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Shein Targets Hong Kong IPO Next Week at Up to $40 Billion Valuation

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Singapore-based fast-fashion retailer Shein is planning to launch its long-awaited initial public offering in Hong Kong as soon as Wednesday next week, Reuters reports, citing two people familiar with the matter.

This is part of the online retailer’s push to revive its public-market ambitions amid slowing growth and mounting pressure on its margins.

Shein has been marketing the share offering to investors this week, one of the two sources and a third person familiar with the plans said.

The company is targeting a valuation of between $30 billion and $40 billion in the IPO, Reuters reported last week. If achieved, that would represent a steep reduction from the valuation investors placed on Shein during its private-market fundraising rounds.

Shein was valued at about $98.2 billion in 2022, making it one of the world’s most valuable private companies at the time. That valuation fell to about $64 billion in 2023 and again in April 2024, according to previous funding rounds.

The proposed Hong Kong listing therefore represents a major reset in expectations for a company that once stood among the fastest-growing names in global e-commerce.

Shein has built its business around an ultra-low-cost, rapidly changing fashion model, selling products such as dresses for around $5 and jeans for about $10 to customers in roughly 160 countries. Its platform relies heavily on data analytics and rapid production cycles to identify emerging consumer trends and quickly introduce new designs.

That model helped Shein expand rapidly, particularly among younger consumers, but the company now faces a more difficult operating environment.

Revenue growth has slowed while core earnings have weakened, putting pressure on the company’s ability to sustain the pace of expansion that supported its earlier private-market valuations. Shrinking margins have also raised questions about how much of Shein’s low-price advantage can be preserved as trade costs increase and governments impose greater scrutiny on the cross-border e-commerce model.

The U.S. has become an important source of that pressure. Shein’s business has been affected by the removal of an import-duty exemption for small packages, a policy change that increases the cost of sending low-value shipments directly to American consumers. The company swung to a quarterly loss of $99 million after the change, although the result also included a $328 million fair-value charge related to convertible redeemable preferred shares following an accounting change.

The impact of U.S. trade policy is weighing on Shein because its business model depends heavily on shipping large numbers of inexpensive products directly to consumers. Changes to the treatment of small parcels can therefore have a disproportionate effect on costs and margins.

Shein is also facing intensifying competition. Traditional retailers and established online marketplaces have expanded their low-cost fashion offerings, while rivals such as Temu have adopted similarly aggressive pricing and cross-border e-commerce strategies.

At the same time, regulators in the U.S., Europe and other markets have increased scrutiny of fast-fashion companies over issues including product safety, consumer protection, labor practices, environmental impact and the treatment of low-value imports. Last year, the Trump administration ended the de minimis, which has helped Shein and other Chinese retailers gain larger market shares.

The Hong Kong listing will put Shein’s financial performance under much closer public-market scrutiny. Investors are likely to focus not only on sales growth but also on gross margins, marketing costs, logistics expenses and the company’s ability to maintain customer growth without sacrificing profitability.

The proposed valuation range also suggests that Shein may have to convince investors that its earlier growth trajectory can be restored or that it can generate stronger earnings from a more mature business.

For Hong Kong, Shein’s listing would provide another major technology and consumer-internet offering for a stock market seeking to attract large international companies. A successful float could also provide a useful test of investor appetite for high-growth consumer companies at a time when markets are demanding greater evidence of sustainable profits.

Additionally, a public listing is expected to provide Shein with access to a broader pool of capital and create publicly traded shares that could be used for acquisitions, employee compensation and future fundraising. But the sharp decline from Shein’s 2022 private valuation means the IPO is likely to be viewed as a test of how much value investors are willing to assign to the fast-fashion model after years of rapid expansion.

The company has not publicly confirmed the proposed launch date or final valuation, and the size and pricing of the offering could still change before the listing.

Indian Rupee Hits Two-Week Low as Oil Surge Tests RBI’s Currency Defense

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Rupee closes at 95.435 per dollar as fading hopes for U.S.-Iran deal lift crude; RBI intervention limits losses while stocks and bonds weaken

The Indian rupee fell to its weakest level in nearly two weeks on Tuesday as a sharp rise in oil prices renewed pressure on the currency, with fading hopes for a U.S.-Iran agreement to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz raising concerns over India’s import bill.

The rupee closed at 95.4350 per dollar, down 0.15% from its previous close, after coming under pressure as Brent crude futures climbed nearly 2.5% to around $89.90 a barrel.

