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My Talk on America’s “New Byte Road” at Brussels Centre

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New Byte Road

Yesterday, in Brussels, I spoke before founders/owners of mainly small and medium scale businesses, from across continental Europe, connecting what I have called America’s New Byte Road with African business opportunities.  My job was to present the evolving opportunities and challenges of doing business in Africa. During the talk, I examined the emerging growth sectors, and delved into how firms could unlock opportunities in them.

These businesses are small, by European standards, as they averaged about 10 million Euros on revenue. They see Africa as a growth region but are also concerned with the shifting policies, cyclical developmental indicators and our heterogeneous market structures which make scaling business visions more challenging.

Of course, the emerging backward regulations like penalizing bloggers and imposing excessive financial burdens, to use social media portals, in some countries like Zambia and Tanzania, are issues. From the breaking news on CNN to the commentaries on BBC, you have elements.

I handled those elements and presented key pillars and enablers which could help them, with specific insights per sector. When I gave a similar talk in 2016, in Brussels, there were 17 business-owners. So, it was progress that 79 came this year. Who knows we may need to run this as a TV show in 10 years! Go figure, good people.

Certainly, I was not there to be campaigning blindly to do business in Africa. I was there to call it the way it is. But in the midst of the paralysis, I offered roadmaps for opportunities. I believe that Africa is a frontier. Yes, the future can only get better in Africa.

Deepening my talk, I presented to them that despite the historical connection Europe has with Africa, Africa may be pulling away. I noted two key forces which are emerging – China’s New Silk Road and America’s New Byte Road; I made up the latter.

The New Silk Road is China’s commitment to broaden Africa as a major trading partner. The New Byte Road is America’s efforts to own Africa’s digital space through its world leading digital empires. I referred my audience to a recent piece I wrote in the Harvard Business Review. As it stands now, America is winning the bytes; China is running the show on atoms. Europe needs a strategy, for a space.

The unbounded and unconstrained nature of the internet has made it possible for competition to become global. Online, geography does not protect a company from competition. That unbounded competition is a challenge for local entrepreneurs. African consumers know about the best global products, and local ones are expected to match them on price and quality. The elite global technology firms typically offer better solutions at zero cost.

That is the paralysis we are seeing in telecommunications, in e-commerce, and across the broad ICT sector. When WhatsApp makes texting and calls free (in some cases with better quality), local telecom giants bleed cash. When Instagram provides an amazing gallery to display products, local newspapers struggle.

During the Questions & Answers section, the business-owners zeroed in on the digital trajectory in Africa. They certainly understand the power of the Internet. I used that moment to also explain that China and U.S. are ferociously fighting a “new war” I have called the New Knowledge War. The results are already out; the top 20 digital firms belong to either U.S. or China. These are empires upon which future digital systems would be anchored upon.

2018 Internet Trends – Top 20 Global Internet Firms; US 11, China 9

I spoke for 2 hours including the Q&A; the venue was Square Brussels Meeting Centre.

Meanwhile, I will be running a workshop in Lagos later this year on innovation. I would like to have you as a participant; register here.

Gani Fawehinmi, GCON

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Gani Fawehinmi

The Buhari government has honored MKO Abiola, the presumed winner of the June 12 1993 election, conferring him with the nation’s highest honour, the Grand Commander of the Federal Republic, GCFR. The honour is typically reserved for presidents and former presidents.

The government also honored Babagana Kingibe, Abiola’s running mate, with the second highest honour of the Grand Commander of the Niger, GCON.

But for me, the best thing the government did was honoring one of Nigeria’s finest leaders – the peerless pro-democracy and human rights activist, Gani Fawehinmi. He was conferred with GCON. Gani was ahead of his generation. He served his country and we should celebrate him.

Part of Buhari’s Letter.

“For the past 18 years, Nigerians have been celebrating May 29th, as Democracy Day. That was the date when for the second time in our history, an elected civilian administration took over from a military government. The first time this happened was on October 21st, 1979. But in the view of Nigerians, as shared by this Administration, June 12th, 1993, was far more symbolic of Democracy in the Nigerian context than May 29th or even the October 1st,” a statement by the presidency said Wednesday.

“June 12th, 1993 was the day when Nigerians in millions expressed their democratic will in what was undisputedly the freest, fairest and most peaceful elections since our Independence. The fact that the outcome of that election was not upheld by the then military Government does not distract from the democratic credentials of that process.

“Accordingly, after due consultations, the Federal government has decided that henceforth, June 12th will be celebrated as Democracy Day. Therefore, Government has decided to award posthumously the highest honour of the land, GCFR, to late Chief MKO Abiola, the presumed winner of the June 12th 1993 cancelled elections. His running mate as Vice President, Ambassador Baba Gana Kingibe, is also to be invested with a GCON. Furthermore, the tireless fighter for human rights and the actualization of the June 12th elections and indeed for Democracy in general, the late Chief Gani Fawehinmi SAN is to be awarded the GCON.

