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2023 Elections: Nigeria’s Political Landscape Is On A Downward Trajectory

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These are very familiar scenes: a vice president suddenly realises blueprints to resurrect a crumbling nation after hiding it from his boss of seven years who recorded massive failure; a kingmaker wants the throne; ministers and governors are rallying for support; some people are pushing a failed ex-leader to declare for the presidency; obscure politicians are now finding voices, and promises too realistic to be fulfilled are being made. It’s 2022 but the theatrics for the general elections come 2023 are in play. The didactics from these scenes reiterate that Nigeria sadly will fall to yet another selfish leader. But what could be done to avert the looming catastrophe? 

Nigeria and Nigerians are tired of jamboree political leaders. This time, the country and its people are so divided so much that the slightest event can cause a much-foreseen catastrophe yet this is not a cause of concern for those who are expected to change the narratives. It’s either their selfish interests, party interests, ethnic jingoism, or nothing. Since 1999 when the country returned to democratic dispensation, the course of administration has not changed quite much from how it was left by the kleptocratic military rulers. Successive democratic governments have not got it right; with political leaders amassing wealth from one corruption scandal to another and jumping from one ruling party to another “for their sins to be washed away”. And Nigerians ask, “what has happened to our dividends of democracy?” 

No doubt, the country is in its worst state. The security architecture is eroding as seen in recurrent insurgents’ attacks, kidnappings, and others. The economy is in crumbles. Government critics are getting arrested one after the other illegally and unjustly. The stakes are dangerously high, but what is the focus? Politicians are preparing to get recycled into power. All these indicators of poor governance and a failed democracy do not grasp their attention one bit. Perhaps, to them, the country is for them to milk and milk until it dries up.

Analysts and other concerned stakeholders have been vocal about why the country needs urgent intervention. Religious bodies have appealed for restructuring. Non-governmental organisations (NGOs) have pleaded similarly too. All of these efforts have proved abortive. A close observation of the country’s political affairs notes that the citizens are absent from the governance.

It is their right to be equally involved but what has happened? Where did something go wrong? Citizen demonstrations against inept governance are seen as treason. This claim is obvious from the massacres of protesters at Lekki Toll Gate as well as other massacres that didn’t get the media attention that much. The citizens are in the shackles of their own government! 

Owing to the uncertainty of where this country is headed, there have been calls for the general elections not to hold next year. Some Nigerians are saying calamity is bound to be suffered if the elections go on. This would not be the first doom prophecy and certainly not the last if the same situation persists. Elections in Nigeria are marred by violence that includes massive rigging and many killings. Despite this, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) would still announce the winners of the elections. There would be demonstrations; security operatives would take the streets to quell demonstrations; calm will be forcibly restored; nothing will change; hence, the dangerous course recycles. 

As Nigerians watch with perplexed interest the fate of their country, politicians declaring for the presidency have consistently courted President Mohammadu Buhari for victories. Perhaps the worst leader Nigeria has ever had, Buhari often takes pleasure in observing reticence in the event of crisis and treating its citizens with high-handedness. The intentions and messages (of these politicians) passed across are very clear: they don’t need the masses to assume leadership. Adebayo AbdulRahman, a freelance journalist brilliantly captures this trend in his article titled “2023: 10 Paragraphs On Osinbajo, Tinubu And The Rest Of Us”.

He said for instance of Osinbajo: “So when Osinbajo described Buhari as a “patriot” and expressed his intention to “continue the good works” of the current administration, he was not appealing to the Nigerian populace. Not even you. Yes, you. He was appealing to the more important political structure of his principal, the President. Osinbajo understands that at the moment, he needs the President’s support more than that of outraged Nigerians. Sad, right?” 

With the country in the firm grip of selfish leaders, the citizens are increasingly finding it difficult to get it right. The only alternative is to get a candidate successfully weaned away from the two big Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and the All Progressives Congress (APC), but this looks like a wild dream. On Twitter, political discussions have often portrayed the dire need of Nigerians to look beyond the two parties but the reality outside the Twitter discussions shows it takes more than online talks to drive change. The huge crowd that accompanies political aspirants often reveals that “getting it right politically” in Nigeria is more than a fundamental problem. Even grassroots sensitisation has not changed the story either. 

It is even more worrisome that despite all these odds, democracy remains the only option for the country’s political progress as any return to military administration will be far more catastrophic. It has been said that the key to unlocking Nigeria’s potential lies with the youth who are nowhere to be found in governance and even those who are there are figureheads. The country needs a resilient population to change the country’s structure. Countries that are now enjoying relative peace after years-long turbulence are thankful to dogged citizens for charting a new history. However, divisions along ethnic lines and other personal vendettas have continually hampered the citizens’ collective voice in the calls for unity.

The moments of desperation, frustrations, and demonstrations did not prove a better way forward either, not forgetting that many Nigerians believe that the country is not worth dying for. To be candid, even past national leaders who still have their reputations intact did not think dying for the country is an enthralling idea. It will take a great enthusiasm for the citizens to do away with their sentiments in their drives to restructure the country and chart a new course in the nation’s political history before the beloved country grows into extinction. This time more than ever to take over the country from political hawks is now. Will this mean a revolution? 

