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SPECIAL INSIGHTS: Nigerians and Last Days’ Interests on Candidates, Voting and PVC

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For several minutes, hours, days, weeks and months, candidates and their political parties engaged Nigerians, especially those who are eligible to vote on February 25, 2023, electing a new president, on different platforms at different places. Both the candidates and parties disseminated messages that substantiated programmes stated in their manifestos. While presidential candidates in 1999, 2003, 2007, 2011, and 2019 had opportunities to reach 54 million to 84 million voters, the 18 political parties that fielded candidates for the 2023 presidential election had the same chance of canvassing votes by reaching over 93 million voters. This is basically from the supply side of the political economy of campaigning. From the demand side, voters agreed and disagreed with the messages using different approaches towards understanding who should be voted for.

In this special piece, our analyst examines the last 7 days (February 18 to February 24, 2023) of the public’s interest in the three dominant candidates, their readiness to vote and their curiosity about collecting their permanent voter card. Our first-level analysis reveals that out of 14,989 searches during the period, Senator Bola Ahmed Tinubu, the candidate of the All Progressives Congress, had the highest percent (41.09%), followed by Mr. Peter Obi (32.47%), while Alhaji Atiku Abubakar had 16.51%. Voting had 4.55%, while PVC received 5.36%.

Public interest in the three candidates in connection with interest in voting and PVC was strong during the period. Over 70% of the interest in the candidates was found in the public’s interest in voting. However, there are differences in the percentage of interest the public had in voting and knowing the status of their PVCs after developing significant interest in each candidate. According to our findings, one unit of interest in Alhaji Atiku Abubakar translates to 21.1% interest in voting.It was 63% for Mr. Peter Obi and 5.1% for Senator Bola Ahmed Tinubu. These findings indicate that Nigerians who use the Internet are more likely to vote on February 25, 2023, based on the information they obtained from various platforms or sources.

Our analysis also reveals that the public interest in the candidates resonated with understanding of PVC by 64.6%. This is less than what our analyst found for voting and suggests the public’s greater aggressiveness in voting than in picking up their PVC. Meanwhile, when the public developed interest in the candidates in relation to having information about PVC, Mr. Peter Obi was more searched in connection with PVC than other candidates, especially Senator Bola Ahmed Tinubu. In our analysis, we found that one unit of interest in Mr. Peter Obi resulted in seeking information about PVC by 51.3%, while Alhaji Atiku Abubakar had 33.2%. However, one unit of interest in Senator Bola Ahmed translated to -10.1% interest in PVC, indicating insignificant interest in PVC as the public developed interest in the ruling party’s candidate.

Exhibit 1: Interest in candidates, voting and PVC by state

Source: Google Trends, 2023

Candidates and Public Concerns

While the public developed interest in the candidates using different search terms and names, they were mostly directed to various sources that revealed different information about the candidates and their political parties. In our analysis, we found that the three candidates were better understood through non-issue-based campaign messages than issue-focused ones. For instance, the public was more concerned about the five governors of the People’s Democratic Party who have been making different submissions about endorsing or not endorsing the candidature of Alhaji Atiku Abubakar. Nigerians, as evidenced by those who frequently use the Internet, were interested in whether Mr. Peter Obi would abandon his bid to become the next president by withdrawing from the race and supporting Alhaji Atiku Abubakar. This was also discovered for Senator Rabiu Kwankwaso. Nigerians were interested in whether he had joined the PDP’s candidate.

Senator Bola Ahmed Tinubu was more understood throughout the days examined by our analyst, based on a false report that his house had been raided by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Some Nigerians expressed great concern about his primary school on various digital platforms. Some of the concerns the public had about the PDP’s candidate were discovered for Mr. Peter Obi as well. For example, the public had a significant interest in knowing about smaller political parties that had adopted him as their presidential candidate. Information about how ADC and SDP adopted him was vigorously sought in this regard. Apart from this, how or whether individuals such as Danjuma endorsed him was of great concern to some Nigerians. Like understanding some of the achievements of the APC’s candidate, Nigerians also sought information about the performance of Mr. Peter Obi as governor of Anambra State. Some even inquired about the number of years he served as governor of the state. As they searched for this information, according to our analyst, they did not forget to make inquiries about the Independent National Electoral Commission in relation to Mr. Peter Obi’s polling unit, his political party and how to vote for him on February 25, 2023. Surprisingly, the public equally sought information about other candidates while developing interest in these concerns.

