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Global Corruption Perceptions Index: Does Perception Equal Reality?

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Source: Transparency International, 2012-2020; Infoprations Analysis, 2021

Having quarterly or yearly reports from the national, regional and global think tanks about socioeconomic and political developments in countries has never been a problem. However, the problem lies with the authenticity of the reports. Political leaders and social actors in developing countries are quick to reject some of the reports on credibility issues. The reports have also been rejected on the premise that they were produced in the developed world. Hence, the reports in the clime cannot adequately project the realities in the developing world.

The Transparency International is one of the global think tanks that has consistently produced Global Corruption Perceptions Index. Like other reports or indexes, the GCPI has been criticised and still been doubted by a number of people, organisations and countries in the world. Since 2012, the best position attained by Nigeria was 144 out of over 180 countries [when ranking approach was used]. When score approach was employed, Nigeria only better with 28 points. In both approaches, the country has consistently been positioned as one of the most corrupt countries in the world.

This has continued to receive mixed reactions from the stakeholders in the Nigerian project. Whenever the index is released, the Presidency does not hesitate to pick holes in the index. This year the TI released the latest index, which positions Nigeria as 149th for the 2020 assessment against 146th attained in 2019. This is not augur well for the Presidency as the spokesperson to President Muhammadu Buhari, Garba Shehu notes that “reality is based on verifiable facts and data. And any evidence-based analysis would prove that whether it is by prevention or punitive measures in recoveries and prosecution, this administration would be rising fast up these rankings rather than standing still.

“Organizations should be factual in their analysis and be prepared to rely on inputs outside of sensational media reports and age-old narratives which have not been updated to reflect today’s reality in Nigeria concerning its globally-respected war on corruption.”

Some social commentators and public affairs analysts believe that the outcome meets the reality despite the presidency’s claims. As the presidency queries credibility of the index and research methodology used by the body, in our experience, some citizens on digital sphere and in physical space are also asking about the link between perception and reality. The argument has been that report or index that uses perception to measure reality cannot be credible. These narratives are examined by our analyst using academic and applied lenses. The piece seeks to draw insights from both lenses and pinpoint them within the context of ongoing conversation around acceptability of the index or not.

http://https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=do4yQe8XxQw

Exhibit 1: Nigeria’s Status (2012-2020)

Source: Transparency International, 2012-2020; Infoprations Analysis, 2021

Thoughts Behind Perception

In academic and applied researches, concepts and constructs are key to better understanding of the problems being addressed by researchers. These should be well delineated within the context of the problems. Perception as a concept has been defined by numerous academic scholars, especially psychologists, sociologists, political scientists and communication specialists. Generally, perception “is the organization, identification, and interpretation of sensory information in order to represent and understand the presented information or environment.” It has also been described as awareness, comprehension or an understanding of something.

Taking these definitions into the real world, one can say the concept is key to our understanding of people, objects around us and reacting to experiences that emanate from interacting with them consciously or unconsciously. However, to some scholars, perception is not reality. It can only influence consciousness of things [human and objects] around us [see Exhibit 2]. Therefore, outcomes of researches that leveraged perception as a concept need to be interpreted and used with caution.

Exhibit 2: Perception

Theories Behind Perception

Apart from understanding perception conceptually, a research that uses it must also apply propositions or assumptions of theories that align with it. There are many theories of perception. In most cases, cognitive and constructive theories have been used by researchers, at least in the last two decades in the academic community. Cognitive theories have consistently stressed ‘poverty of stimulus’ as a construct that becloud people in understanding reality. In specific terms, the construct denies people opportunity of providing a unique description of the world.

Meanwhile, action-based theories of perception seem to solve this lacuna with the provision of constructs, assumptions and propositions that enable people to see perception from input and output perspectives. This is largely determined by examining interaction with processes that lead to seeing objects or people in positive and negative lenses. In other words, perceptions should start from the general to the specific details of the people or objects.

