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Nigeria’s Lost Taxes to Mauritius

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Port Louis, capital of Mauritius (Tourism, Mauritius)

Since I wrote the piece suggesting that Nigeria could redesign its tax policy, the conversation has largely focused on the nation’s obvious need to boost its tax revenue. In other words, a country that needs more tax revenue cannot be offering tax-holiday. That makes sense, except that focusing on the apparent short-term tax revenue losses would cost us the opportunities of the future. Here are two things to consider:

Mobility of Knowledge: In a knowledge-based economy, knowledge is a key factor of production. Unlike in the industrial-age era where it was hard to move some factors of production (like raw material), knowledge is very mobile. The key thing Uber, Google and Facebook export to the world is knowledge. The mobility of knowledge makes it possible for most of the leading technology companies to decide the jurisdictions where revenue receipts would be recognized for tax purposes. In other words, if they earn revenue in Nigeria, they could book the revenue in Cayman Islands which is a tax haven. What has happened is that Cayman Islands is assumed to hold the intellectual property of the company and must be compensated for that. Every country has structures designed to enable local subsidiaries of entities to compensate the original IP holders through royalties, IP licensing, and rights.

Nigeria has an agency of government that does just that, approving for the foreign entities to repatriate the money back. Visit National Office for Technology Acquisition and Promotion(NOTAP) and learn what they do. Simply, they manage these issues of technology IPs acquisition and transfer. So, consider a scenario where Google Nigeria has earned revenue in Nigeria, NOTAP makes it possible for Google Nigeria to pay Google International through a jurisdiction it has designated for the technologies used in Nigeria. This is vital because Google search engine was not invented in Nigeria, and even though Google Nigeria is selling adverts to Nigerian companies, it does not own the technology. That acquisition and transfer of IP is what Uber, Facebook and others do with subsidiaries globally. It is legal and is a key part of commerce and industry. Private innovation is not a human right: it has to be paid by anyone that wants to use it.

For Cayman Islands, the intellectual property it is holding is great, and if you register there and move your firm to its domain, it gets the benefits.

 Google is continuing to benefit from an EU rule that is being phased out. The company disclosed that it moved $19 billion of profits in 2016 to a Bermuda shell company via several Irish subsidiaries to avoid taxation in Europe. The so-called “Double Irish” and “Dutch Sandwich” move loses its tax-free status after 2020.

Contrast this with what happens in the mining industry (an industrial age sector), you would agree that it is different. You cannot ship the core raw material like coal, and that makes it harder to move the jurisdictions where tax is recognized. Yet, while the technology to mine that coal can be paid, the system is not driven by knowledge. That makes it very cloudy, making it harder to use tax incentives to shape it. No company is going to relocate easily because the availability of raw material is a key factor in the location of the companies. Tax incentive is abused easily in this area because of the opaque of the operations.

I am not saying that Nigeria should become a tax haven. I am simply noting that tax policy works effectively in a knowledge-based economy unlike in the industrial-age where some factors of production are not as mobile.

Yes, my proposal to offer a ten-year tax-holiday to venture capital firms can work because what is involved, unlike in the industrial-age where taxes could be abused, is knowledge. That could be effectively managed.

Mauritius: Most of the venture capital firms operating in Nigeria are incorporated in Mauritius (or at worst outside Africa), a known tax haven. Yet, some of the VCs and PEs (private equity firms) do most of their businesses in Nigeria. But since Nigeria taxes only profit, they do have the right to ask NOTAP to approve for them to ship most revenue to Mauritius thereby reducing the taxable profit. Once that happens, the money leaves the country and within weeks return, un-taxed. So technically, Nigeria gets nothing while Mauritius where these companies are based (legally) gets the glory (the tax there is low I must add). All you need is a post office box with no requirement to have operations in Mauritius to become whole to use this scheme.

Mauritius, indeed a paradise (Tourism, Mauritius)

Yet, I am not trying to say that our government is not aware of this. The problem is that as typical in Nigeria, we rarely engineer policies to change behavior in big ways. If we offer this deal, great things would happen and most of the firms would operate in Nigeria, and even if they have to leave, at the expiration of the incentive, ten years would be enough for us to seed the VC sector.

