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Auto Industry May Lose $61bn In 2021 As Chip Shortage Hits The Tech World

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Nvidia chip

As the world of technology grapples with the shortage of semiconductor chips, the auto industry is beginning to bear more of the brunt. The impact is escalating, touching more sectors as the pandemic lingers, automakers are putting out statements indicating that the impact may be worse than thought.

Nio, Tesla’s electric vehicle Chinese rival said on Friday it would halt production for five working days at its Hefei plant, owing to scarcity of chips.

The electric automaker is not alone; the pandemic ushered in an epidemic of chip shortage that the tech industry is  battling to contain.

“The first hints of trouble emerged in the spring of 2020. The world was in the early throes of a mysterious pandemic, which first obliterated demand then super-charged internet and mobile computing when economies regained their footing. That about-face – in a span of months – laid the seeds for potentially the most serious shortage in years of the semiconductors that lie at the heart of everything from smartphones to cars and TVs,” Bloomberg noted in a report.

PC makers were among the first to raise the alarm in the spring of 2020, but watched helplessly as the situation degenerated. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) was at the center of the crisis, given its production capacity and effort to expand chip production like last year’s $12 billion factory plan in the United States.

It spent billions in the past to ensure it is at the forefront of semiconductor production technology, and in the face of trade war between the US and China, TSMC’s move was most welcome. Unfortunately, TSMC’s efforts have failed to meet the needs of the tech industry as demand grows daily beyond its supply capabilities.

Huawei, a major chip consumer was cut off from the supply chain through the US ban restricting American companies from selling to the Chinese telecom vendor. There was belief that sidelining Huawei would ameliorate the shortage, but it doesn’t.

Nio, just like several other automakers, has become a victim of the crisis that is escalating to other sectors. Shares of the EV giant which makes the ES8 electric sport-utility vehicles fell more than 7% in the US premarket trading.

Nio, which is the only carmaker challenging Tesla’s dominance in China’s EV market, said in addition to halting production for five days at its Hefei plant, it will cut its first-quarter delivery forecast by as much as 1,000 vehicles.

Other automakers; Ford Motor, Honda Motor, General Motors, Nissan, Volvo and Volkswagen are also among those caught in the crisis. And just like Nio, they have been forced to hold back production amidst increased vehicle demand.

Ford said chip shortage could cut its 2021 profit by up to $2.5 billion, while GM is expecting the crisis to reduce its annual profit by at least $2 billion. Volvo said Tuesday the shortage will have a significant impact on its second quarter earnings, and it would implement stop days across its sites globally beginning in April.

Japanese automaker Nissan, said it has canceled all production at its assembly plants at Smyrna, Tennessee, and Canton, Mississippi, Aguascalientes plant 1 in Mexico, for April 1 and 5.

The chip scarcity is as a result of an increased demand from the electronics industry fueled by pandemic-induced restrictions and the work-from-home new normal which has been accompanied by activities such as streaming and playing video games.

While the electronics industry is badly hit, the auto industry is beginning to count huge losses. Research firm AutoForecast Solution estimates that the shortage has cost the global auto industry 130,000 vehicles in lost production, with the heaviest impact in North America with 74,000 units lost, and Western Europe, with 35,000 lost.

Samsung, the world’s largest smartphone maker, had warned earlier in the month that the shortage will disrupt global smartphone production, and it may skip the launch of the next Galaxy Note smartphone. The South Korean giant has been experiencing a shortage of Qualcomm’s application processors.

Demand for Qualcomm’s chip soared in the past months as Android phone makers woo consumers abandoning Huawei due to US sanctions. Qualcomm has found it hard to meet the surge in demand partly due to a shortage of some subcomponents used in its chips. Cristiano Amon, head of the world’s largest mobile chipmaker, said the shortage has been as a result of relying on just a handful of players in Asia.

Apple, one of the biggest buyers of chips said the sales of some new high-end iPhones were hemmed in by a shortage of components.

The growing tech needs emanating from the new normal is spurring the soaring demand for chips, gulping the smaller volume automakers buy. Bloomberg estimates that the auto industry may lose $61 billion of 2021 sales from chip shortages, as the crisis worsens.

