “Crash Line” a trendline that has historically acted as a reload point during this bull cycle.

He explained that previous interactions with this level followed a consistent pattern such as price momentum overheats, leverage builds up, a sharp correction follows, and then Bitcoin rebounds from the Crash Line into a new expansion phase.

Meanwhile, market commentator Crypto King stated that Bitcoin remains in a “no trading zone,” suggesting that the market still lacks a clear directional bias. He added that liquidity and participation appear to be drying up, increasing the risk of false breakouts as price moves sideways. According to his analysis, a sustained move above $92,000 could flip that level into support and potentially reignite bullish momentum.

Macroeconomic concerns have also influenced sentiment. Earlier fears that an unfavorable tariff ruling could trigger broader market weakness by forcing higher bond issuance and draining liquidity from risk assets have eased.

The Supreme Court’s decision to delay its timeline on the matter has temporarily reduced pressure on markets, helping stabilize sentiment across both traditional and crypto assets.

Outlook

Bitcoin’s near-term direction hinges on how it behaves around the $90,000 support zone. Holding above this level could strengthen the bullish case, especially if the price reclaims $92,000 and turns it into a firm support. A successful breakout above $95,000 would likely trigger short liquidations and potentially open the door for a fresh rally.

On the downside, failure to maintain the $90,000 region could lead to a deeper pullback toward the $89,000–$87,000 liquidity zone, where long liquidations are clustered. A breakdown below this area may signal a more extended correction.

For now, Bitcoin appears to be consolidating, while traders wait on the sideline for a decisive breakout or breakdown to confirm the next major trend.

Tokenized Stocks’ AUM Surpassing $1 Billion Reflects Abundant Prospects on Tokenized Equities

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The total assets under management (AUM) for tokenized stocks— blockchain-based representations of real-world equities, often called mirrored or synthetic stocks has surpassed $1 billion.

Onchain data from analytics platform Dune shows the aggregate AUM across all tokenized stocks sitting just over the $1 billion mark. Solana dominates this segment, primarily driven by platforms like xStocks developed by Kraken and Backed Finance, which enable 24/7 trading, fractional ownership, and seamless onchain interoperability for major equities like Apple, Tesla, Nvidia, and others.

This milestone reflects rapid growth in the fastest-expanding corner of real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, with tokenized stocks evolving from niche products to a more mainstream offering amid rising institutional and retail interest.

Note that this differs from:Single-platform trading volume milestones like Bitget’s cumulative $1B in tokenized stock spot volume, also announced today. Broader RWA categories like tokenized U.S. Treasuries over $9B total or private credit.

Tokenized equities remain a smaller but high-growth subset compared to yield-bearing assets like Treasuries from issuers such as BlackRock (BUIDL) or Franklin Templeton. The sector’s trajectory draws comparisons to the early days of stablecoins, signaling potential for further expansion in 2026 as regulatory clarity improves and more global stocks come onchain.

The $1B AUM milestone for tokenized stocks (as of January 7, 2026) marks a pivotal shift in the convergence of traditional finance (TradFi) and blockchain-based decentralized finance (DeFi). This subset of real-world asset (RWA) tokenization—distinct from dominant categories like tokenized Treasuries ($9B+ AUM)—signals accelerating mainstream adoption of onchain equities.

Validation of Tokenized Equities as a Viable Asset Class

Analysts compare this growth trajectory to stablecoins in 2020, which scaled from niche to a $300B+ market. Tokenized stocks enable 24/7 trading, fractional ownership, instant settlement, and DeFi composability using as collateral for lending/yield.

Solana’s dominance via platforms like xStocks from Kraken/Backed Finance underscores high-performance blockchains’ edge in handling real-time equity exposure. Non-U.S. investors gain seamless exposure to major U.S. stocks like Tesla, Nvidia, Apple without traditional brokerage barriers, democratizing global markets.

