We are building business cases for mainly African and Africa-operating businesses and brands as we prepare for Tekedia Mini-MBA in 2021. We have expanded our curriculum with many empirical learning systems to deepen outcomes. I report that MTN business case is in. We see three phases in the growth of his amazing African brand:
– The age of Voice telephony (before and decade of 2000s)
– The age of mobile internet (decade of 2010s)
– The age of application utilities (decade of 2020s)
From MTN, we postulate how the future of the industry would be. As SpaceX Starlink and other satellite players arrive (with expected affordable satellite phones), we see disintermediation threats to the likes of MTN, Airtel and other terrestrial players, but those threats could be mitigated if they play well in the age of application utilities. Yes, selling data will not be enough but playing into that data becomes strategic.
Cloud kitchens, also called ghost kitchens, shared kitchens, or virtual kitchens, are commercial facilities purpose-built to produce food specifically for delivery rather than sit-down service. These commissary kitchens work with delivery-only food brands to serve communities where they operate. Uber Founder and ex-CEO, Travis Kalanick, runs a popular ghost kitchen startup called CloudKitchens. This sub-sector is getting popular in some major cities.
Once a curious addition to the food delivery craze, ghost kitchens have taken new prominence amid the pandemic. A report by Restaurant Dive argues that these kitchens — delivery-only cooking warehouses, essentially — may play a prominent role in the food landscape of the future given the explosion of delivery apps, a movement toward convenience and the effects and after-effects of the virus on the dine-in restaurant space. In a similar vein, Chipotle is opening its first digital-only restaurant in New York state that caters solely to pick-ups and delivery.
Largely, you take a rent in a big city, turn that place into a place to cook food with no customer coming there to eat. Rather, you use delivery apps and bikers to send food to customers as they buy via their apps. One cloud kitchen can serve many delivery brands, making it a platform for sourcing cooked meals.
Cloud kitchens are commercial facilities purpose-built to produce food specifically for delivery. They do not have brick-and-mortar dine-in areas and consist of shared kitchen space with culinary staff preparing meals that are then delivered to customers at home or at work, typically through online delivery companies such as Uber Eats, Postmates, Grubhub, and DoorDash. […]
Cloud kitchens are much cheaper to set up than brick-and-mortar restaurants; there’s no need for them to be in prime locations, no need for cool designs, and no need for seating space. One estimate we heard was that a brick-and-mortar restaurant in New York City costs $1 million to $1.5 million to set up, while a cloud kitchen can get up and running for $100,000.
Today in Nigeria, the food delivery business is still at infancy. Even most of the food delivery apps depend on regular sit-down restaurants. A good cloud kitchen can improve marginal cost, and use scale to reduce cost of meals by 30%, in Lagos, with an improved delivery logistics. Mamaput is for small business owners; cloud kitchen is for entrepreneurs. Nigeria wins with entrepreneurs, not small business owners. Let’s think big here.
One of the main challenges in Nigeria is a stable electricity generation and distribution. This has led to alternative generation and usage by the people and businesses. A recent report indicates that Nigeria is one of the countries in Africa where a total of $120 billion is needed in the next 5 decades to close electricity gap.
Though, Nigeria has 30 power plants with an installed capacity to generate more than 13,000 MW, transmitting and distributing this in the last few years by the electricity transmission and distribution companies remains a herculean task. According to a number of sources, perused by our analyst, the Transmission Company of Nigeria can only transmit 7,000MW, while the distribution companies have the capacity to handle 3,000MW, distributing to the residential and industrial places across the country.
As narratives and alternative narratives continue trailing issues in the Africa’s largest economy, we learnt that the public are not relent in seeking information and knowledge of the reasons to have ability to generate that amount of electricity and still not have electricity for residential and industrial consumption.
In our experience, we found that a significant number of members of the public developed interest in energy generation and distribution between 2015 and 2020. We discovered that the interest in energy generation connected with the 30 power plants’ capacity to generate more than 13,000MW by 27.3%. While this seems good, analysis shows that one percent of interest in the plants’ energy generation capacity reduced interest in energy distribution by 28.8%. This reaffirms the earlier position that people are losing interest in the TCN and DISCOs.