The currency’s decline was limited by suspected dollar-selling intervention from the Reserve Bank of India, traders said, underscoring the central bank’s role in containing volatility as geopolitical risks return to global energy markets.

“The absence of large outflows or derivative maturities was helpful to the rupee on the day but if oil keeps rising, expect it hover around 95.80 soon, unless the RBI stands firmly in the way,” Reuters reported a trader at a private bank as saying.

India is particularly exposed to swings in global oil prices because it imports nearly 90% of its crude oil requirements. A sustained increase in crude therefore threatens to widen the country’s trade deficit, increase demand for dollars and put additional pressure on the rupee, according to analysts.

Higher energy costs could also complicate India’s inflation outlook. Although the impact depends on the duration and magnitude of the oil shock, a prolonged rise in crude prices can increase transportation and production costs across the economy, potentially limiting the scope for monetary easing.

The currency pressure extended to India’s financial markets. The benchmark Nifty 50 fell 0.5%, while the benchmark 10-year government bond declined, pushing its yield 3 basis points higher.

The RBI’s repeated interventions in the foreign-exchange market have nevertheless helped keep expectations for large rupee swings contained. The one-month implied volatility of the dollar-rupee pair, a market measure of expected currency fluctuations, fell to 4.6% on Tuesday, its lowest level since late June.

That decline suggests traders expect the central bank to continue resisting abrupt moves in the exchange rate, particularly if higher oil prices trigger renewed demand for dollars.

But analysts have warned that the RBI’s intervention, however, cannot eliminate the underlying pressure indefinitely. This is because if crude prices continue rising, the central bank could face a trade-off between using its foreign-exchange reserves to smooth the rupee’s decline and allowing the currency to adjust to higher energy costs.

The geopolitical backdrop remains the principal near-term risk.

Expectations that Washington and Tehran could reach an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz had helped push oil prices lower in recent sessions. The reversal of those expectations has now renewed the risk premium in crude.

For India, the importance of the Strait extends well beyond energy prices. The waterway is a major transit route for global oil and liquefied natural gas supplies, meaning prolonged disruption could increase shipping costs and create additional pressure on import-dependent economies.

Investors are also looking for fresh economic data to determine whether the currency’s weakness will persist. India’s consumer inflation data and U.S. inflation figures, both due Wednesday, are likely to influence expectations for monetary policy and global capital flows.

A stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation reading could support the dollar by reducing expectations for Federal Reserve easing, adding another source of pressure on emerging-market currencies such as the rupee. Conversely, softer U.S. inflation could weaken the dollar and provide some relief.

“If Brent crude prices stabilize around $70-100 per barrel, it reduces the geopolitical tail risks around the U.S.-Iran conflict and keeps the FX market highly data-dependent,” DBS analysts said in a note.

The rupee’s immediate direction is therefore likely to depend on the interaction between oil prices, the dollar’s global trajectory and the RBI’s willingness to intervene. For now, the central bank’s presence is helping prevent a sharper move, but a sustained oil rally would make it increasingly difficult to shield the rupee from the underlying deterioration in India’s external balance.

Intel Raises Stock Offering to $20bn as AI Boom Fuels Chip Manufacturing Push

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ntel has expanded its planned share sale to $20 billion, seeking to capitalize on a dramatic rally in its stock and raise fresh capital for the costly expansion of its chip manufacturing and foundry operations as demand for artificial intelligence computing accelerates.

The company said on Tuesday it would sell common stock at $95 a share, up from the $15 billion offering announced a day earlier. The offering is expected to generate about $19.7 billion in net proceeds after underwriting discounts, commissions and other expenses. It is scheduled to close on August 12.

The enlarged offering is one of the clearest signs yet that Intel is using the sharp recovery in its share price to strengthen its balance sheet and finance a capital-intensive turnaround. Intel shares have surged 175% in 2026 and have quintupled over the past year, giving the company a substantially stronger currency with which to fund its manufacturing ambitions.

The move also highlights the enormous financing requirements created by the global AI infrastructure boom. Technology companies are spending hundreds of billions of dollars on data centers, processors, networking equipment and advanced semiconductor manufacturing as they race to expand computing capacity.

Goldman Sachs estimates that capital spending by major technology companies will reach about $765 billion this year and $1.2 trillion in 2027, underscoring the scale of the investment cycle that Intel is seeking to capture.

Intel said the proceeds would be used for general corporate purposes, including capital expenditures and working capital. The company has identified physical AI, purpose-built silicon and advanced packaging as major growth opportunities, while its foundry business remains central to its strategy of becoming a major contract chip manufacturer.

