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“It Is Not Worth $1tn Let Alone $2tn:” Michael Burry Takes Aim at AI and SpaceX IPO, Warns They Run Far Ahead of Reality

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Investor Michael Burry, whose prescient bet against the U.S. housing bubble earned him fame during the 2008 financial crisis, has emerged as one of the most prominent skeptics of the latest wave of technology exuberance, casting doubt on whether two of the world’s most celebrated private companies, SpaceX and Anthropic, deserve valuations approaching or exceeding $1 trillion.

In comments posted on his Substack discussion forums over the weekend, Burry questioned the fundamentals underpinning both companies, arguing that investors are increasingly being driven by hype, momentum, and artificial intelligence enthusiasm rather than traditional valuation metrics.

His remarks come at a pivotal moment for global markets, with AI-related stocks, infrastructure providers, and private technology companies commanding some of the richest valuations seen since the dot-com era. The debate is particularly relevant as both SpaceX and Anthropic are widely expected to pursue public listings in the coming months, potentially creating some of the largest technology IPOs in history.

For SpaceX, Burry’s skepticism centers on the growing gap between financial performance and investor expectations.

The Elon Musk-led company recently disclosed in its IPO filing that it generated $18.7 billion in revenue last year while posting a net loss of $4.9 billion. Despite those losses, the company is reportedly targeting a valuation of roughly $2 trillion, a figure that would instantly place it among the most valuable corporations in the world.

Burry was unconvinced.

“Any move up will be on hype and technicals,” he wrote. “Nothing in that S-1 suggests it is worth $1 trillion let alone $2 trillion.”

His comments strike at the heart of a growing debate among institutional investors about how to value companies operating in industries with enormous long-term potential but relatively limited current profitability.

SpaceX occupies a unique position in global markets. It dominates commercial rocket launches through its Falcon program, controls the rapidly expanding Starlink satellite network, and is increasingly viewed as a strategic infrastructure provider for governments and enterprises. Many investors argue that its valuation reflects not only current earnings but also future monopolistic advantages in space transportation, satellite communications, and defense technologies.

Yet Burry’s concerns highlight a familiar warning from previous market cycles: transformative businesses do not automatically justify unlimited valuations.

His criticism also arrives as some market participants expect SpaceX shares to receive unusually rapid inclusion into major indexes following its eventual public debut. Such inclusion would trigger billions of dollars in automatic purchases by passive funds and ETFs, creating substantial demand regardless of underlying fundamentals.

Some analysts have argued that this dynamic could fuel further gains after listing. Burry’s assessment suggests he views those potential gains as technically driven rather than supported by intrinsic value.

Anthropic Too

His concerns extend beyond SpaceX and into the heart of the artificial intelligence boom. Burry was equally dismissive of Anthropic’s recently announced $965 billion valuation, which places the Claude developer among the most highly valued private technology companies ever created.

“There is no guarantee, and not even a strong likelihood, that Anthropic is long-term worth anywhere near $1 trillion,” Burry wrote.

The warning comes as investors pour unprecedented sums into frontier AI companies. Anthropic recently secured a massive funding round and has become one of the leading competitors to OpenAI, benefiting from surging enterprise adoption of generative AI systems and growing demand for advanced models.

However, Burry believes the economics of the AI industry may ultimately prove less attractive than many investors currently assume.

He argued that developing cutting-edge AI models remains extraordinarily expensive and dependent on massive computing resources, making the business vulnerable to future commoditization.

“Far too expensive, too much brute force,” he wrote, describing the current AI model-development race.

His argument reflects a concern raised by a minority of investors and industry observers: while today’s AI leaders enjoy strong demand, the underlying computing power that fuels AI could eventually become a commodity rather than a source of durable competitive advantage.

Burry suggested the current scramble for AI infrastructure may be sending misleading signals to investors.

“What is happening now is a false demand signal,” he wrote.

That statement directly challenges one of the dominant investment narratives of the past two years. Technology companies have committed hundreds of billions of dollars toward AI infrastructure, data centers, advanced chips, and cloud capacity. Nvidia, AMD, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and numerous private-equity firms have all expanded spending to secure computing resources.

Burry’s concern is that companies may be overbuilding capacity based on temporary demand conditions rather than sustainable long-term requirements. He warned that the current rush for computing power is driving infrastructure construction and hardware orders that could eventually exceed what the industry actually needs.

