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SpaceX Starlink’s Marginal Cost Efficiency and Break-even Cash Flow

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Great accountants understand the power of improving marginal cost, on business growth and overall profitability.  Simply, if you cannot improve marginal cost, you will struggle to scale that business profitably over time. 

In a perfect market, the marginal cost of a digital (online) product is zero. This means that the price of a digital product tends to zero: welcome freemium and ad-supported business. However, only firms with network effects dominate and benefit. The core reason is that if in a perfect market, and the marginal cost of producing digital product is zero, the price will inevitably go to zero.

And when it comes to telecoms, using the space (like SpaceX Starlink’s satellite broadband) is structurally better than going terrestrial (like Verizon, MTN, Airtel’s GSM or CDMA). The deal is clear: the structural competitiveness of satellite telecom will make it a better product over time, because it has an inherent marginal cost advantage over anything out there. In accounting, marginal cost is your transaction cost and distribution cost; in satellite telecom, the distribution cost component reduces with scaling.

So, it is not a surprise that Starlink has broken even on cash flow, according to Elon Musk: “Excited to announce that @SpaceX @Starlink has achieved breakeven cash flow! Excellent work by a great team. Starlink is also now a majority of all active satellites and will have launched a majority of all satellites cumulatively from Earth by next year”.

Meanwhile, Starlink’s impressive cash flow might see the company soon become a publicly listed company, after Musk in February 2021, had hinted that the space-based internet service would be listed publicly once the cash flow can be predicted reasonably well. He added that such a move will give investors a window opportunity to own a promising part of his closely held SpaceX.

In a few years, as simple common sense and usable sat phones like the Huawei Mate 60 Pro emerge (wait for Satellite iPhone by 2025, I predict), everything will change. This industry is evolving; watch your portfolios!

Meawhile, that Apple iPhone is undergoing changes also:

Apple confirmed its fourth straight quarter of declining sales Thursday, extending a slump rooted in weaker overall demand for hardware, especially in China. Still, the iPhone maker beat Wall Street’s expectations, notching strong growth in its services segment, which includes the App Store, Apple Music and iCloud. Sales of the iPhone were up 2% compared with last year, and the newly released iPhone 15 is likely to boost that number next quarter. Apple also hopes to spur a rebound in Mac sales — down 34% year over year — after launching new models earlier this week. Revenue from China was $15.1 billion, almost $2 billion less than expected, Bloomberg reports. Apple is seeing increased competition from Huawei, which is challenging Apple’s dominancein the high-end smartphone market there. Executives said they expect overall fourth-quarter sales to mirror last year’s, a lackluster holiday forecast that dragged on shares in after-hours trading. (Linkedin News)

Elon Musk Announces That Starlink Has Achieved Break-Even Cash Flow

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CEO of Starlink Elon Musk, recently announced that the space-based internet service has achieved breakeven cash flow.

He added that Starlink currently constitutes the majority of all active satellites, and it is on track to launch the majority of all satellites from Earth by next year.

He wrote on X,

“Excited to announce that @SpaceX @Starlink has achieved breakeven cash flow! Excellent work by a great team. Starlink is also now a majority of all active satellites and will have launched a majority of all satellites cumulatively from Earth by next year”.

It is however unclear if Musk’s statement is about a milestone achieved for this quarter or for a specific period of time.

Meanwhile, Starlink’s impressive cash flow might see the company soon become a publicly listed company, after Musk in February 2021, had hinted that the space-based internet service would be listed publicly once the cash flow can be predicted reasonably well. He added that such a move will give investors a window opportunity to own a promising part of his closely held SpaceX.

Notably, the President and Chief Operating Officer of SpaceX, Gwynne Shotwell, hinted that the company’s cash flow was becoming more predictable earlier this year.

Starlink’s mega-constellation currently sits at around 5,000 satellites, providing stable broadband internet access to users across the world. The space-based internet service has grown to around 2 million subscribers and spans verticals across different industries.

As of May 2022, Starlink was reported to be available in 32 countries around the globe. The space-based internet service is disclosed to be available in large portions of Europe, North America, New Zealand, and the lower half of Australia, with recent entries in Africa.