  • Government should offer new VC (venture capital) firms in Nigeria a ten year tax incentive on profits if they have asset base of at least $50 million and will deploy the capital in Nigerian startups within 10 years.
  • Offer new VC firms in Nigeria the opportunity to repatriate 100% of profit within ten years. That will help the country to attract foreign investors to make Nigeria home.

Beyond Venture Capital

It takes the understanding of markets to offer policies. If Nigeria redesigns its tax policy, we could get more done. As I have noted that even our education system can benefit. There is nothing that cannot be changed through a smart tax policy. The United States government just did a big one under President Trump. A key element of that tax policy is to encourage U.S. companies to bring their offshore profits back to U.S., instead of leaving them outside the country, primarily to avoid the U.S. relatively high tax rate.

If Company A wants to start a factory in Owerri Nigeria and needs to train 1000 people in the areas it does business. It can ask Federal University of Technology Owerri to do that training, providing the manuals and documents required. It will fund it say with $3 million for three years. FUTO may integrate the program in its curricula (NUC may need to approve). FUTO has received funding, expanded its program and at the same time graduating students that will likely have jobs when they finish. Brilliant!

For Company A, it has moved the non-core training out to focus on its business, knowing that whenever it wants talent, FUTO is preparing them. Then on that $3 million, Nigerian government allows it to deduct it, non taxable. Simply, the revenue where that money has come will not be taxed because it has been used to do good to the society. Just like that, the company has saved money and at the same time assisted FUTO to deepen its programs. That is an incentive which does not exist right now, and Nigeria needs to update our tax system to make it possible.

Today, what is possible is to deduct that $3 million as an expense, meaning that it is recognized in the tax book as pure business. That is not enough as the resulting balance will be taxed accordingly. In U.S. that $3 million is treated differently, offsetting not just its expense but other areas the company might have experienced losses. So magically, you use donation to make-up. That is why giving is financially good, under some circumstances, for both the recipients and the givers.

All Together

Policies work and Nigeria experienced that during the golden age of our entrepreneurship. Under the military rule of former President Ibrahim Babangida (IBB), Nigeria made many policy moves, starting in 1986. The impact is huge – between 1987 and 1992, some of the finest (old) technology and (modern) financial institutions in Nigeria were founded. In my analyses, I have zero’d in on Second-Tier Foreign Exchange Market (SFEM) which made it possible for banks to make huge profits on foreign currency transfer/trading, as catalytic. That era gave us many banks; some samples of companies starred during the time have become category-kings in their sectors. In short, the phrase “New Generation Banks” came into the lexicon during that era.

  • Diamond Bank Plc – born 1990
  • Zenith Bank –  1990
  • Fidelity Bank – 1988
  • GTBank – Jan 1990
  • (STB for modern UBA) – 1990
  • Access Bank – 1989

While many of the financial institutions created in that boom collapsed, some survived. Technically, that is how it works: Amazon is alive but many startups perished during the 2000 stock market collapse in U.S. Nigeria needs to create Diamond Banks, Zenith Banks, and GTBanks of the future. A smart tax policy would make that possible by making capital available.

Comments on Linkedin

A LinkedIn user: Mauritius has an effective corporate tax rate of 3% (15% corporate tax rate for income generated in Mauritius with a 80% tax credit for foreign tax paid). Nigeria’s corporate tax rate is 30% for WORLDWIDE income generated. No off sets. Foreign resident companies are taxed at 30% but for only profit generated from income in Nigeria. 30% tax on global income is tough and to an extent a breach of fiduciary duty owed to shareholders when other more tax jurisdictions are offered. In addition, a start up has limited income and instead of tax credits or incentives has to pay taxes early on against the sickly initial income stream makes 30% tax rate tough. You combine this with both legal and political risk, as an investor at least mitigating one controllable risk to enter Nigeria makes sense.

