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Allow Both Old and New Naira Notes to Co-circulate – NESG Urges CBN

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Following the harsh impact of the naira redesign policy on economic activities across the country, the Nigeria Economic Summit Group (NESG) has joined other concerned groups to advise the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to make some adjustments for the successful implementation of the policy.

In its report titled: “Naira Redesign Policy: Caught in the Web,” the NESG urged the CBN to adopt a gradual phasing out of the old naira notes by allowing them to co-circulate with the redesigned notes, per ThisDay.

The old notes stopped being a legal tender on February 10, following the expiration of the deadline issued by the central bank. Given the currency scarcity resulting from the premature phasing out of the old notes, the NESG said allowing both the old and new notes to coexist would stave off further adverse socio-economic effects the implementation of the policy is currently having on the economy and will restore confidence in the country’s financial system.

“As laudable as the aims of the CBN were in its decision to redesign the currency, the evidence is that there has been a myriad of unintended challenges, which have been significantly disruptive to economic activity and negatively affected the welfare of citizens. Urgent redress is, therefore, required to stave off further adverse socio-economic effects and to restore confidence in the financial system,” the report said.

The group, having applauded the policy initiative, warned that the prolongation of the new naira notes scarcity will result in further slowdown in Nigeria’s economic activities. The NESG warned that cash shortage may force many productive activities to shut down, especially in the informal sector which controls about 65 percent of Nigeria’s GDP but runs primarily on cash.

The NESG said due to the consequential hardship of the policy on households and businesses, the CBN needs to reconsider prolonging the legal tender usage of the old notes side-by-side with the new notes.

“This is important to give the CBN the opportunity and time to devise effective ways of getting the new note to the unbanked populace and rural dwellers that constitute a large portion of the informal economy. As such, a gradual phasing out of the old note is advised,” the group said.

The NESG advised that the CBN should among other things, expedite the printing of new notes and streamline their distribution channels to ensure efficient delivery of the new notes to commercial banks and other financial institutions. This, it said, will help ensure an adequate supply of cash to meet the public’s demand and reduce long queues and other inconveniences.

The cash crunch resulting from the policy exposed the incapability of Nigeria’s digital financial system, as more people shift to digital transactions.

The NESG said there is an urgent need to expand the capacity of the digital financial system to accommodate the mass migration to digital channels.

“This is important to ensure a seamless transition to digital channels as alternatives to cash. The difficulty experienced by people attempting to use digital channels for transactions suggests that payment platforms are not adequately mature to adjust quickly to a cashless economy,” it said.

In addition to its impact on the informal sector, the NESG noted that the naira redesign policy is capable of dampening investors’ confidence in Nigeria, indicating the need for better policies that will boost financial inclusion.

“Policies such as this further compound the level of uncertainty in the economy, which disincentivises investors from committing their funds to the Nigerian economy.

“With nearly 40 per cent of the adult population being excluded from the financial system, the challenges emanating from the cash crunch following the redesign will amplify the trust deficit in the financial system.

“Hence, many more people will resort to stacking up cash. This will be against the cashless policy agenda of the CBN and will defeat the essence of the Naira redesign policy,” the group warned.

Like NESG, the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) had earlier warned that the policy will yield job losses in the labor market by the first quarter of 2023.

Tech Construction Platform Jumba Secures $4.5 Million Seed Fund

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Tech construction platform that simplifies B2B purchase of construction materials, Jumba has secured a $4.5 million seed fund.

The funding round was led by Local Globe, with participation from Enza capital, Logos Ventures, First Check Africa, Seedstars International Ventures, Foundamental, and Alumni Angel Network.

Jumba co-founder and CEO Kagure Wamunyu disclosed that the startup covers 60% of Kenya’s 47 countries, and is currently scaling its operations to keep up with the growing demand for construction materials with the new funds secured.

In her words,

“We are growing very fast, and our problem has always been that we have way more demand than we can meet.

“Most of our customers are in counties beyond the capital, Nairobi, and the reason is that manufacturing is centralized in Nairobi, but customers are located throughout the country, and that is where we come in because we help with distribution.”