Last month, Yoshihisa Kainuma, CEO of Minebea Mitsumi Inc. said the crisis is likely to escalate to other sectors, including aviation.

“Demand is springing up everywhere at a faster-than-expected pace. Airlines around the world are scrapping old aircraft to slim down their balance sheet. And People’s desire to travel will explode after the pandemic,” he said.

The shortage of chips is expected to instigate a surge in prices of smartphones and vehicles soon, compounding the rising price of goods and services induced by the disruption of the global supply chain.

Access Bank Gets Approval to Acquire Grobank from Nigerian and South African Regulators

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This is a new redesign: South African banks used to comb Nigerian banks’ balance sheets looking for opportunities. But these days, the story is that Nigerian banks are the ones pushing deeper into the continent. The latest one is that Access Bank, Africa’s largest bank by customer base, has received approvals from both Nigerian and South African regulators to acquire Grobank, a South African-operating bank. Press release below.

CEO of Access Bank, Mr. Herbert Wigwe, noted in the statement: “Today’s announcement represents significant progress in delivering on our strategic intent of becoming Africa’s Gateway to the World in pursuit of our vision to be the World’s Most Respected African Bank.”

The quest continues: “more than banking” promise to more than 100 million unique customers.  Yet, it remains to be seen how running a bank in South Africa will make Access Bank better, in this age where banks are becoming technology companies, with the virtuous compounding network effects. Yes, within national boundaries, the opportunities tilt towards the largest banks which enjoy better marginal costs due to scale in the digital era.

Nonetheless, I must add that under AfCTFA, the free trade agreement, banks need national presence to deliver better services to customers. On that note, having operations in Africa’s second largest economy is a slam dunk!

The Aliko Dangote’s Most Important Project Now

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Good People, after Dangote Cement touched the mountaintop, at excess of N1 trillion revenue, I shared a post, on how the business has joined MTN on the N1 trillion league here  and here . But surprisingly, many of the comments are negative. In short, some are offended that I was congratulating the company: “Why do we praise people for the wrong reasons?” Mr. Aliko Dangote, no matter where you are, you need to fix your image with young people in Nigeria. It must not be this way!

Read some samples of the comments:

Comment #1

Ok, we can see that he’s great at raking in fat numbers as revenues and profits. But they also need to stop fiddling with cement prices! What has become common in Nigeria is that self sufficiency in production doesn’t mean consumers pay less, and we are likely to see same with the refinery.

Looking at the numbers, how many bags were sold in 2020 compared to 2019? Because if you add N1000 to a product and sell 200 million bags, even without doing anything special, you have added 200 billion naira to your balance sheet! This is a number game, they didn’t invent new thing or shipped some bags for fencing in Mars and Jupiter.

We thought local rice would be cheaper, but we ended up paying numbers we never heard off, for all the years we ate foreign rice for fun here; something is fundamentally wrong with Nigeria and how we do business in the land.

In the year of Covid, banks brought in dizzying numbers, and cement has done same; we are really one of a kind.

Those who sold hand sanitizer and face masks should report their numbers too, because 2020 created a new market there.

Comment #2

Yes. He is able to do so because he controls more than 85% of the market share in the Cement industry. Thus he can fix prices as he likes. This is made possible because Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC), the agency responsible for checkmating this kind of unethical business practices are not doing anything in Nigeria. In UK, there’s a Competition Commission, an agency that ensures that no single company controls more than 25% of total market share in any industry. No merger and Acquisition takes place without the approval of this agency. Hence no single company is able fix prices anyhow. But here in Nigeria, Dangote is fixes cement price anyhow because there’s no strong competition anywhere.
How can Nigerians be paying NGN 3,300 for a bag of cement which is 100% produces locally? The so called Michel Pucherous is not a magician, he’s not doing doing anything special. Millions of Nigerians can do better given the same business environment.
Nigerians will continue to suffer in the hand of Dangote until FCCPC stands up to their responsibilities

Comment #3

Before Michael Pucheros, Dangote already had a monopoly (or near-monopoly) over the cement industry, which is possible only in a backwards failing state that is Nigeria.
Pucheros simply hiking the price on a monopoly built before his arrival, can hardly be lauded as business acumen. If anything, this short term gain comes at the long term risk of emerging viable competitors, borne from Dangote’s insane cement prices, at #4,000 per bag. Pucheros is engaged in no more than a risky naked money grab from Nigerians already struggling. Absolutely distasteful.

