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Understanding Agglomeration Strategy And Lagos Traffic

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I am privileged to work remotely – what that means is that I have less firsthand knowledge of how horrible Lagos traffic is – I have however heard a lot from people; like my brother leaving Victoria Island at almost 8pm and getting home at around 10pm and calling it a miracle, to some guy – no joke – who spent 6 hours on an Istanbul to Lagos flight, then spent another 8 hours from Murtala Muhammed to Lekki Ajah, to people where I live hopping out at 4am in the morning to get to work at God knows when.

The most important trait of any entrepreneur is the ability to see opportunities where others see problems – Gokada was a miracle product that would have saved a majority of Lagosians from mental breakdowns and unnecessary stress (I wonder what the average lifespan of a working class, Lagos traffic marauding Lagosian is?), it apparently didn’t fall into the State Governments plan for a Mega Lagos – so that got scrapped.

A new class of people see opportunities in Lagos traffic and due to the unofficial nature of their business, scrapping them has turned out to be harder than thought.

Last week I worked on a case study of the economic opportunities in Lagos traffic – these are my notes from that case study.

The Power of Agglomeration

One of my parents is apparently old school and of the opinion that anything you put on the ‘internet’, everyone sees it – we all know this is not how things work (would have been good if it was, but apparently it isn’t), and the amount of people who see what you put on the internet is really a function of how many people are; interested in you (or that topic), and how many people you can get it in their face.

The idea that there is someone out there who needs your product – but doesn’t know it exists has created a need for advertising – trying to get a product in the face of as many people as possible – and with the advent of technology and data, trying to get the same product in the face of as many relevant people as possible. The need to consistently get the right people to see your product – and apparently see it so many times that they get tired of the annoying Facebook ad and just click buy has created a new asset class; Agglomeration.

I have observed three things in business; one is that everybody sells – two is that the more valuable what you sell is, the more you earn, and three is anything is a product, as long as it has value, and you can market it and sell it well – the third point is key.

Lagos Yellow Cab

In the past, trading was all about commodities (gold and wheat), then we started trading equities (which is really just imaginary ownership of a business or enterprise), then debt. Today – anything that has any relative value can be sold, and can be sold at a premium too. Tesla sells ZEV credits (an almost fictional product) to General Motors, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles, and other manufacturers, earning them US$594 million in 2019 alone, people are spending a minimum of US$4 billion daily to buy an imaginary digital currency called Bitcoin, McDonald made US$11.01 billion in 2018 annual revenues selling a big red banner with a yellow M on it to a minimum of 36,000 businesses for a US$45,000 franchising fee, 4% of all gross profits and in some cases rent, Apple reportedly sells the “rights to be its default search engine” to Google for US$12 billion, and because the other day I was watching a YouTube video from a German based business school – Advertisers pay YouTube hundreds of thousands of dollars to bombard my feed with ads that in some cases I consider to be extremely irrelevant.Agglomeration is the new market class. Motivational speakers always tell us there’s a price to pay for the fulfillment of your vision – they’re right. Facebook’s vision is to connect the world – Facebook’s vision is a lucrative one, because apparently connecting the world creates a lot of Agglomeration, and the price (or benefit) of connecting 2 billion people in 2019 was US$70.7 billion in annual revenue – I like that kind of vision.

Agglomeration is a powerful asset, it’s so powerful that through her blog (an Agglomeration platform), Linda Ikeji reportedly bought a N500 million (US$1.31 million) house at Banana Island in 2015 based primarily on the power of Agglomeration.

Except for the Experience (s/o to Pastor Paul Adefarasin and House on the Rock), no other event Agglomerates a larger number of Lagosians than Lagos traffic.

Agglomeration creates an opportunity to sell, market and advertise a plethora of products and services, and when no one pays an Agglomeration fee, the barrier to entry becomes extremely low.

Hawkers in Lagos take advantage of the free Agglomeration of commuters in Lagos traffic to sell products these commuters may need at that present point in time – or may not have the time to buy later on.

Finding ways to Agglomerate users is a key strategy that helps businesses up sell and cross sell various offerings to users. Always have an Agglomeration strategy.

Twitter influencers have one job – have fun and tweet all you like to gather followers, then help us market our products to your followers (base of Agglomeration).

eCommerce is essentially an Agglomeration strategy. I was in a conversation with someone the other day, and I jokingly said that if music doesn’t work out for the P-square duo since they split, they can both legit become Instagram Influencers.

