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MTN Group Needs Uber-Type-Eric Holder Surgery On Governance And Compliance, MTN Is Disappointing Investors

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Do you know that MTN Group is operating largely below 50% of its highest valuation in the last five years? This company is a very fine technical company. But it has many really careless leaders in South Africa. Someone is always suing MTN and MTN itself is always getting into troubles.As that happens, investors panic and the stock continues to struggle. MTN Group is valued about $16 billion, down from the peak of $40 billion few years ago. One problem is Compliance and Governance.

MTN Nigeria is a private company, in Nigeria, though publicly traded via its Group in the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. According to Bloomberg, the company is worth about U.S.$16.5 billion in total market capitalization. This makes MTN Group one of the most important African companies. It has lost more than 10% since this year, largely correlated with its compliance problems in Nigeria. Around August 2014, MTN Group was worth around $40 billion.

Just like that, MTN is getting sued over the award of its Iranian operating licence. Turkcell, the plaintiff, is going after not just the South African telco, but some influential telco heavyweights in their personal capacities, even though they no longer work at MTN.

TN’s Turkcell headache just won’t go away. The JSE-listed telecommunications group is headed to court after a legal challenge from the Turkish operator, this time in Johannesburg, over the awarding of its operating licence in Iran, which Turkcell alleges was granted after MTN paid bribes to officials in that country. It is seeking US$4.2bn (about R53bn) in damages.

The case, which was first filed in South Africa by Turkcell in November 2013, may finally go to trial after the high court agreed to hear the case last month. Turkcell is pursuing not only MTN, but former MTN Group CEO Phuthuma Nhleko (now its nonexecutive chairman) and former director Irene Charnley (who now leads wireless broadband operator Smile Communications). Both executives were intimately involved in the negotiations with the Iranian

—MTN has rubbished the charges and said this week that it will defend itself against the claims should they come to trial in South Africa, as now looks likely. It said this week that Turkcell’s application to the high court is the fourth such action it has brought since it lost the Iran licence and amounts to “a last resort”. It said Turkcell’s claims are “defective in many respects”.

MTN Group could be totally exonerated. But the problem is that as you get into troubles, you cause investors to lose money. What former US Attorney General, Eric Holder, did in Uber, to clean its devil of sexual harassment may be needed in MTN. They need to find better ways of doing business to avoid these legal compliance challenges.

Sure, legal issues are part of business, but is is safe to note that MTN is having more than its share. That is causing investors lots of value. The company must change.

Lagos Taxi Drivers Complaining About Uber Are Examples Of Systems At Centers Of Smiling Curves

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A new report by Premium Times where taxi drivers in Lagos are complaining about how Uber is killing their business provides a good example on how Internet provides growth and abundance, but yet left the players poorer. The drivers have a larger pool of potential customers, but yet, the value is not in the driving but in the aggregation which Uber provides.

Mr. Murphy, 43, explained that the activities of Uber drivers have been a source of sorrow for them as they no longer get patronage like they did in the past.

“If you notice, there are many taxis on ground here and their owners aren’t here. They’ve all gone home out of anger,” he said.

“Many of them have been here for hours without seeing any passenger; they had to go.”

Mr. Murphy, who claimed to have built a house from his taxi transport business, also lamented that the development has taken a toll on his responsibilities among family members and at the home front.

“These days, people I used to give N20,000 in the past would count themselves lucky if I give them N3,000.

“It has become so bad here in this park that in a whole week, it may not get to your turn to pick up passengers,” he said.

“That’s apart from the fact that we pay dues too. They tax us N200 daily and N1,000 weekly, despite the poor patronage.”

Uber as noted in this video is the aggregator, just as Google is to journalism. It operates and makes all the money. The taxi drivers are now delivery systems which get practically marginal value. You can also see this from the angle of Smiling Curves where Uber is at the edge making all the money while the taxi drivers are at the center for nothing. Both the Uber drivers and the traditional Lagos drivers are not going to be happy because Uber, through this abundance of more customers, is destroying the old value enjoyed by the traditional taxi drivers and yet is not efficiently (in money terms) transferring the value to their drivers. So every driver is unhappy. This means that, even in abundance, Internet does not always create value. It depends on where you are in the Smiling Curves. Watch the videos

The Law Of Diminishing Abundance Of Internet (Higher User Growth Uncorrelated With Revenue)

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In this videocast, I discuss what I am calling the Law of Diminishing Abundance of Internet. It is a construct that some companies become poorer even when they are growing in numbers of customers reached.That applies to industrial sectors like publishing and telecoms. The lesson here is that risk in any business model must be examined from the lens of this mirage abundance which Internet has provided in some sectors.

 

 

Smiling Curves: Flutterwave, GTBank, Google, Interswitch, Thisday And Nigeria’s Manufacturing Plan

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In this videocast, I make a case why Nigeria must look beyond the center as it works to develop a homegrown manufacturing plan. Manufacturing is critical for job creation but using the Smiling Curves, there are many other elements in commerce that must be enabled for a strong economic system. If you neglect those elements, you just keep being busy while other countries get all the values. We use cases of banking and publishing to support our thesis for a new plan that is wholistic, beyond the ability to make just pencils and toothpicks in Nigeria. We need to build brands and create original ideas.

The images in the video are very poor; I have updated them with clearer ones below. I made the original ones while in an airport; drew them and took photos with my phone.

Amazon’s Jeff Bezos To Top Bill Gates As The World’s Richest Man In 2018, Now Worth $84.1B

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Jeff Bezos did a great deal by buying Whole Foods for Amazon. The Amazon’s deal to buy Whole Foods may be remembered as the dawn of a new era in business, when an old industry stubbornly resistant to change suddenly gave way to something modern and innovative. But supermarkets were once themselves a cutting-edge concept, according to QZ in a newsletter.

It wasn’t that long ago that shoppers went to the butcher for meat, the baker for bread, and the green grocer for produce. Starting in 1930, the supermarket pulled it all together. The bounty of the American supermarket, with its towers of toilet paper and freezers full of meat, was so arresting to Soviet officials who visited one in 1989 that it shattered their faith in communism and helped end the Cold War.

Modern supermarkets were made possible by a host of changes, from industrial-scale farming to the interstate highway system. But after pioneering a logistics revolution that paved the way for shopping malls and big-box stores, progress pretty much stopped. While virtually every other domain of commerce has changed dramatically with the advent of the internet, online grocers were stymied by the challenge of delivering perishables while operating within the tight margins that make groceries a competitive business.

Why is this time different? Part of it is the track record of Amazon and Jeff Bezos; from books to television shows, there is little, if anything, they haven’t been able to sell online.

Bezos will soon be the richest person in the world. After today, Amazon is headed toward being the biggest company. And just as flip phones became obsolete the day after iPhones were introduced, Amazon-powered food buying could soon make us wonder how we ever managed before. He is the second richest man right now at $84.1 billion.

Here is Bill Gates number today – $89.3 billion. Jeff is just behind

By Q2 2018, Jeff will top Bill Gates, looking at the growth of his wealth over the years and the impact of this huge deal.