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U.S. Restaurants Heave Sigh of Relief As GrubHub Ditched Uber for Just Eat Takeaway

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Last week, Uber lost out on the much anticipated deal that would have seen the biggest consolidation of eatery business in the United States. Uber has been in acquisition talks with GrubHub as it pushes to augment losses being incurred as a result of COVID-19 induced lockdowns.

The ride-hailing company failed to reach a deal with GrubHub due to price and regulatory concerns, according to people familiar with the matter.

Consequently, GrubHub turned attention to European Just Eat Takeaway, and the duo reached a takeover deal valued at $7.3 billion. Just Eat Takeaway said it would value GrubHub at $75.15 per share, and GrubHub’s founder and chief executive Matt Maloney will join Just Eat Takeaway’s board to oversee the business in North America.

Just Eat Takeaway confirmed in a release that “it is in advanced discussion with GrubHub regarding an all-share combination of Just Eat Takeaway.com with GrubHub.”

The development is a big blow to Uber that is hoping the acquisition would narrow competition and give it an edge in the United States food market. Uber and Grubhub are domestic rivals, and both have been struggling recently even in the face of online food delivery surge masterminded by the coronavirus pandemic.

Uber’s shares dropped 5% on the news that it lost the deal to European rival. The American ride-hailing giants backed out of the deal as many US senators started showing interest over antitrust concerns. Last month, Sens. Richard Blumenthal, Amy Klobuchar, Patrick Leahy and Patrick Booker had urged responsible agencies to investigate the deal.

Klobuchar said in a statement that the US doesn’t need another merger that could squelch competition.

“I have repeatedly raised concerns and advocated against a potential merger between Uber and GrubHub. During this pandemic, when millions are out of work and many businesses are struggling to stay afloat, our country does not need another merger that could squelch competition. News that the Uber/Grubhub deal may not materialize would be good for both consumers and restaurants,” he said.

Uber and GrubHub had previously agreed on a stock ratio of 1.925 Uber shares per share of GrubHub, but regulatory concerns posed a challenge to the deal.

The fear that Uber/GrubHub merger would cripple competition and throw others in the market out of business spurred the lawmakers to push for investigation.

The online food delivery is an existential threat to local restaurants and COVID-19 pandemic aggravated the already bad situation as lockdowns compelled those who eat out to order foods online as most restaurants remain shut. The news that the merger deal between Uber and GrubHub failed would have brought a great relief to local restaurant owners and politicians.

Earlier, Klobuchar and other senators had written to the antitrust agencies expressing this concern.

“As our country grapples with the many health and safety challenges brought about by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, many consumers have turned to food delivery apps to order meals online, and many restaurants have come to rely on the business they get through these apps to stay afloat,” the senators wrote.

They added that “a merger of Uber eats and GrubHub would combine two of the three largest food delivery application providers and raise serious competition issues in many markets around the country.”

Uber’s failure to close the GrubHub’s deal has dealt a further blow to its dwindling services. With life yet to return to normal, the hope of generating revenue from ride-hailing services is still far from reality. Uber said it will continue to look out for other merger deals; however, its investors’ confidence has been dampened by the recent event as anxiety over its increasing losses grows.

However, while the failed merger deal between Uber and GrubHub hurts the ride-hailing company’s chances of recovery from the economic spikes of COVID-19, it offers a lifeline to local restaurants that would have been heavily impacted by the resultant dominance.

Restaurants in many US states are only allowed to do takeout and delivery as part of measures to curtail the spread of coronavirus amidst the increasing dominance of the likes of Uber Eats and Grubhub. Restaurants owners were wary that a successful merger by two American companies would monopolize the eatery market, and eat out restaurants will be at the receiving end.

According to data from Second Measure, GrubHub held 30% of the US meal delivery while Uber held 20% as of October last year raising concern that a consolidation would put a further strain on restaurants.

Many states in the United States put a cap on delivery services as the pandemic shut restaurants out, to ease pricing concerns in the near term.