Always have an Agglomeration strategy.

Interaction Layers

All products have three interaction layers – interaction layers influence how people come in contact with your product and eventually commit to it (purchase). The first interaction layer is desired; when a user desires a specific solution or experience – the job of the entrepreneur is to make sure that solution or experience exists. The next layer is search – knowing a product exists, but not knowing where (or how) to get it is a market friction in itself. Businesses have a mission to make sure the availability and the location of that product is known. And the final layer is request – this is where a user eventually makes the step or takes actions to get that product.

The first layer can be gamed – and Apple does just that. Every human being has a desire to stand out and feel unique – it’s why getting the first position in class is a priority for kids (or at least most kids), it’s why people respect celebrities, and it’s why people do crazy things on Instagram just to go viral and draw everyone’s attention to themselves.

Apple creates products that feed that innate desire. Below a certain market class, an iPhone isn’t just a smartphone, it’s one of the simplest and non-obtrusive ways to signal to people that you’re a higher specie (earn more than the average person). Not everyone will walk outside to see the car you drove in with – and you can’t carry your Lekki Phase 1 property on your head and come to church – you can however get the iPhone 12 Pro (even though both me and you know you don’t need that phone for any reason, and your iPhone XS was and is still doing a fine job), and flaunt it every time need be – like when the pastor says open your Bible, and you legit came to church with a physical Bible, but you prefer to open the one on your phone, But I digress.

Hawkers employ a DTC (Direct to Consumer) marketing approach that breaks through the first three interaction layers to create a solution that is extremely phenomenal.

When your stomach growls after two hours in traffic (which is normal), you don’t have to fantasize about a roll of gala, look for where to buy one and make an attempt to purchase (you’re stuck in your car, so you literally can’t do that), the guy in front of you wearing a worn out Arsenal jersey is already dangling the thing in your face, all you have to do is pick up N200 from your wallet and whistle – that roll of gala will be in your hand in seconds – without any receipts, thank you for your patronage(s), or come next time(s).

Now in practice – it isn’t really possible to remove all interaction layers and employ a DTC approach for all products – the key selling point of the DTC marketing approach is that the quality of the product in question doesn’t necessarily need to be gauged or verified a lot (the major verification for consumables is expiry date, and you can really do that with one glance). FMCG brands don’t necessarily see their DTC strategies as being a negative representative of their brand, and therefore they can apply it as much as they need to.

I may not always be correct, but in my opinion, no sensible person will (and should) buy any kind of smartphone that’s hawked in traffic, you might as well buy the new Oppo A93, and see a nice wrap of hot fufu neatly packaged inside the box when you get home – how they performed the switch is a question I’m not sure I can answer.

Ideally most businesses will be able to remove the first two layers – the third layer is a tricky interface all together. The key point to realize is that the lesser the layers – the quicker the sale.

A technology service and consulting business may operate with the first layer on – the client (a big firm) observes they have a need and informs you of the problem. Since you don’t already have a solution to that problem, the first interaction layer is still firmly in play. Your goal will be to build this solution (usually from scratch), and deliver it to the client. You obviously get paid well – but you make lesser sales per volume when compared to other businesses that already have an existing product on the market that people just have to buy into.

Conclusion

Agglomeration is a key strategy that all businesses must design and make provisions for. The lesser you depend on external sources for Agglomeration, the better.

Agglomeration is also very similar to businesses focusing on building platforms (and communities) rather than just products.

As much as possible, businesses should focus on reducing and removing the interaction layers their users go through before interacting with their solutions.

As I said earlier, this is not always possible due to the intricacies of every business.

However, every business can design innovative ways to make interactions with their products and solutions as easy as possible.


 P.S: if you want to talk more about Agglomeration strategies, Interaction Layers and all things strategy or for Consultation services, contact me with email below.

Bitfxt Launches BoundlessPay to Make Crypto Owners Spend in Naira

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Congratulations to portfolio Bitfxt which has launched BoundlessPay.  The Boundlesspay app turns your phone into a mobile bank, making it possible that you can spend your popular cryptos wherever Naira is spent (more currencies in Africa coming). BoundlessPay is local, in Lekki, and powered by Bitfxt exchange.