“The investiture will take place on Tuesday June 12th, 2018, a date which in future years will replace May 29th as a National Public Holiday in celebration of Nigeria Democracy Day.”

President Buhari's letter
President Buhari’s letter

Nigeria Reforms – Scraps Polytechnics’ HND Certificates

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Adamu Adamu

The worst certificate any graduate could hold in Nigeria is HND. It is an extremely confusing document in any way you look at it. It brings pains and agonies to most of the holders as soon as they graduate from our polytechnics. Across industrial sectors and civil service units, the holders are completely discriminated against, putting them below their bachelor’s degree counterparts. For years, government has worked on reforms, pushing companies to recognize HND on parity with bachelor’s degree. But that has not happened, and it would never happen in Nigeria. So, it was good news that the federal government has decided to kill HND in Nigeria. That is certainly a good thing. Without an option of HND, our young people would be saved the HND troubles in workplaces.

Nigerian Government has scrapped Award of HND Certificates by Polytechnics.

The decision was reached at the Federal Executive Council, FEC, on Wednesday where the approval of a comprehensive reform of Nigeria’s tertiary education system was made.

In effect, the award of HND will be limited to only the students currently admitted for the programmes.

Also, all the programmes currently being run by polytechnics, which are not technology-based, and which are about 70 per cent, will be scrapped.

Under the new rule, the polytechnics will now become campuses of the proximate universities with the Vice Chancellors of those universities appointing provosts for the polytechnics, subject to the ratification of the Universities Councils.

The polytechnics will now be limited to award of the National Diploma (ND) while those desirous of further education will be awarded the Bachelor of Technology (B. Tech) by the proximate university.

All state polytechnics should collapse into state universities with non-technical programs in state polytechnics scrapped for HND. There is no need of having this institution of discrimination. Our young people deserve better. I commend the Honourable Minister of Education, Adamu Adamu, for his vision on this unlike the one they suggested before.

He has put forward a solid roadmap by scraping HND certificates even when keeping OND certificates. Also, refocusing polytechnics to focus on technical areas is a welcome development. Possibly, with more funding and planning, our polytechnics would become vehicles to deepen our technical (vocational) capabilities which would be critical for building our industries.

Nigeria’s Ibeto Cement Goes To America

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Ibeto Cement

The Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) should be worried: Ibeto Cement Company Ltd, a Nigerian cement producer, has executed a reverse merger, by acquiring a small U.S. petroleum company, Century Petroleum Corp. Simply, this company did not even bother listing on the NSE; it went for the big board and that is America. Watch out, other Nigerian companies will mimic Dr Cletus Ibeto, flooding U.S. with reverse mergers, if this works out. Who does not want U.S. dollars in the age of well-beaten Naira?

On May 25, 2018, Dr. Cletus M. Ibeto was appointed as our new Chairman of the board of directors.

Dr. Cletus M. Ibeto, Chairman of Century Petroleum Corp, stated thus:

“I am extremely excited to have acquired Century Petroleum Corp and, having taken over the reins as the new Chairman of the Board of Directors of the  company with the greatest sense of responsibility, this will enable me to put  together teams that will help grow the company and propel it, and also members
of the board that will help me breath life into what Century Petroleum will  ultimately become.ed Century Petroleum Corp and, having taken over the reins as the new Chairman The appointment of the new CEO in the person of Erroll A. Booker, who will  also function as a member of the Board of Directors, is well thought-out and I have no doubts that he will contribute to the accomplishment of the strategic objective which underlies the acquisition of Century Petroleum.

lbeto Cement Limited, located in Rivers State (Nigeria), began cement bagging operations at its bagging terminal in Port Harcourt in 2005. It acquired 70% of this U.S. company which is traded on OTC.

The company said it acquired 70 per cent of Century Petroleum, resulting in the reverse merger of the cement manufacturer’s assets with the U.S. firm’s.

A reverse takeover or reverse merger takeover is the acquisition of a public company by a private company so that the private company can bypass the lengthy and complex process of going public.

The transaction typically requires reorganisation of capitalisation of the acquiring company.

[…]

It added: “By this reverse merger which is expected to be sealed and publicly presented in 90 days, Ibeto Cement will achieve the historic milestone of being the first Nigerian firm to be listed in the United States Stock Exchange.

Using Bloomberg, Century Petroleum trades at 20 cents per share, giving the company a total market cap of about $15 million. If we assume Mr Ibeto paid a premium, you would be looking at him spending about $15 million for the 70% control he now enjoys. In other words, I am assuming the owners sold for say $20 million with $6 million the estimated premium. Typically, that should have reflected on the share price, but this is OTC, not the main board, and time does lag [if you check the Bloomberg link, on announcement day, around last week of May, price went up to 35 cents as some people took profits and exited. But it has normalized. The good news is that price remains above deal-day price, signifying positive outlook).

