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Home Blog Page 46

AI Cost War: Why Inference Economics Will Define the Next Decade, and Why We Invested in Piris Lab

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Accountants call it marginal cost. Economists often discuss it through the lens of unit economics. Whatever discipline you choose, the underlying question is the same: what happens to the cost of producing one more unit as scale increases?

Traditional software companies enjoyed one of the most beautiful economic characteristics ever discovered in business. Once the software has been built, the cost of serving an additional customer approaches zero. As users increased, the marginal cost curve moved closer and closer toward zero, creating a near-asymptotic relationship. This economic structure enabled extraordinary operating leverage and helped create some of the most valuable companies in history. In practical terms, adding more customers often made the business stronger, more profitable, and more efficient.

That is why software produced something Adam Smith never truly experienced in his era: accelerating returns. The fixed asset, the software platform, could continue serving increasing numbers of users while variable costs grew only marginally. The result was a business model where scale itself became a competitive advantage.

Artificial Intelligence changes that equation. Unlike traditional software, AI often behaves more like a classical industrial enterprise. Every new user may trigger additional inference costs, computing costs, storage costs, model-serving costs, and infrastructure expenses. As usage scales, costs do not naturally collapse toward zero. In many cases, they rise alongside demand. The economic profile begins to resemble manufacturing more than software.

This introduces the old economic reality of diminishing returns. If not carefully managed, each additional customer may contribute less value than the previous one. In extreme situations, growth itself can become expensive. Yes, more customers can actually push an AI company toward financial distress if the unit economics are poorly designed!

This challenge explains why nearly every serious AI company is attempting to build proprietary inference infrastructure, optimize models, develop custom chips, or reduce dependence on third-party providers. The battle is no longer merely about intelligence; it is increasingly about economics.

Simply, without solving the inference-cost problem, AI businesses may follow the economic trajectory of traditional industrial companies rather than the trajectory of software legends like Facebook. Put differently, without strong inference economics, AI begins to look more like a cement factory than a social network or software operating system.

And that is why the race to reduce inference costs may become one of the most important competitions of the AI age. It is also one of the reasons Tekedia Capital invested in Piris Lab. We believe the future of AI will not be determined solely by who builds the smartest models, but also by who can run those models most efficiently. Intelligence without economical delivery remains a constrained opportunity. And before AI models can evolve, hardware must have emerged to power them. That conviction is what led us to write the cheque for Piris Lab.

Piris Lab is developing a next-generation photonic computing system designed to perform AI inference at the speed of light. By leveraging photons rather than relying solely on traditional electronic architectures, the company seeks to dramatically reduce latency, improve performance, and lower the cost of deploying AI at scale.

Good People, if AI is to become truly ubiquitous, powering everything from personal assistants and autonomous systems to healthcare, manufacturing, and scientific discovery, the economics must improve. The industry cannot sustainably scale if every additional user significantly increases computational costs.

We see photonics as one of the most promising pathways to solving that challenge. In many ways, future AI winners may emerge not only from advances in algorithms, but also from breakthroughs in the physical infrastructure that makes intelligence affordable and accessible.

We believe the company is helping build the foundational infrastructure required to advance the next phase of the AI revolution.

[Register] Capital Market: Making Capital Out of Money

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One of the greatest misconceptions in economics is to assume that money and capital are the same thing. They are not. Money is what sits in your pocket, wallet, bank account, or safe. Capital is what happens when that money is deployed productively to create more value.

A nation can have plenty of money and still remain poor if that money is not transformed into productive assets, businesses, infrastructure, factories, technology, and investments.

The difference between developed and developing economies often comes down to one factor: the ability to convert money into capital. When citizens buy bonds, invest in companies, fund entrepreneurs, purchase shares, support innovation, or finance infrastructure, money graduates into capital. And once money becomes capital, it begins to create jobs, wealth, productivity, and prosperity.

This is why capital markets matter. The capital market is the institutional engine that transforms idle money into productive capital. It connects savers with builders, investors with entrepreneurs, and citizens with national development. Through it, a young company can become a global enterprise, a government can finance infrastructure, and ordinary citizens can participate in wealth creation.