Institutional signals: Kraken’s acquisition of Backed Finance and expansions by Ondo Finance, Coinbase, and Bitget which hit $1B in tokenized stock trading volume separately reflect structural shifts toward onchain assets. While equities lag Treasuries/private credit, this milestone fuels projections of tokenized funds reaching $1.9T–$30T by 2030–2034 per reports from Roland Berger, McKinsey, and BCG.

Enhanced liquidity and efficiency: Reduces post-trade friction, geographic restrictions, and costs; enables borderless, continuous markets. DeFi integration: Tokenized stocks can be used in protocols for borrowing, lending, or yield farming, unlocking new capital efficiency.

Rapid volume spikes, xStocks hit $10B total transaction volume in late 2025 and Solana overtaking other chains in tokenized stock market cap. Products operate in gray areas; clearer frameworks expected in 2026 could accelerate institutional inflows, but mismatches like ESMA warnings on “misunderstanding” risks persist.

Reliance on licensed custodians and 1:1 backing is critical for trust, but fragmentation across chains/jurisdictions remains. Volatility exposure: Mirrors underlying stocks, plus blockchain risks.

Outlook for 2026 and Beyond

This $1B threshold is an “early adoption” inflection point, akin to stablecoins’ breakout. With improving infrastructure such as cross-chain tools, regulatory clarity under pro-crypto policies, tokenized equities could become a core growth engine in RWAs, reshaping global capital markets toward more open, efficient, and inclusive systems.

Expect expanded offerings, deeper DeFi ties, and competition from major players like BlackRock already dominant in tokenized Treasuries. Long-term: Potential multi-trillion-dollar opportunity as tokenization matures.

U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs are Experiencing Consistent Outflows, Three Within the Week

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U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced another day of significant outflows, continuing a short-term pullback after a strong start to 2026. Recent data shows net outflows of around $399M–$400M on the most recent trading day on Thursday, based on reports, marking the third consecutive session of negative flows.

This follows earlier sessions with outflows like $243M on Tuesday and $486M another day in the streak. BlackRock’s IBIT saw outflows of approximately -$193M. Fidelity’s FBTC contributed significantly with -$121M or larger in prior days, like -$312M in one session. Other funds like Grayscale’s GBTC also saw redemptions.

This comes after an explosive beginning to the year, with over $1.2B in net inflows across the first two trading days, $471M on January 2 and $697M on January 5, pushing cumulative inflows since launch to around $56–57B. The early 2026 surge reflected renewed institutional interest and a “January effect” rebound from late-2025 outflows which hit record levels like $4.57B over November–December amid tax-loss harvesting and price consolidation.

However, the recent streak of outflows appears to be a normalization or tactical rebalancing rather than a structural shift away from Bitcoin. Analysts note: Flows can remain volatile in the short term as markets consolidate. Bitcoin’s price has pulled back from highs near $94,000 to trade around $90,000–$91,000 as of January 9 data, with levels like $90,583 reported in some snapshots.

Despite the wobble, BlackRock’s IBIT continues to show relative strength in many sessions, and broader institutional demand including new filings like Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin ETF remains supportive. These outflows are viewed as temporary “healthy consolidation” by many, with the long-term trend still positive for Bitcoin ETFs as a gateway for traditional capital.

The market is watching for stabilization, potential macro catalysts like policy decisions, and whether inflows resume to support any rebound. Policy decisions, particularly in regulation, monetary policy, and taxation, play a pivotal role in shaping Bitcoin’s market dynamics, institutional adoption, and price trajectory.

These influences can either foster growth by providing clarity and legitimacy or introduce volatility through restrictions and macroeconomic shifts. U.S. policies have been a major driver for Bitcoin’s evolution, with recent shifts toward clearer regulations unlocking institutional capital and mainstream integration.

For instance, the anticipated passage of the Clarity Act in the first half of 2026 is expected to define regulations for tokenized assets and DeFi projects, clarifying roles for the SEC and CFTC. This legislation could accelerate institutional adoption by addressing ambiguities that have historically deterred large investors, potentially leading to increased inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and broader market stability.

