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Home Blog Page 15

Gemini Secures CFTC Approval for U.S. Prediction Markets

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Gemini Space Station, Inc. (ticker: GEMI), the cryptocurrency exchange co-founded by the Winklevoss twins, announced that its affiliate Gemini Titan, LLC has received a Designated Contract Market (DCM) license from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

This approval, after a five-year application process, allows Gemini to launch regulated prediction markets for U.S. users, offering binary “yes or no” event contracts on future outcomes. Examples include whether Bitcoin will close the year above $200,000 or if Elon Musk’s X will pay a $140 million fine to the European Commission by 2026.

The platform, branded as Gemini Titan, will integrate directly with Gemini’s existing web interface, enabling users to trade these contracts using their USD balances, with mobile app support to follow. Gemini plans to expand into other CFTC-regulated derivatives like crypto futures, options, and perpetual contracts in the future.

The move positions Gemini as a direct competitor to established players like Kalshi and Polymarket which received similar U.S. clearance last month in a sector poised for growth under the Trump administration’s more innovation-friendly regulatory stance.

Gemini President Cameron Winklevoss praised Acting CFTC Chair Caroline Pham for fostering a “pro-business, pro-innovation” environment, noting that prediction markets could rival traditional capital markets in scale.

The announcement led to a 13.7% surge in GEMI shares during after-hours trading, though the stock remains down significantly year-to-date.

Trump Family’s American Bitcoin Bolsters Holdings with $38M BTC Purchase

In a parallel development in the crypto space, American Bitcoin Corp. (ticker: ABTC), the Nasdaq-listed Bitcoin mining and treasury firm co-founded by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., disclosed on December 10, 2025, that it has acquired an additional 416 BTC—valued at approximately $38.3 million at current prices.

This brings the company’s total treasury to 4,783 BTC, worth roughly $440 million, solidifying its rank among the top 25 public Bitcoin holders.

The purchase follows a similar 363 BTC addition the prior week and underscores American Bitcoin’s aggressive accumulation strategy since its public debut via a reverse merger with Gryphon Digital Mining in September 2025.

Eric Trump, the firm’s co-founder and chief strategy officer, highlighted the rapid growth, with “satoshis per share” a metric tracking Bitcoin exposure per equity share rising over 17% month-over-month to 507.

ABTC, a majority-owned subsidiary of Hut 8 Corp., reported third-quarter profitability in November, with net income of $3.47 million and revenue doubling to $64.2 million, driven by expanded mining operations and Bitcoin’s price momentum.

ABTC shares cratered ~40% in early December amid a “crypto winter” and lock-up expiry, underperforming BTC’s 25% dip and erasing ~$1 billion from the family’s net worth in weeks. Yet, treasury builds like this tighten supply, historically correlating with price rebounds.

The purchase signals insider conviction—high-profile accumulation often precedes narrative shifts, as “capital with information positions early.” It could catalyze broader adoption, with 74% of polled traders betting on $120K BTC recovery over a $100K drop.

While bullish for BTC’s legitimacy, the Trump ties raise conflict-of-interest alarms: family ventures like $MELANIA down 96% YTD prioritize profit over policy, complicating bipartisan crypto bills and fueling Democrat opposition.

Trump’s meme coins and $WLFI have drawn fees amid BTC’s inaccessibility ~$100K, widening the wealth gap and inviting volatility lessons—ABTC’s swings highlight crypto’s underperformance risks for branded assets.

Positively, it boosts U.S. mining infrastructure like the Bitmain deals, but critics see it as “elite power grab” centralizing decentralized ideals. These events converge on a pro-crypto U.S. renaissance: Gemini’s license embodies regulatory maturation, enabling prediction markets to forecast BTC outcomes that ABTC’s buys directly influence.

Together, they forecast 2025 as a year of hybrid finance—regulated derivatives meeting treasury strategies—potentially propelling BTC toward new highs, though ethical frictions and volatility persist. As one observer noted, “When families with real influence start buying BTC with size, the shift already happened behind the scenes.”

This latest move aligns with the broader Trump family’s deepening crypto involvement, including ventures like World Liberty Financial and Trump Media’s $2 billion Bitcoin reserves, amid expectations of lighter U.S. regulations under second Trump’s term.

