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The Illusion of Demanding Privacy from Aggregators

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Aggregators

As privacy takes center stage, I expect Facebook and Google to take heat. Unlike Apple which makes most of its money selling its own services and products, Facebook and Google depend largely on advertisers or marketing others for revenue.

Tim Cook, Apple leader, is hitting Facebook on its privacy issues. Sure, he can afford to do that. The issue is not that Facebook and Google cannot have Apple-grade privacy. The problem is that if they do, they have no business.

A Google engineer noted last year that if they should make all Gmail users to use two-factor authentication, they would lose most users. Yes, people enjoy the convenience of great usability. Unfortunately, bank-level security is always going against convenience. 

I do not use Nigerian debit cards online because it is too complex to use. It is the only place on earth where you combine PIN, 3 digits at back of card, and (sometimes) password at the same time concurrently to spend your money online.

So, when lawmakers are berating Google on privacy asking questions “Why is that hard to do?”, they miss the point. Facebook and Google can give us CIA or FBI-level security, but if they do such, they have no business. They are aggregators and they need to make money. They just need to have a balance. But if you are worried on privacy, get out of social media. Do not expect any there anytime soon because the business model will not change overnight.

Have you used Starbuck app before? It practically has no security. You can wake up and someone has cleaned up all the money in your wallet. Call Starbucks why they cannot make it tougher for bad guys. You get no clear response. Nonetheless, within minutes, they would return the money in your wallet.

Starbucks knows what it is doing: you can lose $1m per year on digital theft but that loose security makes it easier to earn billions on revenue. If you fight hard to stop that $1m, you can fall from billions to hundreds of millions.

Yes, a Chief Information Security Officer that joins from FBI to a retail shop would be extremely surprised that on the poor security in the retail sector. And if he wants to implement FBI-grade, the CEO will ask him to forget it. The shop must sell things despite the risks of security. (These firms need just about enough security to get the business going. You expect them to have the best, they would never.)

A well-known ring of cybercriminals has obtained more than five million credit and debit card numbers from customers of Saks Fifth Avenue and Lord & Taylor, according to a cybersecurity research firm that specializes in tracking stolen financial data. The data, the firm said, appears to have been stolen using software that was implanted into the cash register systems at the stores and that siphoned card numbers until last month. 

The Hudson’s Bay Company, the Canadian corporation that owns both retail chains, confirmed on Sunday that a breach had occurred.

That is how to understand security and privacy. It is not about tech. It is a business model. So, you would continue to read hacking of Target, Walmart, Saks Fifth Avenue, etc. That would not stop because retailers see that as cost of doing business.

Hackers have obtained more than five million credit and debit card numbers from customers of Saks Fifth Avenue and Lord & Taylor in a breach confirmed on Sunday by corporate owner Hudson’s Bay. It’s one of the largest known breaches of a retailer and follows similar incidents for Equifax in 2017, Home Depot in 2014, and Target in 2013 (Fortune Newsletter)

Discover Your Risks, Fix Them

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In microprocessor design, we engineer built-in redundancies. They waste transistors and silicon real estate. But you need them just in case. In finance, they have a different name: risk management. The world of commerce is driven by market forces for the dynamic equilibrium point. If you cannot manage risk, you have no future.

Yes, it has been 10 years since Bear Stearns collapsed. On a fire-sale to JP Morgan, it went for less than 7% of its market value from two days prior. As I noted in my First Day in America & Kindness of Diamond Bank, it was a turbulent period.

Then I started buying stocks in New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ. One day I lost $26,700 when they nationalized Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. I had cut-off all stock research to finish my dissertation and was not following market news. I felt bad and learnt a huge lesson – the professionals deserve their wages!

Remember this: if you have not identified 3 risks that could cause severe dislocation in your business, abandon everything this week and find them. Then, once discovered, find mitigation strategies.

Risk Management Process (Source: PIN)

Risk is good because without risk, there would not be business. Every business exists to fix frictions in markets. Those frictions are anchored on risks – endogenous and exogenous to the participants. Fixing them demands capabilities, the very reason customers look for those, with abilities, they can pay to help them.