Recall that Jumba raised a 1m pre-seed round in June last year, building a digital business-to-business platform for the predominantly offline construction sector in Kenya. With its recent seed fund secured, this brings the total money raised since inception to $5.5 million.

Launched in April 2022 by co-founder and CEO Kagure Wamunyu and Miano Njoka(CTO), Jumba is a construction technology company that simplifies the purchase and supply of construction materials with a click of a button.

The startup creates efficiencies in the construction materials supply chain by connecting manufacturers to hardware stores. Hardware store owners who place orders through Jumba’s platform benefit from product selection, reliable delivery, and standardized pricing. 

Jumba during its early stage was initially serving only retailers of construction materials before the co-founders began to supply construction materials to estate developers. With the volume of demand, the startup then realized it could serve both retailers and developers.

Retailers can access financing through services like buy now pay later, (BNPL) from Jumba bank partners. The startup puts a lot of emphasis on understanding customers, what they need, their pain points, and then tailor products to fit them.

Jumba offers payment options such as Mpesa Paybill, Pesalink to the startup’s bank account, or a Bank RTGS. It currently operates in Nairobi, Garissa, Nakuru, and Njoro in Kenya, with plans to expand in East Africa.

On the other hand, the Kenyan construction market was valued at $16.6 billion in 2021 and has been predicted to achieve an AAGR of more than 5% during 2023-2026. The forecast period growth in the industry will be supported by investments in housing, transport, manufacturing projects, and electricity.

In Nigeria, Look for the Profitability Path As Quickly As Possible in Your Business

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I teach blitzscaling but I caution Nigerian startups NOT to do it mindlessly until we can have a more predictable economic ecosystem. The gestation period to profitability in a typical Nigerian startup is long. That long gestation is also the reason why many startups and small businesses collapse after a few years of founding. Typically, in startups, you raise capital, ramp up market entry, grow fast and then  attain profitability. But in our extremely volatile economy, if the timing is off by months during the ramp up phase, the company can collapse. You just run out of cash.

Yes, your new business problem in Nigeria is not just capital but the long gestation period required for profitability, affected by many factors at scale. Those factors include the fact that every business is a local government since you provide your light (generator), water (borehole), security (guards), etc. It is based on this that I tell founders – Do Not Blitzscale in Nigeria because if one core metric misaligns, you will struggle.

Many Nigerian startups and small businesses will struggle due to the apocalypse of the new Naira policy. That is a huge fudge factor which will affect the supply chain and many components of business.

There is a reason why the legends in markets like Ovia, Elumelu, Dangote, etc look boring on their speed of growth: they do everything to find paths to profitability. Profitability means that your customers are now the investors in the business, and not just the venture capitalists. With a profitable path secured, whatever the economy throws, they can handle.

But if you keep growing and keep growing thinking that one day you will own everything, you may not even live for that fantasy day. This is the state in Africa and we have to pay attention. Indeed, there is no absolute guarantee of that next fund and you have to have an internal gameplay to survive.

Blitzscaling within a stochastic system is an illusion and pure guesswork since the leverages cannot be put in order. Yes, the greatest entrepreneurs in Nigeria stay the course, go slow, and manage the state of our entropy. They look boring but there is a reason for that: you survive if you can find how to make profit rather than trying to go for dominance only to be tripped into oblivion.

Sure, in America, blitzscale because they have truck loads of funds, but in Nigeria/Africa, work towards a path of profitability because investors are not patient there (as in old Konga, Kalahari, Efirtin, Mall4Africa, etc).

Comment on Feed

Comment 1: In summary, consider your environment wherever you do business.
In addition to SWOT/SOAR analysis, I do PESTEL (Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Environmental, and Legal) analysis to evaluate the business environment when consulting. This analysis helps businesses to identify factors that could enable or threaten their existence. If you ignore your environment, the quality of your product/service may not be strong enough to save you.

Comment 2: Valid, Sir. In as much as I found Reid’s Blitzscaling material insightful, I hardly encourage many in this clime to read; rather Jim Collins’ series- Good to great, Built to last and co., is a more responsible advice.