Concerns Regarding Voting and PVC

What types of concerns did Nigerians have about voting and PVC in the last 7 days? In the first instance, our analyst discovered that learning how to locate polling units, check PVC online, and identify polling unit codes occupied their minds. In the second instance, they mostly focused on whether their PVC could be used at any polling unit without forgetting whether they could vote without it. One of the surprising concerns was the public’s interest in where to collect PVC. Our analyst found this surprising because the electoral body had made provision for the collection several days ago. So, why was this question still on their minds?

NCC Advises Nigerian Citizens to Ignore Messages Insinuating Shutdown of Network Ahead of Election

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The Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) has advised Nigerians to ignore messages that insinuate deliberate shutdown of all telecom networks and online bank transactions, as Nigeria holds its 2023 presidential election on Saturday.

In a statement by the NCC Director of Public Affairs, Reuben Muoka, he described such claims being circulated as fraudulent and misleading.

He further added that such malicious messages are being circulated by unscrupulous elements in society with the intent to cause chaos and panic among the populace.

The statement read in full,

The attention of the Nigerian Communications Commission, NCC, has been drawn to fraudulent and misleading information circulating in some social media platforms, insinuating there is a planned shutdown of all telecom networks and relevant ICT units, including online transfer facilities of the banks, with effect from 23 February 2023.

The Nigerian public, consumers of telecommunications services, and all bank customers are advised to ignore these or similar messages that insinuate deliberate network shutdown or disruption of services in the Nigerian telecom network.

“These malicious and subversive messages originated and are being circulated by fraudsters and unscrupulous elements in the society with the intent to cause chaos and panic among the populace.

The Commission has received unequivocal assurances from all the service providers to the effect that all the network services are currently in optimal performance, and will not witness any deliberate shutdown or disruptions, especially at this very crucial period of general elections in the country.

Therefore, all users of telecommunications and banking services utilizing network facilities are assured of continued optimal service delivery before, during, and after the general elections in Nigeria.”

In its patriotic commitment towards the conduct of hitch-free elections in Nigeria, the NCC has rolled out its consumer toll-free number 622, to serve in the 2023 presidential election to enable voters and members of the public in Nigeria to report any issue that needs to be resolved during the election.

The 622 Election Incident Monitoring Centre will be manned by top Management officials of the Nigerian Communications Commission, and the hotline will be open to the public from 8:00 am to 6:00am during the presidential and National Assembly elections. The NCC, therefore, urged the members of the public to take advantage of the election incident monitoring center hotline.

Meanwhile, the Nigeria Civil Society Situation Room has informed the Nigeria Communication Commission (NCC) that it will be held responsible for any network issues and internet outages on the day of election.

Nigeria 2023 Election: 87.2m PVCs Collected As INEC Addresses Voting Concerns

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The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) has published a total of 87,209,007 eligible voters cleared out of the 93.5 million it registered to participate in the 2023 elections.

The electoral umpire announced the figures together with other rules guiding the voting exercise of tomorrow’s Presidential and National Assembly elections and the March 11 governorship and state Assembly polls.

The 87.2 million record number of voters were issued their Permanent Voters Cards (PVCs) after vetting and removing invalid registrants, according to INEC. The total number of registered voters in Nigeria stood at 93,469,008, while the number of uncollected PVCs is 6,259,229, according to data released by the electoral body on Wednesday.

The deadline for collection of PVCs, which is a requirement for voting in Nigeria, ended on February 5.

The data shared by INEC shows Lagos topping the chart of PVCs collected in states across the country with 6,214,970, followed by Kano with 5,594,193; Kaduna, 4,164,473; Katsina, 3,459,945; and, Rivers, 3,285,785. Ekiti state with 958, 052, has the lowest figure of PVCs collected and also the lowest number of registered voters.

Data on PVCs collected across the geo-political zones shows that the Southeast has unusual number of voters’ registration and PVC collection this time. However, the North-West leads other zones in the number of PVCs collected with 21,445,000; South-West, 15,536,213; North-Central, 14,603,621; South-South, 13,284,920; North-East, 11,937,769; and, South-East, 10,401,484.