Similarly, bipartisan crypto market structure legislation projected for 2026 aims to establish rules for registration, disclosure, and asset classifications, enabling on-chain issuance and regulated trading of digital assets. Building on the 2025 GENIUS Act, which regulated payment stablecoins, these moves are seen as integrating Bitcoin more deeply into traditional finance, reducing perceived risks and boosting demand.

The CFTC’s approval of federally regulated spot Bitcoin trading marks a significant policy shift, offering institutions direct market access and regulatory clarity, which could enhance liquidity and position the U.S. as a leader in sound money innovation.

Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s withdrawal of its 2023 policy now permits uninsured banks to engage in crypto activities, potentially sparking a new wave of banking involvement in Bitcoin. However, challenges persist, such as lobbying efforts that might exclude Bitcoin from de minimis tax relief in stablecoin bills, highlighting regulatory capture risks that could disadvantage pure Bitcoin holders.

Under President Trump’s second term, policies are creating a “golden window” for deregulation, with aligned regulators and potential government Bitcoin purchases influencing long-term demand. Proposals to allow tax payments in Bitcoin and eliminate capital gains treatment could reframe it as monetary infrastructure, lowering barriers for holders and altering demand permanently.

Monetary Policy and Inflation Effects

Central bank decisions, especially from the Federal Reserve, directly impact Bitcoin as a risk asset and inflation hedge. In 2026, Fed rate cuts from the current 3.50%-3.75% range could reduce borrowing costs, making non-yielding assets like Bitcoin more appealing and driving institutional inflows through ETFs currently holding about $115 billion in assets.

Accommodative policies, such as liquidity expansion, tend to devalue fiat currencies, positioning Bitcoin as a store of value and fueling price rallies. Conversely, sustained high rates or hawkish stances may tighten liquidity, suppressing valuations and triggering selloffs amid risk-off sentiment.

Inflation data releases, like monthly CPI reports, introduce short-term volatility, with lower-than-expected figures supporting Bitcoin surges by reinforcing rate-cut expectations in late-2025’s 2.7% year-over-year inflation contributed to Bitcoin’s climb above $90,000. Upside inflation surprises, however, amplify uncertainty and correlate with equity market downturns, leading to amplified Bitcoin declines due to its high-beta nature.

Fiscal policies, such as deficits influencing inflation expectations, also affect discount rates for risk assets like Bitcoin. Global policies add layers of influence. For example, the Bank of Japan’s shift toward tightening, 2-year yields breaking 1% has repriced global risk, hitting high-beta assets like Bitcoin during illiquid periods and triggering liquidations.

In the U.S., the 2025 import tax hike drained retail liquidity by $30 billion, stalling risk-on markets including Bitcoin, with potential Supreme Court relief in March 2026 as a catalyst. Energy policies indirectly affect Bitcoin mining, though advancements like proof-of-stake in other networks have mitigated concerns.

These policies collectively drive Bitcoin’s volatility and long-term trends. Positive regulatory clarity has already propelled ETF assets to $130 billion, representing 7% of Bitcoin’s value, and could unlock trillions in institutional capital. Analysts forecast Bitcoin reaching $130,000-$200,000 by year-end, fueled by deregulation and adoption.

However, short-term outflows like the recent ETF redemptions reflect consolidation amid policy uncertainties. If governments treat Bitcoin as a strategic asset, demand could shift structurally, but risks like exclusion from favorable policies or macro tightening persist.

In essence, pro-crypto policies enhance Bitcoin’s legitimacy and scarcity value, while restrictive ones amplify downside risks.

White House Readies Legal Workarounds In Case Supreme Court Overturns Trump’s Emergency Tariffs

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The White House is preparing alternative legal avenues to preserve President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff regime if the Supreme Court ultimately rules against the administration’s use of emergency powers, according to National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett.