Nigeria is not as stable and buoyant to make certain decisions; and even if we were it would be irresponsible to make that a fist choice under peculiar circumstances- even the Big Boys SoftBank Group International are now sober.

If an elevator/rocket launcher shows up fine but have the mind of using the steps. #Grow Gradually.

Comment 2A: Whilst it is true that Reid’s book is somewhat strange and goes against reasoning, I still believe every founders should read it; not to apply the lessons in all situations, but at least be aware of its impracticality in some markets.

 

Cross-Border Payment Platform Chipper Cash Carries Out Second Round of Layoff

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Africa’s cross-border payment platform Chipper Cash has recently carried out a second round of layoff, letting go about 140 employees, which is more than a third of its workforce.

The payment platform didn’t disclose the exact number of employees impacted but revealed that reports are relatively accurate.

Chipper Cash V.P of revenue Stefano Pardi, via a LinkedIn post, announced the layoff of some employees at the company, noting that all areas were impacted, from Recruiting, HR, Marketing, Pricing, Product, Analytics, UX, Research, Legal, and more.

Friday was a sad day for Chipper Cash, as many talented people were let go.

For my network: there is an incredibly talented pool of individuals across the US, UK, South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya, and more. They are all highly experienced in managing very complex, multicultural teams and projects in Fintech. All areas have been impacted, from Recruiting, HR, Marketing, Pricing, Product, Analytics, UX, Research, Legal, and more.

If you are recruiting: look out for the Chipper Cash folks, you might have the opportunity of a lifetime to hire competent, passionate, and driven people into your team. They are all battle-scarred and experienced in scaling a business!

For my Chipper family, my network is open to you. Reach out/connect if you need help! I have been honored to work with many of you and I am here to support as I can.

He, therefore, urged recruiters to consider looking out for laid-off chipper cash employees, noting that they might have the opportunity of a lifetime to hire competent, passionate, and driven people into their team.

He wrote, “Friday was a sad day for Chipper Cash, as many talented people were let go. For my network: there is an incredibly talented pool of individuals across the US, UK, South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya, and more.

“They are all highly experienced in managing very complex, multicultural teams and projects in Fintech. All areas have been impacted, from Recruiting, HR, Marketing, Pricing, Product, Analytics, UX, Research, Legal, and more.

“If you are recruiting: look out for the Chipper Cash folks, you might have the opportunity of a lifetime to hire competent, passionate, and driven people into your team. They are all battle-scarred and experienced in scaling a business! For my Chipper family, my network is open to you. Reach out/connect if you need help! I have been honored to work with many of you and I am here to support you as I can.”

Chipper cash which was valued at $2 billion in 2021, after it raised $150 million in a series C extension, laid off some of its employees last year in December in its first round of layoff.

About 50 employees were affected across multiple departments, which saw the engineering team take the biggest hit, with around 60% of those laid off coming from the department.

There were suggestions that the trimming of the workforce at the company was linked to its relationship with the collapsed crypto exchange FTX which filed for chapter 11 bankruptcy in November last year.

Since its inception, Chipper cash has raised over $305 million from investors. Founded in 2018 by Ugandan Ham Serunjogi and Ghanian Maijid Moujaaled, Chipper cash offers mobile-based no fee, P2P payment services in Eight African countries such as Tanzania, Uganda, Nigeria, Rwanda, Kenya, South Africa, Ghana, and has expanded to a market outside Africa, the U.K.

The company is currently valued between $1 billion to $2 billion, joining the likes of billion-dollar companies like Interswitch, Jumia, Flutterwave, etc.

Why Nigerian Businesses Should Focus on Building Goodwill and Customer Loyalty During Naira Scarcity: A Tale of the Tortoise and the Dog

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In one of Yoruba’s moonlight tales, it was told that a long time ago, there was famine in the animal kingdom and all the animals were confused about what to do to salvage the situation. So they all turned to Tortoise for insights since he’s the one with a reputation for wisdom and cunning in the community. Tortoise noticed that the subsisting famine was due to overpopulation of the community. Therefore, he suggested that every member of the clan should sacrifice their mothers for the economic sustenance of the clan.