Speaking at a news conference; which had in attendance, former President of Malawi, Joyce Banda, leaders of the International Republican Institute (IRI) and National Democratic Institute (NDI) in Abuja on Wednesday, INEC Chairman, Professor Mahmood Yakubu, announced the dos and don’ts of the electoral exercise.

Chairmen of the electoral commissions of the Republic of Benin, Gambia, Sierra Leone, Namibia, Tanzania and Niger Republic as well as members of the Diplomatic Corps. were also in attendance when Yakubu disclosed that the commission would upload the PVC data collection disaggregation on polling unit basis to its website by Friday.

In his address, Yakubu touched many areas of the electoral process that have been of concern to Nigerians, including timely deployment of electoral materials, assuring voters and election observers that INEC is fully prepared and ready to conduct free and fair elections.

“This election is a huge logistical deployment. We have painstakingly procured, organized and delivered all the materials to the States for deployment. We commenced the delivery of non-sensitive materials over two months ago and they have been batched down to Registration Area/Ward and Pulling Unit levels.

“Sensitive materials have been delivered to the States and are presently being delivered to our Local Government Area offices. As such, these materials are only between one and two levels away from the Polling Units. We have achieved this by learning from our recent difficult experience with logistics. We have completed arrangements with the transport unions for the final leg of the movement of personnel and materials to the Polling Units. They have assured us of their readiness to provide all the vehicular needs of the Commission for the election”, he said.

Regarding the efficacy of technical tools that INEC intends to conduct the elections with, Yakubu said that the commission had also completed all the testing of its technologies, particularly the Bimodal Voter Accreditation System, BVAS and the INEC Results Viewing Portal IReV.

“On 4th February 2023, we tested the BVAS in a mock accreditation exercise and uploaded the results to IReV. We are satisfied with the performance of the BVAS, which has been confirmed by several groups that observed the exercise. Lessons learnt from the exercise have helped us in the training of 10,600 Registration Area Technical Support Staff RATECHS. They will provide the necessary support to ensure that the deployment of the BVAS is without hitches,” he said.

Yakubu used the opportunity to reemphasize that there is no room for voting without PVCs.

“Let me reiterate that the procedure for voting as provided in the Electoral Act 2022 clearly makes the use of the BVAS mandatory. So, also, the use of the Permanent Voters’ Cards PVCs. The ‘No PVC, No Voting’ rule subsists.

“In the last few months, we made 13,676,907 PVCs available for collection for new voters and applicants for transfer and replacement of lost/damaged cards. While we are pleased that the rate of collection is higher than in previous years, there are still, unfortunately, many cards that were not collected,” he said.

Addressing the issue of vote-buying, the INEC Chairman said the commission is working with law enforcement agents to see that the practice, which he described as “a major threat” is curtailed.

He said one of the measures adopted by INEC is the ban on the use of mobile smartphones, which was announced earlier this week, around the voting area.

“Vote-buying remains a major threat to our democracy. We have worked closely with enforcement agencies to ensure that this is eliminated from our electoral process. We are convinced that our joint operations before and on Election Day will vastly reduce the prospect of voter inducement, which is not only illegal but immoral.

“The ban on the use of mobile phones and photographic devices at the voting cubicles is still in place. Some voters have used these devices in previous elections to snap their marked ballot papers for vote transaction. However, citizens are permitted to come to the Polling Units with these devices, as long as they do not take them to the voting cubicles. Our arrangement of placing the ballot box near the voting cubicle and away from party agents remains,” he said.

Addressing the issue of insecurity, which has heightened in the buildup of the elections through series of deadly attacks on INEC’s facilities, Yakubu said the commission has fully recovered and is ready to fulfill its obligation following assurance from security agencies that its staff will be protected.

He further noted that the electoral body is working with the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) to beat the current fuel scarcity that has been fingered as a potential hindrance to deployment of INEC’s logistics.

“In the build-up to the general election, several of our facilities were attacked by unknown assailants in various parts of the country. I am pleased that we have fully recovered from those attacks, and we have been further assured that our facilities, staff, voters, observers, and citizens will be safe during the election.

“As a result of recent developments in the economy, we have also had to consult with the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) on the fuel situation. As you all know, we require Premium Motor Spirit, PMS, and Automotive Gas Oil, AGO, to power vehicles and boast for land and marine transportation as well as our generators during the election.

