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The Stablecoin Tsunami and the Silent Erosion of Africa’s Banking Fortresses

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The global financial landscape is quietly reorganizing itself. In the last decade, we saw fintechs nibble at the edges of traditional banking. But today, a more seismic shift is underway—U.S. dollar-backed stablecoins. According to a new report by Standard Chartered, as much as $1 trillion could exit emerging market banks and move into stablecoins within the next three years.

The reason is simple: people no longer trust the promise of “return on capital” when “return of capital” has become the supreme pursuit. In countries like Nigeria where currency depreciation is a recurring virus, savers now seek stability, not yield. They prefer a dollar stablecoin wallet to a naira savings account—because what is the essence of a 10% interest rate when the currency itself has lost 40% of its value?

The global financial landscape is on the brink of a major transformation as U.S. dollar-backed stablecoins continue their meteoric rise, challenging the dominance of traditional banking systems.

According to a new report by Standard Chartered, it warns that the rapid adoption of stablecoins, bolstered by supportive U.S. crypto policies, could drain up to $1 trillion in deposits away from emerging market banks within the next three years.

“We see the potential for $1 trillion to leave emerging market banks and move into stablecoins in the next three years or so,” the bank stated in its analysis released on Monday.

This reality poses existential questions for African banking. Young Nigerians are not just saving in stablecoins—they are warehousing their future in them. The implication is profound: bank deposits will deteriorate, local loanable funds will shrink, and balance sheets will weaken. As deposits fall, the capacity of banks to lend to businesses declines, tightening liquidity across the economy.

In simple terms, as stablecoins rise, naira-denominated financial intermediation falls. Yet, this is not driven by rebellion but by rationality; it is the invisible hand of self-preservation in a turbulent monetary ecosystem. And behind the curtain, the United States silently wins—because every dollar-backed stablecoin is another vote for its currency’s global supremacy.

In this transition, we are witnessing the most sophisticated form of dollarization in history. No longer does one need to physically hold greenbacks; all it takes is a blockchain wallet. While emerging economies fight inflation and instability, the U.S. dollar—through stablecoins—enters every smartphone, every crypto exchange, and every youth’s savings app. This is not just capital flight; it is trust migration.

The architecture of money is being redesigned, and the winners are those who issue the stablecoins. Every USDT or USDC held in Lagos, Nairobi, or Johannesburg strengthens the dollar’s gravitational pull while weakening local monetary sovereignty.

Africa must therefore act. The time for central banks to merely regulate is gone; now, they must innovate. Nigeria’s banks and regulators must not dismiss this wave as another crypto fad. They must create naira-backed digital assets, integrate programmable money into their systems, and redesign incentives that make banking competitive in the age of decentralization.

Because if this trend continues, Africa’s banking system may survive—but its economic soul will not. In this new world, where young people choose return of capital over return on capital, the nation that understands trust will become the nation that controls wealth. And today, that nation is the United States—powered by code, trust, and stablecoins.

NGX Lifts Suspension on International Energy Insurance Plc Shares as Firm Exits Daewoo Loan and Eyes Fresh Recovery

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Trading in the shares of International Energy Insurance Plc (IEI) has officially resumed on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) after more than a month-long suspension, following the company’s compliance with regulatory requirements and the release of its 2024 audited financial statements.

The insurer disclosed this in a notice to the NGX on Monday, confirming that the exchange had lifted the trading suspension placed on its shares on September 1, 2025. The suspension had been imposed over delays in filing its audited accounts, which the company has now rectified.

“The lifting of the suspension marks a new chapter in our journey of recovery and growth. With this step, we are focused on rebuilding investor confidence and delivering long-term value for all stakeholders,” the company said in a statement.

IEI’s shares, which trade under the ticker INTENEGINS, returned to the market on October 2. Despite sliding over 10 percent month-to-date, the stock has seen renewed trading momentum, with more than seven million shares changing hands in the days following the resumption.

The development is one of several key milestones for the insurer, which has been working to restructure its balance sheet and restore investor trust after years of financial turbulence.

Daewoo Loan Settlement and Norrenberger Takeover

In what has been described as a major turning point, IEI also announced that it has completely exited its long-standing loan with Daewoo Securities, now known as Mirae Asset Securities (UK) Limited.

The loan, a JPY 1.85 billion zero-coupon bond originally issued in January 2008 and due for repayment in 2028, had weighed heavily on the company’s financial health for years. However, during its Annual General Meeting in Jigawa on April 10, 2025, shareholders approved a debt-transfer plan to Norrenberger Advisory Partners Limited (NAPL), which took over responsibility for settling the bond.