However, ABTC shares have faced volatility, recently tumbling amid a “crypto winter” but rebounding on treasury expansion news.

L.xyz Begins LXYZ Presale as It Builds Toward a Multi Chain, High Performance DeFi Exchange

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L.xyz has begun the presale of its native token LXYZ while progressing toward its goal of building a high performance, multi chain decentralized exchange. The platform is designed to support fast execution, deep liquidity, cross chain market access, and advanced trading tools, making it an ambitious project within the Solana ecosystem.

The exchange is anchored by a hybrid AMM and order book engine. This structure provides both the continuous liquidity of AMM pools and the precision of order book execution. Traders can navigate spot markets, futures markets, and high leverage opportunities with greater control and reduced slippage.

 Expanding Into a Multi Chain Trading Future

 L.xyz intends to extend beyond Solana by introducing cross chain swap functionality and multi chain liquidity pools. This expansion will allow users to trade assets across different blockchain networks without leaving the platform.

As the ecosystem grows, L.xyz will introduce AI powered insights, mobile applications, and advanced derivatives that appeal to users seeking a full spectrum trading environment.

 Presale Offers Early Access to Ecosystem Utility

The LXYZ token is central to governance, staking, liquidity incentives, and future cross chain features. The presale allocates 200 million tokens equal to 40 percent of the total supply. These tokens are released in ten structured phases with predictable price progression.

Participants receive tokens with lock up periods and vesting schedules to support long term ecosystem balance and reduce short term volatility. 

Feature Set Designed for Both Active and Passive Users 

L.xyz supports a wide range of trading profiles through its set of tools and incentives. These include:

  • Spot, margin, and futures markets
  • Up to 100x leverage for selected pairs
  • Real time charting tools for technical analysis
  • Limit and stop orders for structured strategies
  • Risk tools including liquidation monitoring
  • Liquidity mining and staking rewards for passive participants

Together, these features aim to create a trading environment that is both powerful and accessible while retaining full decentralization. 

Toward a High Performance, Community Driven Exchange 

L.xyz incorporates a DAO based governance model where token holders influence listings, upgrades, and platform decisions. This structure ensures that the growth of the exchange remains aligned with the needs of its users.

As the LXYZ presale progresses, early supporters are positioned to participate in a platform that aims to combine speed, scalability, advanced tooling, and community governance across multiple blockchains.

 

Telegram: T.me/ldotxyz

X: X.com/ldotxyz

Understanding the Current Altcoin Market Dynamics

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The phrase “Altseason on Hold as Capital Concentrates in BTC and ETH” refers to a recent analysis highlighting why a broad rally in altcoins non-Bitcoin cryptocurrencies isn’t materializing despite Bitcoin’s recovery to around $92,000.

In crypto cycles, “altseason” typically occurs when capital rotates from BTC and ETH into riskier, higher-beta assets like mid- and small-cap tokens, leading to explosive gains. However, as of December 2025, this rotation isn’t happening—instead, liquidity is pooling in the majors amid economic uncertainty and selective risk-taking.

Steady at 59.11% of the total market cap among top 125 coins. This elevated level shows BTC absorbing most inflows, leaving little for alts. Historically, altseason kicks off when BTC dominance drops below 55-50%, signaling capital outflow.

Ethereum dominance is Hovering at 12.80% tight range: 12.78-12.81%. ETH is seeing rare simultaneous retail and institutional inflows alongside BTC, per Wintermute’s update, but it’s not yet outperforming BTC enough to trigger downstream flows.

BTC endured a $4,000 intraday drop last Friday, sparking $2B in liquidations, but it rebounded without broader selling. Open interest is declining, and basis rates are compressed—signs of consolidation, not capitulation.

Institutional players via ETFs and retail are favoring “reputable” assets. Spot BTC ETFs now hold over $120B AUM, with minimal spillover to alts. ETH is holding $3,000+ support, but without a confirmed BTC bottom, alts lack momentum.

This setup reflects a “flight to quality”: Traders prefer delta-neutral strategies over leveraged alt bets, delaying broad rallies.

Why Altseason Is Delayed

Unlike past cycles like in 2017-2018, where BTC dom peaked at 70% before alt surges, institutions are stacking BTC as a hedge. ETF approvals— 130+ alt filings, 30+ greenlit are rebuilding flows, but they’re starting with majors.