Good People, if Nigeria is to become a truly prosperous nation, we must understand this distinction. The future belongs not merely to those who have money, but to those who know how to convert money into capital.

That is why we created the Tekedia Nigeria Capital Market Masterclass. Over 8 weeks and 14 modules, we will explain the structure, regulations, operators, technologies, products, infrastructure, and mechanics of one of the most important sectors in Nigeria’s economy.

Whether you are an investor, entrepreneur, professional, policymaker, student, or simply curious about how wealth systems work, this program will provide practical insights into the machinery that powers modern economies. Join us and learn how legends emerge when money becomes capital. Register here today  to master the mechanics of Nigeria’s capital market. Program begins June 15.

Strategy CEO Saylor Hints at More Bitcoin Purchase Amid Mounting Bearish Pressure

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Strategy CEO Michael Saylor has once again sparked speculation about another major Bitcoin acquisition, as the crypto asset continues to face bearish pressure and heightened market uncertainty.

The outspoken Bitcoin advocate recently shared a cryptic message on social media, a move that has historically preceded fresh purchases by the company.

On Sunday, Saylor shared the message “Working ?etter on X, accompanied by a StrategyTracker chart detailing the company’s massive Bitcoin treasury.

The post was quickly amplified by several users who interpreted the Bitcoin-themed pun as a subtle signal that more acquisitions could be on the horizon.

Strategy has developed a reputation for announcing Bitcoin purchases on Mondays, turning the start of the week into a closely watched event for cryptocurrency investors.

Over the years, the company has consistently used market weakness as an opportunity to increase its Bitcoin holdings, reinforcing its long-term conviction in the asset.

This pattern has led many traders and analysts to monitor its Monday announcements for clues about institutional demand and broader market sentiment.

Bitcoin is currently pinned below $75,000 after falling more than 5% over the past week, with institutional selling, heavy liquidations, and macroeconomic uncertainty keeping the cryptocurrency under pressure. The crypto asset is currently trading at $72,838 at the time of writing this report, amid mounting bearish pressure.

With Bitcoin trading below key resistance levels and investor sentiment turning cautious, market participants are closely watching Strategy’s next move, anticipating that another large-scale accumulation could reinforce confidence in the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

Strategy Current Bitcoin Holdings

According to the chart shared by Saylor, Strategy now holds 843,738 BTC, valued at approximately $62.24 billion as of May 31, 2026.

The company has acquired these coins through 110 purchase events at an average cost basis of around $75,701 per Bitcoin. This positions Strategy as one of the largest corporate holders of Bitcoin, representing a significant portion of the total supply.

The latest major addition appears to have been earlier in May, with the company pausing larger buys in recent weeks amid market conditions. Saylor’s latest message has led many to speculate that a new purchase announcement, typically filed via an 8-K with the SEC may be imminent.

Saylor’s Enduring Bitcoin Strategy

Saylor has transformed Strategy into a leading Bitcoin proxy for investors. The company continues to leverage equity offerings, convertible notes, and other financial tools to fund Bitcoin acquisitions, treating BTC as its primary reserve asset.

This approach has drawn both strong praise from Bitcoin maximalists and criticism from those concerned about debt levels and stock volatility. Even with occasional slowdowns in purchasing pace, Saylor’s commitment has remained steadfast.

His posts often serve as motivational updates or gentle market signals, keeping the community engaged during quieter periods.

His recent “Working ?etter” message arrives at a time when Bitcoin market participants are watching macroeconomic factors, institutional adoption trends, and corporate treasury movements closely.

Last week, amid Bitcoin significant price decline that saw it trade below the $73k price zone, Saylor delivered one of his most striking messages yet, simply the word “HODL”. The Strategy CEO reminded investors  that the trajectory will change and their job is not to react to it.

Whether his latest post directly precedes another large buy or simply reflects Saylor’s ongoing enthusiasm, it reinforces his reputation as Bitcoin’s most vocal corporate champion.