The company has been increasing investment in new manufacturing capacity and advanced packaging as it attempts to compete with industry leader TSMC in the contract manufacturing market. Intel raised its 2026 capital expenditure forecast to $20 billion last month after reporting its fastest revenue growth in nearly 15 years.

Chief Financial Officer David Zinsner said at the time that most of the spending would go toward factory tooling and warned that investment could rise meaningfully in 2027.

The capital raise therefore comes at a critical point in Intel’s transformation. The company needs to fund new factories and process technologies while also proving that its foundry business can attract enough external customers to justify the enormous investment required.

Intel’s 14A manufacturing process is scheduled for high-volume production in 2028. The company had previously warned that the technology could be shelved if it failed to secure a major external customer, highlighting the importance of customer commitments to its foundry strategy.

The company has said Tesla is a customer for its 14A technology, while President Donald Trump has said Apple will manufacture processors with Intel. Apple has not confirmed that arrangement.

Intel is also benefiting from a broader push by Washington to rebuild domestic semiconductor manufacturing and reduce U.S. reliance on overseas production. The U.S. government agreed to take a 10% equity stake in Intel as part of efforts to strengthen domestic chipmaking capacity, providing another source of political and financial support for the company’s turnaround.

The share sale, however, comes with an immediate cost for existing shareholders: dilution. Intel’s decision to increase the offering from $15 billion to $20 billion means substantially more new shares will enter circulation. The market’s reaction will therefore depend on whether investors view the additional capital as a necessary investment in future growth or as evidence that Intel’s transformation requires more cash than previously expected.

Intel has given underwriters a 30-day option to purchase an additional $2.25 billion of common stock, potentially taking the total size of the transaction above $22 billion.

This move is happening as Intel is attempting to finance its expansion after one of the strongest periods for its stock in years. The rally has given the company an opportunity to raise capital at a much higher valuation than would have been possible during its prolonged downturn.

But execution has been fingered as a major challenge. Analysts note that Intel must convert the capital into manufacturing capacity, secure external foundry customers and generate returns that justify continued investment. The AI boom has created a powerful demand tailwind, but the company is competing against established semiconductor manufacturers with deeper foundry relationships and extensive manufacturing expertise.

The offering also boosts the view that AI demand is no longer benefiting only GPU designers such as Nvidia. It is driving investment across the entire chip supply chain, from memory and advanced packaging to semiconductor fabrication and data-center infrastructure.

Why Investors Are Regaining Confidence in Berkshire Hathaway

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Berkshire Hathaway’s return to levels seen before Warren Buffett’s retirement is emerging as one of the clearest early signals that investors may be growing comfortable with the conglomerate’s post-Buffett era.

After years in which the company’s shares were closely associated with Buffett’s capital-allocation decisions, the recovery suggests that shareholders are increasingly evaluating Berkshire on the strength of its underlying businesses, balance sheet and new leadership.

When Buffett announced that Greg Abel would succeed him as chief executive, concerns immediately surfaced about whether Berkshire could maintain the discipline and consistency that had defined its investment strategy for decades.

Buffett had become inseparable from Berkshire’s identity, and investors had to consider whether the company’s valuation would suffer once the “Oracle of Omaha” was no longer running its day-to-day operations.

Those concerns initially weighed on the stock. Yet Berkshire has demonstrated that its investment appeal extends beyond the personality of its longtime leader.

The company remains a diversified financial and industrial powerhouse, with major operations spanning insurance, railroads, energy, manufacturing, services and retail. Its enormous balance sheet and substantial liquidity provide management with flexibility to respond when attractive investment opportunities emerge.

That flexibility has become particularly important under Abel. Berkshire’s second-quarter results showed after-tax operating earnings rising 16% to approximately $13 billion. More significantly, the company began putting a substantial portion of its enormous cash reserves to work.

Berkshire purchased roughly $23 billion of equities during the quarter, including about $10 billion of Alphabet stock, while also repurchasing approximately $4.5 billion of its own shares.

The moves are important because capital allocation has always been central to Berkshire’s investment thesis. Buffett built his reputation not simply by owning good companies, but by knowing when to deploy capital and when to remain patient.

Abel’s willingness to invest after years of relative caution could reassure shareholders that Berkshire’s capital-allocation machine has not stopped functioning with Buffett’s retirement. The stock’s recovery therefore carries symbolic significance.