Fixing Nigeria’s Lackluster Venture Capital Funding

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I wrote on LinkedIn that a new trend is emerging where some foreign investors come into Africa, and offer one (unbelievable) key condition to some local fintech companies before they invest: you must move your operations to United States and re-incorporate as an American firm. The investors are helping themselves, and technically operationally supporting the companies, since running a fintech from U.S. offers a startup higher “credibility”, and access to further funding, over running one from most African cities.

Also, all the industry compliance certifications are easier for U.S. entities to acquire when compared to the challenges of getting them while in places like Lagos, Nairobi and Accra. The implication is that if you are operating in U.S., you move at a faster speed than if you are in Africa. That provides a clear competitive advantage to outrun your local competitors as you work to fix market frictions in Africa.

People, money is dripping into Africa-focused startups. Last year, about $170 million was invested in 201 of such startups. Generally, the continent recorded 28% year-on-year on startup investment dollars while the number of startups which received funding grew by 32%.

Fintech leads all sectors while the NKS (Nigeria, Kenya and South Africa) were dominant on total deals. But note that not all deals are reported and also most of the companies classified as African companies are actually U.S.-based firms with (majorly) operations in Africa.  Real native African companies continue to struggle while the offshore African companies crack millions of dollars in funding.

That does not mean it is all bad; I just want you to have that in mind as you look at the data and plots. A new trend started last year where the investors come with the money and ask you to RELOCATE all the team to Silicon Valley and then make the original African city a business development office. Very unfortunate.

Yet, investors have to do what they have to do. To change that, I have proposed a ten-year tax-free incentive to venture capitalists in Nigeria. Nonetheless, congrats to all: native and offshore African startups. Now, go and win

You cannot fault the investors and the startups: what they are doing is very strategic and for many of us, we would do the same thing. Patriotism is not necessarily a business strategy especially when there are many competitors pursuing the same customers. Yes, any small advantage helps. Yet, there is a grave financial risk to nations like Nigeria and Kenya where most of the fintechs in their domains are foreign incorporated or re-incorporated. Simply, the tax money stays outside Africa, and the accumulation of wealth is not domiciled in Africa especially when the companies can apply the usual tax reduction/avoidance schemes typical in global technology space. They use those schemes to reduce tax obligations by moving receipts domain to lower tax jurisdictions. It is a double whammy for Africa: your talent has moved offshore and the tax money will not come even though the wealth is generated in your land.

Solution to Relocating African Tech Firms

One way we can stop this technology drain is to use tax policy to entice the foreign investors to do real FDI where they invest and possibly support the local firms to stay in Africa. The key is to deploy smart tax incentive to make Africa more exciting to both local and foreign investors. And if we do that, we would not just keep African firms here but could attract foreign companies to move and operate within Africa. As I have noted, Silicon Valley was built by men (and women) and our governments must put out policies to galvanize and seed our opportunities.

If you go back to history, you will notice that there was nothing like Silicon Valley before Shockley invented the transistors and legends like Gordon Moore made the two words “Silicon Valley” something iconic. So, Silicon Valley became because men made it happen. And U.S. government had a major role: the co-Founder of Intel Corp Gordon Moore worked on his post doctoral research in the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab under a U.S. government funded project. When he moved back to California to co-found Intel Corp, that government project had provided real practical insights to him. Those were catalytic in starting Intel.

One of the key enablers of the new City was the on-boarding of investors who came to seek opportunities. Sandy Hill Road, Menlo Park (California) became a street into the future of the world where many investors made homes, investing in game-changing startups. Those companies saw opportunities and came, and they also seeded new opportunities. It became a positive continuum which remains till today.

To create such enablers in Nigeria, I propose the following specifically for the VC sector:

  • Government should offer new VC (venture capital) firms in Nigeria a ten year tax incentive on profits if they have asset base of at least $50 million and will deploy the capital in Nigerian startups within 10 years.
  • Offer new VC firms in Nigeria the opportunity to repatriate 100% of profit within ten years. That will help the country to attract foreign investors to make Nigeria home.

If we have this type of incentive, we will see many VC funds making Nigeria home to explore opportunities in Nigeria and continental Africa. That influx of capital will have many multiples of benefits to our economy, our people, and the Nigerian technology space. Most especially our tech firms will stay home.