Nigeria 2023: Oba Of Benin’s View On Osinbajo’s Credentials

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The Oba of Benin, Oba Ewuare II, has stated that the credentials of incumbent Vice President (VP) of Nigeria, Prof. Yemi Osinbajo ‘speak for themselves’.

The renowned monarch made this known on Thursday, 28th April 2022 when Prof. Osinbajo visited him in his Palace in Benin, the Edo State capital, as part of consultations for the VP’s 2023 Presidential ambition.

It’s no longer news that Prof. Osinbajo is currently aspiring to succeed President Muhammadu Buhari come 2023 when his second term tenure would elapse.

The royal father appreciated Prof. Osinbajo for the visit to his palace, stating that he was scheduled to be in Abuja for some official engagements but had to stay back to receive the VP.

Oba of Benin said, “We got a letter from your office just the day before yesterday (Tuesday) that the Vice President is coming. We had to put the trip on hold.

“We have heard the reasons why you are here. We don’t need to over flog your credentials, they speak for themselves. Because of your credentials, humility, calmness, there is no gainsaying that your contestants are shivering where they are.”

It’s noteworthy that Prof. Osinbajo is one of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) aspirants. Others include former Lagos State governor, Bola Tinubu; Minister of Transportation, Rotimi Amaechi; Minister of State for Education, Emeka Nwajiuba; Minister of Labour and Employment, Chris Ngige; Ebonyi State Governor, Dave Umahi; Kogi State Governor, Yahaya Bello; former Imo State Governor, Rochas Okorocha; and former Abia State Governor, Orji Kalu; amongst others.

The APC presidential primary to decide the party’s flag-bearer is scheduled to hold at the end of May 2022.

It’s imperative to let the teeming Nigerians understand that, in leadership, it is not credentials that do the work but the expertise of the leader at the helm of affairs.

Hence, leadership has nothing to do with credentials, rather, the ability of the leader to apply the needed skills towards ensuring that the required positive transformation is achieved. Leadership is about being creative, innovative and proactive. These factors have nothing to do with one’s credentials.

It’s disheartening to observe that in this part of the world, particularly Nigeria, much and inconsequential emphasis is being laid on credentials and academic qualifications whenever leadership is discussed.

Nigeria’s electorate must go beyond this mentality. In view of this, they must be prepared to listen to the campaign manifesto of any one who intends to lead Nigeria as President.

Yes, it is indisputably good and worthwhile for a leader, or prospective leader, to be very educated. But it’s pertinent to note that such possession shouldn’t override the person’s skill to bring transformation.

Secondly, I’m equally using this medium to advise Nigeria’s traditional rulers to distance themselves from political matters while they discharge their lawful duties. They ought to participate in governance, not politics.

They are therefore only expected to conscientize their subjects to pick their Voter’s Card as well as vote wisely and maturely at the polls, not to canvass votes for any aspirant.  

The Shame of a Nation

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Nigeria leaders

From Guardian UK (2014), “South Korea’s prime minister has resigned over the government’s handling of a ferry sinking that has left more than 300 people dead or missing and resulted in widespread shame, fury and finger-pointing, blaming “deep-rooted evils” in society for the tragedy.”

In Nigeria (2022), a government train was attacked by terrorists with dozens kidnapped and killed, the university system is on life-support, crude oil theft is a new culture, bandits collect taxes, [add more], and yet the same actors, instead of resigning in shame, are running biographies to be promoted to become a president.

We reward biographies even when the people have done nothing of value. Yes, because he/she has held one “big” office, that person has experience. But no one will ask, in that office what was his/her impact?

But do not blame politicians: blame the Nigerian citizens. We actually HATE ourselves. All common sense departs when tribe and religion enter the matrix. See it, Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC)  wants to start a strike. A woman just delivered a baby in captivity. And no single human has resigned from this shame of a nation!

It is disheartening to note that a large number of tertiary institution students are currently out of school due to the unending strike action embarked upon by ASUU. According to ASUU, they previously disclosed that they will extend the strike by another two months as a result of their unmet demands by the federal government.

Disappointed with how the government is handling their demands, the Nigerian Labour Congress, NLC in a show of solidarity, has vowed to embark on a nationwide protest at the expiration of the 21-day ultimatum issued to them by ASUU to address their demands. The congress further disclosed that it would declare a three-day strike action if the federal government fails to resolve the issue.

The NLC which is known to defend and promote the rights of workers and other unions In the country, disclosed that its proposed solidarity protests was mainly to draw the attention of the government to the prolonged shut down of universities in the country. Did the congress just disclose that they want to draw the attention of the government? The government is fully aware of the shutdown of universities, but they chose to treat it with disdain.

Standing In Solidarity With ASUU, Nigeria Labour Congress Vows To Embark On Nationwide Protest

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It is disheartening to note that a large number of tertiary institution students are currently out of school due to the unending strike action embarked upon by ASUU. According to ASUU, they previously disclosed that they will extend the strike by another two months as a result of their unmet demands by the federal government.