Such concerns echo previous technology cycles where investors extrapolated rapid growth indefinitely, only to encounter periods of oversupply and declining returns. The telecom boom of the late 1990s and portions of the cloud-computing buildout during the 2010s offer historical examples where infrastructure investment initially outpaced eventual demand.

The implications of Burry’s critique extend well beyond SpaceX and Anthropic.

His comments arrive as markets are increasingly pricing AI as a transformative force capable of reshaping entire industries. Semiconductor stocks, cloud providers, data-center operators, and software companies have all benefited from investor expectations that AI spending will continue rising for years.

Indeed, many Wall Street firms remain overwhelmingly bullish. Goldman Sachs recently raised its S&P 500 target, arguing that AI infrastructure companies could drive roughly half of the index’s earnings growth. Major private-credit firms are assembling tens of billions of dollars in financing for AI-related projects, while companies such as Anthropic and OpenAI continue attracting capital at unprecedented valuations.

Burry’s stance, therefore, represents one of the clearest counterarguments to the prevailing market consensus.

While he is not predicting the collapse of AI itself, his comments suggest investors may be confusing technological importance with investment value. History has repeatedly shown that groundbreaking technologies can transform economies while still producing disappointing returns for investors who buy at excessive valuations.

Russia Bans Aviation Fuel Exports Until End of November as Ukrainian Strikes Compound Global Energy Strains

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The Russian government announced on Monday a ban on aviation fuel exports until November 30, citing the need to ensure stability in the domestic fuel market as Ukrainian drone attacks continue to hammer the country’s refineries and broader energy infrastructure.

Russia primarily exports jet fuel by rail to Central Asian nations, including Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. The decision will directly affect these neighboring economies, many of which depend heavily on Russian supplies for commercial and military aviation needs.

“The aim of this decision is to ensure stability in the domestic fuel market,” the government said in its official statement.

Russia had already imposed restrictions on gasoline exports earlier this year. While diesel exports have not yet been formally curtailed, Interfax reported last week that such measures are under active consideration. The latest ban on aviation fuel signals a broader defensive strategy to prioritize internal supply security amid sustained pressure on refining capacity.

This development is expected to further exacerbate strains on the global aviation sector, which has already been severely impacted by the ongoing US-Iran war and the resulting disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Russia is a major player in the international aviation fuel market, particularly for regional routes in Eurasia and parts of Asia.

With jet fuel supplies already tight due to higher oil prices and logistical challenges stemming from the Middle East conflict, the Russian export ban adds another layer of pressure to an industry still recovering from pandemic-era disruptions and now facing renewed energy volatility.

Airlines operating in Central Asia and parts of Europe could face higher fuel costs, potential supply shortages, and increased operational uncertainty in the coming months. Carriers worldwide are grappling with elevated crude prices above $100 per barrel and insurance premiums for routes near conflict zones. The cumulative effect, analysts have warned, could lead to higher ticket prices, reduced flight frequencies on marginal routes, and margin compression for an industry with historically thin profitability.

The ban also highlights Russia’s shifting energy export priorities. While the country remains a significant global oil and gas supplier, repeated Ukrainian strikes have exposed vulnerabilities in its refining infrastructure. By restricting aviation fuel exports, Moscow is attempting to safeguard domestic aviation needs and prevent shortages that could affect both civilian air travel and military operations.

Impact of Ukrainian Strikes on Russian Refining

Ukrainian drone attacks have significantly degraded Russian oil refining operations. Reuters data showed diesel production fell by about 10% in May, following a similar 10% decline in April. Despite reduced output, diesel exports actually increased during this period, as Russia sought to preserve foreign currency earnings even as domestic supplies tightened.

The cumulative impact has forced several major refineries to cut throughput or temporarily halt operations. This has strained Russia’s ability to meet both internal demand and export commitments, particularly for specialized fuels like jet fuel used in aviation.

Energy infrastructure has become one of the most contested domains in the conflict, with Ukraine targeting refineries, storage facilities, and export terminals to degrade Moscow’s ability to fund its military campaign. Russia, in turn, has sought to protect these assets while maintaining export revenues.

The energy sector remains a critical battleground more than three years into the war. Ukrainian strikes have proven effective at disrupting Russian refining capacity, forcing Moscow into reactive measures like export bans.

