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How to Vet an Alternative Asset Manager in 2026

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Alternative assets represent an $18 trillion global market, and vetting an alternative asset manager to take care of your stake in it requires looking beyond basic historical performance. In a volatile macro environment, institutional allocators and family offices face a landscape where traditional strategy boundaries are blurring and operational risks are compounding. True due diligence means digging into the structural, technical, and operational machinery that drives sustainable returns.

The baseline for any serious evaluation starts with absolute clarity of strategy and rigorous institutional controls. Investors must look for managers who can clearly articulate their edge, back it up with fully audited track records, and demonstrate robust risk mitigation protocols.

Image Source: Google Gemini

The Core Pillars of Modern Operational Due Diligence

A comprehensive institutional framework separates top-tier managers from the rest of the field. Evaluation must focus heavily on infrastructure, alignment of interests, and structural transparency.

Evaluating the technical foundation requires examining how a firm manages data and executes strategy across different functions. The industry is moving rapidly toward unified operating environments.

A premier example of this evolution is a multi-division platform that seamlessly integrates alternative assets, wealth advisory, and data-driven intelligence, such as the operational model deployed by the Abacus Global Management firm for its many clients. When evaluating an organization, look closely at how information flows between its portfolio management systems and risk controls.

A manager’s operational framework must withstand deep operational inspection before any capital is committed. Sophisticated allocators use a specific checklist during this phase of the review:

  • A technology stack that utilizes advanced data governance to prevent operational leakage
  • A clear fee design with clawback provisions that protect the limited partners
  • A transparent reporting cadence that provides granular portfolio visibility

Liquidity terms must align precisely with the underlying asset class. Mismatches between fund redemption terms and the actual time required to liquidate assets are a frequent driver of fund distress during market corrections.

Navigating Emerging Markets and Founder-Led Frameworks

Deploying capital into emerging markets introduces distinct layers of complexity. Standard regulatory frameworks often look different across jurisdictions, making localized knowledge and specialized compliance infrastructure non-negotiable.

Managers operating in these regions require heightened scrutiny regarding local political risk, currency hedging mechanisms, and legal protections for foreign investors. For founder-operator limited partners, evaluating a manager also involves assessing key-person risk and succession planning. A brilliant investment strategy means very little if the firm’s entire institutional knowledge rests in the head of a single individual without a clear corporate governance structure.

Regulatory bodies have tightened oversight on valuation policies, meaning that third-party valuation verification is no longer optional for illiquid alternatives. Managers must show a repeatable, documented process for marking assets to market, especially when dealing with complex or distressed credit instruments.

Designing the Ultimate Allocator Framework

Securing capital preservation requires an ongoing commitment to monitoring. Due diligence is not a one-time gatekeeping exercise; it is a continuous process of verification throughout the investment lifecycle.

The most successful limited partners establish an active monitoring system that tracks style drift, team turnover, and operational compliance on a quarterly basis. Reviewing current industry Whitepapers and operational case studies on private market governance can provide allocators with deeper insights into updating their internal evaluation protocols. Reading more posts on our site is a great way to expand your understanding of the top-level topics discussed above.

U.S. Postal Service Avoids Near-Term Cash Crisis, But Structural Deficit and Delivery Mandate Keep Long-Term Risks Intact

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The U.S. Postal Regulatory Commission has told lawmakers that the U.S. Postal Service (USPS) is unlikely to run out of cash next year, easing immediate concerns about a liquidity crisis, but warned that the agency remains under severe structural strain that cannot be resolved without deeper reforms.

Robert Taub, vice chair of the regulator, said in testimony before a House subcommittee that recent financial relief measures and internal cost adjustments have extended the timeline for what officials describe as USPS’s “reported insolvency” by several years. However, he stressed that the improvement is largely a function of timing and accounting flexibility rather than a reversal of underlying losses.

“Given the Postal Service’s severe and worsening financial situation, we as a nation must respond,” Taub said. “I do not believe that we can leave it up to the Postal Service to save itself.”

The testimony underscores a familiar tension in USPS finances: short-term stabilization versus long-term solvency. While cash flow pressures have been partially eased through policy adjustments, the agency continues to face a persistent imbalance between revenue and its legally mandated nationwide service obligations.

Postmaster General David Steiner has separately warned that USPS could face a cash shortfall as early as February, highlighting a divergence between internal operational projections and regulatory assessments. The regulator’s view suggests that insolvency is not imminent, but remains structurally embedded unless spending and service requirements are fundamentally reworked.

