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A Microsoft Azure Business Group Lead Is Faculty for AI & Cloud In Tekedia Mini-MBA

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Our faculty for Tekedia Mini-MBA (click for updated faculty) is about ready; Wale Olokodana, a Microsoft Azure Business Group Lead, will handle our Cloud and AI. Cloud computing has become exceedingly critical in today’s business sphere, and AI is already emerging to architect a new paradigm in the mechanics of global commerce. This session will focus on the promises of AI & Cloud and how they could help your business innovate and grow.

As I noted in the #Plan4Restart  and State of Tech Nation video, digitization and semi-automation are going to be catalytic on how firms operate. Yes, cloud and AI will not just run firms, they will also TRANSFORM them.

  • Hybridized Supply Chain: Flexible, adaptive, global and local, at the same time.

  • Remote Everything: The web will run the world across sectors.

  • Digitization and Cloud Migration: The pace will accelerate.

  • Semi-automation: Disintermediation of humans will accelerate

I invite you to join us on this business management excursion; click and REGISTER. We have local partners coordinating enrollments in Southern Africa, Ghana, Cameroon and other African nations. If you have any payment problem, reach out to my team to connect you.

 

IMF Loan Clarifications, MTN & Seplat Financial Results

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IMF Approves Nigeria’s Emergency $3.4 billion Financial Assistance

The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved Nigeria’s request for emergency financial assistance of SDR 2,454.5 million (US$ 3.4 billion, 100% of quota) under the Rapid Financing Instrument (RFI) to meet the urgent balance of payment needs stemming from the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Our comments:

  1. Currently, Nigeria’s dollar supply (inflows) can no longer meet its dollar demand (outflows), thus creating a balance of payment need that is currently estimated at $17 billion.
  2. The Financial Assistance is a loan issued as an Emergency Support under the IMF’s  Rapid Financing Instrument facility.
  3. This funding support is expected to relieve the Government of the pressure created by the crash in oil price. The support will provide assurance around the payment of salaries, palliatives and other preparations to combat coronavirus.
  4. The fund will also provide the much-needed dollar supply to the CBN who is expected to provide naira to the Government for the execution of projects.
  5. The dollar supply to CBN is expected to flow into the FX market to meet the current demands across different FX windows.
  6. In the short run, this is expected to stabilise the Naira.
  7. Also, as we have noted in the past weeks, the availability of dollars may trigger the exit of foreign portfolio investors from the equity and fixed income markets.

Domestic borrowing: Senate approves FG’s N850bn request
The Senate has approved the Federal Government’s request for conversion of N850bn new external borrowing in the 2020 budget to domestic borrowing. A statement released by the Debt Management Office on Tuesday said the House of Representatives was also expected to approve the request. The DMO is to issue FGN Securities in the domestic market to raise the N850bn once the request is approved by the House. Read more

Germany grants Nigeria N8.9bn debt relief
The Republic of Germany said it has granted Nigeria debt relief amounting to N8.9 billion (€22.4 million) on account of the coronavirus pandemic. Also, the German government said it has successfully campaigned in the G20 group of countries and the Paris Club group of creditor countries in favour of a debt moratorium for countries heavily affected by the economic impact of COVID-19. Read more

Stock Market Update and Corporate Disclosures:

The All-Share-Index is currently up by 0.28% with bluechips dominating the gainers’ list. MTN is currently up by 1.14%, WAPCO up by 1.34%, Zenith and UBA are up by 0.67% and 1.69% respectively.

Click on the link https://bit.ly/2XrvIf9 to open a stockbroking/share purchase account and trade within 24 hours

MTN: financial highlights for the three months ended 31 March 2020

  • Mobile subscribers increased by 4.2 million to 68.5 million
  • Active data users increased by 1.7 million to 26.8 million
  • Service revenue increased by 16.7% to N5 billion
  • EBITDA grew by 15.3% to N5 billion
  • EBITDA margin is now at 52.7%
  • PBT increased by 8.9% to N3 billion, with a margin of 23.18%

See highlights in the image below and details here. Without boring you with the usual financial details, MTN provides insights on its financials in a separate publication. This publication is recommended if you have any interest in MTN.

