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OSUN 2022: Voters Hint at Skipping APC, PDP as Parties Compete on Personality Disparagement and Ignoring Issues

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With 14 days till the Osun 2022 governorship election, Positive Agenda Nigeria revealed in its weekly report on campaign monitoring that among over 1 million voters expected at various polling units on July 16 some are probably not considering the ruling party and the main opposition. This is based on the main conclusions from the eight week of monitoring of campaign activities of political parties in the state.

According to the report, “When PAN asked the potential electorate about policy programmes that would determine their votes, they identified education, economy, health, workers’ welfare and employment as well as security, infrastructure, agriculture and social programmes (in that order). That is, the majority of the sampled respondents (97.40%) would not vote for candidates and political parties that failed to address these issues and/or needs of the people in their campaign messages.

“We also found that candidates and political parties that disparage personality would not be considered during the poll. This is also applicable to political parties and candidates found to have engaged political thugs before and during the election to cause violence across the state. Though the percentage is small, some sampled electorate are likely to vote candidates and political parties that induce them with them money and materials.

“The findings have validated our hypothesis that the closer the 2022 election, the more the political parties use verbal attacks as a campaign strategy. The level of attacks kept on increasing from week six of the monitoring, though the eighth week recorded the highest level of verbal attacks. This is an indication that the political actors in Osun State still believe in using the strategy as a campaign approach to de-market their opponents and woo potential voters to the side of their candidates.

In addition, as the election approaches, this 8th issue found out that politicians defected from one party to another. Despite their defections, each party, particularly the two main political parties, showed confidence in winning the July 16 election. Nonetheless, they kept canvassing votes and dissuading potential voters from thuggery and violence before and during the election. Although the parties preached against violence in their campaign messages, one then wonders about the level at which the two main parties accused each other of sponsoring violence and thuggery in some areas of the state.

Although policy-engaged messages in week eight were at their lowest since the monitoring periods, messages around infrastructure as well as workers’ salaries, welfare and employment dominated (most of which emanated from the ruling party). However, Osun digital natives were more interested in information about road construction, security, health and education (in that order) throughout the week,” the report pointed out.

The report says during the week, vote-buying and electoral malpractice resonated. “Although the two main political parties accused each other of sponsoring political thugs and planning to disrupt the election with thugs, the main opposition political party accused the INEC and security agents of planning to rig the election in favour of the ruling party. Its accusations mostly appeared in national newspapers and on Twitter.”

Download the full report here

First Bank Launches Single-Digital Loan Scheme For Women, To Strengthen Gender Inclusion

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In a bid to promote female entrepreneurs in the country, First Bank of Nigeria has announced the launch of FirstGem fund, a single-digit loan scheme, exclusively designed to put women at an advantage in contributing to the socio-economic development of the country.

The FirstGem loan scheme is designed for female-owned or partnered SMEs in the following sectors; Catering and Restaurants, Transportation, Beauty and Cosmetics, Confectionery, Packaging, and Agric/Agro-Allied.

The loan comes with an interest rate of 9% per annum, and a collateral-free loan that is available to the bank’s existing and prospective female customers. Customers can be able to access loans from N500,000 to N3,000,000.

Speaking at the launch of the First Gem fund loan scheme, the group head of First Bank Folake Ani-Mumuney had this to say, “we are delighted with the role our First Gem product plays in creating an avenue to enlarge the business activities and endeavors of female entrepreneurs across the country. Our First Gem value proposition offers real solutions to constraints encountered by female entrepreneurs and working professionals, as it exposes women to opportunities for the advancement of their business.

We implore every female business-minded individual to take advantage of the First Gem loan as it puts them at an advantage to contribute their quota to the economy”

This is not the first time First Bank is supporting women, earlier this year, it partnered with CDC/BII to support women and small business owners with a US $100 million credit facility. In Africa, the gender gap in access to financial loans is believed to be driven by women entrepreneurs’ self-perception.

Worldwide, women’s access to financial loans is disproportionately low. After serious of questions as to what fuels the gender disparity in access to financial loans that particularly affects women. It was discovered by a few economists that one of the factors that excluded women from the credit market is due to high-interest rates and collateral requirements.