This latest restriction fits a pattern of incremental steps to manage domestic shortages, following earlier gasoline curbs and considerations for diesel.

While outright supply crises have been avoided globally so far, the cumulative effect of reduced Russian refining throughput contributes to tighter product balances, particularly for middle distillates like diesel and jet fuel. This dynamic supports prices in the near term, even as crude oil fluctuates based on ceasefire speculation.

Goldman Sachs Estimates China’s Major Index Rebalancing to Unleash $48bn in Passive Flows

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China’s semi-annual index rebalancing, set to take effect later this month, is expected to trigger an estimated $48 billion in two-way passive investment flows, according to Goldman Sachs, as major benchmarks adjust their constituents to better reflect the country’s evolving economic priorities and strategic industries.

The adjustments, announced after the market close on Friday by the China Securities Index Co and the Shenzhen Securities Information Co, will reshape influential indexes including the large-cap CSI 300, mid-cap CSI 500, small-cap CSI 1000, SSE 50, SSE 180, STAR 50, Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext Index, Shenzhen 100 Index, and ChiNext 50 Index. Changes to the CSI series will be implemented at the close of trading on June 12, while Shenzhen index adjustments take effect on June 15.

Goldman Sachs described the scale of the rebalancing in a note saying: “Overall, we expect the major CSI and CNI index rebalancing to generate over $48 billion in gross two-way passive flows.”

This substantial capital movement highlights the growing influence of passive investing in China’s equity markets, where index funds and ETFs increasingly drive trading volumes and stock performance. The rebalancing is not merely technical; it carries strategic weight, as China Securities Index Co stated the changes are designed to better align benchmarks with national development priorities, including advanced manufacturing, technology self-sufficiency, and high-quality growth sectors.

Winners and Losers in the Rebalancing

Stocks expected to see significant net inflows include companies in high-tech and strategic sectors. Goldman highlighted potential beneficiaries such as Huagong Tech Co, Yuanjie Semiconductor Technology Co, and Hua Hong Semiconductor Ltd. Other notable names poised for gains include GigaDevice, VeriSilicon, Piotech, and Zhejiang Century Huatong.

Conversely, stocks facing the largest passive outflows due to deletions or reduced weighting include Beijing-Shanghai High Speed Railway, Hengtong Optic-Electric Co, Shaanxi Coal, and Haier Smart Home Co.

The adjustments are expected to meaningfully increase the representation of information technology, telecommunications, and industrial companies within the major indexes. This shift aligns with Beijing’s broader industrial policy push toward technological independence, semiconductor advancement, and high-end manufacturing — areas that have received strong state support amid U.S.-China tensions and supply chain security concerns.

This rebalancing occurs at a sensitive time for Chinese equities. After a period of volatility driven by regulatory tightening, property sector woes, and global trade frictions, the index changes signal a continued official emphasis on “new productive forces” — Beijing’s term for innovation-driven, high-tech industries.

By tilting benchmarks toward these sectors, the adjustments could attract more domestic and international passive capital into strategically important areas, potentially supporting valuations and liquidity.

For foreign investors, particularly those tracking MSCI or FTSE Russell indexes that often mirror or overlap with domestic benchmarks, the changes could influence fund flows into China. Analysts note that the $48 billion estimate from Goldman underscores the mechanical power of passive investing: as assets under management in China-focused ETFs and index funds grow, rebalancing events increasingly move markets independently of company fundamentals.

The move also reflects China’s efforts to deepen its capital markets and improve their efficiency in allocating resources toward national priorities. In recent years, Chinese authorities have encouraged greater integration between the stock market and industrial policy, using index composition as one tool to guide capital toward semiconductors, new energy, advanced materials, and other key sectors.

However, the rebalancing is not without risks. Stocks deleted from major indexes often experience sustained selling pressure from passive funds, potentially amplifying volatility in affected names. On the other hand, additions can create short-term momentum but may face challenges if underlying fundamentals do not support the increased attention.

As the adjustments take effect in mid-June, market participants are expected to closely monitor trading volumes, liquidity shifts, and any signs of front-running or positioning ahead of the changes. The event could provide a near-term catalyst for technology and industrial stocks, particularly those aligned with China’s self-reliance agenda in semiconductors and high-end manufacturing.