Disappointed with how the government is handling their demands, the Nigerian Labour Congress, NLC in a show of solidarity, has vowed to embark on a nationwide protest at the expiration of the 21-day ultimatum issued to them by ASUU to address their demands. The congress further disclosed that it would declare a three-day strike action if the federal government fails to resolve the issue.

The NLC which is known to defend and promote the rights of workers and other unions In the country, disclosed that its proposed solidarity protests was mainly to draw the attention of the government to the prolonged shut down of universities in the country. Did the congress just disclose that they want to draw the attention of the government? The government is fully aware of the shutdown of universities, but they chose to treat it with disdain.

With the 2023 election gearing up, it is obvious that they are more interested in securing their interest, to the detriment of the future of Nigerian students. The failure of the federal government to keep up with its commitment and uphold its pledges to ASUU is what has led to so many industrial strike actions.

The government has failed to invest greatly in the educational sector, which has undermined the country’s human capital. Any country that recognizes the value of human capital development will invest appropriately in its educational sector. Rather than the government being proactive and responsible for the issues affecting its citizens, particularly in the area of human capital development, they are building more universities when they have not properly catered for the staff in the already existing universities.

Sadly, the future of young Nigerians is continued to be put in jeopardy by the government, with many of them currently roaming the streets, which has seen some of them contribute to the social vices in the society. One great effect of the ASUU strike on students is that as the strike lingers, it takes a toll on academic performance. When learning is stopped for a long period, the student’s reading and learning abilities will deteriorate.

The danger of this is that it will lead to a high rate of low-quality students in the country, which will affect the country’s human capital. The government and ASUU continue to be at loggerheads with an unending rift. The strike action is already becoming a severe phenomenon that has continually hammered the realization of Nigerian youth’s ambitions and dreams.

The role of education in human capital formation cannot be overemphasized as a properly educated society facilitates productivity and contributes toward the growth and development of the country, which also increases the country’s national income. It’s high time the government put an end to this incessant strike action by ASUU by meeting its demands.

Over Dependence On Importation Causing the Fall of Naira

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Naira

The Nigerian Naira continues to plunge downwards as recently, the naira further depreciated against the US dollar to close at N419.33 to a dollar representing a 0.2% fall compared to N418.52/ $1 recorded in the previous trading session. The central bank of Nigeria (CBN) has however lamented that the main cause of the fall of the Naira is due to the nation’s over-dependency on imports.

They further advised Nigerians to adopt the use of homemade products to boost the country’s economy, to stop the Naira from further depreciating in the parallel market. In a bid to reduce the nation’s over dependence on imports and promote financial stability and economic development, it was disclosed that the Central Bank Of Nigeria implemented interventions in the manufacturing, agricultural, and other sectors.

Commenting on this issue, the CBN’s currency operations department head, Mrs. Uchenna Onyene urged Nigerians to use the naira with caution, citing section 21, sub-section 4 of the CBN act 2007. She also urged Nigerians to adopt the CBN’s cashless strategy to decrease the risk of naira from failure, to improve seamless transactions.

According to statistics, Nigeria’s exports skyrocketed by 51% to N18.91 trillion in 2021. As a result of the FX outflows, a $5.26 billion negative balance of payment was made in 2021. It is not just enough for the Central Bank to lament the fall of the Naira, there needs to be a solution implemented by the government to stop the country’s overdependence on foreign products.

The government has failed to develop different sectors in the country that will manufacture locally made goods. It has already become a norm for the government and Nigerians to choose foreign-made goods over the ones that are produced locally. How do you explain that a government that constantly imports foreign cars, yet has a car manufacturing plant in its country laments about the fall of the Naira? It makes no sense.

They continue to look down on the ones produced here locally, stating that it is inferior compared to those imported. There have been countless occasions where the government imports cars for its lawmakers. The lawmakers were said to have rejected Nigerian brands, insisting on foreign ones, preferably imported and not locally assembled.

They continue to spend exorbitant amounts on goods, even the ones that are locally produced in the country, yet they always keep lamenting each time the naira falls. The obnoxious high taste for imported goods by the government and among Nigerians has caused more harm to the nation’s economy. No successful economy thrives on the promotion of imported products over the exportation of locally manufactured products.

In a close observation of developed and developing countries, one evident thing is that they are more of a manufacturing economy than consumers economy. They produce a large number of goods they use and import only a few for consumption. The Nigerian government continues to treat the development of locally made goods with disdain and a lackluster attitude.

Nigerian government even goes as far as importing goods that can easily be produced locally, yet they still go-ahead to import goods that can easily be produced locally. They steadily import goods which have led to the fold-up of so many thriving factories in the country, which also resulted in a high number of job losses.

The government is aware that constant importation often leads to forex scarcity, as a result of an increase in the demand for dollars by importers. It’s high time the government develops local factories in the country to avoid the further depreciation of the naira and over-dependence on foreign goods.