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Soyombo’s Call-Out of University College Hospital and Strategic Mistake of Public Relations Officer

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Communicating with the public during crises has always been embedded with accusations and counter-accusations from the actors and concerned stakeholders. In recent times, the emergence of new media occasioned by the Internet has indicated public relations officers do not need to defend what is not hidden because Facebook, Twitter, Instagram among others have strengthened consumer callout culture, which was the exclusive right of journalists, especially investigative journalists in Nigeria and other countries before the advent of the Internet and social networking sites.

Both the journalists and citizens with the access to the social networking sites can now deplore the strategy for socioeconomic and political changes. Some days ago, Fisayo Soyombo, Nigeria’s global award-winning investigative journalist, called out the University College Hospital on his social media accounts [Facebook and Twitter]. According to him, the management needs to work on the poor water supply and toilet facilities in the hospital. His post attracted public condemnation of poor handling of the facilities.

On November 17, 2020, Soyombo reported on his social media handles that the Public Relations Officer of the hospital described his video as fake. “My attention has been drawn to claims by Toyin Akinrinlola, PRO of UCH, on TVC’s ‘Your View’ that the video I released last week is fake and not from UCH. Mr. PRO sir, I posted just the abridged version of that video. Do you want me to release the full length?” As at the time of writing this analysis, the post has been liked 467 times and shared 36 times with 122 comments. Examining the post on his Twitter handle, our analyst found that more than 2000 of his followers have retweeted the post. The post has been liked more than 4,500 times.

Based on the trending of the post, our analyst notes that the Public Relations Officer has made a strategic mistake, denying the poor condition of the facilities seems to be more honourable than describing a video released by an experienced investigative journalist. In our experience, we have learnt that when a PRO committed a mistake like this in the age of the Internet, he or she has set paths for net-citizens and heavy Internet users to explore the past of the brand being protected.

Exhibit 1: Dominant Words in His Post

Source: Soyombo, 2020; Infoprations Analysis, 2020

The University College Hospital has a trajectory that shows that water supply and toilet facilities are not in good condition. On January 7, 2017 report has it that over 600 members of the Association of Resident Doctors protested against poor working conditions, unpaid salaries and absence of basic facilities.  In the same year [November 17, 2017], it was reported that “the UCH has upgraded its facilities and expanded its services to foster quality healthcare delivery in the country.” More than two months later, Professor Alonge, former Chief Medical Director, discussed the good, the bad and the ugly sides of the hospital in an interview with a national newspaper.

“So, now that there are decent toilets here, some of them will rather come over to use them than defacing the environment,” this was the statement of Professor Jesse Otegbayo, the new CMD, in a report published on July 18, 2019. In another report, the new CMD says “When I went round the theatre at the inception of my administration, I saw the poor state of the facility, including the toilets and the changing rooms,” While referring to the new CMD, a national newspaper reported on October 14, 2020 that the hospital would  need nothing less than N50billion intervention fund to reclaim its glory as a leading tertiary health institution in the country.

Looking at the past, it is clear that the PRO has forgotten the past before responding to the call-out. Our analyst notes that as a strategic personnel and communicator, the PRO should have gone through all the trends of conversations of the former and the new CMDs on the state of the facilities before responding to the investigative journalist. This is imperative because consumers are not only ones shaping perception about brands, journalists do too.

Calling the video fake when it is clear that the journalist has more than what he released to the public is a strategic public relations mistake, which would continue to hunt the hospital in the next few days. In the current crisis, the PRO needs to be proactive by moving quickly and listen closely. Being vocal without deep understanding of the public and their expectations regarding the issue would be more damaging than what the management of the hospital expected from the denial strategy and tactic.

Exhibit 2: Select Public Attitudinal Dispositions to the Actors

Source: Soyombo’s Facebook Account 2o2o; Infoprations Analysis, 2020
Notes: 21 Select Soyombo’s Followers on Facebook

In 2018, I Predicted Ebonyi’s Umahi Dumping PDP for APC; Expect Tinubu/Umahi APC Ticket in 2023

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You might have read that the Governor of Ebonyi State, David Umahi, has left PDP for APC. I smile because many people are surprised.

The Ebonyi State Governor, David Umahi, has finally confirmed his defection to the ruling All Progressive Congress(APC) from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).

He told journalists in Abakaliki on Tuesday that he had no regrets leaving the PDP.

The governor said he moved to the APC because of “injustice” meted out to the South-east by the PDP.

He said that he had no deal with the APC or any member of the party with regards to the zoning of the presidential position to the region.