For global investors, analysts believe the rebalancing underpins the unique dynamics in China’s equity markets, where policy direction, index mechanics, and state priorities often play as significant a role as traditional company fundamentals. The $48 billion highlights the scale of passive capital at work and its potential to influence sentiment and pricing in key sectors.

13 Cloud Providers Rally Behind EU Push to Reduce Reliance on U.S. Giants

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A coalition of European cloud providers, technology companies, lawmakers, and civil society groups has thrown its support behind a major European Union initiative aimed at reducing the bloc’s dependence on American technology firms, highlighting growing concerns in Europe about digital sovereignty, strategic autonomy, and control over critical infrastructure.

Thirteen cloud providers joined a broad alliance of European technology firms, lawmakers, and advocacy groups in backing the European Commission’s efforts to strengthen domestic technology capabilities and give local providers a larger role in supplying critical digital services across the continent.

The move comes ahead of a package of measures expected from the Commission that could reshape the competitive landscape for cloud computing and semiconductor production in Europe. The proposals are expected to prioritize European providers in sensitive public-sector cloud contracts while simultaneously encouraging greater investment in domestically produced semiconductors.

At stake is far more than government procurement. The initiative represents one of the clearest signs yet that Europe is seeking to build an independent technology ecosystem at a time when geopolitical tensions are increasingly influencing decisions about digital infrastructure.

In an open letter, the coalition argued that Europe must strengthen its ability to control the technologies underpinning its economy and public services.

“Technological sovereignty means that Europe has the capacity to freely design, understand, choose from different home-grown sources, build, operate and effectively regulate the digital systems on which its society and economy rely,” the signatories said.

Among the companies supporting the effort are OVHcloud, Nextcloud, Proton, Ecosia, QuantWare, as well as social platforms Mastodon and Monnett Social.

The campaign reflects mounting unease within Europe over the dominance of U.S. technology giants across critical sectors, including cloud infrastructure, artificial intelligence, semiconductors, operating systems, and social media.

Today, the European cloud market is overwhelmingly controlled by American hyperscalers such as Amazon Web Services, Microsoft, and Google. Their platforms host large portions of Europe’s government, corporate, and industrial data, creating concerns among policymakers about dependency on foreign providers for essential digital services.

Those concerns have intensified amid rising geopolitical tensions and growing uncertainty about the future of transatlantic relations. European officials view cloud infrastructure, AI computing, and semiconductor production through the lens of national and economic security rather than purely commercial competition.

The push also underpins fears that Europe risks falling further behind both the United States and China in strategic technologies. While American firms dominate cloud computing and frontier AI development, China has accelerated efforts to build self-sufficient technology ecosystems through massive state-backed investment programs.

Europe’s challenge is particularly acute in cloud computing because the sector serves as the foundation for AI deployment, data analytics, cybersecurity, and digital government services. Without strong domestic cloud providers, European policymakers worry that the continent could struggle to establish leadership in the next generation of AI-driven industries.

Supporters argue that public procurement can play a critical role in strengthening local providers. By directing sensitive government contracts toward European vendors, policymakers hope to create demand that enables domestic firms to scale and compete more effectively against larger international rivals.

The Commission’s parallel focus on semiconductor manufacturing follows a similar logic. Europe has already launched major initiatives to expand chip production, recognizing that access to advanced semiconductors has become a strategic imperative in an era defined by AI, defense technologies, and industrial digitization.

The coalition’s message was encapsulated by European Parliament lawmaker Alexandra Geese, who summarized the campaign’s objective in stark terms.

“Our message is simple: Build European, buy European, protect European,” Geese said.

Whether the EU can substantially reduce its dependence on foreign technology remains uncertain. American cloud providers benefit from enormous scale, advanced infrastructure, and vast AI ecosystems that European competitors have struggled to match.

However, the growing political support behind digital sovereignty suggests that technology policy in Europe is increasingly moving beyond regulation and toward active industrial strategy. That shift is expected to create significant opportunities for European cloud providers and chipmakers, while it signals that one of the U.S. technology giants’ largest overseas markets is becoming more determined to cultivate domestic alternatives.

Nvidia Teams Up with the U.S., EU, and SK to Expand Humanoid Robot Ambitions Beyond China

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As artificial intelligence moves beyond chatbots and data centers into the physical world, chip giant Nvidia is laying the groundwork for what could become the next major computing platform: humanoid robots.