Revisiting Transparency International’s Methodology

While defending its methodology, the Transparency International notes that “in order to carry out this quality assurance process, Transparency International reaches out to each one of the institutions providing data in order to verify the methodology used to generate their scores. Since some of the sources are not publicly available, Transparency International also requests permission to publish the rescaled scores from each source alongside the composite CPI score. Transparency International is, however, not permitted to share the original scores given by private sources with the general public.

Each of the sources included in the CPI is standardised to allow for the aggregation into the CPI score. The standardisation converts all the data points to a scale of 0- 100 where a 0 represents the highest level of perceived corruption, and 100 the lowest level of perceived corruption. While most of the underlying CPI sources are also coded in the same direction (with lower scores indicating higher levels of perceived corruption), four sources are scaled the opposite way, i.e. with lower scores denoting lower levels of corruption. For comparability purposes, these four sources are reversed by multiplying every score by -1.”

In this defense, there are issues that need attention. It is clear that the body has closed culture of sources. This is not bad since it is ethical to protect the sources. However, the think tank needs to revisit its methodology. If some sources are expected to be protected, those that do not require the agreement should be used. This is imperative when one looks at the body’s strategic principle and name [The Transparency International], and the insights that emerged from the concept and theories examined earlier. It is also essential that the body considers the outcomes of anti-corruption policies and instruments being used by each economy in its quantification of corruption issues.

Mr. President’s Second Place in West Africa!

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Nigeria leaders

President Buhari’s legacy looks cloudy and he is not getting any vibe from any angle. I am not sure he has new ideas for the economy. Possibly, they will just play it out, as the nation looks like it is on autopilot, with no vision to connect the citizens into nation building. Perhaps, it could be that the National Orientation Agency is not doing its job. 

Pardon me, I do not honestly understand at this point what his government wants to achieve. During Obasanjo, we could argue that he was trying to liberalize the economy through privatization. Jonathan lost election partly because he lost focus later in his presidency. Initially, there was that effervescence on improving systems and processes to drive Nigeria into a new economic era. 

But for Mr. Buhari, he has multiple challenges: insecurity, a battered economy and now a reputation that Nigeria is the den of corruption. Yes, the Transparency International’s Corruption Perception Index (CPI) 2020 has put Nigeria on 149th position out of 180 countries. The nation also scored 25 out of 100 points (the higher, the better).

With this new ranking, Nigeria is just below Guinea-Bissau on the scoreboard of the most corrupt nation in West Africa. That is a second for Mr. President, but I am not sure he would be happy for that one.

Yet, Mr. Buhari is a victim of Nigeria, but as the president, we have to put everything on his feet. The impunity in the Nigerian Judiciary is the biggest issue in the land. Why should it take 15 years to try a former governor for corruption? Why should it take 10 years to try bank looters? I mean, you can go on. 

Mr. President, your nation is not healthy – you need to lead.

Comment on LinkedIn Feed

Comment #1: Prof. Ekekwe, your colleague, Prof Wole Soyinka said discussing the Buhari presidency is not good for his sanity. So, he now prefers to live as if the administration does not exist. Hence like millions of other Nigerians, I have tuned off on the regime.

However, the woeful performance of the regime is the best argument against rotational presidency that makes the grossly incompetent president. Alert was sounded on that grave risk in my “Distorted Federalism and Pervasive Insecurity” serialized by The Guardian in March 2013 ever before the present regime could dream of gaining power. Yet, those who prefer lootocracy to democracy banded together to install the Buhari government.

Rotational presidency is fit only in a confederacy where the incompetence of the central government does not negatively impact the federating units – the presidency is ceremonial. But here in our unitary government the progress of all is hamstrung by a rotational president. That informs the cry for restructuring that is now almost deafening.

