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Coinbase Sounds Alarm: GENIUS Act Stablecoin Rewards Prohibition Threatens US Lead Over China’s e-CNY

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Coinbase has issued a stark warning over provisions in the proposed GENIUS Act, arguing that restrictions on stablecoin rewards and incentives could undermine the United States’ leadership in digital payments and innovation.

Faryar Shirzad, Coinbase’s Chief Policy Officer, argues that such an act will cede ground to China’s Digital Yuan, which announced interest payments starting January 2025 to accelerate adoption after a decade of testing.

In a post on X, he wrote,

For those who misunderstand what’s at stake in the debate on offering rewards on US-issued stablecoins under the GENIUS Act, a sobering and timely announcement from the People’s Bank of China that they plan to pay interest on the Digital Yuan. Tokenization is the future and the GENIUS Act was a visionary move by @POTUS and Congress to ensure US dollar stablecoins issued under US rules would be the primary settlement instrument of the future.

If this issue is mishandled in Senate negotiations on the market structure bill it could hand our global rivals a big assist in giving non-US stablecoins and CBDCs a critical competitive advantage at the worst possible time. Lobbyists for entrenched incumbents will always fight change. It’s critical for negotiators to protect the primacy of the US dollar and the US financial system, not just incumbent interests.”

Critics view the prohibition as a safeguard against speculative risks, while supporters urge Senate negotiators to prioritize innovation over incumbent banking lobbies to maintain US leadership in tokenized assets.

According to Reuters, starting January 1, e-CNY held in wallets will earn interest at demand deposit rates, making it the world’s first interest-bearing central bank digital currency.

“This will help increase users’ willingness to adopt the digital yuan, expand its usage scenarios, and further solidify China’s leading position in the global exploration of central bank digital currencies,” the state broadcaster CCTV said.

In line with this, the central bank has set up a global operations centre in Shanghai to promote the international use of the digital yuan and has said it would support more commercial banks in operating e-CNY businesses.

The U.S GENIUS Act, signed into law by President Trump in July 2025, establishes a federal framework for regulating US-issued payment stablecoins, emphasizing dollar primacy and AML compliance.

However, its ban on interest (Section 4(a)(11)) sparks debate over competitiveness versus financial stability. The GENIUS Act bans yield on payment stablecoins to prioritize payments over investments, protecting banks’ interest revenue, but critics warn it disadvantages US assets against yielding foreign CBDCs.

Brian Armstrong CEO of Coinbase argues that there should be interest on US-issued stablecoins under the Genius act to enhance global competitiveness.

He wrote on x,

“U.S stablecoins must remain competitive on the global stage”.

Last week, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said any attempt to reopen the GENIUS Act would cross a “red line,” accusing banks of lobbying Congress to limit stablecoin rewards to protect their deposit base. He said Coinbase would continue to oppose efforts to revise the law, adding that he was surprised such lobbying was happening so openly.

Armstrong also argued that banks are misjudging the issue, predicting they will eventually push to offer interest and yield on stablecoins themselves once the opportunity becomes clear. He described the current lobbying effort as “unethical,” saying it would ultimately fail.

By prohibiting rewards on U.S.-issued stablecoins, the GENIUS Act risks handing a long-term strategic advantage to China’s digital yuan at a critical inflection point in global finance. Digital currencies compete not only on trust and regulation, but on economic utility. As the People’s Bank of China moves to introduce interest on e-CNY balances, it is effectively positioning the digital yuan as a superior store-and-transfer instrument compared to non-yielding U.S. stablecoins.

Over time, this incentive gap could reshape user behavior. Corporations, fintech platforms, and cross-border traders, particularly in emerging markets are likely to favor digital currencies that preserve value while settling transactions.

If U.S. stablecoins are structurally barred from offering rewards, global users may increasingly adopt the digital yuan for trade settlement, treasury management, and on-chain liquidity, gradually normalizing its use outside China’s borders

Outlook

The debate over rewards in the GENIUS Act represents a pivotal moment for U.S. financial leadership. As tokenization accelerates and CBDCs move from experimentation to real-world deployment, policy choices made today will shape global settlement systems for decades.

Pressure is likely to intensify on lawmakers as evidence mounts that yield-bearing digital currencies drive adoption.

Allowing carefully regulated rewards on U.S.-issued stablecoins could reinforce dollar dominance, stimulate innovation, and ensure that the United States sets the rules for the future of digital money.