Yes, we have a tax problem but the VC industry is not going to fix that for us since it is not one of the areas where we have been unable to appropriately collect taxes. There is no tax avoidance in the sector because none exists at the moment in the VC sector. The goal of this incentive is to explore how to deepen our capabilities to ensure that future companies are created in Nigeria. Our Vice President has been working on improving the business ecosystem in Nigeria; making it easier for startups to receive capital would go a long way. A new tax regime for investors, especially at the early stages, would be strategic for the nation.

The Invincible Nigeria’s All Elders Democratic Congress Party

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Since I put the piece that Nigeria needs the harmonization of the states from 36 states to 6 states in order to accelerate infrastructural development since most of the states are not economically viable to offer any value except running expenses, I have seen good comments. I did the numbers, and noticed that Nigeria could save more than 80% from our current bloated governments. Sure, many noted that unemployment could go high. That is true, but if the savings are utilized well, we can build infrastructure which will create more non-government jobs. I do not believe that we have to expand government just to create employments.

But specifically, people are saying that time has come to ACT. Yes, take action and let those with new ideas come out and join politics. Great idea but it is not easy: the Nigerian Constitution and Electoral Act are designed to make it nearly impossible to act unless you belong. That might not have been the intention but Nigeria is not a place where you can have the Obama moment. Yes, to make it in Nigerian politics, you must belong or have someone that belongs holding your hands. To make this very short, I present only two elements here:

The Constitution does not allow independent candidates. That means that no matter the rant on LinkedIn, Facebook or anywhere, to win you must go back to the political kingmakers to have any opportunity to win. Sure, you can create your own party but that is not easy. Simply, by the time you need them, via the party structure, to become the party flag bearer in the general election, your head would have been straightened. That ACTing would have gone because they will not simply disarm because they like you. They have invested years in the trade of politics, and will make demands which if you follow through will make you just like them. They will normalize you because the system is designed that way.

New Entrants are cut-off at Primaries: If you cannot create your own party, the remaining option is to join an already existing one. If you do that, you cannot expect everyone to clap and welcome you. This means that you need to work hard to become the party flag bearer in the main election. Most times, parties use two main criteria to decide the person that holds that flag: a member who has invested efforts as a (pioneer) partisan or one with enormous capacity (usually financial) to entice the delegates. Most times who can win is secondary because in Nigeria, you vote for the party and not the individual (refer to Celestine Omehia and Rotimi Amaechi in Rivers State, and Kogi State Abubakar Audu case which was blind to Audu’s deputy in the election).

Either roadmap involves resources for new entrants. To be a pioneer partisan means you have spent your money to build the party infrastructure and that means everyone there is your person because they are part of the structure. But where you come late, as a new entrant, you need to have the money to get delegates to take you serious. It may be you or your godfathers. Simply, there is no path to come from nowhere to take possession of the flag. That is the reason why nothing will change unless you have the resources, and no general election voter will see your face: the primaries are designed to cut you out. Unlike in U.S. where the party members (or the entire voters in open primaries) select the party flag bearers for general elections, removing the influences of the party kings, Nigeria primary elections are decided by largely few people (the delegates). President Obama would have lost to Hilary Clinton if the kingmakers made the calls in 2008 instead of the whole Democratic Party voters (The Clintons were dominant in the party structure). The Nigerian process is different: the kings decide and party members have zero impacts.

All Together

I agree that change is possible, and we can get young people and possibly more capable hands into Nigerian politics. But understand that it would not be easy. You can run ads on Google, Facebook and LinkedIn but at the end you must meet the delegates who will tell you what they want. If you do not agree, you have no case in the party. They ran the party while you were running a bank or building a logistics company. Politics is their trade and business, and you have to understand that. They cannot disarm because you are shouting that youth must be given opportunities. Unless you innovate and get in, nothing will change.

If you cannot break through them, it is irrelevant what you are promising the whole electorates:  they will not see your name printed on the ballot papers. It is easier to win in general election than in primaries in Nigeria because the primaries are where the real choices are made. Most times, they do not even allow the contestants to make simple presentations. They have decided who will carry the flag. That happened during 2003 PDP convention where a lady contestant wept that the party lords refused to allow some contestants even to speak.

