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Avoid this Metric As You Build that Business

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Founders, as you build your company and it grows, avoid the temptation to propel your self-esteem and self-importance by the number of people working in your firm. The number of staff working in a company is a very terrible metric to measure success in the 21st century.

Do not scale the wrong metrics just because it makes you look “big”. Yes, I do understand that some partners may focus on that in Nigeria before they could give you an opportunity. It is typical with banks and insurers as one of the key metrics they use is staff strength in ascertaining readiness for partnership. You do not need to fault them – they have the rights to examine partners from any angle they choose.

Yes, apparently, the more people you have, the more established you may seem! But do not follow that path and start hiring people that would corrode your culture. A business is built on culture and that culture is really the people that work in that firm. So, the people you hire and those that stay, advance or move on would determine what that business would become.

Simply, make a very good case why that metric of number is irrelevant in a knowledge-based startup where the quality of the team is what matters. It is better to have two great engineers than 10 mediocre engineers. And from what you have done, that partner would see the quality of your vision and the mission to it. The vision is the aspiration of the future. The mission is what you want to get done now, in the short-time. The two are anchored on the culture of the firm – the people that work therein.

Sure – growth will demand that you expand headcount but let it be based on real business needs and not the impulse to say “I have 250 staff now”. If your ego takes over, within months, you would be filling the whole company with people you do not need. Avoid that temptation if you want to thrive for the long time.

Many startups which raised money in Lagos had this problem many years ago. They hired with reckless abandon and ended up causing pains to the staff when they had to fire them. I know of a young man who left a promising bank career for an ecommerce company only to be fired within weeks. If the company had thought-through that position, strategically, that hiring would not have happened. But when you measure growth and success by the number of employees, people do crazy things when they have money in the bank.

Always remember – when WhatsApp sold for $19 billion, it had only 32 engineers (the total staff strength was around 55).

Even by the standards of the world’s best technology companies, WhatsApp runs lean. With only 32 engineers, one WhatsApp developer supports 14 million active users, a ratio unheard of in the industry.

Yes, you can build a company in the age of cloud computing with very small people. Provided you feel good on where you are going, you do not need to justify relevance by the number of people on the payroll. The metric of labor was one of the factors of production. In the 21st century, the shift has been made. Any bank that parrots its strength by the number of staff in its payroll may be missing something: the world is moving into an era where robots  and lines of codes would be the ubiquitous bankers.

If you hire for self-esteem, you may not be helping those workers because very soon, market forces would push you to let them go. There are many cases of those experiences in Lagos in startups where after raising money, founders go on hiring spree only to cut promising careers within months.

ARPU: Airtel Africa Records $3, MTN-Nigeria $4

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Airtel Nigeria

I noted many days ago that Airtel Nigeria has successfully re-engineered its business for profitability through a smart leasing /asset financing strategy where it has moved many assets out of its books. And provided it could find solid partners to handle these heavy infrastructure operations, its balance sheet would continue to look promising. Also, it would have more free cash to plow into customer service and experience. Largely, Airtel customers will experience better service.

Many quarters ago, Airtel was seen as a company that would abandon Nigeria. In the depth of the recession, the company struggled: it had so many underperforming assets. As the nation exited recession, Airtel upgraded its business model. Today, Airtel is leaving the infrastructure business, outsourcing all to partners across Nigeria. Typically, such enables companies to conserve cash. The impact is now visible in the subscriber numbers. Provided Airtel continues to find partners, it would continue to grow at a faster rate than its peers.

Many months ago, many were predicting that Airtel would depart Africa [I did not believe that because Airtel’s home country (India) is the most competitive telecom market in the world with Jio through which Mukesh Ambani, the world’s 19th richest person, has unleashed mayhem on telecom operators with pricing anyone in Africa could only pray for]. So, Airtel Africa is the main hope for Airtel as the Indian operation would likely succumb to Reliance Industries, the owner of Jio.

Yes, Airtel Africa will be here. And the business leaders came with a game plan – sell off those masts, equipments etc and lease them back. Today, that strategy is working: Airtel Africa made a full year profit.

The Declining ARPU

Yet, even though Airtel Africa made a full year profit, challenges lie ahead. Just as I have noted on MTN Nigeria which had seen its ARPU (average revenue per user) dropped from $22 (in 2005) to $4.14 in Q1 2018, Airtel Africa is even doing worse: $3 in 2017. Airtel does not break its African operation by countries; so we do not have Airtel specific Nigerian number. (9Mobile and Glo are private companies; you do not expect to know anything about their financials.)