Seplat: Unaudited results for the three months ended 31 March 2020

Against the twin crises of significantly reduced oil demand and the price war, Seplat continues to demonstrate its resilience because of its ongoing philosophy of prudent financial management, the careful mitigation of risk and a keen focus on managing factors of the business that are within our control.

Operational Highlights

  • Low unit cost of production at US$7.7/boe, with cost-cutting initiatives now in force
  • Working interest production within guidance at 48,491 boepd
  • Liquids production of 33,368 bopd
  • Gas production of 88 MMscfd
Financial Highlights:

  • Cash at bank US$336 million, net debt of US$458 million
  • Revenue of US$130 million, down 18.2% due to a stock build at the terminal (underlift) of $47m and lower oil prices
  • Non-current asset impairment provision of US$146 million in line with IAS 36 COVID-19 impact assessment
  • Impairment provision reverses a profit for Q1 2020 of US$39 million into a loss for the period of US$107 million
  • Impairment provision reduces non-current assets from US$2.34 billion to US$2.20 billion
  • Total capital expenditure of US$46 million
  • Cash flow from operations US$65 million

See highlights in the image below and details here

Headlines:

Nigeria Records 195 New Cases Of COVID-19, Total Infections Now 1,532

Nigeria on Tuesday recorded 195 new cases of the novel coronavirus, bringing the country’s total infections to 1,532. According to a tweet by the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC), of the new infections, 80 were recorded in Lagos, 38 in Kano, while 15 were recorded in the Ogun State. In Bauchi State, 15 cases were recorded, 11 in Borno, 10 in Gombe, Nine in Sokoto, five in Edo and Jigawa, two in Zamfara and one each in Rivers, Enugu, Delta, FCT and Nasarawa. Read more

COVID-19: IMF approves $3.4bn emergency loan for Nigeria

The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund on Tuesday approved $3.4bn in emergency financial assistance to the Federal Government in addressing the severe economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The financial assistance, approved under the Rapid Financing Instrument, is also to enable Nigeria to address the sharp fall in oil prices. Read more

Nigeria may record N4.9tn decline in nominal GDP — Investigation

The outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic in Nigeria may result in a decline of N4.95tn in the nation’s nominal Gross Domestic Product in the present fiscal year, investigation has revealed. Nominal GDP measures the value of all finished goods and services produced by a country at their current market prices. The N4.95tn decline in nominal GDP is about 48.19 per cent of the Federal Government’s revised N10.27tn budget. Read more

Trump speaks with Buhari on phone, to send ventilators to Nigeria

US President, Donald Trump on Tuesday, had a telephone conversation with Nigerian President, Muhammadu Buhari over the coronavirus pandemic in the country. This was revealed by Lai Mohammed, minister of information, at the media briefing of the presidential task force on COVID-19. He said the US president promised to send across ventilators to Nigeria. Read more

Asia shares extend gains as economies slowly re-open, oil rallies

Asian shares rose for a third session on the trot on Wednesday as investors took heart from easing coronavirus lockdowns in some parts of the world while oil prices jumped on hopes demand will pick up. Read more

Fed seen making small changes to keep fed funds above zero

The Federal Reserve is widely expected on Wednesday to lift the interest rates that influence its fed funds target, a technical move that could keep interbank lending running smoothly and help prevent financial market disruption should the benchmark rate fall below zero. Read more

U.S. coronavirus deaths surpass Vietnam War toll as Florida readies reopening plan

The U.S. coronavirus death toll climbed above 58,000 on Tuesday, surpassing the loss of American life from the Vietnam War, as Florida’s governor met with President Donald Trump to discuss an easing of economic restraints. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, among the latest to lock down his state against the pandemic, has been weighing whether to join other states in a relaxation of workplace restrictions and stay-at-home orders that have been credited with slowing the contagion but which have battered the economy. Read more

Indexes drop as investors rotate from growth to value stocks

Wall Street’s major indexes lost ground on Tuesday as investors moved out of market-leading growth stocks, though a rotation into cyclical value stocks could point to hopes of economic revival as states begin to relax restrictions enacted to halt the coronavirus pandemic. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fell 32.23 points, or 0.13%, to 24,101.55, the S&P 500 (SPX) lost 15.09 points, or 0.52%, to 2,863.39 and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) dropped 122.43 points, or 1.4%, to 8,607.73. Read more