By August 2025, IEI confirmed that NAPL had fully repaid the Daewoo bond—an event that capped years of restructuring and effectively cleared one of the company’s most significant liabilities.

The repayment followed Norrenberger’s acquisition of a 50.61 percent controlling stake in IEI in 2021 through a mandatory takeover bid involving 649.8 million shares. That acquisition, which transferred management control to the investment firm, was aimed at stabilizing IEI’s operations and positioning it for growth after a prolonged period of losses.

Financial Performance: Signs of Stability Amid Lower Earnings

While the company’s recent results show mixed performance, there are signs of gradual recovery. For the half-year ended June 30, 2025, IEI reported a pre-tax profit of N679.1 million, down from N1.04 billion recorded in the same period of 2024.

Insurance revenue declined to N2.3 billion, compared to N3 billion a year earlier. However, insurance service expenses fell to N866 million from N1.2 billion, while insurance service results stood at N1.2 billion, a decline from N1.6 billion in 2024.

Net investment income also dropped by 8.84 percent to N237.2 million, bringing the combined net insurance and investment income to N1.49 billion—a 22.7 percent year-on-year decline.

Despite lower earnings, the company’s balance sheet strengthened modestly. Total assets rose to N17 billion from N16.8 billion in 2024, while total liabilities decreased slightly to N24.06 billion from N24.4 billion in the prior year.

These figures, analysts say, suggest the company is gradually stabilizing following years of financial distress and restructuring. The lifting of the trading suspension, coupled with the complete repayment of the Daewoo bond, could signal a new phase for the insurer—one centered on capital rebuilding, governance strengthening, and renewed investor engagement.

As IEI turns the page on a turbulent chapter, its immediate focus appears to be on consolidating the gains from the Norrenberger-led restructuring while pursuing fresh business growth in Nigeria’s competitive insurance industry.

Some analysts believe that with improved compliance, cleaner balance sheets, and clearer governance, the company may now be in a position to restore market confidence and reposition itself as a key mid-tier player in Nigeria’s insurance sector.

U.S. Dollar-Backed Stablecoins Could Drain $1 Trillion From Emerging Market Banks, Standard Chartered Warns

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The global financial landscape is on the brink of a major transformation as U.S. dollar-backed stablecoins continue their meteoric rise, challenging the dominance of traditional banking systems.

According to a new report by Standard Chartered, it warns that the rapid adoption of stablecoins, bolstered by supportive U.S. crypto policies, could drain up to $1 trillion in deposits away from emerging market banks within the next three years.

“We see the potential for $1 trillion to leave emerging market banks and move into stablecoins in the next three years or so,” the bank stated in its analysis released on Monday.

The global bank which has deep roots in developing economies, noted that as people seek to protect their wealth from local currency depreciation, many will turn to stablecoin wallets instead of traditional bank accounts.

While recent U.S. crypto legislation seeks to stem the outflow of deposits by barring stablecoin issuers from paying direct yields, similar to interest on bank accounts Standard Chartered believes this measure will do little to dampen demand in emerging markets.

“Return of capital matters more than return on capital,” the report noted, emphasizing that the priority for many savers is security rather than yield.

The bank further projected that stablecoin savings across developing economies could soar from the current $173 billion to $1.22 trillion by the end of 2028 if current trends persist.

This forecast aligns with recent comments from Tether co-founder Reeve Collins, who predicted that by 2030, every major currency whether dollars, euros, or yen will exist as a stablecoin. Collins described this as a “seismic shift” that will fully digitize global money systems.

He argued that stablecoins will become the dominant method of transferring funds within the next five years due to their efficiency and integration into both crypto and traditional financial systems.

“The benefits of tokenized assets are now too compelling for traditional finance to ignore,” he said, adding that the definition of stablecoins essentially comes down to moving money on a blockchain.

The rise in global adoption of Stablecoins, underscores growing confidence in blockchain-based financial instruments and highlights the deepening appeal of digital dollars in regions grappling with inflation, currency instability, and declining trust in local banking institutions.

According to market data, the total capitalization of stablecoins recently surpassed $301 billion, a new all-time high after a 6.5% increase over the past month. Stablecoins now form a crucial part of the digital finance ecosystem, serving as a haven during crypto volatility, a medium of exchange for trading and payments, and a key infrastructure for decentralized finance (DeFi) and cross-border transactions.

Notably, the GENIUS Act, enacted in July 2025 by the U.S government, is emerging as a potential game-changer for the U.S. financial system, one that could upend traditional banking models and accelerate the shift toward digital assets. The Genius Bill according to many is the beginning of the end for banks’ ability to rip off their retail depositors with minimal interest.