Overall Africa average revenue per user (ARPU), a key performance metric, fell by 1.8% to $3 on-year, while sequentially it fell by 5.6%.

So, MTN Nigeria is operating at ARPU of $4.14 while Airtel Africa is at $3. These companies are using scale to improve revenue [they have more users], but the challenge on profitability remains strong since the revenue is coming by selling and supporting more services and products which increases cost.

All Together

The present model in telecom operation in Nigeria may not be sustainable. I have suggested that moving towards subscription may be an option to make the telecom operators to become ambivalent to what the subscribers use their solutions for. Yes, once they pay the monthly fee, no one would care what they do provided they remain within the service tier they have paid.

How low can this go before we see mergers? Typically, 4 (big) telecom operators are too much in an emerging country!

Zenvus’ AI-Cameras for Farmers [photos]

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Zenvus camer agriculture

We searched for digital cameras in the world but none gave us the capabilities to process crop vegetation index the way we would have liked cost-competitively. I have wanted a camera that is intelligent, smart and engineered for farmers. So, the only option is to make a digital camera from scratch, building at system level with a mammoth microprocessor at the heart. In the processor, we have implemented some amazing algorithms which can help you detect nutrient deficiency, crop diseases, onset of pests, etc in crops even beyond what any human eye can do. And the most exciting aspect: we got the cost 5x lower.

To make this happen, I returned to my root of computational biology where in the Johns Hopkins University, I mastered how to learn from Nature to create biomorphic and neuromorphic systems. Yes, emulating biology to make systems smarter and better. Our algorithms in this camera are advanced.

Our main customer is from Peru which not only funded it but has dropped some change. I hope to make this available in Africa. Imagine the ability to detect crop diseases weeks before they occur. That is what we are working and we are bringing AI into agriculture, at scale.

Zenvus Agriculture – intelligent systems for farms.

Some photos of systems.

 

 

What We Do

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What we do

In the Advisory Unit of Fasmicro Group, we have served local and global clients on their business needs, delivering superior value with absolute commitment to quality. From World Bank to UN, European Union to African Union, leading African banks to startups, we continue to deliver unparalleled insights to help our clients thrive. I lead this Practice; we focus at board and executive management levels.

These are our services, i.e. what we do (for detailed descriptions, click here).

  1. Phone (Skype, WhatsApp) Conversation
  2. Discovery Innovation Presentation
  3. Discovery Innovation Workshop
  4. Development of Business Roadmap & Strategy: Your business plan is not enough to anchor your business execution. Most times you need a Roadmap Document especially if your business is in a state of flux [changing market, changing model, startup, etc]. To avoid pursuing many windy paths or dead ends, it is always good to have a roadmap. That roadmap encapsulates the path to the vision with pillars and enablers which team members can understand. Read more here.
  5. Open Innovation Event
  6. Advisory Services

We deliver exponential impacts.

Email: tekedia@fasmicro.com

Three Vertices to Success in a Career

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vertices of success

On a piece on how people can build decent companies even when living abroad or investing by the side, in Nigeria, a reader left a fascinating insight on the vertices of success in a career.

One thing I have noticed is that most employers are not willing to train anybody. I understand it involves huge financial implications that may be difficult for a start-up but that is the reality of the Nigeria we have. Others who are willing to train ask for bonds that have difficult working conditions attached. …. I remember one of the things I was told in Barclays during my short period there is that there are three vertices to success in a career, skills, attitude and knowledge. Hire for attitude and a bit of the knowledge, train for skills and pay a decent wage while at it; your staff on average will be loyal to your business because most appreciate that skills’ training that is quite rare to come by.

Here, the reader noted the following as vertices to success:

  • Skills
  • Attitude
  • Knowledge

In that piece, I had noted that one “can build a thriving business in Nigeria even when not physically present in that office. You can live in diaspora and execute a mission back home. And you can be working in a bank and found an IT firm. The key is making sure that people come to work for themselves and their families and not just you. Yes, share the fun and people will connect to execute the mission”. When you examine these three vertices, one thing becomes clear: accumulation of capabilities.

Skills, attitude and knowledge are capabilities which are very critical in career advancements. The capabilities of workers become the summation of the capabilities of firms. Firms need those capabilities to thrive in markets. Only great workers make them happen, and when companies see people with them, they nurture and retain them. That is how success comes in careers.