Liquidity fragmentation—11M+ tokens competing—dilutes pumps; thin order books mean even good news doesn’t move prices like in 2021. Ongoing uncertainty keeps risk appetite low. Alts need BTC stabilization above key resistance and ETH breaking $5K for real ignition.

Current ALT/BTC ratio near 0.25 signals capitulation, not reversal—similar to 2019’s 450-day bleed. $3B monthly token unlocks are eroding prices by ~18% post-event. Without $1B+ weekly alt ETF inflows to absorb this, dominance could crash below 10%, leaving only BTC/ETH viable.

Many see altseason as “delayed, not canceled,” but warn of a tougher cycle requiring selective picks over blanket bets. Some argue it’s quietly underway in fragments, but not the euphoric blow-off top yet. BTC holds $90K support; ETH/BTC pair strengthens (e.g., ETH >$3,500).

A BTC dom rejection from its macro downtrend could dump it to 55%, sparking rotation. Late 2025/early 2026 if macro clears (e.g., QE resumption) and alt ETFs hit $50B inflows. ETH upgrades or regulatory wins could lead, pulling in large-caps first, then mid-caps.

If unlocks outpace adoption, alts enter a “long tail” extinction—97% memecoins already dead this year. Focus on 100-500 viable projects with real utility. The market’s in a majors-led consolidation phase, prioritizing stability over speculation. Altseason isn’t dead—it’s waiting for the liquidity dam to break.

Every major altseason began only after BTC dom fell decisively below 55–50%. We are currently at 59.1% and have not even tested 55% yet. We are in the exact same setup as late 2020 / early 2021 — BTC dominance stuck 58–62% for months, alts bleeding vs BTC, institutions buying only BTC/ETH.

In 2021, the dam finally broke in February–March when BTC dom cracked below 55% and stayed there. Most likely path forward based purely on historical precedent: Another 1–4 months of alt underperformance and capitulation

Real altseason ignition only after BTC dominance breaks and holds below 54–55%.  When it starts, it will be violent and fast (2021-style 3–6 month window of 10–100x in quality mid-caps). Until BTC dominance decisively cracks, history says altseason remains on hold — exactly as the market is behaving right now.

The NFT Market’s November 2025 Slump is A Death Knell or Just Another Cycle?

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The phrase “November Might Have Killed NFTs For Good” has been circulating widely in crypto circles this month, echoing headlines from outlets like BeInCrypto and BitcoinLinux.

It’s a dramatic take on a brutal month for non-fungible tokens, where sales volumes cratered and market cap evaporated. But is this the final curtain call for NFTs, or merely the latest chapter in their volatile saga?

November 2025 was unequivocally a bloodbath for NFT trading. According to aggregated data from CryptoSlam and CoinGecko, global NFT sales volume plunged to $320 million—a staggering 50% drop from October’s $629 million and the lowest monthly total of the year.

This isn’t just a blip; it’s a callback to September 2024’s dismal $312 million, signaling a multi-year downward trend that’s erased much of the hype-fueled gains from 2021-2022. From a January 2025 peak of around $9.2 billion, the total NFT market cap has shrunk by 66% to $3.1 billion as of early December.

Even blue-chip collections like Bored Ape Yacht Club and CryptoPunks saw floor prices slide 10-20% in the last quarter, with weekly sales in early December hitting a 2025 low of just $62 million.

Active traders have dwindled to about 19,600 per week—a 96% drop from the 2022 peak of 529,000—while 90-95% of collections now trade at near-zero liquidity.

Art NFTs, once the poster child of the boom, have fared worst: trading volume fell 93% from 2021’s $2.9 billion to a measly $23.8 million in Q1 2025 alone. This isn’t isolated—it’s tied to broader crypto woes. Bitcoin dipped below $90K amid ETF outflows totaling $3.79 billion in late November, dragging alt assets like NFTs into the red.

Meme coins shed $5 billion in value during the same drawdown, underscoring how speculative sectors are hypersensitive to liquidity squeezes. The November nosedive isn’t some mysterious curse—it’s the culmination of interlocking forces that have been brewing since the 2022 crypto winter.

High interest rates, quantitative tightening (QT), and reduced risk appetite have starved speculative plays like NFTs of “disposable capital.” As one analyst put it, NFTs behave like “luxury watches in TradFi”—premium but illiquid assets that tank when money gets tight.