COVID-19 Containment in Anambra State: An Amazing Home Made Solution 

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Saturday 25th April, 2020 was  a happy day for Anambrarians, at home. This followed the press release of the governor Chief Willy Obiano, announcing that their state’s COVID 19 confirmed case has been discharged after testing negative;  that all the contacts of the survivor have equally come out negative. The hallmark of this was the announced partial relaxation of the state’s lock down, which will (beginning from the stated date) enable only persons within the state to go about their businesses, provided they adhere to extant hygiene and personal safety practices.

Following that announcement, Anambra became the first state to officially enter into the post COVID-19 era in Nigeria.

Here’s the reason for that:

One of the available information provided by experts is that coronavirus can’t travel by air past a distance of  1m.

On this assurance that the deadly virus can’t simply fly like a bird from one locality to another, an essential task was to initiate reliable measures that restrict interstate travel to only essential ones by authorized persons. The state did so through a joint agreement between the state authority, all village heads and vigilante of every community in the state, to secure their village borders and not allow unauthorised entrance.

Breaching an agreement at the cost of one’s crown or collecting bribes to let someone in, at the risk of danger to one’s family, relations and people in addition to punishment is not a gentleman thing to do. So the border was secured. As long as that measure is not compromised, things will remain stable in Anambra State.

This brings to mind that, It’s often been the case that an all-size-fit design does not always fit all. A home made solution that takes cognizance of the peculiarities of  a home felt problem and the unique circumstances of the particular people, is always the best way to go. It does better.

With the rising cases of the COVID 19 in Nigeria, it’s not yet late to engage traditional rulers and vigilantes to complement the efforts of the security outfits of the federal government, in securing interstate borders. The hard to understand issue that’s still happening is that people are still moving from one state to another. A friend called today (29th April, 2020) to tell me that someone checked into their compound in Aba last night from the North (Northern part of Nigeria). Why I advised them should ask for self quarantine or alert NCDC, if the person refuses self isolation. I know that the person and other persons who flaunt ‘Stay At Home’ order and travel these days don’t travel as invisible spirits. Some of them move by road. How are they able to do so even when there are police and military men on the road? Maybe the government of Anambra knows why, which made them to engage all their villages to work in ensuring that the task of securing their state borders is not compromised.

If it worked for Anambra, it makes sense that every other state should find ways to adapt related measures to secure their borders. Endless bit-by-bit total lock down is dangerous in any part of Nigeria and Africa as a whole given the unique economic situation In Africa.

An aggressive movement restrictions at national and state borders can help a lot in preventing easy spread to other places. Which of course ensures the pandemic doesn’t reach a level that will overwhelm available health facilities.

Just as Anambra, when every least affected state has put in place effective and reliable border closure measures, in line with the peculiar case of their environment, they can confidently come up with and enforce guidelines that will permit people within their respective states to return to businesses partially.

Congratulations: He’s Funded

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We got one of those inspiring testimonials which motivate all of us on this community service. I thank our faculty for their time, efforts and commitments. Providing guidance to our young people is one of the ways we can help them in this age of economic paralysis and turbulence.

“Sir, I discarded my business plan and used the Week 1 business canvas on the Challenge Assignment. Today, I am happy to share that less is indeed better: we received $25,000 from an investor. I want to thank all the faculty especially Mr. Azeez Lawal. His course on Fundraising with African sense is the best ever. I also thank you for a statement in one of the class videos, “Your customer can be your investor. Believe this… the best investors are customers”. This investor is a customer and we will begin by serving his company even though we are a separate company.” from a Tekedia Mini-MBA participant.

Meanwhile, registration continues for the second edition scheduled to start June 22. If you register before May 1, you get two of my books – Africa’s Sankofa Innovation, and The Dangote System, along with a free certificate course at First Atlantic Cybersecurity Institute (Facyber). Join for a 4-month of business excursion, 100% online, at $140 or N50k. Faculty includes leaders from MIT, Deloitte, Kendor, Schlumberger, AIICO, Luzo, Smepeaks, Nigerian Breweries, Delek, Flutterwave, etc.