Discover your risks, fix them.

 

Another presentation of a Risk Management Process (source: PM by PM)

Happy Easter

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Happy Easter, it is the day of resurrection. It is that day when that big unsolvable equation has a meaning.

Yes, [All Things]/ 0 = Infinite Grace.

Anything and all things, under that miry clay of life burdens, sorrows, pains, and hopelessness turn into infinite grace of hope after our Christ experienced death (the zero).

I experienced the rising of Christ this morning. Let the resurrection power catapult you into His pastures, out of the miry clay.

“He drew me up out of a horrible pit [a pit of tumult and of destruction], out of the miry clay (froth and slime), and set my feet upon a rock, steadying my steps and establishing my goings.”

Happy Easter!

New Classroom of the Ghana’s Teacher Who Drew Microsoft Word on Blackboard

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Remember that Ghana’s teacher that drew Microsoft Word on blackboard? He has a new classroom.

It is hard over there for our teachers in Africa. A teacher in Ghanahas to draw a word processing window on blackboard to teach his students. I commend this teacher and I would be happy to send his class a laptop if anyone knows him [Possibly the kids would see how a real Word Processing Window looks]. He is genuinely built to teach for investing such an effort for something that may be wiped out after 3 hours since he would need the same board for other things.

This was the old classroom.

THIS IS THE NEW CLASSROOM

 

Never doubt what one person can do in the lives of many.

The Risk of Herding Strategy

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Bitcoin is flawed but NairaCoin offers promise in Nigeria

In your business, do not do “herding” where everyone does the same thing. As I noted in Tekedia [had a long piece on that in Harvard Business Review print around 2011], when you do that, a new entrant has only one strategy to annihilate your industry. Yes, since everyone is doing the same thing, conquering the market is easier by a newcomer.

The same analogy above applies in many modern industries. Companies increasingly congregate in their competitive strategies. They tend to do similar things in order to self preserve themselves. In the era of Yahoo and AOL, they provided similar services. Cell phone companies provide services and pricing models that are largely the same. Everyone wants to eat from the same pot and let the help offer assured preservation or total destruction whichever flips.

Even the network televisions are not spared this effect. From casinos to airline industry, we can see an ordered communality across industries. They mutually agreed, though never admitting it, to move in features, services and prices alike. The airline industry was notorious for it about fifteen years ago. In most developing markets where Internet has not penetrated deep enough, the media empires move in tandem on their stories, prices and distribution networks.

I call this communal competitive strategy because it simply means that these firms in their respective industries form communal ties and agree to provide services that will preserve them with lesser disruption to their industries. They may not band together because that could be illegal but the outcome shows they watch one another. Many have called this win-win strategy. It has also been seen as co-opetition where, especially in banks, they cooperate though competing against one other in other to keep the industry healthy

This applies to how we grow wealth. When it seems like everyone is making profit with no apparent bleeding for some, it is probably MMM and will turn out bad. And when everyone seems to believe it will be all parties for everyone, hello cryptocurrency and Bitcoin.

Simply, any business or sector where there is no obvious risk of loss or gain by different participants in short term, it is probably not based on sound economics. If MMM says everyone would win, that is against the laws of markets. When Bitcoin promises same, it is an illusion.

This is the Bitcoin price today (see the plot below): around $8,000. From Google to Facebook to Twitter, they are caging it. Now, the fraternity that did not want government is asking for government to come and regulate it. It wants legitimacy because the ICT utilities are indeed regulating it.

If you are banned by Facebook, Google and Twitter, you probably do not belong in this world. You are irrelevant. If you do not reverse it, the only destination is oblivion. You can see that from the price of Bitcoin. (Advertising on crypto-related products including ICO (initial coin offering) are banned by these ICT utilities. Simply, the ICT utilities have decided that they are not important for the real economies).

Price of Bitcoin

All Together

Just hope you did not buy Bitcoin at $22k because unless government can regulate it, it may be in deep trouble. Facebook, Google and Twitter are banning adverts on it. If you are banned from the ICT utilities, you do not belong in this world.