Institutional caution, amplified by regulatory probes like the now-closed SEC case against OpenSea, kept big money sidelined. The 2021 frenzy was a bubble fueled by FOMO and celebrity flips think Justin Bieber’s Bored Apes losing 97% of value.

What followed was a “multi-year rebalancing,” where NFTs shed their “broad cultural phenomenon” status to become a “specialized digital-asset niche.” Legacy PFP collections lost steam as utility-driven sectors like gaming now 25-38% of transactions and real-world assets (RWAs) took over.

Over 90% of projects are now “dead and illiquid,” victims of low-effort founders and zero-sum speculation. Marketplaces like OpenSea are pivoting to “on-chain museums” for culturally significant NFTs, signaling a shift from flips to preservation.

On X, the sentiment mirrors this gloom—with posts lamenting the “definitive end” and sharing screenshots of crashing charts. One viral thread called it a “zero-sum game of speculation” that’s “long gone.”

But Wait—NFTs Aren’t Dead, They’re Evolving

For all the obituaries, plenty of voices and data push back hard. As Spaace.io’s CEO Buzz Russo argued in a widely shared post, “What died wasn’t the technology… it was the old playbook.” NFTs have quietly been rebuilding as the “social layer of crypto”—fostering tribes, identity, and utility that tokens or chains can’t match.

While overall volumes dipped 4.6% year-over-year, NFT sales count surged 77%, active users hit 11.6 million, and institutional inflows reached 15% of volume. Gaming and RWA NFTs are thriving—Franklin Templeton’s tokenization of bonds and equities is bridging TradFi to Web3.

Emerging platforms like Spaace.io clocked $5.5 million in weekly volume in November, outpacing Blur and closing in on OpenSea. Analysts forecast a turnaround in 2026 as rate cuts end QT and flood the market with liquidity—potentially pushing NFT market cap to $34 billion by year-end 2025 and $245 billion by 2029.

AI integrations like iNFTs for agent ownership and brand plays (Nike, Gucci building utility) are laying the groundwork. NFTs aren’t dead—they’re becoming the settlement layer for culture, assets, and identity.

Even skeptics admit the tech endures: Ordinals on Bitcoin cleared $500 million, and on-chain identity protocols are turning PFPs into “reputation badges.” As one builder put it, “Nobody is doing revenue + relatable art at the same time… which is why you see 0 growth”—implying opportunity for those who adapt.

November 2025 didn’t “kill” NFTs—it exposed the rot in a market bloated by speculation and starved by macro forces. The $320 million sales floor and 66% cap wipeout are brutal, but they’re symptoms of maturation, not mortality. The speculative meta is toast, replaced by utility in gaming, RWAs, and identity.

With liquidity on the horizon and builders like Spaace proving demand persists, 2026 could flip the script—turning this “winter” into a renaissance.If you’re an investor or creator: Focus on utility over hype. Diversify into sub-sectors like tokenized assets, track engagement metrics, and ignore the noise.

NFTs aren’t going extinct; they’re just shedding their skin. The believers know: Culture doesn’t die—it evolves.

South Korea Weighs $3.06bn Chip Foundry in Bid to Fortify Its Position in Intensifying Global Semiconductor Battle

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South Korea is considering the construction of a ?4.5 trillion ($3.06 billion) semiconductor foundry funded through a mix of state and private investment, a move aimed at strengthening its standing in the fast-evolving race to build essential chips for artificial intelligence and national security infrastructure.

President Lee Jae Myung chaired a high-level meeting on Wednesday with top executives from Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and DB HiTek, alongside policymakers and industry experts, to chart a coordinated strategy that would help South Korea reinforce its lead in memory chips while bolstering the country’s weaker areas: the foundry business and fabless chip design.

“South Korea needs to take a new leap forward, and… the semiconductor sector is an area where we are very competitive,” Lee said, underscoring Seoul’s push to capture more of the value chain at a time when AI demand is rapidly expanding.

The country is home to the world’s two largest memory chip producers — Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix — but has long lagged behind Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) in logic chip manufacturing, as well as companies like Nvidia and Qualcomm that dominate high-performance chip design. Officials said the proposed 12-inch, 40-nanometre foundry would serve as a testbed for fabless firms working on legacy chips used in cars, data centers, telecommunications, and other critical applications.