My response: Nigeria is not working – everyone is a victim. Like I say, if Yobe has a literacy rate of less than 20% and Imo has 96%, Yobe kids have not been served even if the governor has been rotated in all villages there. Rotating inefficiency is not a solution. The key is building healthy competition and productivity in systems: I support a revamped and restructured economic federalism so that the principle of comparative advantages will work.

I was in Usman Danfodio University a few years ago and saw a GREAT renewal energy project. Those kids could power the north under market systems. But Nigeria slows them just as the ones in south are slowed in their passions. We need to be honest that NG is not working.

Another commenter follow-up: Prof. Ndubuisi Ekekwe, please you are even going too far by comparing Yobe State with Imo State because the two states are not mates. Imo state is 15 years older than Yobe State

Yobe State and Abia State are classmates as they were created on 27th August 1991. On GDP per Capita basis (as of 2007 data), Yobe State have $843 while Abia State have $3,003, in simple terms people in Abia State earn 3.6 times more than people in Yobe State – since this is calculated by dividing the area’s total income by its total population.

But the puzzle is this:

Yobe State have 17 LGA, Population = 2.757 million
Abia State have 17 LGA, Population = 4.112 million

Both States presumably have been receiving the same amount of money from the FG Federal Allocation Money Sharing Scheme since August 1991, so if after 16 years (as of 2007) of receiving the SAME amount of money from FG based on the same number of LGA and even with a lesser population and Yobe State GDP per Capita is almost 4 times smaller than Abia State’s GDP per Capita, then Nigeria is in trouble!

I only picked just Yobe State and Abia State because you mentioned Yobe State. We can run the numbers for other states.

No System can continue to function in this type of mess!

My response: This man, that is a Master’s thesis you just summarized here. Great perspectives and it goes to Tekedia blog under this entry. To add to your point, take those LGAs to UBE (universal basic education) which moves funds via LGAs for basic education. If states were getting the same money (per capital) and one produced 96% literacy and another <20%, has somebody asked where the money sent via UBA to train the kids went into? Ideally, someone diverted the funds, resulting to the outcomes.

Demyhealth Clinic and Genomic Medicine – DCGM – Welcome to Tekedia Mini-MBA

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Tekedia Institute welcomes staff of Demyhealth Clinic and Genomic Medicine – DCGM to Tekedia Institute. DCGM works in the domains of life science research, pharmaceutical, food and beverage industries providing services in the following areas: setting up of molecular laboratories for clinics, hospitals, medium and complex laboratories, schools, food & beverage industries,  and governmental/non-governmental organizations.

We look forward to next month as we co-share and co-learn on the mechanics of  businesses systems. Welcome to Africa’s largest business school.

Learn more on Tekedia Mini-MBA here.

 

MTN Donates $25m to AU Vaccine Program As Bill Gates Urges Nigeria to Focus on Health Sector

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Big corporations across Africa have continued to get involved in the fight against COVID-19. Beyond helping governments through provision of palliatives and medical equipment, some businesses are taking a step further.

In a unique public/private partnership, MTN, Africa’s leading mobile network, has announced a donation of $25 million to support the African Union’s COVID-19 vaccination programme.

The donation will help secure up to seven million doses of the COVID-19 vaccine for health workers across the continent, which will contribute to the vaccination initiative of the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC).

“The devastating impact of COVID-19 has been unprecedented and profound. Public and private partnerships are needed if we are to succeed in the fight against the pandemic and restore social and economic norms for our continent and our communities,” says Ralph Mupita, President and Chief Executive Officer of MTN Group.

On 14 January 2021, President Cyril Ramaphosa, Chairperson of the African Union, announced that the African Union had secured a provisional 270 million COVID-19 vaccine doses on behalf of its Member States, through advance procurement commitment guarantees of up to $2 billion to the manufacturers by the African Export-Import Bank.