He said: “I want to clear the air that I never sought (for) PDP presidential ticket and I will not. So whoever that said that I moved to APC because they refused to zone the ticket to me is being very mischievous.

I predicted this move and wrote thus in October 2018, shortly after the coronation of Buhari and Osinbajo:

By this time in 2022, APC will select Bola Tinubu as the presidential flagbearer of the party for Election 2023. Mr. Tinubu will select a retiring governor from the southeast as his running mate. The main goal is to quench any agitation that 2023 will be the turn for southeast.

The present governor of Ebonyi state will likely be his running mate. Engr David Umahi will win with PDP in 2019 but will decamp to APC shortly. His “friendship” comment on President Buhari was not a lapse.

Largely, the best time to decamp as a governor is during the second term as you may not have to face any regional election. Decamping will be very popular because in my model, I expect Buhari to win in 2019 if he continues to show physical energy as he has recently demonstrated.

We will wait for 2022 for the other parts of the prediction to come to pass. Engr Umahi will run for the presidency on the APC platform. He will lose. Then Tinubu will select him as his running mate. As I wrote in 2018, “Tinubu/Umahi will be formidable”. And from all indications, APC will move power to the southwest.

Ahead on 2023 – The Bola Tinubu and David Umahi Presidential Ticket

 

Nigeria Evolves on Forex: “Transfers from one customer to another is prohibited”

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CBN Governor

This one seems like a hail mary pass in America football by the Central Bank of Nigeria: banning transfer of  forex (foreign exchange) from one bank customer to another, and the prohibition of forex cash lodgings into domiciliary accounts, by another person, who is not the account owner. As Sun noted, the motivation of this new mandate is to ascertain the utilisation of inflows into customers domiciliary accounts.

The circular states: “Forex inflows cannot be credited to customers until the legitimacy of funds is established.

“They can have unfettered access by telegraphic transfers up to a limit of $40,000 monthly for payment of medical bills, school fees, subscription to professional bodies subject to existing CBN guidelines.

“Transfers from one customer to another is prohibited. Transfer within related companies is allowed subject to a limit of $50,000 per month.”

It recommended that proceeds from non-oil exports should be sold to banks, used for repayment of dollar term loans, and self-utilisation for trade transactions for LC, bills and Form A. Also oil export proceeds from E&P companies are to be used to pay contractors and service providers employed by the oil companies in addition to the recommended uses for non-oil FX proceeds.

Largely, the apex bank has now understood what is happening: one of the best investments in Nigeria, since the beginning of 2020, was simply buying foreign currency and leaving it in your domiciliary account to gain value over the naira. We discussed this the other day in Tekedia Live. 

Possibly, the apex bank has seen piles of value in domiciliary accounts of rich Nigerians even as those accounts are on HODL position as in the bitcoin world. Yes, you buy the US dollars, put them in the dorm account, with no intention to do any business with them, but wait for them to gain value on the naira.

As this passes, I hope one day we do not wake up with a CBN mandate that all monies in dorm accounts be converted into naira. Do not bet against that call!

Yet, it is all hail mary pass until Nigeria starts producing things. We are just building financial models but those have to be based on productive systems. By January, the U.S. government will send me another cheque for the rights to my patent which it licensed. Until we can get to that level of creating innovation, the central bank is simply doing dem go dey pose!

Building Block of IoT Systems

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The Internet of Things (IoT) refers to sensors or actuators, combined with communication and processing capabilities, thus enabling them perform smart tasks and processes. The IoT market in the Middle East and Africa is worth around $8.5 billion and expected to grow to $17.63 billion by 2023.

In this article, I delve into the building blocks of IoT systems.

The IoT system is represented below as

Device – Connectivity – Backend system – Application 

Devices: this refer to the sensors or hardware or actuators, combined with power source (e.g. batteries, mains etc.), communication hardware (e.g. esim, chips, isims, sims etc.) ana/or a user interface system (e.g. screen, buttons, keyboard) etc.

Connectivity – This refers to the network responsible for transporting packets to the internet. This could be via cellular networks, fixed or satellites systems. The choice of connectivity, to a large extent, depends on the application of the IoT devices.

For example, high latency applications like health care, rapid response etc., favour the use of cellular networks like NB-IoT, LTE-M, other cellular connections, WiFi etc. whereas low latency applications typically favour the use of networks like Sigfox, LoRa etc. The use of networks like Sigfox, LoRa etc. equally lead to a conservation of energy and power, a critical asset for IoT devices, whereas the use of cellular connections and WiFi lead to a greater power consumption.

For indoor applications, fixed, WiFi and cellular connections are the preferred options, whereas when deploying outdoors, the use of networks like Sigfox, Lora, cellular, satellites networks etc. are preferred.