According to the industry ministry, the facility would be developed in consultation with local foundry players, including Samsung Electronics and DB HiTek. The ministry described the joint public-private funding model as essential for accelerating domestic production capacity that smaller developers cannot afford to build alone.

Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan warned that the semiconductor landscape has shifted beyond commercial rivalry.

“We face a very serious crisis and challenge. The semiconductor industry has already escalated from competition between companies to war between nations,” he said, pointing to major subsidy pushes underway in China, the United States, Europe, and Japan as they race to secure supply chains and avoid dependence on foreign suppliers.

South Korea’s plans extend beyond commercial chips. The government said it will pursue domestic production of defense-related semiconductors at a time when the country relies on imports for 99% of its military chip supplies. Authorities are weighing provisions that would require national security facilities to prioritize the purchase of locally produced semiconductors, a measure that could reshape procurement rules in defense, infrastructure, and energy systems.

To coordinate the country’s broader semiconductor policies, the government will set up a special committee under President Lee to act as the central control tower, bringing together agencies and industry stakeholders to oversee strategy, regulation, investment, and long-term planning.

The initiative reflects a deeper recalibration of South Korea’s semiconductor model. For decades, its strength rested on memory chips, where Samsung and SK Hynix dominate global supply. But AI-driven demand has shifted the spotlight to logic chips, specialized accelerators, and advanced packaging — areas that require different capabilities, capital structures, and long-term partnerships. Seoul is now trying to ensure that local fabless firms have the infrastructure needed to scale, innovate, and eventually compete on a global stage.

How The Foundry Fits Into The Global “Chips Act” Arms Race

The proposal also points to a broader strategic realignment, where South Korea is positioning semiconductors as a national-security asset, not just an export engine. The rise of AI, the hardening of U.S.-China tech tensions, and the surge in global subsidy competition have pushed countries to treat chips as geopolitical currency.

The U.S. CHIPS and Science Act rewired the market by offering large, targeted financial incentives to attract foundries, fabs, and R&D to U.S. soil. It created a sizable manufacturing fund and carve-outs for legacy nodes and advanced packaging, while attaching strings — including restrictions on expanding capacity in certain foreign jurisdictions.

That mix of grants, tax credits, and conditionality has changed corporate calculus: public incentives now routinely tip where companies site new plants, and the law has made “on-shoring” a financially viable option for cap-intensive fabs. For countries like South Korea, that matters because capital and strategic partnerships increasingly follow subsidy envelopes.

Europe’s Chips Act pursues a similar goal from a different starting point: it aims to bolster supply-chain resilience and expand the EU’s chip market share through coordination, funding instruments, and state-aid flexibility. The EU approach is more distributed (national and EU layers), with ambitions to mobilize large amounts of public and private investment into a fragmented European ecosystem.

Both the U.S. and EU packages signal a new normal of governments subsidizing capacity, talent, and design to keep strategic semiconductor capabilities onshore. That normative shift puts pressure on South Korea to respond if it wants to avoid losing mindshare and upstream business to subsidized overseas investments.

Where Seoul’s foundry plan dovetails with these global programs is threefold. First, it protects national priorities: the proposed facility would reduce Korea’s reliance on imports for defense and legacy chips, an explicit policy objective in the government statement. Second, it aims to keep the country competitive in an era when fabless and system-chip design matter as much as memory manufacturing. Third, a jointly funded, domestic foundry can serve as leverage when negotiating partnerships with global suppliers and integrators that are chasing CHIPS/EU grants and negotiating plant siting decisions.

Put plainly: if the U.S. and EU can lure capacity with public money, Korea needs its own fiscal and policy toolkit to keep certain layers of the value chain at home.

But the subsidy era also creates strategic trade-offs. Generous incentives worldwide raise the risk of overcapacity in some nodes and geographic duplication of like capacity — a costly outcome for an industry where utilization drives profitability. Conditionalities in U.S. funding (e.g., restrictions on expanding in certain countries) can reshape alliance patterns and push firms to bifurcate supply chains by customer geography or security classification.

That creates both opportunity and complexity for Seoul: attracting foreign partners may require matching or complementing incentives, and Korea must decide how tightly it will tie state support to national-security procurement and local sourcing rules.