The company has revealed plans to collaborate with robot manufacturers in the United States, Europe, and South Korea, expanding beyond its recently announced partnership with Chinese robotics firm Unitree Robotics. The initiative signals Nvidia’s determination to lead the emerging humanoid robotics industry, much as it has done in artificial intelligence infrastructure.

The announcement came following CEO Jensen Huang’s keynote address at the Computex technology exhibition in Taipei, where Nvidia unveiled a new research-focused humanoid robot platform built in partnership with Unitree.

The standardized robot is designed specifically for universities and research institutions, developing the next generation of AI-powered machines. Under the arrangement, Unitree will provide the robot body, Singapore-based robotics company Sharpa will supply the robotic hands, while Nvidia’s advanced computing systems will serve as the machine’s intelligence layer.

Researchers at institutions including Stanford University and the University of California, San Diego, are expected to use the platform to advance robotics research.

The initiative reflects Nvidia’s broader vision that the next wave of AI growth will come not only from software but from “physical AI” — intelligent machines capable of interacting with the real world. Huang has repeatedly argued that humanoid robots could become a multi-trillion-dollar market over the coming decades, transforming industries ranging from manufacturing and logistics to healthcare and elder care.

The company’s move comes as competition intensifies in the robotics sector. Technology companies worldwide are racing to develop machines capable of performing increasingly sophisticated tasks autonomously. Advances in large language models, computer vision, and reasoning systems have dramatically improved the capabilities of robots, bringing the prospect of commercially viable humanoid machines closer to reality.

Nvidia’s strategy mirrors the approach that helped it dominate the AI revolution. Rather than manufacturing complete robots itself, the company aims to become the foundational technology provider supplying the processors, software platforms, and development tools that power machines built by others.

The company has already developed robotics software frameworks and simulation platforms that allow developers to train robots in virtual environments before deploying them in the physical world. By integrating its latest Blackwell chips directly into humanoid robots, Nvidia hopes to create a standardized ecosystem for robotics researchers and manufacturers.

The partnership with Unitree, however, also comes with geopolitical impact. Unitree gained international attention earlier this year when its humanoid robots appeared prominently during China’s Spring Festival Gala, showcasing Beijing’s growing capabilities in advanced robotics. The company is currently pursuing a public listing in China as investor interest in robotics accelerates.

At the same time, Unitree has become the subject of scrutiny in Washington. Some U.S. lawmakers have alleged that the company maintains close ties to the Chinese government and military. Legislation has been introduced that would prohibit researchers receiving U.S. government funding from using Unitree robots.

Against that backdrop, Nvidia executives said the collaboration is partly aimed at addressing cybersecurity concerns that could hinder adoption among Western researchers. According to company officials, the robots will incorporate security architectures similar to those used in Nvidia’s data-center systems. Software updates intended for robot subsystems will pass through Nvidia’s chips, where they can be authenticated and verified before installation.

The system employs technologies such as secure boot and confidential computing, designed to prevent unauthorized software from running on the machines and to stop sensitive data from being transferred without approval.

As robots become more capable and increasingly connected to enterprise networks, concerns over cybersecurity, data protection, and national security are becoming just as important as mechanical performance.

But embedding security directly into robot hardware could provide a competitive advantage for Nvidia, especially as governments, universities, and corporations evaluate which platforms to adopt.

The company’s decision to pursue similar partnerships with manufacturers in the United States, Europe, and South Korea also suggests Nvidia is seeking to establish a globally diversified robotics ecosystem rather than relying on a single supplier or market.

While Nvidia executives declined to identify future partners, the expansion indicates the company sees humanoid robotics as a global industry likely to mirror the development of the AI server market, where demand is spreading rapidly across regions. The broader significance of the initiative lies in Nvidia’s effort to extend its dominance beyond data centers. The company already commands the AI chip market, supplies the processors powering many of the world’s largest AI models, and is expanding aggressively into CPUs, networking infrastructure, and AI software.

Humanoid robots represent the next frontier.

If AI agents become capable of performing complex physical tasks, the robots carrying out those functions will require enormous computing power, sophisticated software, and secure hardware architectures. Nvidia is getting ready to provide all three.

Much as the company became the backbone of the generative AI boom, it is now attempting to ensure that when intelligent machines move from screens into factories, warehouses, hospitals, and homes, they will be running on Nvidia technology.