Century Petroleum Corp market cap (source: Bloomberg)

With this deal, Ibeto Cement has met one of the condition-precedents to raise $850 million from Milost Global, a New York private equity firm, as reported by Bloomberg.

Ibeto Cement Co. Ltd., a privately owned Nigerian producer of the building material, signed a deal to get $850 million in financing from Milost Global Inc, according to the New York- based private equity firm.

Milost will provide $500 million in equity and $350 million as debt to the Nigerian cement maker, Milost said in a statement on its website, citing a “binding” agreement by the two parties.

The announcement of a deal with Ibeto is coming weeks after Nigerian company Japaul Oil & Maritime Services Plc said it was pulling out of a $350 million funding deal with the U.S. firm, citing what it called “red flags.”

Milost in March ended talks to provide $1 billion to Nigeria’s Unity Bank Plc alleging threats by some suspected shareholders. The lender denied entering a binding agreement with the private equity firm, saying talks were only preliminary.

Now, Dangote Cement may need to cut cement prices as Ibeto Cement could be offering options in Nigeria. If this works out well, I expect Japaul Oil to exit NSE and relist in U.S. This could become a trend.

Why Microsoft Bought GitHub for $7.5 Billion

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GitHub Microsoft

In the age of SMAC, if you are not leading on Social Media, Mobile, Analytics or Cloud, the best option is to acquire a company, especially when the incumbent leaders are tenuously supreme and category-kings. Microsoft has few other options if it wants to break into #1 position in any of those four areas. On Monday, it picked a developer ecosystem, GitHub, for $7.5 billion in an all-stock deal.

Microsoft Corp. on Monday announced it has reached an agreement to acquire GitHub, the world’s leading software development platform where more than 28 million developers learn, share and collaborate to create the future. Together, the two companies will empower developers to achieve more at every stage of the development lifecycle, accelerate enterprise use of GitHub, and bring Microsoft’s developer tools and services to new audiences.

[…]

Today, every company is becoming a software company and developers are at the center of digital transformation; they drive business processes and functions across organizations from customer service and HR to marketing and IT. And the choices these developers make will increasingly determine value creation and growth across every industry. GitHub is home for modern developers and the world’s most popular destination for open source projects and software innovation. The platform hosts a growing network of developers in nearly every country representing more than 1.5 million companies across healthcare, manufacturing, technology, financial services, retail and more.

This deal is significant and the basis is evident when you look at the players involved. Within the consumer framework, the top two leaders of each of the SMAC components are as follows:

Social Media: Facebook and Twitter

Mobile Ecosystems: iOS and Android

Analytics: Alexa (Amazon) and Assistant (Google)

Cloud: AWS (Amazon) and Microsoft (Azure).

I have biased this within the consumer framework even though the distinctions between consumer and enterprise systems are now blurred. Doing so removes the challenge of comparing Amazon Alexa and IBM Watson; the latter, in my opinion, remains largely enterprise-focused. Also, while IBM may have cloud offerings, for most consumer facing entrepreneurs, working with Amazon and Microsoft (followed by Google) remains the options before IBM. So, it is irrelevant what the positions of enterprise-focused firms like Oracle and IBM are in these four areas.

Simply, Microsoft does not have any solution as #1 in these new areas [certainly Microsoft Windows remains a platform king on desktop, but the global mobile shift is weakening the business]. For Microsoft, the closest is #2 on Cloud with Google coming behind ferociously. Cortana, its equivalent of Alexa, continues to lag: Alexa and Assistant are extending their leads across many metrics. So, generally, if Microsoft has to remain relevant in these areas, it has to do something radical. It cannot just rely on in-house capabilities to overcome these other companies. So, it has to acquire.

This acquisition of GitHub mirrors the purchase of Nokia, a Hail Mary to see if Microsoft could boost Windows Mobile, a mobile version of Windows, designed for smartphones and tablets.

Depending on how it integrates this business into its solutions, Microsoft could use GitHub to deepen its cloud offering, making it more appealing to developers since they are the people that make decisions on cloud solutions to build upon. Amazon’s primitives remain one of the key selling points for AWS; having these code sharing capabilities that GitHub brings could help Microsoft Azure battle ahead. Besides, Microsoft has Windows and could get developers to take harder look to build for Cortana in order to deepen the scale of Cortana as it takes on Alexa and Assistant.

Cloud computing was nascent. Companies weren’t yet thinking about digital transformation. But software was eating the world, and it was being built on GitHub.

Today Microsoft announced they are acquiring GitHub for $7.5 billion. By combining the GitHub platform with Microsoft’s cloud offering, Satya Nadella and team aim to build the future of software development. GitHub brings the largest software code base in the world (over the past five years, user growth exploded to 28 million and GitHub has become the platform for all developers) to Microsoft’s Azure cloud platform while also staying open to all other clouds. The focus on the developer doesn’t change and there is a commitment to remaining an open platform.