“We are pleased that the NNPC Limited assured us that it will ensure availability of the products for the polls. Likewise, the Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, has assured us that it will provide us with the small amount of cash we require from our budget to cash payment to some critical service providers for the election. I must reiterate that the bulk of payment for works goods and services are still paid for by electronic transfer.

“I want to assure Nigerians that we are adequately prepared for this election. We remain fully committed to a free, fair and credible process. I want to once again declare that our allegiance is only to Nigerians. Our commitment is to ensure that in this election we put everything in place for free choice, fair contest and credible outcome”, he added.

The Top Slot Developers to Keep an Eye On

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There have been many advances and changes in the online casino world in recent years, but you may not realise how this market is being diversified thanks to the innovations of some of the leading slot developers.

Blueprint Gaming and Their Jackpot King Games

The list of slots online UK players can try includes many from this company, with several titles in the Fishin’ Frenzy range joined by Gold Strike Bonanza and Rise of Atlantis, among others. Blueprint is perhaps best known for the Jackpot King series of games, which all have a linked progressive jackpot that can be won by completing a special mini-game.

Based in the UK, Blueprint releases about 20 new games a year and has been in the online games business for more than a decade. Their catalogue includes a wide mixture of styles, from simple slots to more complex games with a variety of features, with the Deal or No Deal franchise name present in several of their titles.

NetEnt Created Many of the Classics

Look for the most popular games in this genre and you’re sure to see some from NetEnt. Their Starburst slot is one of the simplest yet most enduring slots in the market, while Gordon Ramsay’s Hell’s Kitchen is based on the US TV show. This game has a free spins feature where the reels split into two, giving the player the choice of which kitchen to represent. Gonzo’s Quest is another of their most-loved slots, with the main character of a Spanish conquistador proving versatile enough to inspire several spin-off titles.

NetEnt was founded in Sweden in 1996 and has been a big part of the rise of online casinos through the following decades, as they’ve produced some of the best games that have helped drive the market forward. They continue to produce some of the most appealing slots, thanks to their tie-ins with several big brands and the way that their games are beautifully presented as well as simple to play.

Hacksaw Gaming Adds Quirky Slots

A relative newcomer to the slots business compared to the others that we’ve looked at, Hacksaw has caused a splash with its quirky themes and unusual features. Attention-grabbing titles like Canny Can and the Book of Time make their games stand out, while their catalogue covers all of the classic slot themes as well as some that aren’t so commonly seen.

Based in Malta but registered with the gaming authorities in several countries, Hacksaw has a mobile-first approach that fits perfectly with the current market trends, as more and more people decide to play slots on their mobile devices. Founded in 2017, a lot of their early success was built on their online scratchcards, but they’ve successfully moved into slots by creating clever games and also building up several strategic partnerships.

The Way Forward

With more people than ever before looking to find online slots to play, there is room for these and other developers to carry on growing. This means that we can expect to see the variety of games on offer carry on expanding with new ideas and features that they think will attract more players.

Public Disclaimer Issued by Ndubuisi Ekekwe

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Fellow Citizens, this is a public disclaimer and I write this with all pains. Since the political season began, jobbers for many Nigerian politicians have been working to use my name, image and likeness to deceive young people. I understand my position in our society and the associated burdens and responsibilities. Please note that I am not involved in the viral post titled “Polls: AI technology used to clone Atiku, Okowa’s voices – Expert”. My own Ndubuisi Ekekwe did not speak with anyone. Also, I have never written anything on the use of AI and cloning  within the constructs of Nigerian politics.

In short, I told my staff that no one should accept political adverts for our blog, tekedia.com. We rejected millions of naira as we wanted to avoid any advertising for politicians.  More so, I rejected offers for paid endorsements and all unholy arrangements, running into tens of millions of Naira.

But impersonations continue. Just last week, I saw my name as a co-author of a journal paper which I knew nothing about. Someone added my name, possibly to get his paper accepted; I am working to clear that with the journal. I see my name in conferences and events I have no knowledge of. But this political hack job has taken it to a new level, and please I write to you to disregard it.

I call on Vanguard, etc to take down this post and others unless this Ndubuisi Ekekwe is another Ndubuisi Ekekwe (if so, I will like to meet my Ogboo – namesake). God Bless Nigeria and please #vote tomorrow.