Pandemic-Fit vs. Market-Fit

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If Airbnb goes IPO in the next 6 months, one thing would become evident: products which have market-fit, even if not evidently coronavirus pandemic-fit, will thrive, provided the pandemic has not shifted the market frictions to the point where those products become misfits.

The tech IPO market is beginning to move again. While there had been a slowdown since March, some firms — particularly those that have weathered shutdowns — are once again gearing up to go public. A slew of firms have already filed for IPOs, including Vroom, SelectQuote and ZoomInfo. Palantir, a digital surveillance company, is also reportedly prepping a public offering. Tech darling Airbnb, which has struggled during the pandemic, hasn’t ruled out going public, says a report in The New York Times.

The challenge before founders is to make sure that the post-pandemic frictions are still relevant in their missions. I noted how some people are giving up coffee, after surviving lockdown without Starbucks. Yes, nothing bad happened without the coffee rituals. So, post-pandemic, they are now saving that $6 per cup of coffee, causing massive dislocations in the friction space for some coffee providers like Starbucks. So, even though coffee remains a market-fit product, the pandemic has changed it, at least for now.

Starbucks, a coffee chain, is experiencing two dislocations: lockdown might have changed people’s coffee-drinking habit, and lack of drive-thru in its stores may be discouraging patrons from visiting, over social distancing. So, some people were indoors for weeks and were able to go through the hibernation without Starbucks, saving about $6 per cup of coffee during any indulgence encounter. Now that the lockdown is over, not many people want to restart that lifestyle again.

Also, for the few people who are interested in going, they would prefer a drive-thru over entering the store. Starbucks does not have many stores with drive-thrus, and that is hurting it right now. The implication is that the company is closing stores as sales plummet, even when some competitors are seeing improving growth. Of course, the premium nature of Starbucks (yes, it is expensive) could be a major factor why it is struggling. During recession, expensive coffee drinking habits become secondary to most people, who are trying to just survive before normalcy returns!

You cannot afford to be pursuing pandemic-fit opportunities, losing insights on the durable market-fit ones. You need to think long-term even as you take care of today’s opportunities. If investors welcome Airbnb, you can see what matters: long-term (not ephemeral) value creation RULE.

Pandemic-Fit Vs Market-Fit – Tekedia Forum – Tekedia

A Professor to Teach Leadership in Business in Tekedia Mini-MBA

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Dr. Ayodeji (Emmanuel) Oyebola, Ed.D is a principal consultant with Emmright Consulting USA, and a professor with St Mary’s University of Minnesota USA. He teaches Leadership in Business at Tekedia Mini-MBA. Understand the modern mechanics of business leadership with Prof Oyebola.

Register for Tekedia Mini-MBA.

https://www.tekedia.com/mini-mba-2/

Soulmate Industries Writes Appreciation Letter to Tekedia Mini-MBA

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Good People, we received this letter from Soulmate Industries Limited. Soulmate sent its Senior Management to Tekedia Mini-MBA 1st edition. Soulmate is the largest wholly owned indigenous haircare and bodycare maker in Africa. As you would expect, this letter is being framed for our office.

Sir Ndukwe Osogho-Ajala , from all of us at Tekedia Institute (faculty, staff and fellows), we are honored to have served Soulmate Industries as it continues its mission to “…promote, restore and maintain hair for a more beautiful you.” Soulmate will find more markets and territories.

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The Innovation & Growth of Firms [Video]

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Innovation = Invention + Commercialization.

The greatest moment in any nation is when entrepreneurs, makers and builders RISE. They turn inventive societies into innovation societies, accelerating human wellbeing in that process. The growth of nations comes from the growth of firms, and unless those firms rise, nations cannot advance. How do we make Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya, etc innovation societies? I explain in these videos

For Tekedia Mini-MBA, our focus is Growth, anchored on Innovation, and flavoured with digital. We invite everyone to Register for Tekedia Mini-MBA today.