High-interest rates discourage a lot of female entrepreneurs from applying for loans, also a lot of women do not own properties to be used as collateral to get loans, unlike their male counterparts.

Even when these women eventually gain access to these loans, they are faced with more stringent rules. Unfortunately, in Nigeria, the ability of women in accessing loans is discouraging, as their contributions to the economy have been undermined, also resulting in gross underestimation of women’s socio-economic contribution to the economy.

These women are faced with financial loan constraints at the small and medium-scale enterprises, which often limits them from expanding. Although the narrative is gradually changing, as a report disclosed that women in Africa are reported to be in charge of a majority of businesses on the African continent.

These women own and operate around one-third of all businesses in the formal sector and they also represent a majority of businesses in the informal sector. Women have been proven to be more entrepreneurial when they are exposed to opportunities, coupled with access to resources.

Despite the low access to financial loans, few women still thrive despite all odds to be successful. Some of them have dominated certain industries like Agriculture and Fashion. This shows that with greater access to financial loans, many Nigerian/African women entrepreneurs will see their businesses blossom which will also impact the country’s economy.

Anomie and the Political Disalienation of the Youth Population in Nigeria

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From the brutish and nasty state of the dark ages, societies have evolved and experienced growth and development according to the strength of their institutions. To achieve social order and peace, societies set cultural goals and rewards and create institutions through which people must progress to attain those goals. The medical profession is an example of a cultural goal since it has economic benefits and social prestige, but for one to join this vocation, one has to pass through rigorous trainings and be certified as competent by a medical college or related institutions.

However, when people fail to achieve the cultural goals despite the institutionalized means, illegitimate means invariably develop from a forceful configuration of the people’s survival instincts which leads to social crisis and a breakdown in the regulatory structure of society. This is anomie, a state of chaos or the recalibration of society into its brutish, nasty state.

In 1897, Emile Durkheim, a French classical sociologist, first used the concept of anomie in his book (Suicide) to describe the prevalence of suicide in Europe due to the breakdown of the collective values which led to a feeling of despair and hopelessness in the people. However, in 1954, Robert K. Merton, an American Sociologist, developed the concept into a model that analyses the five personality types that respond to anomic conditions in the society which include; the Conformist, the Innovators, the Ritualists, the Retreatist and the Revolutionary.

According to Robert Merton’s Strain theory, the conformists play by the social rules and invariably seek the politically correct means of achieving the cultural goals. The innovators identify the blind spots in the social system and develop unconventional means of achieving the cultural goals. The Ritualists abandon all hopes of achieving the cultural goals due to a repeated experience of failure but still adopt the institutionalized means. The Retreatists become completely disinterested in both the cultural goals and the institutionalized means; they often come off as sociopaths withdrawn to drugs, alcohol, and suicidal thoughts. And the Revolutionary seek to disrupt the existing system and replace it with a perceived better system.

In Nigeria, several conditions of anomie have evolved into social crisis which make major headlines on the news and the social media on a daily basis. Incidences of increasing inflation, poverty and youth unemployment contribute daily to a surge in crime and want of peace in the country. Thus, from banditry to kidnapping, cyber fraud to drug trafficking and social media bullying to ritual killings, Nigeria has been included in the league of unsafe countries to live in the world, with the country ranking 146th out of 163 countries in the 2021 Global Peace Index, according to the Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP).

Consequently, there are a growing number of social innovators in the country who leverage technology and the new media to develop alternative means of economic survival. These emerging innovators are largely ensconced in the youth population and are mostly tech savvy with deep knowledge of the dark web. Cybercriminals such as the yahoo boys, the benefit boys, the black-hat hackers etc. belong in this disruptive cohort. Recently, a significant part of the cohort has developed political consciousness through an alliance with the revolutionary to influence a major upheaval in the country.

This played out during the End SARS campaign against the police brutality and oppression of the youth in October 2020. During the campaign, agitated Nigerian youths were able to massively mobilize and crowd-fund intellectual resources and foot soldiers through the social media platforms, especially Twitter, and the decentralized financial market’s block-chain system. Thus, the innovators exhibited the cunning of the fox and the revolutionary engaged the bravery of the Lion to execute one of the most successful campaigns in the history of social movement in the world.

