As expected, Atiku Abubakar, Nigeria’s former Vice President, will hold the PDP presidential flag in the 2023 election. As I monitored this all day, when Aminu Tambuwal, governor of Sokoto State, asked his delegates to support him, I knew Atiku had a strong chance. Without Tambuwal, only Nyesom Wike, governor of River State, was remaining since former Senate President, Bukola Saraki, was not really there. (Atiku, Wike, Saraki received respectively 371, 237 and 70 votes).
I had predicted that Atiku would be the 2019 nominee, and even last week, I noted that it was for him, for 2023, when the party refused to zone it. From my permutation, there was really no reason NOT to zone it, if Atiku was not interested! PDP designed everything for Atiku.
In APC, I had noted that Bola Tinubu would get the ticket and would likely pick the governor of Ebonyi State, Engr David Umahi. In the Oct 2018 piece, I had noted that Engr Umahi will win governorship in Ebonyi but will decamp to APC within months: “The present governor of Ebonyi state will likely be his running mate. Engr David Umahi will win with PDP in 2019 but will decamp to APC shortly.”
That APC postulation will change now. With Atiku holding it for PDP, even Bola Tinubu’s candidate is severely wounded. (I had assumed, naively, that PDP would maintain its zoning policy of North and South.) So PDP is going cold in the Southeast but may be strong in Southsouth as Atiku will likely pick Wike as his running mate.
Something big will happen to the APC ticket now. They will need to defend North and also play offense in the South since it is evident that most voters will move PDP in the north.
From all angles, Tinubu will have to make a decision: expect him to call Peter Obi, the most popular politician in Southeast, for suggestions. I expect a third force because there are many victims that will go on a political revenge here.
Nigeria’s former Vice President, Atiku Abubakar, has again emerged the presidential candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).
Mr Abubakar defeated 12 other candidates in a keenly contested presidential primary election held at the Moshood Abiola Stadium in Abuja on Saturday.
Of the over 763 ballots at the election, he polled 371 votes while his closest challenger, Governor of River State, Nyesom Wike, came a distant third with his 237 votes.
Nigeria’s former Senate President, Bukola Saraki, scored 70 votes to come a distant third while the Governor of Bauchi, Bala Muhammed, came fourth with 20 votes.
While Atiku’s victory at the Abuja stadium Velodrome was his second successive attempt, it also marked his fifth shot at the presidency. He has had other unsuccessful contests for the seat under both the All Progressives Congress (APC) and his current party, the PDP.
The Adamawa-born politician also secured the ticket of the PDP in 2019 but lost at the general elections to the incumbent, President Muhammadu Buhari of the APC.
The former vice-president will again face whoever emerges from the forthcoming presidential primaries of the APC.
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Comment 1: SE do not have voting strength. Their total votes is equivalent to just one state’s votes(Kano/Rivers). The highest total votes of SE was in 2019 and was almost equivalent to the votes of Kano/Rivers. Moreover, looking at the handwriting on the wall, Atiku is picking someone from SS as VP.