Exhibit 1: Power Plants and Their Generation Capacity
Source: NERC, 2020
Bringing Energy to Life
Despite varied macroeconomic and communal challenges facing businesses in Nigeria, especially those with the interest in the power industry, Egbin Power Plant, a subsidiary of Sahara Group, is one of the companies contributing to sustainable energy generation. This plant came into existence more than 30 years ago. It is situated on 600 hectares of land at Ijede, a suburb of Lagos city.
Since 1985, a significant amount of money has been spent on infrastructure and over 350 employees. In 2018, Sahara Energy invests $200m in Egbin Power Plant to generate 1,100MW. During the year, the management of the plant promised generation of 5,000MW in 5 years. It contributes 13% of the total electricity generated to the national grid, making it the heartbeat of Power and the largest provider of electricity to Africa’s largest economy. Indeed, the plant is fulfilling its strategic principle of bringing energy to life in spite of challenges. It believes in “powering prosperity” through top quality power generation, leveraging cutting edge technologies. According to the data released by the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) for the Q1 2020, the plant generated 14.82%, the highest.
Exhibit 2: Share (%) of Generation Output by Plants in Q1 2020
Source: NERC, 2020
Bringing Greenery to Life
There is no doubt businesses and individuals need energy to be operational at offices and homes. They also want a better share of the consumption when the generating companies must have done the needful in terms of embracing the right sustainability practices. Egbin Power Plant, at least, has demonstrated that it is ready to bring energy to the life of businesses and people. Our analysis indicates that one percent of public interest in energy generation increases interest in green environment by 19.6%.
One of the employees at the corporate level at the plant recently notes that “a typical passenger vehicle emits about 4.6 metric tonnes of carbon dioxide per year and this is equivalent to an average of 0.0126 metric tonnes of carbon dioxide per day. Every walk-to-work and bike-to-work activity as well as riding on the electric buggies within the facility prevents emission of 3.78 metric tonnes per day of carbon dioxide from about 150 cars within Egbin and 1379.7 metric tons every year.”
Based on the outcome of our analysis and employee’s position, our analyst visited the premises of Egbin Power Plant to observe and document sustainability practices of the management of the Plant within the context of green environment in power plants. This is imperative has different researches established that the Plant and others have capacity of generating CO2 emission, NOx emission, particulate matter, SOx among others, which can harm people and aquatic lives.
From Ikorodu to Ijede, our analyst experienced severe heat. This is connected with air and noise pollution in the area. Our analyst notes that the effects should have been minimal if there are trees planted along the roadsides. As he moved towards the Power Plant he was panicked and thought about how the life would be at the Plant location.
Getting to the main entrance of the Plant at about 5pm on Wednesday, 11 November 2019, he participated in the routine security check up and visitors’ documentation. A few minutes after documentation and entering the main premises, his premonition about the severe heat and other possible effects of air and noise pollution changed. Everywhere is green, contributing to the breeze that welcomes him. This experience further reinforced what he had earlier found when public interest in green environments in relation to power plants was analysed along with the interest in Egbin Power Plant and others. Analysis reveals that in 260 weeks, people developed significant interests in green environment and knowing Egbin power plant more than others. For instance, one unit of interest in green environment led to 11.4% interest in the Egbin Power Plant.
From Estate to Powerfields Group of Schools and other strategic structures on the premises, trees of different species are planted. On the both sides of the roads, our analyst also discovered various categories of flowers and other ornamental plants capable of reducing climate change impacts on living and non-living things. In his words, Abdullah Oladipo, the Project Team Lead of Green Facilities, notes that greenery reduces amount of air and noise pollution, increases value and lifespan of facilities on the premises, and improves people’s well-being. “It makes the premises more appealing,” he stressed.
“What I love most about the company was how they took the safety and health of every employee, including the Interns seriously,” one of the previous employees of the Plant said while narrating his experience on an employee review portal in 2020. With the two days experience, our analyst observes that Egbin Power Plant walks its talks in terms of providing a sustainable environment for stakeholders not only bringing energy to life.