Speaking Friday on CNBC’s Squawk on the Street, Hassett said senior administration officials have already convened to plan for a potential adverse ruling on the president’s reliance on the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose tariffs.

“There was a big call last night with all the principals to talk about if the Supreme Court were to rule against this IEEPA tariff, what would the next step be?” Hassett said.

The IEEPA, traditionally used to impose sanctions during national emergencies, has become the legal foundation for Trump’s tariff actions, allowing the White House to move rapidly without congressional approval. That aggressive interpretation has drawn legal challenges from businesses, trade groups, and importers, who argue the statute was never intended to authorize broad trade levies.

Hassett said the administration remains confident it will prevail but made clear that a loss would not derail its trade agenda.

“There are a lot of other legal authorities that can reproduce the deals that we’ve made with other countries, and can do so basically immediately,” he said. “And so our expectation is that we’re going to win, and if we don’t win, then we know that we’ve got other tools that we could use that get us to the same place.”

His remarks suggest the White House views the tariffs less as a single legal mechanism and more as a strategic outcome that can be achieved through multiple statutes. Trade lawyers say those alternatives could include existing trade laws that allow duties in response to unfair practices or threats to national security, though such routes often involve longer investigations and more procedural hurdles.

Hassett said U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer has been deeply involved in preparing contingency plans, highlighting the degree of coordination across the administration’s economic and trade teams.

The Supreme Court’s first decision day of 2026 passed on Friday without a ruling on the tariff case, prolonging uncertainty for markets, companies, and U.S. trading partners. The case is closely watched because it could set lasting limits on presidential authority over trade, especially the use of emergency powers to bypass Congress.

Trump’s tariff policy has already reshaped global trade flows, triggering renegotiations with multiple countries and influencing corporate investment decisions. Supporters within the administration argue the approach has strengthened U.S. leverage and helped secure more favorable terms, while critics warn it raises costs for consumers and exposes the economy to retaliation.

The legal fight comes as Trump continues to frame economic policy through a national security lens, tying trade enforcement to domestic manufacturing, supply chain resilience, and geopolitical competition. A Supreme Court ruling against the IEEPA tariffs would represent one of the most significant judicial checks on that approach to date.

Hassett’s comments also arrive amid growing attention on his own political trajectory. He is widely viewed as one of the leading contenders to succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair, with Powell’s term set to expire in May. Asked about the prospect, Hassett struck a cautious note.

“I’m really happy with the job I have here,” he said. “We’ll see what the president thinks about where I should be.”

The White House is signaling that, regardless of how the Supreme Court rules, Trump’s tariff strategy is unlikely to be abandoned. Instead, officials are positioning the administration to pivot quickly, ensuring that trade pressure remains a central tool of U.S. economic policy amid legal and political battles.

China’s Wingtech Escalates Nexperia Dispute, Seeks Up to $8bn in Arbitration Against Netherlands

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China’s Wingtech Technology is preparing to escalate its long-running dispute with the Dutch government to international arbitration, seeking damages of up to $8 billion over the Netherlands’ seizure of semiconductor maker Nexperia.

The case, now moving beyond Dutch courts, is shaping up as one of the most consequential investor-state disputes to emerge from Europe’s tightening grip on strategically sensitive industries.

At its core, the fight is not only about ownership of a profitable chipmaker, but about how far governments can go in the name of national security without triggering massive compensation claims under international investment treaties.

How Nexperia Became a Flashpoint

Nexperia traces its roots to the former standard products division of NXP Semiconductors. It was acquired in stages by Wingtech, a Chinese electronics manufacturer best known for producing smartphones and consumer devices, completing full ownership in 2021. Although headquartered in the Netherlands, Nexperia operates a global manufacturing footprint, with major wafer fabrication plants in Europe and backend packaging and testing operations closely linked to China.