Investors appear increasingly willing to separate Berkshire Hathaway the corporation from Warren Buffett the individual. That does not mean Buffett’s influence has disappeared. He remains chairman, while his decades of strategic decisions continue to shape the company’s portfolio and operating structure.

But the market is now beginning to judge Abel’s Berkshire on its own merits. There are still reasons for caution. Berkshire’s enormous size makes it increasingly difficult to generate the extraordinary returns that characterized its earlier decades. Its insurance operations remain exposed to catastrophe risks.

While economic conditions can affect its railroad, manufacturing and consumer businesses. Equity-market valuations also influence reported results because Berkshire owns a massive investment portfolio. Nevertheless, the stock’s recovery offers an important message about succession.

Berkshire did not depend entirely on Buffett’s presence to preserve its financial strength. Instead, Buffett spent years building a decentralized organization, maintaining a powerful balance sheet and preparing executives capable of operating the company.

Abel now faces the difficult task of proving that this architecture can continue producing value. His early decisions suggest he is willing to make that case through action rather than rhetoric.

If Berkshire can maintain disciplined underwriting, strong operating earnings and intelligent capital allocation, the return of its shares to pre-retirement levels could mark more than a temporary rebound.

It could represent the beginning of the market accepting that Berkshire’s next chapter does not have to be defined by the absence of Warren Buffett, but by the durability of the system he built.

Bitcoin ETFs Record $145 Million in Outflows as Gold Reclaims $4,400

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Bitcoin and gold are moving in opposite directions as investors reassess risk, liquidity and the outlook for global markets. Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded approximately $145 million in daily net outflows, signaling renewed caution toward the cryptocurrency market.

While gold reclaimed the $4,400 level as demand for traditional safe-haven assets strengthened. The latest Bitcoin ETF outflows highlight a change in investor sentiment after a period of strong institutional interest in digital assets.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs have become an important channel for traditional investors seeking exposure to Bitcoin without directly holding the cryptocurrency.

However, when investors withdraw capital from these products, the flows can put additional pressure on the broader market, particularly when selling coincides with weaker risk appetite.

The $145 million daily outflow does not necessarily indicate that institutional investors have abandoned Bitcoin. ETF flows can fluctuate significantly from one session to another as investors respond to price movements, monetary-policy expectations and broader market conditions.

Sustained outflows would be a more important warning sign because they could indicate that investors are reducing exposure to Bitcoin rather than simply taking short-term profits.

Bitcoin’s sensitivity to liquidity and macroeconomic conditions remains one of the central factors influencing its performance.

Expectations surrounding interest rates, inflation and the strength of the U.S. dollar can quickly change the attractiveness of risk assets. When investors become more defensive, capital can move away from cryptocurrencies and toward assets perceived as more resilient during periods of uncertainty.

Gold’s move back above $4,400 demonstrates that defensive positioning is not limited to traditional financial markets. The precious metal has continued to benefit from its reputation as a store of value during periods of geopolitical and economic uncertainty.

Central-bank demand, concerns over inflation and expectations surrounding monetary policy have all contributed to gold’s long-term appeal. The contrast between Bitcoin ETF outflows and gold’s recovery above $4,400 raises an important question about how investors currently view the two assets.

Bitcoin is frequently described as “digital gold,” but its market behavior remains considerably more sensitive to liquidity conditions and speculative positioning.

Gold, by comparison, has a much longer history within institutional portfolios and is generally treated as a defensive asset. For cryptocurrency investors, the ETF outflows could therefore become an important metric to monitor alongside Bitcoin’s price and derivatives activity.

If outflows continue for several sessions while Bitcoin struggles to attract fresh demand, the market could face additional downside pressure. Conversely, a return to positive ETF flows could provide evidence that institutional investors are once again increasing their exposure.

Gold’s strength presents a different picture. A sustained move above $4,400 would reinforce the argument that investors are seeking protection against uncertainty, while continued strength could encourage further allocations toward precious metals.

The diverging performance of Bitcoin ETFs and gold reflects a broader debate about risk in global markets. Investors are not necessarily abandoning alternative assets, but they appear to be distinguishing between assets based on their perceived stability.

Bitcoin must attract renewed institutional demand to overcome the latest outflows, while gold’s ability to reclaim $4,400 demonstrates that traditional safe-haven demand remains powerful.

The coming sessions will reveal whether the Bitcoin ETF withdrawals represent a temporary pause or the beginning of a broader shift in positioning.

At the same time, gold’s performance will remain a key indicator of how much uncertainty investors are willing to price into global markets.