USPS has reported cumulative net losses of about $120 billion since 2007, driven largely by the collapse of first-class mail volumes and the continued obligation to maintain a nationwide delivery network. First-class mail, once the agency’s most profitable segment, has been steadily displaced by digital communication, while fixed delivery costs have remained high.

A central policy question now before lawmakers is whether USPS should continue delivering mail six days a week to roughly 170 million addresses. That service requirement alone is estimated to cost about $3.4 billion annually, according to congressional testimony, and is increasingly viewed as a major constraint on cost efficiency.

Taub also pointed to unintended consequences of the Postal Service’s six-year-old reform framework, noting that while it was designed to improve financial sustainability, it has not stopped ongoing losses and may have contributed to slower delivery times, particularly in rural areas where delivery routes are less efficient and more costly to maintain.

The agency’s financial position has prompted a series of emergency and stopgap measures. USPS recently suspended non-essential spending, including travel, office supplies, and consulting services, as part of an effort to preserve liquidity and prioritize core operations.

It has also taken more significant fiscal actions. The Postal Service suspended employer contributions to a federal pension program, a move expected to free up roughly $2.5 billion through September 30 and as much as $15 billion through 2030, depending on how long the suspension remains in place. In parallel, it announced an increase in the price of first-class stamps to 82 cents from 78 cents, effective July 12, marking another incremental attempt to close the revenue gap.

These measures collectively provide short-term breathing room but do not address what regulators describe as the core issue: a business model built around declining mail demand but still required to maintain high-cost universal delivery coverage across the country.

USPS has also been exploring broader restructuring efforts. In March, Steiner said the agency was hiring restructuring advisers and had asked Congress for additional reforms, signaling recognition that operational adjustments alone are insufficient to stabilize long-term finances.

The regulator’s testimony shows that the USPS challenge is not simply cyclical but structural. The agency is bound by a public-service mandate that private logistics competitors do not carry, including universal delivery obligations and politically sensitive pricing constraints.

At the same time, competitive pressure from private parcel carriers has intensified. While package delivery tied to e-commerce had been expected to offset mail declines, USPS has faced stiff competition in higher-margin segments, limiting its ability to diversify revenue at scale.

Against this backdrop, recent financial relief measures—while meaningful—function more as liquidity management tools than durable fixes. Suspending pension payments and cutting discretionary spending improve near-term cash flow, but do not fundamentally resolve the gap between operating costs and mandated service requirements.

Taub’s testimony effectively reframes the debate in Washington: the question is no longer whether USPS can survive next year, but whether it can continue operating under its current mandate without sustained fiscal intervention or structural reform.

Absent legislative action, the Postal Service is likely to remain in a prolonged state of financial stress—able to avoid immediate insolvency, but dependent on periodic policy adjustments to stay solvent while losses accumulate over time.

Anthropic’s IPO Move Underscores AI Arms Race As Capital Needs Surge Toward Trillion-Dollar Scale

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Artificial intelligence startup Anthropic has taken a major step toward becoming a publicly traded company as the race to build ever more powerful AI models is rapidly evolving into one of the most capital-intensive battles in technology history.

Just days after announcing a $65 billion fundraising round that valued the company at approximately $965 billion, Anthropic disclosed that it has confidentially filed for an initial public offering, positioning itself to become one of the most closely watched stock market debuts in years.

The move comes amid extraordinary investor appetite for exposure to frontier AI companies. Multiple investors told TechCrunch that Anthropic’s latest fundraising round was heavily oversubscribed, a sign that demand for shares continues to far exceed available supply.

Yet Anthropic’s decision to pursue a public listing highlights a reality increasingly confronting leading AI developers: private capital alone may no longer be sufficient to fund the next stage of AI development.

Speaking at the Bloomberg Tech conference, co-founder Daniela Amodei said the economics of frontier AI are driving the need for broader access to capital markets.

“It’s a really big upfront cost to train the models and to serve inference on them,” Amodei said. “My guess is that over time, the sort of core set of companies that are working to advance the frontier are just going to need access to capital, and I think the public market is very well suited to that.”

Her comments offer a glimpse into the financial realities reshaping the AI sector. Unlike previous software booms, where startups could scale with relatively modest infrastructure spending, today’s frontier AI companies require tens of billions of dollars for advanced chips, computing infrastructure, data centers, networking systems, and electricity.

Anthropic’s growth trajectory has helped justify investor enthusiasm. The company said annualized revenue reached $47 billion in May, a dramatic increase from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025. Such growth has placed Anthropic among the fastest-scaling technology companies ever recorded.

However, the pace of expansion is also raising questions about sustainability.