As of June 1, 2026, all eyes remain on Strategy’s next filing and Saylor’s future updates.

Outlook

The coming days could prove significant for both Strategy and the broader Bitcoin market. Given the company’s well-established pattern of announcing purchases on Mondays, investors will be watching closely for any new SEC filings or official statements confirming additional acquisitions.

A fresh Bitcoin purchase by Strategy could provide a psychological boost to the market at a time when sentiment remains fragile.

Beyond Strategy’s actions, Bitcoin’s near-term direction is likely to be influenced by broader macroeconomic developments, including interest rate expectations, geopolitical tension, global liquidity conditions, and institutional fund flows. If

Bitcoin can reclaim key resistance levels above $75,000, bullish momentum could gradually return. However, failure to hold current support levels may expose the asset to further downside pressure in the short term.

Stablecoins Expected to Fade as Central Bank Official Bets on Rise of Tokenized Bank Deposits

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The future of digital money may not belong to stablecoins after all.

While stablecoins have emerged as one of the fastest-growing segments of the cryptocurrency market, a growing debate among policymakers and financial institutions suggests that tokenized bank deposits could eventually eclipse them, reshaping how digital payments and financial transactions are conducted over the next decade.

That debate came into sharp focus at a financial conference in Croatia on Sunday, where Bank of England policymaker Megan Greene argued that tokenized deposits, rather than stablecoins, are likely to become the dominant form of digital money.

“I think tokenized deposits are probably going to take over from stablecoins and five years from now, I suspect we might wonder why we were talking about stablecoins,” Greene said.

There has been a growing divide among regulators and central bankers over the future architecture of digital finance, particularly as governments, commercial banks, and technology firms race to develop alternatives to traditional payment systems.

The debate hangs on three competing forms of digital money: stablecoins, central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), and tokenized bank deposits.

Stablecoins are privately issued digital tokens, typically backed by assets such as U.S. Treasury securities or cash reserves, designed to maintain a stable value. They have become increasingly popular for payments, cross-border transfers, and cryptocurrency trading.

Tokenized deposits, by contrast, are digital representations of traditional bank deposits issued directly by commercial banks on blockchain-based networks. Because they remain liabilities of regulated banks, proponents argue they combine the efficiency of blockchain technology with the safety and regulatory protections of the existing banking system.

Greene believes commercial banks have been slow to embrace tokenized deposits largely because they fear losing lucrative fee income and disrupting existing business models.

“Digital deposits haven’t taken off because commercial banks don’t want to lose the fees,” she said. “But they’re going to lose them anyhow and when they realize this, they will put more effort into developing these.”

Major lenders in Europe, the United States, and Asia have accelerated experiments with tokenized deposits as they seek to modernize payment infrastructure while retaining customer funds within the banking system. The issue has become important because stablecoins are increasingly viewed as a potential threat to banks’ traditional deposit base.

If consumers and businesses begin holding significant portions of their cash in stablecoins rather than bank accounts, lenders could lose a key source of funding used to support lending activities.

Greene also raised concerns about stablecoins themselves, questioning both their reliability and broader economic impact.

She argued that stablecoins are “not so stable,” citing ongoing questions surrounding reserve backing, regulation, and their use in illicit financial activities. She further warned that a migration of deposits from banks into stablecoins could weaken the effectiveness of monetary policy by reducing the influence central banks exert through the banking system.

Yet not everyone shares that view.

Joining Greene on the same panel, Christopher Waller offered a strong defense of stablecoins, describing them as a legitimate financial innovation that could increase competition and lower costs in the payments industry.

“I’ve always just looked at stablecoins as a payment instrument; there’s nothing evil about it, nothing dangerous about it,” Waller said. “They are just bringing competition into the payments world.”

Waller argued that the market’s enthusiasm for stablecoins reflects genuine demand for faster and more efficient payment systems, particularly for international transactions.

“These things are used for cross-border payments, and they are scaring the banks,” he said. “If you think banks don’t think this is a threat, then why are they lobbying so hard to stop it?”