Industry leaders warn that the Act could spark a mass migration of deposits from low-interest bank accounts to high-yield stablecoins, threatening to erode bank profits and reshape how consumers store and grow their money.

Future Outlook

Looking ahead, the growing dominance of U.S. dollar-backed stablecoins could redefine global capital flows and reshape the role of traditional banks particularly in developing markets.

As stablecoin adoption accelerates, emerging economies may face tighter liquidity conditions, reduced lending capacity, and increased dependence on dollar-denominated digital assets.

On the flip side, the continued integration of stablecoins into mainstream finance could spur innovation, prompting central banks to accelerate the development of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) as a countermeasure.

Qualcomm Faces £480m UK Lawsuit Over Alleged Overcharging of iPhone and Samsung Users

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U.S. chipmaker Qualcomm has gone on trial in London to defend itself against a £480 million ($646.8 million) class-action lawsuit accusing it of abusing its dominant market position to overcharge smartphone makers Apple and Samsung, ultimately inflating the cost of millions of devices sold to consumers.

The case, brought by Which?, one of Britain’s leading consumer advocacy groups, alleges that Qualcomm’s licensing practices forced smartphone manufacturers to pay inflated royalties — even for devices that did not use its chips — under what the group described as a “no license, no chips” policy.

Lawyers representing Which? told the Competition Appeal Tribunal that Qualcomm’s licensing terms effectively functioned as an “industry-wide private tax” that enriched the chipmaker while driving up retail prices for consumers. They estimate that around 29 million Britons who purchased iPhones or Samsung Galaxy devices since 2015 may be entitled to compensation if the case succeeds.

The Core of the Dispute

At the heart of the case is Qualcomm’s licensing model for its standard essential patents (SEPs) — intellectual property that covers technology crucial to mobile communications standards, such as 4G and 5G. The company requires device manufacturers to obtain licenses for these patents before they can buy Qualcomm chipsets.

Which? argues that this policy gives Qualcomm excessive leverage over manufacturers, allowing it to collect royalties even when its chips are not used in a device. Lawyers for the group said this practice distorted competition and violated British and European competition laws.

“This operates as an industry-wide private tax which ensures higher profits for Qualcomm and inflates the cost of devices,” Which?’s legal team stated in documents filed with the tribunal ahead of the five-week trial.

Qualcomm’s legal team has rejected the accusations, calling them a mischaracterisation of the company’s long-standing licensing approach. The firm insists that its patent portfolio is essential to the functioning of global mobile standards and that it is legally entitled to collect royalties from any manufacturer that implements its patented technologies.

The company also pushed back against the notion that it holds unfair bargaining power, pointing out that Apple and Samsung are industry giants with considerable influence and the capacity to negotiate competitive licensing terms.

“Apple and Samsung can and do exert enormous buyer power,” Qualcomm’s lawyers said, arguing that the claims of abuse overlook the complex commercial dynamics of the smartphone industry.

The Legal Backdrop

The case before the London tribunal will first determine whether Qualcomm is liable to the claimant class. If Which? prevails, a second trial will then decide the level of damages to be awarded to affected consumers.

This is not the first time Qualcomm has faced scrutiny over its licensing practices. The company has been the target of multiple antitrust investigations and lawsuits around the world, including in the United States, South Korea, and the European Union.

A similar consumer lawsuit in California, which challenged Qualcomm’s exclusive-dealing and patent licensing agreements with Apple and other manufacturers, was dismissed in 2023. However, European regulators have previously fined the company for anti-competitive conduct, including a €997 million penalty in 2018 for payments made to Apple to exclusively use its chips in iPhones — though that decision was later annulled on appeal.

The London trial underscores the growing global debate over how much control technology patent holders should have over downstream industries, particularly when their technologies become integral to global standards.

Consumer rights advocates argue that companies like Qualcomm use their patent dominance to extract unfair royalties, while the chipmaker maintains that its licensing model is vital to funding research and development in wireless innovation.

If the court rules against Qualcomm, it could open the door to similar consumer actions in other jurisdictions and force major revisions to the way patent royalties are structured in the mobile industry.

Citadel Explores Expansion in Prediction Markets

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Citadel, the prominent Chicago-based hedge fund founded by Ken Griffin in 1990, is reportedly exploring opportunities in the burgeoning prediction markets sector.

With over $60 billion in assets under management (AUM), Citadel’s potential entry could signal mainstream institutional adoption of these platforms, which allow users to bet on real-world event outcomes like elections, economic indicators, or sports results.