With the rapid increase in the launch of the satellite-based constellation across different zones of the world, Starlink is fast becoming a dominant player in the satellite industry.

The space-based internet service is predicted to be a game-changer in Africa, with the growing launch of the service in the region.

Also, Starlink’s rapid expansion is noteworthy, as it has not only become a major player in satellite communications but is also actively contributing to the total number of satellites launched into space. This is a testament to SpaceX’s commitment to the project and its growing significance in the satellite industry.

With Musk announcing that Starlink will have launched a majority of all satellites cumulatively from Earth by next year, it highlights that Starlink’s growth is expected to continue, and it is likely to maintain its dominant position in terms of satellite presence and launches in the near future.

Overall, Starlink’s achievement in terms of satellite numbers and its future projections highlights its transformative impact on the satellite industry and the global availability of high-speed internet access through satellite technology.

93% of the total Bitcoin supply has now been issued

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The Bitcoin network has reached a remarkable milestone: 93% of the total supply of 21 million bitcoins has now been issued. This means that only 1.47 million bitcoins remain to be mined by the network participants, also known as miners.

This achievement is significant for several reasons. First, it shows the resilience and robustness of the Bitcoin protocol, which has been running continuously and securely since its inception in 2009.

Second, it reflects the increasing scarcity and value of bitcoins, which are becoming harder and more expensive to produce as the mining reward decreases over time. Third, it indicates the approaching end of an era, as the last bitcoin is expected to be mined around the year 2140, according to current estimates.

What will happen when all bitcoins are mined? How will the network sustain itself without new coins being created? What are the implications for the price and adoption of bitcoins? These are some of the questions that many people are asking as the Bitcoin supply approaches its limit.

One possible answer is that the network will rely on transaction fees as the main source of income for miners. Transaction fees are voluntary payments that users attach to their transactions to incentivize miners to include them in a block.

Currently, transaction fees account for a small fraction of the total mining revenue, which is mostly composed of the block reward (6.25 bitcoins per block as of November 2023). However, as the block reward decreases every four years (the next halving is expected in 2024), transaction fees will become more important and eventually surpass the block reward.

Another possible answer is that the network will undergo changes or upgrades to accommodate new features or functionalities that could increase the demand and utility of bitcoins. For example, some proposals suggest implementing a second layer on top of the Bitcoin protocol, such as the Lightning Network, which could enable faster, cheaper and more scalable transactions.

Other proposals suggest increasing the block size limit, which could allow more transactions to fit in a block and reduce congestion and fees. However, these changes are not without controversy and trade-offs, and they require consensus among the network participants.

A third possible answer is that the network will continue to operate as it is, without major changes or disruptions. The limited supply of bitcoins could act as a deflationary force, increasing their purchasing power over time. The network could also benefit from network effects, as more users, merchants and institutions adopt bitcoins as a store of value, medium of exchange or unit of account. The network could also maintain its security and decentralization, as miners compete for the remaining coins and fees.

Whatever happens, one thing is certain: Bitcoin is a remarkable innovation that has challenged the conventional notions of money and finance. As it reaches its final stages of issuance, it will continue to fascinate and inspire people around the world.

SEC charges SafeMoon crypto token and its executives with fraud; Hester Peirce lambasts the SEC’s approach to LBRY

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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has filed a lawsuit against SafeMoon, a cryptocurrency project that claims to offer high returns to investors, and its top executives, alleging that they violated federal securities laws and defrauded millions of people.

According to the SEC’s complaint, SafeMoon raised over $4 billion from more than 2.4 million investors in an unregistered offering of digital tokens that promised to reward holders with more tokens for not selling. The SEC alleges that Safe Moon’s founders and promoters, John Karony, Thomas Smith, and Jack Haines, made false and misleading statements about the project’s legitimacy, security, and profitability, while secretly selling their own tokens and enriching themselves at the expense of investors.

The SEC also claims that SafeMoon failed to disclose material information about its operations, finances, and risks, such as the fact that it was not registered with any regulatory authority, that it had no audited financial statements, that it faced significant technical and legal challenges, and that it was vulnerable to hacking and theft. The SEC further alleges that SafeMoon used social media platforms, such as Twitter, Reddit, YouTube, and TikTok, to create a hype around its token and manipulate its price.