Building the Anthill and Making 2026 An Amazing Year

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The grandest structures of progress are rarely the work of solitary giants. Just as the elephant does not build the anthill, the great monuments of industry and life are the results of the collective micro-efforts of the “ants” among us. Throughout history, the transition from inertia to impact has always required a singular catalyst: the courage to act. In the marketplace of life, the “angels” who facilitate your breakthrough do not fall from the sky; they are the people standing right next to you. However, for that help to happen, you must develop the connective tissue that aligns your mission with their vision, finding the specific ways to activate what will connect them into your destiny.

This leads to a fundamental question for every aspiring professional: how do you grow vertically even as you expand horizontally? Yes, it is not enough to simply have a large contact list of peers. If you are a rising professional, having the phone numbers of ten General Managers is good, when you are one, but connecting with Executive Directors is strategic. The EDs are the individuals who hold the pens that sign your next elevation. To win at this level, you must decode their “frequency.”

Yes, you must understand how they think, what their logic is for value creation, and what happens when they enter that room called the boardroom. You must pick up signals on what they treasure, identifying the unspoken requirements for entry into that inner sanctum.

Good People, as we prepare to file 2025 into the archives of history, 2026 emerges as a blank canvas of unbounded opportunity, only constrained by the limits of our own imaginations. To make 2026 your most significant year yet, you must prioritize strategic partnerships, get closer to those who have already mastered the terrain you wish to conquer, and maintain a high Grace Quotient.

By showing humility despite any ascension and making the right people feel good around you, you remove the friction from your own path to greatness. Let us build, let us innovate, and most importantly, let us act.

Specifically, for business owners, let me leave you with a foundational perspective I shared in the Harvard Business Review titled “The Leadership Lessons of Ants.” The core thesis remains as relevant today as ever: until you learn to think with the precision, persistence, and collaborative spirit of an “ant,” you will never orchestrate elephant-sized outcomes. In the domain of markets and institutional building, greatness is never a product of isolated brilliance; it is the result of a collective, synchronized effort where every small action accumulates into a massive competitive advantage. If you want to win at a scale that shifts industries, you must embrace the reality that it takes a dedicated team to accomplish the extraordinary https://hbr.org/2010/10/business-lessons-from-the-ants

I wish everyone a prosperous, high-growth, and Happy New Year ahead!

 

China Quietly Imposes 50% Domestic Equipment Rule on Chipmakers as Self-Reliance Drive Deepens

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China has begun requiring semiconductor manufacturers to source at least half of the equipment used in new or expanded production lines from domestic suppliers, according to three people familiar with the policy, who spoke to Reuters.

The move marks one of Beijing’s most forceful steps yet to reduce reliance on foreign technology.

The requirement, which is not publicly documented, has been communicated directly to chipmakers seeking government approval for new fabs or capacity expansions. Companies are now expected to demonstrate through procurement tenders that a minimum of 50% of their equipment will be Chinese-made, the sources said. Projects that fail to meet the threshold are typically rejected, although regulators may show flexibility in cases where domestic alternatives are unavailable.

The measure underlines how China’s semiconductor strategy has shifted from encouragement to enforcement, particularly since Washington tightened export controls in 2023, barring the sale of advanced AI chips and key chipmaking tools to Chinese firms. While those U.S. restrictions cut off access to the most advanced equipment, the new rule goes further by actively steering manufacturers toward domestic suppliers even when foreign tools from the United States, Japan, South Korea, and Europe remain technically accessible.

“Authorities prefer if it is much higher than 50%,” one of the people said. “Eventually they are aiming for the plants to use 100% domestic equipment.”

China’s industry ministry did not respond to a request for comment. The sources asked not to be identified because the policy has not been formally announced.

The requirement fits squarely within President Xi Jinping’s call for a “whole nation” approach to building a self-sufficient semiconductor ecosystem, an effort that mobilizes state funding, research institutions, equipment makers, and chip fabs in tandem. Beijing has framed semiconductors as a strategic vulnerability, especially as technology rivalry with the United States intensifies.

That push spans the entire supply chain. Earlier this month, Reuters reported that Chinese scientists were working on a prototype machine capable of producing cutting-edge chips, an area Washington has spent years trying to keep out of China’s reach. At the same time, state-backed investors have continued to funnel capital into domestic champions through the so-called Big Fund, which launched a third phase in 2024 with 344 billion yuan ($49 billion) in fresh capital.

The impact of the 50% rule is already being felt on factory floors. Domestic fabs that once preferred established foreign suppliers are increasingly turning to Chinese equipment makers, sometimes out of necessity, sometimes under regulatory pressure.

