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Technology Pushing Africa From The Base Of The Pyramid

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For a continent that has grown about 5%, annually, since 200, it has got a lot of momentum. And this is just the beginning. The ten largest markets in Africa are exceedingly fascinating and good for business. The pace dwarfs the rest of the continent. It is just acres of opportunities and diamond.

 

The middle class is coming up with consumption, private, exceeding $270 billion within a decade. This compares well with even the BRICs of India and Brazil. Africa has a good projection as more people are moved up the pyramid. With estimated 130 million making more than $5,000 in 2020, from about 85m today, the continent is on the rise.

 

A MM report summarizes it thus:

 

By 2040, the continent is also expected to boast the world’s largest working-age population, and another 500 million children could be born by 2030, providing marketers a youthful, aspirational audience in the long term.Supporting these shifts is the move towards urban living, with an extra 15 cities in Africa containing a minimum 1 million residents emerging in the past ten years, and a further 19 due to join this group by 2020, taking the total to 71.

 

Overall, 117 million people have migrated to metropolitan centres in the last ten years. The ten busiest cities, including Alexandria and Cairo in Egypt, Algiers in Morocco, Johannesburg in South Africa, and Lagos in Nigeria are projected to yield over $1trillion in GDP collectively by 2020.
85% of local shoppers would be willing to receive mobile advertising, including listening to brand messages. Currently, over 400 multinational corporations claim at least $200 million in annual revenue from Africa, and although challenges remain covering a lack of talent and infrastructural development, the potential cannot be ignored.

 

Mobile phones sales have boomed in Africa, with more handsets likely to be in circulation than there are people to use them by 2015. Penetration has already attained such a benchmark in Gabon, and is nearing the same level in South Africa, while even in Sudan, a country troubled by war in recent decades, it has reached 45%.

Intel Grows Global Sales Lead – 25% Market Share in 1Q2011

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According to the latest research from IC Insights, Intel and Samsung are the leaders of the global sales of semiconductors. Intel tops at 25% while Samsung follows at 15%, for first quarter of 2011.

 

Intel registered chip sales of $9.5 billion in the first quarter, 44 percent better than Samsung’s $7.1 billion, according to IC Insights.

 

Nvidia Corp., Graphics chip vendor,  squeaked into the top 20 ranking for the first quarter despite a sales decline of 6 percent compared to the first quarter of 2010, according to IC Insights. Nvidia finished the quarter ranked No. 20, surpassing Panasonic Corp., which experienced a 10 percent sales decline compared to the first quarter of 2010, IC Insights said.

 

Qualcomm did excellently well with sales growth of 22% over similar quarters with Somy losing 14%.

 

There are about eight U.S. companies in the list of 20 companies. Europe has two in NXP and ST Microelectronics. Other are Asian companies with Japan leading. There is no company from China.

Mobile Internet Diffusion in Africa – Low Literacy Rate Is a Problem

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Africa is doing just fine in the mobility business. More people are buying phones, and mobile internet usage is expanding. But this could have been better if Africa has improved its literacy rate, say ten years ago.  Illiteracy is the #1 factor that will stymie the growth of mobile internet in Africa. People that are not educated cannot just Internet and finding a way to close that hole will require the efforts of many stakeholders.

 

We are a voice continent – we talk a lot and that is in our DNA. We are not going to start writing. Yet, the value added service companies must not depend on airtime to stay in this business. They must move to the domain of getting more Africans to use Apps and spend money on music, games, web, emails and others. That is the only paradigm that will help them reap great profits and remain profitable.

 

The profitability could compare to the dawn of the mobile era in Africa if a firm differentiates itself by offering products and services that delight the customers. This will mean bundling internet, voice, TV, music, film and others in packages. And on top of that, build interface for health management, mPayment, other other auxiliary services. They should figure out how to reduce the cost of international money transfer by expanding networks. A new dawn must evolve integrating African banks and foreign ones via phones.
Africa is the next frontier – ignore it for own business peril. It will grow even in the old media, like TV, where ITU predicts about 40% reach. McKinsey expects middle class population to add extra 50% within ten years.

 

But for mobile internet, some of these numbers may  not make sense, if the people are not educated to use it. Maybe, the telcos can see mass literacy as a way to stay in business and give a helping hand to government and NGOs.

 

The Mobile Business Roadmap in Africa – Tekedia Analysis

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When any nation gets mobile phone. that nation has got it – no going back. Africa has got it and it will not be a left over technology. Mobile phone is here to stay in the continent. We are participating – inventing and innovating, for the first time, in an emerging ecosystem. There are many Africans that have mobile phones and the rate of penetration is astonishing and fascinating.

 

The continent is young with about 55-60% of the population under 24 years (that shows Africans die younger). This youth is city liking tech-savvy change makers that can redefine the continent, if they are provided with the leadership and resources. While it took ages for technologies to diffuse from the West to Africa, now, it will take months. Invent a technology in London or Boston, expect to see that or the clone in Africa, at least, in the context of social media.

 

Internet ideas are viral because the barriers to copying or scaling is very low. Unlike steam engine or aerospace which till today, Africa has not solution, social media is simply simple. That has been the nexus while many African governments are pushing resources to enable and grow the social media sector. It is one simple way to engage and employ youth, gainfully.
The continent will play in the social media and mobility at the innovation angle. We cannot be simply users of technology. We will also create. And that means, contribute to the growth of the industry. As broadband access improves, more opportunities will open. With the near completion of the massive WACS cable that will put most of sub-Sahara Africa to the high-speed hub, a new dawn will be born.

 

We estimate new investment in ICT in coming years to be excess of $200 billion with South Africa and Nigeria as major drivers. With the penetration and growth rate of excess of 55%  in five years, Africa has demonstrated that it is ready and will participate in this new phase of economic transformation. As this Internet access improves, governance, rule of law, democracy  and freedom will follow.

 

In the next four years, Tekedia predicts that Africa will add extra 300 million mobile subscribers.  That will possibly give the continent a diffusion rate of excess of 70%. Nokia will continue to dominate the handset market, but other players like cheap Android phone could be a joker. More Africans will begin to consume data.
Telecommunication companies will have to improve services because airtime will be commodity. They must add value on top of their games. People will demand more. Businesses will move to the mobile environment and more Africans will get services on the web – news, stocks, etc.

 

We are very confident that the future of mobility is well and healthy in Africa.  While government helped with the policy, the drivers are not coming from governments. The societal energy and passion of people have provided opportunities for investors. And anyone that waits will be left out – now is the time to connect into Africa, because the opportunity is huge.

The Consulting Companies Are Coming – Get Your Ideas Right

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Few days ago, we reported that Carlyle Group has opened shop in Lagos. Today, we want to inform all that Global Insights + Solution is also there. Global Insights + Solution was founded by former VP in Intercontinental bank, Karl Omatsola. His firm specializes in strategies geared toward investment opportunities, decisions and overall risk identification and management in emerging markets. Why it is not clear that he can help startups, he is the kind of person that can provide mentoring and advisory to young founders and entrepreneurs. He was a former Director in KPMG and that experience positions him to see business and economic patterns before most of us can. So, if you can, find out if this great Nigerian company can be of help as you speedup and rampup your startups.

 

This is Global Insights + Solution

What We Do

Global Insights + Solutions is a strategy, leadership and transformation consulting firm that creates and delivers solutions to help organizations and individuals achieve elevated performance.

Our Vision

To be regarded by our clients as a trusted advisor and a premier global strategy, leadership and transformation consulting firm, creating value by providing innovative solutions to complex problems.

Our Values

Excellence, Passion, Integrity Commitment, Innovation, Collaboration