If you check, since 2003, all the ACTing has not brought any dividend. The reason is that party structures are maintained 365 days, 24/7 and not 3 months to election. So, you live in London and three months to election, you run home to get a ticket. Because you have Mama Charlie fake accent you think the delegates will line up. Nonsense! Right there, they would help you to spend all you have and on the “day” of the primaries, they would inform you that it was done a night before. You go to court and after few days, you are forgotten.

Or if they want to respect you, they will invite you to come to the primary election. You show up, and the tugs will ask to show your ID card. You present your Nigerian passport. They look at it, and then ask for another ID card from you. You present the driver’s license from London. One calmly comes close to explain that your name was not included in the list of people that should be allowed into the hall. You then try to explain that as a contestant.., and as you try, one guy would slap you. As you turn around, they have lifted you 6 feet above sea level. Lucky they dropped you intact. Then, you would be asking them to give you your passport to run to your mother’s kitchen.

The problem is that your driver is gone because another group told him to leave the premises. As that happens, your British accent is gone, and the crickets would hear from you “Biko nyere m aka umu nna” [My brethren, help me]. At that time, it was marathon race as they were not done. Yes, as you ran, you could hear them cursing you “Idiot man, he wants to be governor. Is there pounds in that wallet we took from him?”

Man, how are you feeling with the 5-point agenda to liberate the state?

Seriously, Nigeria is not an easy country. Yet, I remain optimistic. But right now, it alienates the people that can fix it: those young people are everywhere in the nation. But those young people should not think that ranting will solve it: they must innovate and invest in politics for structures. The Elders Democratic Congress Party is stronger than ever. And they have their own rights to be there. You have to plan, invest and beat them with ideas to take over the structures.

My Reason for Liking Wema Bank’s ALAT Strategy

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I have gotten this question many times on why I think ALAT from Wema Bank is different from other bank apps or digital products.

Great initiative. Great strategy. But I am yet to see how any digital offering yet in Nigeria is helping businesses increase their own revenue.  Digital has mostly helped to make spending or payments  easier but none is expanding access to markets or investments.

This is my response:

ALAT is not necessarily a bank product because the creators took the bank out of it. That means it is a startup which is not designed to make money immediately for the bank. Just like startups can operate for years at losses provided they are adding customers, ALAT wants to do just that. So, because it was not structured to bring immediate revenue, it is not relevant looking for one. What you look for is the capacity to bring new customers to the bank: 90% of its users are new to the bank. That is significant.

These numbers are significant because the implication is that ALAT is driving growth in Wema Bank. Wema Bank has about 1.5 million customers and hopes to push the number to 3 million through ALAT by 2020. Within 8 months, they have 200,000 on-boarded. My focus is not really the 200,000 customers in ALAT but the fact that Wema is attracting new people into Wema: “with just 10% of our users being existing @wemabank customers”. This is significant for the relatively small bank. Getting 90% of new customers through ALAT is very great. It would have been bad if it was only moving current customers to ALAT. So, ALAT offers growth to the bank

So, there is no issue of helping Wema Bank improve revenue immediately. They did not call it Wema Bank App; they called it ALAT. That strategy is very significant: they want to create a new business possibly from the bank which can appeal to the youth. And they are succeeding: they moved from 16th position to 7th in youth attractiveness within a year.

The 2016 Ciuci Consulting Annual Banking Report- What Nigerian Retail Customers Want shows a significant climb for Wema Bank in the perception ranking of the 18 to 24 age group, where they moved from 16th place in 2015 to 7th place. Wema Bank is succeeding in capturing the hearts of the youth as the report shows a strong attraction by this age group as their ranking with them is much higher than the bank’s overall perception ranking of 14th.

With a near-zero marginal cost, this can scale and over time most young people will forget it is coming from a bank.  All the bank needs to do is to put resources and grow it just like other fintechs that keep growing even when losing money.  My understanding looking at the strategy is that Wema Bank is building a NEW business within Wema Bank. That business is ALAT.