In the United States, lawmakers have increasingly sought to establish frameworks that would allow stablecoins to operate within a regulated environment. Supporters contend that properly supervised stablecoins could improve payment efficiency, reduce transaction costs, and challenge entrenched financial intermediaries.

Global stablecoin circulation has grown into the hundreds of billions of dollars, and many analysts expect further expansion as tokenized finance becomes more mainstream.

At the same time, central banks continue exploring their own digital alternatives. The Bank of England, the European Central Bank, the People’s Bank of China, and numerous other monetary authorities have studied or tested central bank digital currencies, though most projects remain in pilot stages.

Greene used an analogy to describe the competition among these different forms of digital money.

“I like to think of it as a massive race between the tortoise, the hare and the rhino,” she said.

“The tortoise is the central bank digital currency. The hare is stablecoins and the rhino is tokenized deposits. We’ll probably end up with all three, but if I had to put money in one, it would be the rhino, tokenized deposits, which I think will probably take off.”

The outcome of that race remains uncertain. Stablecoins currently enjoy a significant first-mover advantage and growing adoption in payments and digital asset markets. CBDCs carry the backing of sovereign governments. Tokenized deposits offer the trust and regulatory framework of traditional banking.

Why Most Tokenomics Fail Before Launch

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Tokenomics is often described as the economic engine that powers a cryptocurrency project. It determines how tokens are distributed, how incentives are aligned, and how value flows through an ecosystem. Yet despite the growing sophistication of the digital asset industry, most tokenomics models fail long before a project ever reaches meaningful adoption.

In many cases, the seeds of failure are planted before the token is even launched. One of the biggest reasons tokenomics fail is that they are designed to attract speculation rather than create sustainable utility. Project teams frequently focus on generating excitement through airdrops, staking rewards, and aggressive yield incentives.

While these tactics can attract users quickly, they often create a community that is interested only in short-term profits. Once rewards decline or market conditions weaken, participants leave, causing activity and demand to collapse. Another common problem is poor token distribution. Many projects allocate large portions of their token supply to insiders, venture capital investors, advisors, and team members.

Although these stakeholders provide funding and support, excessive allocations can create significant selling pressure when lockup periods expire. Retail investors often become wary of participating in ecosystems where a small group controls a large percentage of the circulating supply, leading to a lack of confidence and weak long-term engagement.

Inflation is another major challenge. Some projects attempt to drive adoption by issuing large numbers of new tokens as rewards. While this strategy can temporarily increase user participation, it often creates a situation where token supply grows faster than demand.

As more tokens enter circulation, prices decline, reducing the attractiveness of holding the asset. Without strong demand drivers, inflationary tokenomics can quickly become unsustainable. A lack of genuine utility also contributes to failure. Many projects launch tokens without clearly defining why users need them. If a token’s primary purpose is speculation, it becomes difficult to maintain value over time.

Successful tokenomics typically connect token ownership to real benefits, such as governance rights, fee reductions, access to services, or participation in ecosystem growth. Without these functions, tokens struggle to justify their existence. Market conditions can further expose weaknesses in token design. During bull markets, flawed tokenomics are often hidden by rising prices and abundant liquidity.

Investors focus on momentum rather than fundamentals. However, when markets become more challenging, unsustainable incentive structures, poor distribution models, and weak utility become obvious. Projects that appeared successful during periods of optimism can quickly unravel when demand slows. Another overlooked issue is excessive complexity.

Some teams design intricate token systems involving multiple reward mechanisms, burns, emissions schedules, and governance layers. While these structures may appear innovative, they can confuse users and discourage participation. Simplicity often proves more effective than complexity when building long-term economic systems.

Most tokenomics fail before launch because they prioritize fundraising and hype over sustainable economic design. Successful token economies require balanced incentives, fair distribution, meaningful utility, controlled inflation, and alignment between users, developers, and investors. As the cryptocurrency industry matures, projects that treat tokenomics as a long-term economic framework rather than a marketing tool will be far more likely to survive and thrive in competitive markets.