The SEC is seeking permanent injunctions, disgorgement of ill-gotten gains, civil penalties, and bars against the defendants from participating in any future securities offerings or digital asset markets. The SEC also warns investors to be wary of cryptocurrency projects that promise unrealistic returns or use aggressive marketing tactics.

“SafeMoon and its executives exploited the public’s interest in digital assets to raise billions of dollars from unsuspecting investors who were lured by the promise of high rewards with little risk,” said Kristina Littman, Chief of the SEC Enforcement Division’s Cyber Unit. “We allege that this scheme was nothing more than a fraud that left investors with worthless tokens and empty pockets.”

The SEC’s investigation was conducted by Michael D. Foster, David H. Tutor, and John O. Enright of the Cyber Unit. The litigation will be led by Stephan Schlegelmilch and Ms. Littman. The SEC appreciates the assistance of the Federal Bureau of Investigation.

North Dakota woman fatally poisons boyfriend hours after he inherited $30 Million

A shocking case of murder has been reported in North Dakota, where a woman allegedly poisoned her boyfriend with antifreeze just hours after he inherited $30 million from his late father. The woman, identified as 45-year-old Sandra Lee Smith, was arrested on Monday and charged with first-degree murder and conspiracy to commit murder.

According to the police, Smith and her boyfriend, 47-year-old James Johnson, had been living together for about two years in a rented apartment in Fargo. Johnson’s father, who was the founder and CEO of a successful software company, had died of natural causes in September and left his entire fortune to his only son. Johnson received the inheritance on Friday and planned to move out of the apartment with Smith and buy a new house.

However, Smith had other plans. She allegedly conspired with her ex-husband, 48-year-old Robert Smith, to kill Johnson and claim his money. The police said that Smith bought antifreeze from a local store on Saturday and mixed it with Johnson’s drink. She then called 911 on Sunday morning and claimed that Johnson was unconscious and not breathing. Paramedics arrived at the scene and pronounced Johnson dead.

The police became suspicious of Smith’s story when they found a receipt for antifreeze in her purse and noticed that she had packed her bags as if she was ready to leave. They also found out that she had contacted a lawyer and asked about how to access Johnson’s bank accounts. A toxicology report confirmed that Johnson had died of ethylene glycol poisoning, which is the main ingredient in antifreeze.

Smith was taken into custody and confessed to the crime during interrogation. She said that she was unhappy with Johnson and wanted to get rid of him. She also admitted that she had enlisted the help of her ex-husband, who agreed to split the money with her. Robert Smith was also arrested and charged with the same crimes as his former wife.

The police said that this was one of the most cold-blooded and greedy murders they had ever seen. They said that Johnson was a kind and generous man who had no idea that his girlfriend was plotting against him. They also said that Smith showed no remorse for her actions and only cared about the money. Smith and Robert Smith are currently being held without bail at the Cass County Jail. They face life imprisonment or the death penalty if convicted.

Hester Peirce lambasts the SEC’s approach to LBRY, says there is not a clear path to register

Hester Peirce, a commissioner at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), has criticized the agency’s decision to sue LBRY, a blockchain-based content platform, for allegedly selling unregistered securities.

In a speech delivered at the Cato Institute’s FinTech Unbound conference on October 29, Peirce said that the SEC’s enforcement action against LBRY “illustrates the difficulties crypto entrepreneurs face in trying to comply with our securities laws.”

Peirce, who is known as “Crypto Mom” for her pro-crypto stance, argued that LBRY’s tokens, called LBRY Credits (LBC), are not securities, but rather “functional tokens that facilitate the decentralized distribution of digital content.”

She said that LBC are used to reward content creators and curators, as well as to pay for network services, such as data storage and bandwidth. She also noted that LBC are not marketed as investments, and that LBRY does not promise any returns to its users.

Peirce said that the SEC’s lawsuit against LBRY, which was filed in March 2021, has effectively “shut down” the platform’s ability to operate and innovate in the U.S. market. She said that the SEC’s approach to crypto regulation is “backward-looking” and “punitive,” and that it does not provide a clear path for crypto projects to register their tokens as securities.