“Before, domestic fabs like SMIC would prefer U.S. equipment and would not really give Chinese firms a chance,” said a former employee at Naura Technology, China’s largest chip equipment maker, referring to Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation. “But that changed starting with the 2023 U.S. export restrictions, when Chinese fabs had no choice but to work with domestic suppliers.”

Procurement data points to a surge in local demand. State-affiliated entities placed a record 421 orders this year for domestically produced lithography machines and components, worth around 850 million yuan, according to publicly available records. That wave of orders is helping accelerate learning curves for Chinese suppliers that had previously struggled to break into advanced manufacturing processes.

The policy is producing clear winners. Naura and smaller rival Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment (AMEC) are gaining ground in etching, a critical process that sculpts transistor structures on silicon wafers. Sources say Naura is now testing its etching tools on SMIC’s advanced 7-nanometre production line, an early-stage milestone that follows successful deployment at the 14-nanometre level.

Advanced etching equipment in China was long dominated by foreign firms such as Lam Research and Tokyo Electron. Under the new procurement regime, those tools are increasingly being replaced, at least partially, by domestic alternatives from Naura and AMEC.

Naura has also emerged as a key supplier to Chinese memory chipmakers, providing etching tools capable of supporting chips with more than 300 layers. In another sign of forced localization, the company developed electrostatic chucks to replace worn components in Lam Research equipment that could no longer be serviced after U.S. export controls took effect, according to people familiar with the matter.

None of Naura, AMEC, YTMC, SMIC, Lam Research, or Tokyo Electron responded to requests for comment.

The momentum is visible not only in factories but also in innovation metrics. Naura filed a record 779 patents in 2025, more than double its filings in 2020 and 2021. AMEC filed 259 patents over the same period, according to Anaqua’s AcclaimIP database, figures verified by Reuters. Financial performance has followed suit: Naura’s revenue jumped 30% in the first half of 2025 to 16 billion yuan, while AMEC reported a 44% increase to 5 billion yuan.

Analysts estimate that China has now reached around 50% self-sufficiency in photoresist-removal and cleaning equipment, a segment once dominated by Japanese suppliers but now increasingly led by domestic firms, particularly Naura.

“The domestic equipment market will be dominated by two to three major manufacturers, and Naura is definitely one of them,” a separate industry source said.

The trend is unsettling for global chip equipment makers. China has been one of their largest markets, and the quiet imposition of domestic sourcing thresholds threatens to erode that position further. However, the trade-off appears deliberate for Beijing: sacrificing short-term efficiency and choice in favor of long-term strategic autonomy, even if it means forcing domestic suppliers to learn on the job under intense pressure.

Octopus Energy to Spin Out Kraken Technologies After $1bn Funding, Paving Way for Potential IPO

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British renewable energy group Octopus Energy is moving closer to a major corporate milestone after securing $1 billion in funding for its artificial intelligence and software arm, Kraken Technologies.

The deal values the business at $8.65 billion and lays the groundwork for a potential public listing by mid-2026.

The planned spin-out, confirmed late Monday by Origin Energy, one of Octopus’s largest shareholders, reflects the growing strategic importance of software and data-driven platforms in the global energy transition, as utilities race to modernize ageing systems and manage increasingly complex power networks.

Origin said the funding round marks Kraken’s first as a standalone business and included Daniel Sundheim’s hedge fund D1 Capital Partners alongside a “major Kraken customer,” which was not named. Origin itself will commit an additional $140 million, reinforcing its long-term bet on the technology platform.

Kraken’s valuation and capital raise underscore how far the unit has evolved from its origins as an internal technology tool within Octopus Energy. The platform now supplies cloud-based software to major utilities, including EDF and E.ON, supporting customer billing, energy trading, grid optimization, demand forecasting, and the integration of renewable energy and electric vehicles.

According to Origin, Kraken’s contracted annual recurring revenue has more than doubled over the past 18 months, driven by strong demand from utilities under pressure to decarbonize, comply with stricter regulations, and cope with volatile power markets. The company is now rapidly approaching its target of managing 100 million customer accounts globally.

“In signing this major new customer, Kraken is rapidly closing in on its 100 million customer account target well ahead of plan,” Origin chief executive Frank Calabria said, pointing to the scale and commercial momentum behind the business.

Under the proposed structure, Octopus Energy will retain a 13.7% stake in Kraken following the spin-out, while Origin’s interest will remain unchanged at 22.7%.

Calabria said the restructuring would give both companies greater financial and strategic flexibility.

“We believe these transactions put Octopus and Kraken in a strong position to unlock their next phase of growth, underpinned by the appropriate capital structure,” he said.