Prediction markets leverage crowd-sourced data for more accurate forecasting than traditional polls, and recent U.S. regulatory shifts—such as the CFTC’s approval of event contracts—have fueled growth.

Bloomberg reported on October 6, 2025, that Citadel is considering launching or investing in a prediction and betting platform. This aligns with broader Wall Street interest in the space, where markets have seen explosive growth post-2024 U.S. elections.

Citadel’s quantitative trading expertise makes prediction markets a natural extension. The firm already dominates high-frequency trading and market-making via Citadel Securities (valued at billions and handling ~40% of U.S. equity volume). Entering here could diversify into event-driven bets, similar to how they’ve profited from volatility in equities and fixed income.

No firm launch date is confirmed, but exploration is in early stages. It may involve building an in-house platform or partnering with existing players, potentially integrating blockchain for decentralized elements.

This move comes amid a prediction markets boom:Investor Inflows: Billionaires like Charles Schwab and Citadel Securities CEO Peng Zhao invested in Kalshi a CFTC-regulated platform in June 2025, valuing it at $2 billion. Henry Kravis KKR co-founder is also backing the sector.

Platforms like Polymarket crypto-native are attracting TradFi. On October 6, 2025, the NYSE’s parent, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), neared a $2 billion investment in Polymarket, pushing its valuation to ~$9 billion.

Analysts estimate the global prediction markets could reach $1 trillion in volume by 2030, driven by accuracy in forecasting (e.g., Polymarket outperformed polls in 2024 elections).

Crypto communities are hyped, with posts noting ties to Citadel alumni like Kaito AI founder Yu Hu (ex-Citadel). Tokens in the sector (e.g., Limitless, GLM) saw brief spikes, with speculation on 20-30x upside for early projects.

Liquidity remains a hurdle—current volumes ~$1B/month across platforms pale vs. Citadel’s scale. Regulatory scrutiny— gambling vs. info markets could slow rollout. If Citadel commits, it could accelerate TradFi-crypto convergence, drawing more capital and legitimacy.

This development underscores prediction markets’ evolution from niche crypto experiments to Wall Street’s next frontier. Citadel, a $60B+ hedge fund with a reputation for quantitative excellence, entering the space would signal to traditional finance (TradFi) that prediction markets are a viable asset class.

Institutional backing could push prediction market volumes from ~$1B/month (2025) toward the projected $1T by 2030. Citadel’s scale and market-making expertise via Citadel Securities could enhance liquidity, addressing a key bottleneck.

Beyond elections, Citadel could pioneer markets for niche events like corporate earnings, geopolitical risks, or climate outcomes, leveraging its data-driven edge.

Citadel’s entry could bridge TradFi and crypto-native platforms like Polymarket. It might integrate blockchain for transparency while maintaining regulatory compliance, creating hybrid platforms that appeal to both retail and institutional users.

Tokens tied to prediction mamarket like Limitless, GLM could see increased speculation and adoption. Citadel’s move may draw more quant talent from TradFi into crypto, accelerating innovation. The precedent of Citadel alumni like Yu Hu (Kaito AI) suggests a pipeline of expertise.

The CFTC’s 2025 approval of event contracts paves the way, but Citadel’s involvement could push for clearer U.S. regulations distinguishing prediction markets from gambling. This would reduce legal risks and encourage broader adoption.

Citadel’s global reach could influence regulators in Europe and Asia, where prediction markets face stricter scrutiny, potentially harmonizing rules for cross-border platforms. Increased scrutiny from gambling regulators or anti-speculation lawmakers could slow progress, especially if platforms are perceived as enabling unregulated betting.

Kalshi ($2B valuation) and Polymarket ($9B) could face competition if Citadel builds an in-house platform or acquires a player. Its market-making prowess could outpace smaller platforms in liquidity and pricing efficiency.

Alternatively, Citadel might partner with or invest in Kalshi/Polymarket, as seen with ICE’s $2B Polymarket deal. This could consolidate the market, favoring a few dominant players.

Prediction markets’ accuracy outperforming 2024 election polls could be amplified by Citadel’s data analytics, benefiting industries like insurance, policy planning, and risk management.

Citadel’s brand could draw retail investors, especially via user-friendly platforms or integration with brokerage services, democratizing access to prediction markets.

Scaling a prediction market platform requires new infrastructure, regulatory compliance, and user acquisition, which could strain resources. Low liquidity and high volatility in early-stage markets could lead to losses if Citadel overextends without sufficient hedging.

Citadel’s exploration of prediction markets could reshape the sector by driving institutional capital, enhancing liquidity, and bridging TradFi and crypto. It may accelerate regulatory clarity and market growth but risks competition, scrutiny, and operational challenges.