On the 11th of October 2020, the Nigerian government dissolved the Special Anti-Robbery Squad. However, this was followed shortly by a national ban on crypto-currencies which according to the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Godwin Emefiele, were being used to sponsor illegal activities in the country. More so, on 5 June 2021, Twitter was banned in Nigeria over a deleted tweet of the president of the country from the platform but on 12 January 2022 the ban was lifted after Twitter reached an agreement with the Nigerian Government. However, many believe that the twitter ban was a reprisal of the government on the #endsars movement.

There are also indications that the #endsars memories will continue to shape the political consciousness of the Nigerian youth. One veritable example is the #PVC campaign that currently floods the internet and the social media platforms to influence a great number of the youth to get their permanent voters cards towards the 2023 general elections in the country. Never before in the history of Nigerian politics have Nigerian youths shown this much political awareness and social will to power, analysts remarked.

There are many ways to conceptualize the myriads of problems with Nigeria. But for the strain theory analysts, two conditions are evidently insidious to social progress in the country — one is the absence of accountability and the other is a crooked reward and punishment system which overtime have supplanted the moral fabric of the nation. These conditions are mainly due to the failure of the Government institution which determines and enforces the collective value system. The other social institutions such as religion, education and family can only struggle to perform their function of promoting the collective values where the Government institution has failed to enforce those values. Thus, social rehabilitation must be approached top-down — that is, from the Government institution down to the family institution.

Contrary to many people’s belief that social and attitudinal change must be approached bottom-up or from the micro to the macro levels, the strain theorists consider such an approach utopian due to the effect of the law of social gravity. Hence, it must be stated that the Nigerian Government needs to prune itself of corruption and promote sanity across its agencies to build a society where accountability and fairness in reward and punishment determine the political and socioeconomic relations. Only afterward can the bottom-up approach yield significant results.

Career Lessons from the lives of King David and Prime Minister Joseph

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Back in the days, technology was very far behind that what we refer to today as CurriculumVitae barely existed. As things progressed, CVs came into being to the point where they were considered as Sacred documents, meant only for those who had the POWER to change your life. Today, people take great pride in brandishing their CVs for all to see to the point where imaginary achievements are created and ordinary things stretched to make them look like accomplishments. In this piece, I look at career lessons in the lives of some prominent individuals David Joseph who had no ‘CVs’ but landed some of the most prominent jobs in the land and how they did it.

Audition for the job while it is yet to come.

In the Bible, David never applied to be a King’s musician or a Giant Killer in the midst of war. He prepared himself for this (unconsciously) without ever knowing when the opportunity would come or better still by doing ordinary things with passion and commitment.

Joseph went from prison to Prime Minister simply by interpreting a dream because he had mastered the art of dreaming and interpreting dreams. He never hesitated sharing his dreams with his family despite the envy and hatred it brought him from his family, finally landing him in slavery and then prison from where he would emerged as the most senior official in the land after the king.

What will cause you standout in your career is a mixture of the right skills and character. Skills alone won’t take you far, neither would character on its own; though a good character would make you get noticed for all the right reasons.

David honed his skills tending to animals with all humility, never complaining. He never questioned why he as the youngest was being sent to look after sheep while he had elder brothers with more physical strength to probably stand-up to animals and resist the stress of the work. He did it with humility and built a wonderful resume for himself for the future.

We all find ourselves in the position of David or Joseph every now and then in life…either in the family or as a junior or newest colleague in the office. What attitude we put on will determine how much we can learn and who/what would be said of us in our absence, in the boardrooms where important decisions are taken. Remember most decisions/consultations about your career are seldom taken with your knowledge.