This was a remarkable milestone in efforts to ensure equitable access to the COVID-19 vaccine for Africa’s people. However, with a population of about 1.3 billion, Africa requires many more doses to achieve at least 60 percent herd immunity. Contributions by private organizations, like MTN, are therefore essential to help the continent reach its target.

“Our goal is to ensure that all those who need the COVID-19 vaccine have access to it very quickly, but the biggest hurdle in Africa has been financing of the vaccines, and the logistics of vaccinating at scale. We therefore welcome the right partnerships, like the one with MTN, to achieve our minimum 60 percent vaccination target,” says Dr John Nkengasong, Director of Africa CDC.

Since the beginning of the pandemic, MTN has made significant contributions to help limit the spread of COVID-19 and save lives and livelihoods within its African market. This donation is another example of MTN’s efforts to help find lasting solutions to the challenges facing the continent and to guarantee a healthy Africa, for all Africans.

“We believe ongoing collaborations with key stakeholders across sectors are essential as vaccines are deployed in all our markets, with communication tools, technology and digital services being vital support infrastructure for a successful mass vaccination programme,” concludes Mupita. “In the coming months, MTN Group will look at similar support commitments for the markets in which we operate in the Middle East.

As of Jan. 28, Africa has recorded 3,494,117 COVID-19 cases, resulting in 87,937 deaths according to data from Africa CDC. The rising figures as well as the economic impact of the pandemic on the continent are propelling the push to secure as much vaccine as possible.

But compared to the rest of the world, Africa has so far had a more manageable situation, and many believe that overhauling the continent’s health sector should be prioritized.

Bill Gates, Microsoft founder and Chairman of Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, a charity organization with focus in Africa, urged the most populous nation in the continent, Nigeria, who among others has been making efforts to secure Pfizer vaccines, to focus more on rehabilitating its debilitated health sector.

Nigeria’s health minister, Osagie Ehanire, had in December, told the Senate that the country will require N156 billion in 2021, and N200 billion in 2022 for vaccination. But Gates said the fund should be channeled into making the healthcare system work.

“There is no doubt that the impact of putting money into the health system particularly the primary healthcare system will be very high in terms of saving children’s lives.

“Nigeria should not divert the very limited money that it has for health into trying to pay a high price for COVID-19 vaccines.

“I’m an advocate for the government to have more resources and prioritize health. Obviously I’m not a voter in Nigeria, so Nigeria can decide that independently.

“So my advice is that the primary healthcare system is what is super important and that with those finite resources, you have to prioritize expenditure,” Gates said.

Gates urged Nigeria to wait on GAVI, the Vaccine Alliance, a public-private global health partnership to increase access to immunization in poor countries, where she is a beneficiary.

“And in that case, waiting for the GAVI vaccines would be the best thing and to put into other areas so that vaccine coverage rates, that are as low as 20 per cent in some areas, get up to 80/90 per cent to save children’s lives,” he added.

$55m Per Person: SpaceX’s Crew Dragon Readies for the First Fully Private Trip to the ISS

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SpaceX

The dram of the SpaceX founder and CEO, Elon Musk, to run a commercial transport service to space is becoming truer with each day passed. Last year, SpaceX recorded a historic feat with two successful missions to space, paving the way for everyone who can afford the cost to jump the rockets.

Now, a trio of American real estate investors, a Canadian investor, and a former Israeli Air Force pilot are teaming up to pay $55 million each to be part of the first fully private astronaut crew journey to the International Space Station (ISS). The Verge reported that the trio will hitch a ride on SpaceX’s Crew Dragon capsule early next year, with a veteran NASA astronaut as the commander.

The trip, named Ax-1 mission is being organized by Texas-based space tourism company Axiom Space, and will underscore a milestone in the quest to make space travel accessible to private customers.

“As the first fully private mission to go the ISS, we feel an enormous responsibility to do it well. We realize that this is the trend-setter, the bar-setter for the future, and so our goal is to really exceed all expectations,” Michael Lopez-Alegria, the mission commander told The Verge.

The SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, with seven seats capacity was approved last year by NASA under its Commercial Crew Program to fly humans to the space station.

The Crew Dragon was first tested in March 2019, when SpaceX performed an uncrewed test flight to the ISS. But the progress suffered setbacks in April, when the spacecraft disappointedly exploded following a valve malfunction while in a routine test back on earth.

Musk and his team turned things around the next year, and the trip to the ISS became a success.

The Verge reported that Larry Connor, an entrepreneur and non-profit activist investor, Mark Pathy, the Canadian investor and Philanthropist, Eytan Stibbe, the former Israeli fighter pilot and an impact investor, were made known on Tuesday morning by Axiom as the company’s inaugural crew. And Connor, 71, would become the second oldest person to fly to space after John Gleen, who flew the US space shuttle Discovery at 77 years old.

SpaceX show

The report reveals some details of the trip including a breakdown of the $55 million expense. The Crew’s flight to the space station, an orbital laboratory some 250 miles above Earth, will take two days. They’ll then spend about eight days aboard the station’s US segment, where they’ll take part “in research and philanthropic projects,” Axiom said in a statement.

However, the Crew will have to find a sleeping space for themselves somewhere in the ISS as US, Russia and German astronauts will take the only sleeping quarters there.

“There aren’t any astronaut crew quarters for us, which is fine. Sleeping in Zero-G is pretty much the same wherever you are once you close your eyes,” said Lopez-Alegria.

As the dream of running commercial trips to the ISS and beyond got closer to reality, NASA, which previously prohibited private visits to the ISS on US spacecraft, reviewed its policy to allow private astronauts flights to the ISS. The trip will mark the first since 2000 when seven private citizens flew to the station as wealthy tourists on separate missions via Russia’s Soyuz.

A breakdown of the trip’s bill published in the 2019 NASA’s policy update reveals a hefty price tag. Using the toilet and life support systems will cost $11,250 per astronaut, all necessary crew supplies, including food, air; medical supplies etc. will cost $22,500, and $42 per kilowatt-hour for power. It thus sums the bill to about $35,000 a night person, which for the crew members on the Ax-1 mission, there is $1.1 million to pay for eight nights.

But Axiom says those nightly costs are included in the $55 million price private astronauts are already paying.

“The company bills itself as a turnkey, full-service mission provider that interfaces with all other parties (e.g NASA) for the astronauts. Any and all necessary costs are part of Axiom’s ticket price,” Axiom’s spokesman said.

However, The Verge reported that the Ax-1 mission will have to be approved by the Multilateral Crew Operations Panel, the space station’s managing body of partner countries that include the US, Russia, Canada, Japan and others. But Lopez said the process has already kicked off.

“I don’t think that there’s any doubt that the background and qualifications of the crew are more than adequate to be accepted by the MCOP, so I feel good about that,” he said.

Elon Musk, CEO SpaceX

The $55 million bill for the trip might seem expensive but it’s quite cheaper than the $90 million American astronauts used to pay per seat to Russia to board its Soyuz. But that changed through the US government’s partnership with private spaceflight companies to build private spacecraft to replace the defunct.

In 2010, under president Obama, a program called the Commercial Crew Development (CCDev) began to replace the existing space shuttle going on retirement. The aim was to replace the shuttle with a privately built spacecraft. Two US companies, SpaceX and Boeing were contracted with $2.6 billion and $4.2 billion funding respectively to build a new spaceflight for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.

But Musk has a bigger plan to put people on the moon using a Starship vehicle, a larger spacecraft he is building to accommodate more private travelers.

The Starship vehicle is expected to accommodate up to 100 passengers. SpaceX is planning to include it with two other vehicles in its Artemis program billed to commence Moon trips in 2024. The Ax-1 mission is part of SpaceX’s contract with NASA, which requires it to continue to deliver astronauts to the ISS increasing the number of passengers up to four.