The Federal Government of Nigeria on Wednesday, announced the ratification of Nigeria’s membership of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), beating the December 5 deadline.
The news came at the end of a Federal Executive Council meeting held virtually on Wednesday.
“The Federal Executive Council (FEC) today (Wednesday) Ratified Nigeria’s membership of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), ahead of the December 5, 2020 deadline. The AfCFTA Agreement comes into effect on the 1st of January 2021,” a statement from Nigerian government said.
For months, the Nigerian government has been dragging feet on the ratification of AfCFTA, when several other African governments have stepped forward. President Muhammadu Buhari said the government needed to examine the merits and demerits of the agreement before it could pen the approval.
The African Continental Free Trade Area is a new bloc designed to foster intra-African trade. The idea was brokered by the African Union and signed by 44 out of 55 of its member states in Kigali, Rwanda on March 21, 2018.
So far, 30 African countries have deposited their instrument of ratification with the African Union Commission (AUC), and they include most West African states.
Nigeria, as the largest economy in the continent was expected to take the lead, but she was among the last countries to sign the agreement. In July, 2019, when Buhari finally penned down Nigeria’s willingness to become part of the agreement, it was all the continent wanted to hear.
But as other member states welcomed Nigeria to the bloc, the government took a controversial step that stood in the way of AfCFTA and everything it stood for.
In August 2019, the Nigerian government shut its land borders, halting all trade with its West African neighbors, and throwing the chances of implementing the AU trade agreement into jeopardy. It was an unprecedented move that cast more strains on Nigeria’s struggling economy as well as her West African neighbors.
The federal government said it took the step to quell smuggling which was ripping through its economy and enabling free flow of arms to terrorists in the Sahel region and northern Nigeria, and West African states will need to find a way to stop the smuggling before the border could be reopened.
President Buhari of Nigeria
“The Sahel region is awash with small arms, which accounts for severe security challenges in Mali, Chad, Burkina Faso, Niger, and Nigeria. We are in fact the biggest victims,” Buhari said. He also noted that the inflow of rice into Nigeria was undermining the efforts of local farmers, and that the border closure has boosted their earnings.
While local and international condemnation trailed the move, Nigeria’s government adamantly said there is no date for reopening of the borders.
The West African neighbors saw the decision as deliberate punishment that undermines ECOWAS rules. Clement Boateng, National Organizer of Ghana’s Union of Traders Association said that the Ghanaian government needs to enact retaliatory laws to protect its people.
“Nigeria has shown us that when it comes to ECOWAS protocols, they don’t care because they put their citizens first. That is why we think our Ghanaian government needs to implement some of the local laws that can protect the local people, especially regarding the influx of foreigners in the retail trade,” he said.
The lax in enforcement of ECOWAS protocols and the seeming lack of jurisdiction by the African Union to compel Nigerian government to open the borders set some members of the ECOWAS on a vindictive mission. Ghanaian government commenced shutting Nigerian-owned stores in Ghana, and there was rising tension between Benin Republic and Nigeria over the border closure.
As the West African economy nosedived even before the outbreak of COVID-19, AfCFTA becomes the hope of ECOWAS bloc and the rest of the continent as they push to up their economic ante through the creation of intra-African trade that will soar over the current abysmal 16%.
Africa’s $2.4 trillion GDP is currently reeling on the strains of COVID-19 and needs a boost through intra-African trade.
The World Bank has urged African leaders to develop a framework to resolve border issues, as they will be a lot of it when AfCFTA comes into effect.
“The AfCFTA will only succeed if member countries make the regional strategy part of their national policy and proactively address the tensions that arise. Countries should find the sweet spot that reinforces national economic goals and ensures maximum gains from increased integration, looking beyond a static assessment of their priorities,” the World Bank said.
It added that countries need to make the case to their people as to why integration is useful in the long term – this is particularly important in larger countries, which may have greater influence on regional decisions.
The Nigerian government did not comment on border reopening when it announced the AfCFTA ratification, which suggests the borders may likely remain closed when AfCFTA goes into effect in January 2021.
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