She said that the SEC should instead adopt a more “forward-looking” and “proactive” approach, and that it should provide more guidance and clarity to crypto entrepreneurs on how to comply with the securities laws. She also suggested that the SEC should consider creating a safe harbor for crypto projects, similar to the one she proposed in February 2020.

Peirce’s speech comes at a time when the SEC is facing increasing scrutiny and criticism from the crypto industry and some lawmakers for its lack of clarity and consistency on crypto regulation. The SEC is also involved in several high-profile lawsuits against crypto companies, such as Ripple, Coinbase, and Block.one.

Peirce is not the only one who has criticized the SEC’s approach to crypto regulation. Other prominent figures who have expressed their concerns include Brian Armstrong, the CEO of Coinbase; Brad Garlinghouse, the CEO of Ripple; Mark Cuban, the billionaire investor and owner of the Dallas Mavericks; and Cynthia Lummis, a U.S. senator from Wyoming who is a vocal advocate for crypto.

These critics have argued that the SEC is stifling innovation and competition in the crypto space, and that it is applying outdated and unclear rules to a new and dynamic technology. They have also called for more dialogue and collaboration between the SEC and the crypto industry, as well as for more legislative action from Congress to create a clear and comprehensive framework for crypto regulation.

The Canada’s Token of $18M for Nigeria

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I felt bad about this token from Canada. Yes, send Nigeria $18 million to deal with many challenges as the minister noted: “Nigeria is facing a complex humanitarian crisis that requires urgent action from the international community. Canada is proud to stand with the Nigerian people and our partners to help address the immediate and underlying causes of this crisis” – Minister of International Development, Karina Gould.

The press release stated that Canada’s humanitarian assistance will help deliver food, nutrition, health care, water, sanitation, hygiene, protection, and education services to the most vulnerable populations, including internally displaced persons, refugees, and host communities. Canada will also support efforts to prevent and respond to gender-based violence, which has increased during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Canada’s aid has made a significant impact on the lives of millions of Nigerians who have benefited from improved health care, education, food security, and protection.

I wish Nigeria could reject this money and push for Canada to pay $200,000 per medical doctor hired from Nigeria. Nigeria’s medical school system is subsidized, but Canada jumps in and hires the doctors after graduation. So, instead of this $18m, we can develop a better business model with Canada, by asking to be refunded for our medical doctors.

What is $18 million for a country shipping its hundreds of medical doctors away yearly? The crisis which Canada is sending $18m for came because Nigeria has limited doctors to support its primary healthcare system. You cannot blame Canada of course. We just need to wake up as a people, and if the government cannot lead here, that would be extremely unfortunate.

Of course, I have no issues with Canada; Nigeria has to put its house in order!

Comment on Feed

Comment 1: They didnt ship the medical doctors to Canada, they chased them away. Doctors are not the only professionals that left Nigeria for greener pasture, Engineers and other financial experts did too. I dont think prof should be taking this position since he also benefited from the JAPA window

My Response: As always, I have noted that I am not qualified to speak on this. Yet, while I cannot speak on personal decisions of peeople, I have rights to speak to our government. So, this is not about asking doctors to stay (you will not read that from me). I am simply challenging Nigeria to fix things.

Comment 2: Prof. You shot from the two sides of the barrel. Well, with no intention to hold brief for Canada, I am not aware, that they have taken any step to set up active recruitment systems targeted at pulling off Nigerian medical graduates. They only implemented policies that made it attractive for willing immigrants to take a bait.

Agreed, Nigeria may have invested heavily in training doctors, but it is also the responsibility of every smart investor to protect his investments. Here, Nigeria failed. A minister of labour once said that Doctors can go wherever they want to go and not that important in the scheme of things. The mass exit of Doctors is a response to the mess the health sector has become.

And to revert it, let Nigeria make the sector attractive. Have you heard of any nation trying to recruit or poach Nigerian politicians? Answer is No and reason is because no nation on earth can pay the least person playing in Nigeria’s political space. That space, for good or bad, is attractive enough to retain its workforce. Beggars have no choice. Nigeria is begging and have no chips for any form of bargain.