While David attended to sheep, he learned how to play the harp in his idle time in the fields, a skill which will later cause his name to be mentioned to the King. He equally learned precision aiming when he had to fend off wild animals attacking his flock with the use of a sling …same skill that would enable him take a sling with surgical precision at Goliath (that’s Excellence: the quality of being extremely good beyond ordinary standards). Tackle your challenges with excellence. (Excellence is not an act but a habit…habits are what we do repeatedly. So to achieve excellence, be repetitive in what you do. Repeatedly gain knowledge, display humility, learn new ways of doing things, innovate…)

You might find yourself as a junior colleague with very little to do (especially when senior colleagues are not collaborative and stingy with knowledge or reduce you to running errands for them)…use that time to learn more about the job, the organization, its history, its mission, culture processes, strategy, position, challenges, competition, new skills to make you succeed or prepare you for the future. Develop skills relevant to the organization and your career vision.

Do this with all humility and before long, you will be discussing strategy with MDs, providing calm in board rooms (just as David played the harp to calm the King, or opted to face Goliath during a military conclave), carrying out key missions on which the survival on the company might depend (David vs Goliath). Learn in humility and move around like a submarine on a deadly mission, surface when your mission is done, when you must have torpedoed the efforts of a non-collaborative boss or colleagues to starve you of knowledge or keep you in the shadows.

Your ability to execute with excellence coupled with an outstanding character would lead to you being discussed for all the good reasons in important places. Gone are the days when CVs used to be viewed as secret documents, meant only for potential employers. Nowadays, you don’t even need to submit a CV to land certain jobs. If a CV is a record of what you’ve done or achieved over the years and how you did it, then except you did all of that in another planet, people don’t need to look too far for your CV. It is evident in the things they have seen you do or heard about you. People take note of what you do, how you do it. In fact, some people have records of your achievements more that you can remember (remember the report given about David to the king or have you ever been reminded of some things you routinely do that seem to go unnoticed?

It can be as simple as your passion in what you do and you are surprised when your manager mentions ‘I love the way you always handle this so I want to increase your responsibilities, enrich your job, promote you…and you are like wow…but these are little things I do every now and then without noticing the impact it creates.’ The fact that you do them when no one would care to do, when you are not obliged to do, when you are not being paid directly for that prepares you for greater things. Why? Because performing with excellence has become a habit and almost everything you do is beyond ordinary standards to the ordinary man because you do it with Excellence.

You must not trample on others in order to progress. David had multiple opportunities to kill Saul but didn’t take any because he saw the bigger picture.

Selflessness is ultimate. In selflessly sharing his dream interpretation skills, Joseph rose to a position where he would ultimately save Egypt and his family from certain death through starvation and hunger.

 

As Nigeria’s Naira and Ghana’s Cedi Struggle, ECOWAS Must Review the Proposed ECO

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Before the African Union congress, I made a case that it would be a bad policy if the continent adopts  a single currency without first understanding the serious welfare implications, at least, at the regional level. My thesis was based on the heterogeneous nature of African economies. Indeed, we can have massive welfare losses if the countries lose their abilities to adjust many macroeconomic factors due to a currency union.

 Nigeria devalues its currency when it cannot keep fighting it. Under a single African currency regime, a supranational central bank will run the show with Nigeria’s central bank just a window dresser. In other words, there is nothing the Central Bank of Nigeria can do because that power has moved to a higher central bank.

More so, it goes beyond Nigeria, Ghana is now losing it at the currency level: “The Ghanaian cedi came under pressure after racking up a whopping loss of 22.44% against the US dollar. This comes despite the attempt by Ghana’s central bank to hike interest rates to offset shortfalls caused by global tensions in Europe.”

 If Nigeria’s economy misbehaves, its asymmetric impact in the West African region will be massive. The economy of Eti Osa local government area in Lagos  State is bigger than the economy of most countries in ECOWAS. So, if we do have Eco, the proposed single West African currency, what will happen is that Nigeria’s economic radicalism will be shared by all the countries since in a currency union, a big player like Nigeria will be expected to have a major impact on the currency stability.

I do not believe that a single currency will fix Africa’s problems; only a favourable balance of trade and payment will do that sustainably and that will come via improved exports. My proposal is to use software to reduce transaction friction associated with multiple currencies. Afreximbank is doing just that and if they succeed, you can pay in Naira and someone in Kenya will receive in Shillings, seamlessly.