The company occupies a critical niche in the semiconductor ecosystem. It specializes in so-called “legacy” chips — power semiconductors, diodes, and logic components — that are indispensable to automotive manufacturers, industrial equipment makers, and consumer electronics firms. Unlike cutting-edge AI processors, these chips are produced on mature nodes, but shortages during the pandemic demonstrated how essential they are to modern supply chains.

By 2024, Nexperia reported profits of $331 million on revenues of $2.06 billion, underscoring its commercial value and strategic relevance.

The Dutch government’s intervention did not come out of nowhere. Over the past several years, the Netherlands has moved to strengthen its foreign investment screening regime, aligning with broader European Union efforts to curb perceived security risks linked to Chinese ownership of critical technology.

Those concerns intensified after the Netherlands became a central player in U.S.-led efforts to restrict China’s access to advanced semiconductor equipment. Dutch firm ASML, the world’s sole supplier of extreme ultraviolet lithography machines, has been barred from shipping its most advanced tools to China under export control agreements with Washington.

Against that backdrop, Chinese ownership of a major chipmaker operating on Dutch soil increasingly attracted political and security scrutiny.

On September 30, 2025, the Dutch state announced it was seizing control of Nexperia, citing fears that the company’s Chinese chief executive could relocate sensitive operations or intellectual property to China. Officials framed the move as necessary to safeguard national security and technological sovereignty.

The seizure marked one of the most aggressive state interventions against a foreign-owned company in the Netherlands in decades.

Although the Dutch government suspended the seizure in November, the damage was already done. According to people familiar with the matter, the intervention triggered a breakdown in relations between Nexperia’s European manufacturing operations and its Chinese packaging and distribution units.

That rupture disrupted internal coordination across the company’s supply chain, complicating production planning and customer deliveries at a time when automakers globally are still sensitive to chip supply shocks. For Wingtech, the episode raised fundamental questions about whether it could continue to operate, expand, or eventually divest its investment under the cloud of state interference.

Turning to International Arbitration

On October 15, Wingtech served formal notice to the Dutch ministries of foreign affairs and economic affairs, invoking the dispute resolution mechanism under the Netherlands-China bilateral investment treaty. That step initiated six months for negotiations, after which the company can formally file for arbitration.

Wingtech’s claim is expected to rely heavily on Article 10 of the treaty, which guarantees fair and equal treatment of investors and requires compensation for state actions that effectively expropriate or damage investments. Arbitration would be heard at the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID), a World Bank-affiliated tribunal that has handled some of the world’s largest investor-state cases.

Legal experts say the Dutch intervention, even if later suspended, strengthens Wingtech’s case. Steffen Hindelang, a trade law professor at Uppsala University, noted that any direct state action against a company inevitably affects valuation and undermines an investor’s ability to manage or exit the business.

While the Netherlands is likely to argue that its actions were lawful, proportionate, and justified on national security grounds, such defenses are not automatic shields in investment arbitration. Tribunals typically scrutinize whether measures were necessary, non-discriminatory, and accompanied by adequate compensation.

A Broader Clash Over Industrial Policy

The dispute lands at a sensitive moment for Europe. Governments across the continent are asserting greater control over strategic sectors, from semiconductors and energy to telecommunications and defense. Yet many of these sectors rely heavily on foreign capital, including Chinese investment accumulated during a period when security concerns were less pronounced.

If Wingtech succeeds in its claim, the financial implications could be severe. An $8 billion damages award would dwarf Nexperia’s annual profits and send a warning signal to European governments weighing similar interventions.

Even if the Netherlands ultimately prevails, the case has highlighted the legal and economic risks embedded in a more interventionist industrial policy. It also raises questions about whether existing investment treaties are compatible with today’s security-driven approach to economic governance.

A key hearing remains scheduled in Dutch courts on January 14, but the arbitration track now looms larger. If negotiations fail during the six-month window, the dispute will shift to ICSID, where proceedings could stretch over several years.