Many corporations have aggressively increased spending on AI tools, but some are beginning to scrutinize whether those investments are generating measurable returns. Companies, including Uber Technologies, have acknowledged that while AI delivers significant benefits, not every AI expenditure has produced immediate productivity gains.

That has sparked debate among investors about whether enterprise AI spending could eventually moderate after the current surge.

Amodei dismissed concerns that demand is nearing saturation.

“The use cases today, I expect will continue to be the primary driver of efficiency or creativity, whether that’s coding, financial services, legal, health care,” she said. “But as the business community gets more familiar with the tools, we’re all going to learn together.”

Her argument underpins a widely held view among AI developers that adoption remains in its early stages. Many executives believe companies are still experimenting with AI deployment and have yet to fully integrate the technology into core business processes.

The IPO filing also sheds light on Anthropic’s distinctive infrastructure strategy.

Unlike rivals such as OpenAI and xAI, which have pursued ambitious plans to build dedicated AI infrastructure, Anthropic has largely avoided owning massive data-center assets outright. Instead, the company has preferred partnerships and leasing arrangements that allow it to expand computing capacity without making enormous long-term infrastructure commitments.

“Anthropic’s view has always been wanting to plan for the best outcome but not overextend ourselves such that we’re buying more compute than we could productively use,” Amodei said.

That approach points to growing uncertainty about how quickly AI demand will evolve. Building large-scale data centers requires years of planning and billions of dollars in upfront investment, creating the risk that infrastructure capacity could eventually exceed actual demand.

The issue has become increasingly important as analysts debate whether the industry is heading toward an oversupply of AI infrastructure. Some investors, including Michael Burry, have warned that the current rush to secure computing resources could ultimately result in excess capacity if AI adoption develops more slowly than expected.

Anthropic’s strategy appears designed to avoid that risk. The company’s willingness to rent rather than own computing infrastructure was highlighted by its surprise agreement with xAI last month. Details later disclosed in the IPO filing of SpaceX revealed that Anthropic’s compute arrangement with xAI carries a reported cost of approximately $1.25 billion per month.

The scale of that figure shows that computing costs, once a relatively modest operating expense for software companies, are becoming one of the largest line items on corporate balance sheets.

Anthropic’s planned IPO is therefore seen as a representation of a broader transition in the AI industry from a venture-capital-driven growth story into a sector increasingly reliant on public markets, debt financing, and infrastructure-scale investment.

The company joins a growing list of AI giants—including OpenAI, SpaceX, and other infrastructure providers—preparing to tap public investors as funding requirements reach levels historically associated with utilities, telecommunications networks, and industrial megaprojects rather than software startups.

Dangote Refinery Surpasses Design Capacity, Hits 700,000bpd

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Nigeria’s push to become a major global refining powerhouse received a significant boost after Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals announced that it has increased crude oil processing capacity to 700,000 barrels per day, exceeding its original nameplate capacity of 650,000 barrels per day.

The milestone, confirmed following a successful performance test conducted by the refinery’s process licensors, marks an important development for a facility that has rapidly become one of the most influential energy assets in Africa and an increasingly important supplier to international fuel markets. The refinery announced February that it reached its full designed capacity of 650,000bpd.

According to a statement issued by the Dangote Group on Thursday, the refinery’s ability to process additional crude volumes above its initial design specification demonstrates both the quality of its engineering and its capacity to optimize operations beyond original expectations.

The achievement is particularly noteworthy in the refining industry, where operating consistently above nameplate capacity is often regarded as evidence of operational efficiency, process optimization, and successful commissioning of complex refining units.

The announcement comes as the refinery continues to ramp up production across a range of petroleum products, including premium motor spirit (petrol), diesel, aviation fuel, and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), while steadily expanding its footprint in both domestic and international markets.

Speaking on the development, Vice-President, Oil and Gas, Dangote Industries Limited, Devakumar Edwin, said the latest performance validates the refinery’s ability to operate beyond its original design limits and supports the company’s longer-term expansion strategy.

According to Edwin, the refinery plans to increase total processing capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day within the next 30 months, a move that would transform the Lekki-based complex into one of the largest refining centers in the world.

He said the expansion forms part of a broader strategy aimed at strengthening Nigeria’s energy security, reducing dependence on imported petroleum products, and positioning the country as a major exporter of refined fuels.

The target is ambitious. If achieved, the combined capacity would place the Dangote complex among the world’s largest refining facilities, rivaling some of the biggest integrated refining hubs in Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.

Beyond the headline production figures, the development carries significant implications for Nigeria’s economy.

For decades, Africa’s largest crude oil producer struggled with inadequate domestic refining capacity, forcing the country to import substantial quantities of refined petroleum products despite being a major exporter of crude oil. That dependence drained foreign exchange reserves, exposed the economy to international supply disruptions, and created recurring challenges in the domestic fuel market.