More so, it connects to a community of products with a stablecoin powering decentralized finance, BITDeFI, which is available on Coinmarketcap. I want to thank our team, led by blockchain oracle, Franklin Peters, for executing at a high level. Please go and download BoundlessPay at Play store here.

Now, we have an exchange, a mobile “bank” and a DeFi, and are positioned to implement and execute any blockchain and crypto-related projects to power local and global commerce. To join this party, talk to Franklin.

Uber Sells Autonomous Car Unit to Aurora in a Deal Reportedly Worth $4bn

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Uber in a surprising move is selling its self-driving car unit, Uber Advanced Technologies Group (ATG), to self-driving car startup Aurora, according to a statement made by the company on Monday.

The ridesharing company said the move would accelerate its goal to achieve “profitability” amidst the setbacks of COVID-19. In an era when autonomous vehicles are becoming a thing, Uber’s move to sell ATG and invest in Aurora has been borne out of a perceived future where driverless vehicles become the new normal.

Last year, ATG raised $1 billion from many investors including Toyota and Softbank at a valuation of $7.25 billion, but its valuation has since plunged.

Reuters reported that Uber is also investing $400 million in Aurora, in a deal that valued Aurora at $10 billion according to sources. Uber will hold about 26% ownership interest in Aurora on a fully diluted basis, according to the company’s filing statement.

The report said Uber and Aurora will enter into a collaboration agreement to launch self-driving vehicles on the Uber ride sharing network.

Uber’s Chief Executive Officer Dara Khosrowshahi told Reuters in an interview that the sale will accelerate the ride-hailing company’s goal to achieve profitability on an adjusted basis by the end of 2021.

The move also underscores rising interest in self-driving technology. Last week, AutoX launched one of the most efficient robotaxi in Shenzhen, marking a milestone in driverless vehicle technology in China.

The company released a video showing the robotaxi driving around the city of Shenzhen, observing traffic rules and stopping when necessary for passenger to get in or alight.

Google was the first to set the unmanned wheels moving with its Waymo project that has successfully tested autonomous cars in U.S. cities. Tesla is also working to achieve its target of running self-driving ride-hailing cars in the near future. A target it previously set for 2020 but fails to meet.

The growing interest has made startups of autonomous vehicles targets of investors.

Nevertheless, Uber has been working to have a better earning report next year after 2020 financial woes. COVID-19 lockdowns, lawsuits and state of California’s attempt to compel gig companies to declassify their workers as contractors, increased the economic troubles of the cab company this year.

Uber reported gross bookings of $14.7 billion in Q3, recording a decline of 10% compared to the same quarter last year. Bookings generated $3.1 billion revenue for the company, 18% decline compared to the same period a year ago. Uber recorded a third quarter loss of $1.1 billion.

Uber trialed Uber Boat in Lagos

California is Uber’s largest market and has been hardly hit by the pandemic. On Monday, Governor Gavin Newsom imposed new restrictions that will confine Californians to their homes, following the recent surge in COVID-19 cases in the United States.

The development means that Uber will have to rely on its essential service (food delivery) once again to stay in business during the restriction. But it is a situation it is trying to avoid in the future with robotaxis.

Following the outbreak of coronavirus and the exigencies it ushered in, authorities saw an urgent need to place robots in many fields of human services, especially in areas where there is human to human contact. Therefore, there has been accelerated approval of robotic services by regulators recently.

Self-driving cars would have been operational during lockdowns, and help to elevate movement. Consequently, Uber and other companies are working to fix the friction of restricted human movement in times of novel health crises by making a push for autonomous vehicles.

Webinar Invitation: The 2021 Outlook – Growth After A Redesign

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Greetings. The Tekedia Institute has worked with thousands of innovators, companies and public institutions in 2020. Through co-creation and co-learning, we deepened capabilities, and advanced the knowledge of our members, on the mechanisms to efficiently utilize factors of production, to fix market frictions. Our overriding theme has been innovation, growth and digital execution.

As 2020 passes, we are now looking forward to 2021. In Nigeria and across Africa, we see 2021 as the Year of Accelerated Growth, especially for tech-anchored businesses. Massive opportunities would be unlocked as technology continues to transform markets and economies. In an upcoming Harvard Business Review article, I asked: how can companies capture value? Yes, what do firms need to do to advance their missions despite the structural redesigns in today’s market systems, after Covid-19?