Comment #4

I will not applaud this because Dangote is thriving on monopoly.He determines the price of cement in the market and hike the price anytime without considering Nigerian consumers. How can Nigerians pay more for a bag of cement than other African countries where it is exported to. I see this as serious extortion and no one is saying anything because he has political support. Mr Cement left Larfarge to a competitive company is a breach of contract between the two parties and they are still on the matter.

Michel Puchercos Takes Dangote Cement To The Big Party with MTN Nigeria

Innovators and Growth Champions, It’s Time At Tekedia Institute

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Innovators and Growth Champions, I want to wish everyone a great weekend ahead. And most importantly, take the time to learn about our exciting academic festival at the Institute. Seven of the top ten Nigerian banks have sent team members to our program, and we are hosting some of the finest African firms. The godzilla of African digital payment, Interswitch Group, is coming. Register today and learn from executives of leading companies in the world and advance.

Focus On Your Business, Quickteller Business Is Available To Handle Your Payments

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It is an amazing product and started the big fintech party which is happening in continental Africa. That party is the cambrian moment we are experiencing in digital businesses, unlocking opportunities across markets and territories. It began as Interswitch Webpay to serve large companies. But now, it is called Quickteller Business and serves all business types – small businesses, large corporates, and individuals – providing seamless payment solutions to institutions and their customers, irrespective of their sizes. Yes, from the platform, businesses and individuals can receive payments from anyone, anywhere and everywhere.

At Tekedia Mini-MBA, we welcome these grand-payment innovators to our June edition. It would be amazing co-learning with the category-kings who shaped a continent and provided a new compass for commerce. Nations rise when pioneering entrepreneurs and companies emerge!

I ask you to sign-up to Quickteller Business; it comes free. The pioneering, and industry category-king solution, was recently upgraded. Today, it boasts amazing features such as easy payment collections with or without a website via multiple channels to invoicing, managing multiple businesses, tracking and reports, logistics support, customized business integration, etc.

Sign-up your business on the Quickteller Business platform before May 1 2021, and enjoy zero transaction fees. People with existing Quickteller accounts only need to login using their Quickteller details. Begin here and make that teller run quicker https://business.quickteller.com/

Below is a quick exploration of the features of the Quickteller Business:

  • Storefronts – Quickteller Business comes with a mini, customizable, e-commerce store that allows business owners generate unique storefronts links, create and list their products, manage product inventory, collect payments, manage orders and manage shipments.
  • Detailed Transaction Reporting – Quickteller Business will help businesses have access to detailed reports of their transactions across all collection channels – Web, POS, QR, USSD.
  • Dispute Management – With Quickteller Business, businesses of all types and sizes can manage their transaction disputes and chargebacks. Use Quickteller Business and forget about any payment dispute.
  • Refunds – Where required, businesses can seamlessly initiate partial or full refunds from the transaction details page.
  • Payment Links & Subscriptions – Businesses can now accept payments without a website by sending a payment link to their customers to sell physical and digital products on social media
  • e-Billing and Invoicing – Quickteller Business enables businesses to accept payments via Invoices by simply sending an automated but customized invoice to their clients and customers. This also helps the businesses track their sales.
  • Tokenization – On request, businesses can opt to enable the ability to tokenize payment cards to speed up the time it takes for their customers to check out on their websites
  • Multiple Integration Plans – Quickteller Business is super customizable and offers multiple integration plans for web and mobile SDKs. Explore Pop Up, Page Redirect and Inline for web developers as well as iOS and Android for Mobile integration options.
  • Fraud Management – Quickteller Business is built using world-standard fraud management solutions that help mitigate fraudulent transactions.
  • Split Settlements – With Split Settlement, businesses can instruct Quickteller Business on how transactions should be settled into predefined bank accounts.
  • Developers (Sandbox) – Quickteller Business has enabled developers to explore the features of the platform in trial before they are activated for real transactions.