But where you make your app as an extension of your bank, the hangover will happen as there are things you cannot easily do because you are running a bank app. ALAT does not have to worry about that because it is a digital native. The implication is that it will not bring any great revenue but it can grow the bank. Wema Bank needs that growth because it has not done well in adding users for 72 years.

See the numbers: Wema Bank was established in 1945. It has about 1.5 million customers in Nigeria. ALAT was established in 2017 and has brought NEW 180k customers to the bank, about 12% of the total bank customer base. Wema Bank is a relative small bank but if ALAT can add 180k NEW customers within 8 months it is a home run. For 72 years, the bank got 1.5 million customers; about 21k per year on average. If it can get something that gives it 180k in 8 months, it can party. So if you are looking for revenue, you may not be looking at it from the right angle: this bank wants to grow and ALAT is the path to it.

And finally, ALAT is not just a product, it is also a platform. And that is good. Because it is not built to be an extension of a bank, it has the capabilities to transmute. It will be the oasis in a one oasis strategy.

Restructuring and Harmonization: PDP’s Atikulate Abubakar in 2019

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President Buhari in his New Year address to Nigerians made it known that restructuring nation is not a major priority.

“In respect of political developments, I have kept a close watch on the on-going debate about “Restructuring”. No human law or edifice is perfect. Whatever structure we develop must periodically be perfected according to changing circumstances and the country’s socio-economic developments. We Nigerians can be very impatient and want to improve our conditions faster than may be possible considering our resources and capabilities. When all the aggregates of nationwide opinions are considered, my firm view is that our problems are more to do with process than structure” 

Honestly, Mr. President has a point there. I have noted that while we did better in terms of infrastructural development in early 1960s when the nation was divided into regional governments with control at regional levels, the situation today is different. The time of Awolowo, Okpara and others, we had decent leaders who actually utilized the immense resources they controlled to develop the regions they managed.

Today, if you take a hard effort, more than 50% of former Nigerian governors since 1999 have a court case related to corruption. And these are from the pool we are going to hire for the new restructured governments.  My suspicion is that the problem we have in Abuja will move to state capitals and they would be very far away from ICPC and EFCC to deal with them [I know some will prefer that model provided the stealing is happening in their state capitals; very unfortunate indeed]. Governors are like lords and no one can police them in the states, so allowing them full control would be a big mistake unless we can set condition precedents.

Yes, restructuring while leaving 36 states will not change anything. I want Nigeria to revert back to regional government via six super-sized states where the six geopolitical zones we have today are converted into states. That will save us more than 80% we spend in the national assembly and state capitals maintaining politicians. With that we can invest more in the real country. If we can have that condition precedent, then restructuring makes sense.

Otherwise, I agree with Mr. President, the problem is not structure but process, and if you do not deal with the processes, you just push the issues to the state capitals as the same actors in Abuja will be running the states. So before restructuring, get the National Assembly to collapse the 36 states into six states. Lol. When that is done, we can begin the talk of restructuring. With six states, governors will have resources to invest. Today, the fragmentation is mind-blowing that some states cannot afford to build anything. We need them to come together to have scale to finance major projects. That was how Nigeria developed in the past. Harmonization of states will do that and not restructuring.

A Nice comment on LinkedIn feed on this

Within the Nigerian context, restructuring (fiscal federalism) will usher in the following benefits:

  • Result in a lose of ultimate significance of the presidency. It will put an end to the perpetual scramble for the presidency thereby reducing the do or die tension about what geopolitical region will produce the next president.
  • It will deescalate or totally eliminate the quest for secession as the people can now hold their state or regional governments accountable for their development or the lack thereof.
  • It will result in state or regional governments leveraging on their competitive advantages for overall economic viability instead of waiting cap in hand for manna from Abuja. State governments will become more enterprising because suddenly the buck stops there. No more excuses – all the current secession energy will be redirected against any non-performing state government.

I, however, agree with you, a successful restructuring requires a successful harmonisation. Some states are simply not up to scratch as far as viability goes.