During 2020 Tekedia Mini-MBA, we held 162 exclusive webinars, anchored by executives from Coca Cola, Shell, Schlumberger, Deloitte, Access Bank, Infoprive, TAFFDs USA, Jobberman, etc. The last of the year will be open, and for everyone. It is scheduled as follows to prepare for 2021:

TopicThe 2021 Outlook in Nigeria, Africa & Global: Growth After A Redesign

Date:  Saturday, Dec 12, 2020

Time: 4pm – 5.30pm  WAT

Webcast Link: https://www.tekedia.com/live/

Speaker: Prof Ndubuisi Ekekwe, Lead Faculty, Tekedia Institute

Prof Ndubuisi Ekekwe invented and patented a robotic system which the United States Government acquired assignee rights. Dr Ekekwe holds two doctoral and four master’s degrees including a PhD in engineering from Johns Hopkins University, USA. He earned an undergraduate degree from FUT Owerri where he graduated as his class best student. While in Analog Devices Corp, he co-designed an accelerometer for the iPhone. A recipient of IGI Global “Book of the Year” award, a TED Fellow, IBM Global Entrepreneur and World Economic Forum Young Global Leader, Prof. Ekekwe has held professorships in Carnegie Mellon University and Babcock University, and served in the United States National Science Foundation Committee. Since 2009, the Chairman of Fasmicro Group which holds stakes in at least 30 startups and entities has been writing in the Harvard Business Review. He was recognized by The Guardian as one of 60 Nigerians Making “Nigerian Lives Matter” on Nigeria’s 60th Independence Day. 

About Tekedia Institute

Tekedia Institute is a US/Nigeria-based institution with focus on business management and leadership. We offer training and advisory services for individuals, corporations, organizations and governments around the world. Our programs include Tekedia Mini-MBA, Advanced Diploma programs, etc. You can learn more and register for upcoming programs here: https://school.tekedia.com/

Nigeria: Securing Jobs of the Future, Smart Business Operations with Rain Knowledge and Skills

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AI would anchor many areas of legal practice (souce: law)

Everything is being disrupted by emerging technologies. These technologies are being developed by humans to collect and create jobs for humans. This is a double edge sword for the humanity, according to experts. Artificial intelligence, which is usually referred to machine intelligence is an intelligence displayed by machines in dissonance to the natural intelligence displayed humans and animals.

As noted earlier, RAIN when it is highly adopted in developing countries as it being used in some advanced countries will be replacing jobs in the future. Robotics and artificial intelligence will permeate wide segments of daily life by 2025. Among the experts, expectation is that RAIN will significantly collect jobs from workers working in industries such as agriculture, construction, health, and manufacturing.

The demand for workers who understand the nitty-gritty of developing robotics and machine learning products will rise. Already, we have seen how Zenvus, one of the AI driven products from Nigerian inventor, Professor Ndubuisi Ekekwe, is encouraging African farmers to embrace smart farming practice. Zenvus monitors farms with electronic sensors communicated via GSM, WIFI or Satellites to cloud servers.

Students, learning one of Robotics and Artificial Intelligence courses in Ibadan

In our experience, we have learnt that interest in learning RAIN is growing across cities and towns with required infrastructure and learning environment. Abuja, Port-Harcourt and Ibadan are coming up, joining Lagos, which has been the centre of information technology for years. We have also discovered that RAIN has a future in emerging cities such as Ibadan, where Robotics and Artificial Intelligence [RAIN] centre is located. A recent visit to the centre by our analyst indicates that it has what it takes to produce competent robotics engineers and artificial intelligence experts for Nigeria, especially Ibadan.

While launching national centre for Artificial Intelligence and Robotics learning in Abuja, Dr Isa Pantami, Minister of Communications and Digital Economy, said: “Artificial Intelligence is the refinery of the digital economy and Robotics is very useful in supporting companies as they carry out repetitive tasks. These are two very important emerging technologies that will shape the face of future technologies and we have decided to be proactive to enable us to play a key role in how these technologies evolve.

“The Fourth Industrial Revolution, fuelled by Big Data, propelled by robust computing capacity, advanced software and Artificial Intelligence is ushering new ways of living, well-being, learning, travelling and working. Its innovative use-cases are quickly changing lives for the better and creating new types of jobs.’’