The Dangers of Putin’s “It’s not a bluff”

Everyone is waiting for President Biden to speak today at the United Nations General Assembly but Russia’s President Putin delivered some lines which are going to rattle many policymakers. Yes, Putin said “ I want to remind you that our country also has various means of destruction, and for separate components and more modern than those of Nato countries and when the territorial integrity of our country is threatened, to protect Russia and our people, we will certainly use all the means at our disposal,” And he added: “It’s not a bluff.”

In other words, Russia can use nuclear weapons and Putin is not bluffing on his threat. I hope the world takes the threat very seriously because indeed he does not bluff, looking at the fact that he indeed went into Ukraine.

Shortly after Putin’s announcement, the country’s defence ministry, Sergei Shoigu, said 300,000 citizens are going to be partially mobilized for military assignments.

Biden is speaking today at UNGA and will likely respond for the Western powers. This Ukraine crisis could potentially evolve into a luciferous dungeon if not well managed. Russia posited that it is at war with “the collective west”. Biden needs to respond. We do not want asymmetric perception which can lead to nuclear war.

The Russian leader’s televised address to the nation comes a day after Russian-controlled regions in eastern and southern Ukraine announced plans to hold “referendums” this weekend on becoming part of Russia. Kremlin’s plans to annex four regions are likely to further escalate the war following Ukrainian recent successes on the battlefield.

Comment on Post

Comment 1: I highly doubt that it will turn to nuclear war… nobody wins in a nuclear war

My Response: That is for a strategic nuclear war. But a tactical one was won by US against Japan (sure, atomic war). Russia will likely start with a tactical one which focuses on a geographic area. The threat is that it has ICM with supersonic systems which can bypass any known defense system in the world. Who wants to “doubt”. I think the key is never take risk. This war has to end.

Comment 2: He is only bluffing. The West would simply micromanage the crisis until Putin becomes irrelevant. There is obviously no path to peace with Russia with Putin in charge.

My Response: Russia’s second in command makes Putin look like a toddler. I mean the US may not prefer him. Putin is a gentleman in a world of Dmitry Medvedev. The problem of waiting for the bad actor to pass takes time. Check Iran, how many decades now? You do not need to wait for Putin to die, swallow pride and talk with him. China is a force but Russia is more deadly because it has the most advanced supersonic systems that can deliver nuclear warheads to any place on earth and cannot be “stopped”. President Biden said that it cannot be stopped. So, your defense systems do not matter! “It’s almost impossible to stop it,” – said Biden

Comment 2b: Israel has much of advanced and sophisticated ICM than that of Russia. As it is now, Putin is at the mercy of Beijing.

My Response: According to all known data, only one country has operational supersonic systems and has used the same in war and that is Russia. The last time they used it, this was what Biden said “It’s almost impossible to stop it” . The Israel iron dome or the US Patriot cannot detect the supersonic. What you can say is this: the US may have weapons it has not revealed. But Satan 2 as NATO calls the Russian weapon is peerless. It is aeroballistic. They tested it and it circled around the world and returned back to base. What was that? No place is safe. This will not be stopped by weapons by paper and pens (peace agreements) and that should be the focus.

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