The move is part of Octopus’ broader effort to crystallize value from its technology assets while allowing the core energy supply business to focus on retail expansion and renewable generation. For Kraken, independence is expected to accelerate customer acquisition, attract new categories of investors, and sharpen its positioning as a pure-play software company rather than an in-house utility platform.

Kraken CEO Amir Orad has previously said the company benefited significantly from being incubated within Octopus, which first deployed the technology internally before licensing it to rival utilities. That strategy helped Kraken overcome one of the biggest barriers in the energy sector: persuading competitors to adopt software developed by a peer.

Over time, Kraken has emerged as what Orad has described as “the modern operating system for utilities,” offering an alternative to legacy IT systems that struggle to handle decentralized generation, real-time pricing, and the electrification of transport and heating.

The spin-out also sharpens the company’s path toward a stock market debut. Speaking to CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” earlier this year, Orad said Kraken already had a strong investor base focused on energy and utilities, but acknowledged that a separation from Octopus was necessary to attract a broader pool of late-stage, software-focused investors.

When asked in September about a potential IPO, Orad said the opportunity was “significant,” but stressed that Kraken needed to complete its transition into a fully independent software business.

“Over the years, we expect [the investor base] to evolve to be more software focused, given the separation,” he said.

The deal comes as investor interest in energy technology platforms intensifies, with utilities globally under pressure to digitize operations, improve customer engagement, and support net-zero targets. If completed as planned, Kraken’s spin-out would stand as one of the most prominent examples yet of a renewable-era technology platform breaking out as a standalone business. That will highlight how software and AI are becoming central to the future economics of the global energy industry.

Citi Board Clears Exit From Russia With $1.2bn Hit Following AO Citibank’s Sale Approval

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Citigroup has moved closer to fully exiting Russia after its board approved the sale of AO Citibank, its Russian subsidiary, to investment firm Renaissance Capital, a deal that will crystallize a pre-tax loss of about $1.2 billion, largely driven by currency translation effects.

The U.S. lender said on Monday that the transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2026, subject to remaining regulatory and closing conditions, according to a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The approval marks a significant milestone in Citi’s multi-year effort to unwind its presence in Russia following the invasion of Ukraine and the sweeping sanctions that followed.

Citi said the board approvals will result in a pre-tax loss being recognized in the fourth quarter of 2025. The bulk of the impact stems from cumulative currency translation adjustment (CTA) losses, which arise when the financial statements of a foreign subsidiary are converted into the parent company’s reporting currency.

“These approvals result in a pre-tax loss on the sale for the fourth quarter of 2025, largely related to the currency translation adjustment (CTA) losses that will also remain in Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (AOCI) until closing,” the bank said in a separate statement.

CTA reflects gains or losses caused by exchange rate movements over time, while AOCI is a balance sheet equity account that holds certain unrealized gains and losses not recognized in net income. Citi noted that while the accounting loss is substantial, the cumulative impact of the transaction will be capital neutral to its common equity tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio, a key measure of bank solvency closely watched by regulators and investors.

The bank cautioned that the final loss could still change, depending on factors such as foreign exchange movements between now and the closing date.

As part of the transaction process, Citi said it will classify its remaining Russian operations as “held for sale” in the fourth quarter of 2025, an accounting step that reflects management’s intent to complete the disposal and further separates the unit from its ongoing operations.

The deal follows explicit approval from the Russian government. Last month, President Vladimir Putin authorized Renaissance Capital to acquire Citibank’s Russian operations, a necessary step given Moscow’s tight controls on foreign asset sales since the start of the war. Such transactions have often required presidential sign-off and have been subject to strict conditions, including pricing constraints and special levies.

Citi has been among the Western banks with the largest and most complex exposure to Russia, and its exit has taken longer than that of many of its peers. In August 2022, the bank announced it was winding down its consumer banking and local commercial banking businesses in the country as part of a broader strategy to reduce risk and simplify its global footprint.

Since then, Citi has continued to pare back activities, manage down assets, and navigate regulatory hurdles in order to leave the market in an orderly manner. The sale to Renaissance Capital represents one of the final steps in that process.

Also, the Russia exit fits into Citi’s wider overhaul under CEO Jane Fraser, who has been reshaping the bank to focus on core businesses and improve returns. While the $1.2 billion pre-tax loss underscores the financial cost of geopolitics and prolonged currency weakness, the bank has consistently argued that fully exiting Russia removes a source of operational, regulatory, and reputational risk.

Once completed, the transaction will effectively close the chapter on Citi’s decades-long presence in Russia, ending a withdrawal that has become emblematic of how deeply the war and sanctions regime have reshaped the global banking industry.