As highlighted above, the choice of connectivity option could come down to coverage or no coverage, low latency or high latency, low battery life or high battery life, indoor or outdoor, static application or mobile application, good quality of service or poor quality of service etc. Whatever the case, one may need to make some compromise, when selecting the desired connectivity network for a chosen IoT application.

Backend systems – This refers to the servers which collect and analyse data from the sensors and other external sources. These servers reside either within the private or public cloud.

Application – This refers to the system integrators, application development, and software platforms, open APIs etc., which helps in analysing, storing and managing the data.

If well harnessed, the IoT industry could help revolutionise the hardware sector in Nigeria and Africa.

Moderna Vaccine and the Globally Access Disparity

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A few days after Pfizer announced its anti-COVID vaccine with over 90% effectiveness, Moderna Inc announced its experimental drug with 94.5% prevention efficacy on COVID-19. The two drug makers have announced drugs that far exceed expectations.

The new vaccine has offered hope to the world ravaged by pandemic, especially Africa; where hot temperature would not be a barrier for its storage. The vaccine remains stable in conventional refrigerators for a month and an ordinary freezer for six months, under temperatures of 2 to 8 degrees Celsius (36 to 48?F).

Unlike Moderna, Pfizer’s vaccine must be stored at -70c before delivery, making it difficult to be administered in countries with hotter climes.

Both vaccines were developed with new technology known as messenger RNA (mRNA), and showed more than expected results in clinical trials.

“The results of this trial are truly striking,” says Anthony Fauci, the director of US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease, and the vaccines co-developer. He told reporters several months ago that he would be satisfied with a vaccine that was 70% or 75% effective, and one that prevented 95% of cases would be “aspirational”.

Moderna was one of the first developers to announce that it was working on a COVID-19 vaccine and to move testing to clinical trials in humans. It began a phase III trial that enrolled roughly 30,000 people in July, according to scientific magazine Nature.

At the news of its trial success, Moderna’s shares jumped 8% while the Dow climed 1.6%, the S&P 500 rose 1.17% and Nasdaq gained 0.8%. European markets rose too.

Pfizer and BioNTech shares plunged 4.3% and 16.4% respectively, following the news that Moderna doesn’t need colder temperatures to be preserved.

The tumultuous crisis of COVID-19 is taking a higher toll in the US and Europe, spiking the desperation of the Western countries to have as much of the vaccine as possible.

Moderna is part of the US government’s Operation Warp speed program. The company is expected to produce about 20 million doses for the United States this year. The company said it has already made millions of doses and would ship it if it gets FDA’s approval.

“Assuming we get an emergency use authorization, we’ll be ready to ship through Warp Speed almost in hours so it could start being distributed instantly,” Moderna president Stephen Hoge said.

In Europe, Britain has secured 5 million doses of Moderna according to a statement issued by health minister Matt Hancock on Monday.

“We have today secured an initial agreement for 5 million doses of the Moderna vaccine,” he said.

While many countries are yet to indicate interest in the vaccine, economies around the world could heave a sigh of relief as the availability of the vaccine would mean that the most affected businesses, such as the aviation and hospitality would spring back to life.

But there are still unanswered questions and uncertainties about the vaccine. It is not clear how long the vaccine’s protective effects last; whether it can block people from transmitting the virus; or whether the vaccine works as well in higher-risk groups such as older adults. Moderna reported that, of the 95 cases, 15 were in people over 65, but it didn’t say which arm of the trial these participants were in.

However, the percentage of success in the trials offered hope beyond expectation, and started a vehicle of recovery for ravaged economies and the disrupted global supply chain.

China and Russia have already begun to vaccinate, and with the availability of Pfizer, Sputnik and Moderna vaccines, a large part of the world’s population could be covered by mid next year, if less affluent countries are given access to the vaccines.

While concentration lies on the US and Europe, where the pandemic is still much active, other countries with quite a record of high numbers will become a setback to the total elimination of the virus if they don’t have access to vaccines.

With over 55 million infected around the world, global access to vaccine is necessary to contain the spread of the virus.

Moderna has the capacity to produce more than one billion doses, which will serve the 330 million US population with leftovers of over 700 million. Pfizer vaccine’s storage limitation has made it exclusive to countries with temperate weather, which means, Africa is excluded. So far, a combination of Moderna, Russia’s Sputnik which is said to be also over 90% effective offers hope to disadvantaged countries.

While there is hope that many vaccines under trial will be approved in the near future, a global synergy is required for strategic distribution of the available vaccines, especially for dependent countries with enormous populations like Nigeria.