After a protracted debate, the entire community eventually agreed with Tortoise and they developed a pact to guide the execution of the idea. Every member of the clan conformed to the pact except Dog who hid his mother at a very elevated point in place far away from the community.

Several years after, when all of the members of the clan have sacrificed their mothers, the famine still persisted and it became worse than ever before. Then, all the animals began to grow emaciated and some died of hunger. But Dog was getting chubbier and healthier on a daily basis to the amazement of the rest of the animals.

Every time Tortoise approached Dog to enquire about the secret of his success, Dog would simply reply him; “it’s the grace of God my friend.” Then, one day Tortoise could no longer contain his curiosity and thus decided to monitor Dog’s movement and daily routine. He eventually discovered that in the stark night when the rest of the animals had gone to sleep, Dog would normally leave his homestead to a place at the village outskirt.

One night, Tortoise trailed Dog to his secret place, and noticed from a distance that when Dog got to a particular point, he announced in a lyrical tone “Sweet mother send down the rope, your beloved only child is here to feed from your grace” Then a rope descended to lift Dog up from the ground.

Tortoise quickly rushed back to the village and called for an emergency meeting with the rest of the animals. He declared he has discovered the secret to Dog’s wealth. He narrated his experience and then suggested that Dog should be arrested the following night for him to be able to completely unravel the mystery.

In line with Tortoise idea, the King ordered for the arrest of Dog the following night, and then Tortoise ran to Dog’s secrete venue and mimicked his lyrical tone, “Sweet mother send down the rope, your beloved only child is here to feed from your grace.” As expected, a rope descended to the ground and Tortoise quickly held on to it to be lifted up. But after withdrawing the rope several miles above the ground level, Dog’s mother realized it was not her child and she quickly let go of the rope and Tortoise fell to the ground from that altitude.

Several themes and morals developed from the storyline, one of which is the reward for loyalty and unconditional love for family, friends and neighbours, especially at a time of need, social crisis and ethical dilemma. Also, it transpired from the plot of the story that prioritizing the long-term consequences of our actions over their corresponding quick fixes or short-term gains has enduring social benefits.

Experiences have shown that times of scarcity and economic crises often come with opportunities to unlock abundance of wealth and favour. However, to sustainably profit from the opportunities of the moment one needs to be open-minded and develop empathy in the quest for economic survival. The same invariably holds as true about building a sustainable business.

However, it is quite worrisome that during scarcity, some entrepreneurs scramble for quick fixes and opportunities to over-profit from the wave of the moment even at the detriment of their customers. This has been a major trouble with the implementation of the Naira redesign policy and its consequent Naira scarcity in Nigeria.

Most businesses or sales outlets in the country that had hitherto provided their customers with a free cashless option have now delisted that value-added service from their daily operations; rather, most of them now have an internal Point of Sales unit for customers without physical cash to make payments for their purchases, thereby forcing these helpless customers to incur additional cost.

About two weeks ago, I needed to purchase fuel from a filling station in my neighbourhood. This particular filling station sells its fuel at the rate of 350 Naira per litre. Since it was the only filling station around that sells for individuals with gallons, most customers with gallons had little options than to accept their fate indignantly. Due to the hike in fuel price, I could only afford to buy 3 litres instead of my usual 7 litres. However, I became more disconcerted when I offered to use my debit card to make payment and I was told to use a POS stand owned by the petrol station for an additional fee of 200 Naira. This has been my usual experience across many sales outlets and stores since the wake of the naira crunch since the last couple of weeks.

Generally, during economic crisis the integrity of businesses is often subjected to public scrutiny. Businesses that fare well with the test of time invariably develop goodwill and are ultimately rewarded with enduring customer loyalty. Customers observe; they understand the businesses that have their true interest at heart during crisis and they reward these businesses exceedingly when the economy is restored. It is based on the awareness of this mechanics of sustainable business development that strategic leaders double down on their corporate social services during economic crisis.

Rather than add to the problems of their existing and potential customers, forward-thinking business leaders consider how they can improve the general condition of their customers and, by extension, their host communities. This is a social investment with a long-term economic benefit.