The emergence of the Dangote refinery has begun altering that equation. Since commencing fuel production in 2024, the facility has steadily increased output and has become a major source of refined products for Nigeria and several overseas markets. Its exports now extend across Africa and into Europe, with shipments reaching countries including the United Kingdom, France, Spain, Italy, and the Netherlands.

The refinery has also supplied gasoline to the United States and aviation fuel to Saudi Arabia, highlighting the growing acceptance of its products in highly competitive international markets.

Its rise has coincided with significant disruptions in global energy supply chains, creating opportunities for new refining centers capable of serving regions facing fuel shortages or supply constraints.

Many African countries that previously relied heavily on imports from Europe and the Middle East are increasingly looking to Dangote as an alternative source of refined petroleum products. This shift has strengthened the refinery’s strategic importance not only to Nigeria but also to the broader African energy market.

The refinery’s growing influence was further underscored in April when S&P Global Commodities reported that the facility had become the world’s largest exporter of jet fuel, a remarkable achievement for a refinery that only recently entered commercial operations.

That accomplishment highlights the scale of the project and its ability to compete with long-established global refining players. The company’s expansion strategy extends beyond transportation fuels. Dangote plans to leverage the complex as a major industrial hub capable of supplying feedstocks to a range of downstream industries.

In addition to petrol, diesel, and aviation fuel, the refinery is expected to support manufacturing through the supply of LPG, polypropylene, and other industrial inputs. The company has also outlined plans to produce Linear Alkylbenzene (LAB), a key raw material used in detergent manufacturing, further integrating Nigeria’s petrochemical value chain.

The broader economic implications are expected to be substantial as increased domestic refining capacity has the potential to reduce import bills, improve trade balances, create industrial jobs, and strengthen Nigeria’s position in global energy markets.

The First Lecture and the Mission of Firms

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In my first year at Federal University of Technology Owerri (FUTO), our Logic and Philosophy lecturer, Rev Fr Ashiegbu, took us on a remarkable intellectual journey through the minds of the ancient Greek philosophers. We encountered Thales, who argued that all things originate from water. We studied Heraclitus, who maintained that all is fire and that everything flows. These thinkers wrestled with the deepest question of their age: what is the fundamental substance of the universe?

Their answers were bold, elegant, and often incomplete. But one philosopher captured my imagination more than the others: Pythagoras.

Yes, the same Pythagoras who gave us the celebrated theorem that the square of the hypotenuse equals the sum of the squares of the other two sides in a right-angled triangle. Beyond geometry, he advanced a far more profound proposition: The universe is numbers.

If the universe is numbers, then the central business of humanity is to understand those numbers. We observe them, process them, transform them, and compute them. In doing so, we decode reality itself.

A farmer who understands the numbers behind rainfall, soil quality, and yield will outperform peers. A physician who understands the numbers governing blood flow, pathology, and pharmacology becomes a better healer. A banker, engineer, entrepreneur, or trader advances by mastering the numerical language of his or her domain.

Yet the human mind alone was not enough. Over centuries, we built tools to help us interpret numbers. From the abacus to the slide rule, from ENIAC to the transistor, and from the transistor to the integrated circuit and AI, civilization has been engaged in a continuous effort to construct better computational systems for understanding the world.

On Monday, as we begin the 20th edition of Tekedia Mini-MBA, I will open our journey by exploring a simple but powerful idea: Business is Numbers. And within those numbers reside the keys to alpha.

My appreciation for this truth began long before university. In secondary school, my teachers -Mr. Bukar and Mr. Alaohuru in junior secondary school, Mr. Aham and Mr. Ukene in senior secondary school and Further Mathematics, and my Physics teacher, Mr. Onyezewe – taught me, each in their own way, that mathematics is not merely a subject. It is the science of patterns, relationships, and numbers; the foundational staircase into natural philosophy and the systematic understanding of the world. Those lessons shaped how I see markets and The Mission of Firms. Yes, why we have companies!

Markets are inherently imperfect. Demand and supply rarely meet naturally in equilibrium. Firms emerge to resolve those frictions. But to identify, understand, and eliminate market frictions, one must first understand the numbers that govern them. And that means there is a BIG science in business!

Join me on Monday as we begin the 20th edition of Tekedia Mini-MBA. Together, we will explore the numbers behind value creation, decode the signals of the future, and prepare for a world increasingly shaped by computation, intelligence, and abundance.

The universe is numbers. Business is numbers. Understand them with Ndubuisi Ekekwe