Speculation around a potential MetaMask token often referred to as $MASK has intensified in late October 2025, driven by the registration of new domains like claim.metamask.io and gift.metamask.io, which many interpret as precursors to an airdrop or claim portal.
These developments, first reported on October 27, triggered a sharp rally in betting activity on Polymarket’s prediction market: “Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?”
The market resolves “Yes” if MetaMask officially launches a publicly transferable and tradable token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Announcements alone do not qualify; resolution relies on official MetaMask statements or credible reporting consensus.
Polymarket, the leading decentralized prediction market platform, hosts a dedicated category for crypto-related events, focusing on price movements, token launches, network upgrades, and industry milestones. These markets allow users to bet on binary (Yes/No) or multi-outcome events using USDC on the Polygon network.
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As of October 29, 2025, the crypto section features over 50 active markets, with total volume exceeding $500 million in the category this month alone—driven by Bitcoin’s rally and hype around short-term price bets.
A standout innovation is the recent launch of 15-minute “up/down” markets for major assets like BTC, ETH, and SOL, powered by Chainlink oracles for real-time settlement. These enable high-frequency trading on short-term price directions, appealing to day traders.Crypto markets on Polymarket are categorized loosely by asset.
Volumes are surging amid Polymarket’s U.S. relaunch preparations and a $2B investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), valuing the platform at $9B. Crypto markets account for ~25% of Polymarket’s $7.5B YTD volume, trailing politics but leading sports.
Expect spikes with U.S. relaunch in November, adding sports-crypto crossovers. Markets resolve via oracles (e.g., Chainlink, UMA) for transparency, but disputes are rare (~1%). Start small; use limit orders for better entries.
Odds Evolution: Pre-October 27: Around 11-18%. Peak on October 27-28: Surged as high as 47%, with multiple spikes above 40% amid domain news and airdrop hype. Currently stabilized around 32%, though some sources note brief touches near 44-46% during intraday trading. Volume has exceeded $2 million, reflecting strong trader interest.
Consensys CEO Joe Lubin has teased a token since 2021, with recent confirmations suggesting it’s “sooner than expected” for decentralization. This aligns with MetaMask’s new features like Perps trading and Polymarket integration. However, no official launch date has been announced, and odds remain volatile.
While the user’s noted 44% figure aligns closely with peak trading levels, the market’s current implied probability hovers lower but could fluctuate rapidly with new developments.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 Hits New All-Time High Over 50,000
Japan’s benchmark stock index, the Nikkei 225, has indeed achieved a historic milestone in late October 2025, surpassing 50,000 for the first time and continuing its upward trajectory amid global optimism and domestic policy shifts.
October 27, 2025: Closed at 50,512.32, up 2.46% from the prior session, marking the first breach of 50,000 and a year-to-date gain of 26.6%.
October 28: Dipped slightly to 50,315 down 0.39% but remained above the threshold, up 29.33% year-over-year.
October 29: Broke through 51,000 for another record, underscoring sustained momentum just two days after the 50K milestone.
The Topix also hit a record close of 3,325.05 on October 27, up 19.4% YTD. New Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s “fiscal dove” approach, elected mid-October, promises aggressive stimulus potentially over 13.9 trillion yen focused on inflation relief, growth sectors, and security.
Her October 24 speech emphasized “building a strong economy,” fueling a post-election rally from 49,185 on October 20. Easing U.S.-China trade tensions, strong Wall Street gains like Dow above 47,000, and a tech sector surge SoftBank Group, with ~10% index weight, leading gains.
The Nikkei took 34 years to recover its 1989 Bubble Era peak around 39,000 in 2024 terms, but 2025’s rally—up from 45,000 in September—signals a dramatic turnaround.
Analysts project further upside to 50,860–51,030 if Q3 earnings and stimulus details deliver, though volatility persists from yen fluctuations and global risks. This surge positions the Nikkei as one of the world’s top-performing indices in 2025.