Click and register here.

https://www.tekedia.com/mini-mba-2/

Why Pyramid Schemes Fail

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We’re going through a very tough time. Many of us all over the world are currently on some form of restrictions, and we can’t continue our normal activities. The impact of COVID-19 is experienced differently by people; there are many families exposed, many people going through difficulties, it is nice to be good in any way you can to people around you. It’s nice to be good anytime, but the present situation calls for more kindness. 

There are many stories of people doing good, sharing with the needy, helping the elderly and this shows the love we still have despite everything going on. It shows there is hope for humanity.

There are many “viruses” spreading online apart from COVID-19. Misinformation. Be careful and try to always verify the information before sharing (if you need to share it). Having said that, I want to draw attention to many new make-money-from-home schemes flying around, digital entrepreneurship options. I am writing this because I have seen a lot of them spreading online. We need to always be careful. Every good investor does proper due diligence and weighs the opportunity cost and risk of any venture. This is what we all ought to do. I have seen a lot of new options for making money, too many to count. 

I couldn’t look at all of them fully because it would take forever to do that, but a lot of them look like Ponzi(pyramid) schemes. I figured it would be better to find out what characterizes Pyramid schemes, how to spot them from a distance, then one can use that template to analyse any new ones that come your way.

The not-too-distant wave of MMM [1,2] came and swept a lot of people off their feet. A lot of us got involved. Some cashed out, while many others lost large with a lot of stories that touch the heart. The interesting thing is that there is nothing new under the sun, so MMM was nothing new. It was founded by Sergei Mavrodi [3] and his associates, a very intelligent mathematician in the early nineties when the Soviet Union collapsed. There were other schemes before Mavrodi’s, Ponzi is in fact someone’s name – Charles Ponzi, an Italian swindler and con artist who became known in the early 1920s in North America[4]. 

Source: investor.gov

I watched a film Sergei Mavrodi’s based on his story and a couple of interviews he gave. He was out to harness people’s greed. It was said that at some points, people preferred his notes over the official currency! He designed a very brilliant scheme that worked then, still works and will keep working. Although Mavrodi is dead[5], there will be many versions of this scheme popping up everywhere [6]. This time seems to be a good one for fresh schemes as people are at home, some with the capital they want to quickly multiply.

Be careful. Genuine wealth creation takes time, knowledge and patience. Be very wary of anyone coming to promise you a get-rich-quick source. I constantly see a lot of such flying around and have received many links from friends. I always want to take my time and get to understand the value proposition, the financial model, and the product involved.

Pyramid Schemes

What Is a Pyramid Scheme? A pyramid scheme is an illegal investment scam based on a hierarchical setup of network marketing. The most famous kind of pyramid scheme is, perhaps, the Ponzi scheme.

New recruits make up the base of the pyramid and provide the funding, or so-called returns, in the form of new money outlays to the earlier investors/recruits structured above them in the scheme.

 A pyramid scheme does not usually involve the selling of products. Rather, it relies on the constant inflow of money from additional investors that works its way to the top of the pyramid. This means that multilevel marketing schemes are not classified as pyramid schemes and are not necessarily fraudulent. [7].

These are some hallmarks of a pyramid scheme[8]:

  1. Emphasis on recruiting
  2. No genuine product or service is sold
  3. Promises of high returns in a short time period.
  4. Easy money or passive income.
  5. No demonstrated revenue from retail sales.
  6. Complex commission structure.
  7. All Pyramid Schemes Collapse. The question is when.

All pyramid schemes eventually collapse, and most investors lose their money. The question is when?

I didn’t mention any schemes here, not because there aren’t any I am suspecting and almost certain that they are pyramid schemes, but because I could be wrong in some cases, and I generally want you to decide for yourself. The least you could do is google and check 2-3 external links about it and immediately you will get a picture. There are many legit ways to invest out there and a quick google search can show you that they exist, even in Nigeria. So again, I won’t mention any. You should decide for yourself.

You can read about other types of fraud[9] and how to protect your investments[10] from the U.S Securities and Exchange Commission. Keep learning, and stay woke!


Disclaimer: I am not an investment expert but a learner. The main message I have is – do your due diligence before putting down your money into any investment.